Ranking The Corner Infielders
http://rays.scout.com/2/821750.html
Teddy Mitrosilis kicked off the RaysDigest.com organizational position-by
position breakdown last week. Teddy focused on the catchers, choosing five
backstops who could potentially develop enough to add some value at the major
league level.
The Tampa Bay organization is filled with promising pitching prospects, but
is fairly thin on the position player front. This has made it difficult to
determine which hitting prospects should merit inclusion in these articles,
as the majority of players considered are simply minor league roster fillers
who have a minimal chance of reaching the majors and making an impact. Which
is the case with most organizations, of course. With that in mind, though,
please do not get worked up on who is ranked where. The purpose of this
exercise is really to provide information on the Tampa Bay prospects who have
the chance to realistically make the jump to the highest level.
In the second part of the series, I have been assigned the corner infield
spots. There are a few interesting follows here, though many of the players
included have fairly limited ceilings. In fact, not a single player on the
list below is likely to crack our Top 20 list for the organization as a whole.
Michael Sheridan, a left-handed hitter selected out of the College of William
and Mary in June, takes the top spot on the list. Sheridan is ranked here for
his breakout potential, though, and could quickly drop from this list
depending on how he performs in full-season ball. He had an outstanding
junior campaign in his final stint with the Tribe, batting .423/.474/.744
with 15 home runs and 72 RBIs while striking out only 11 times in 227
at-bats; he was the toughest hitter in the nation to strike out. In fact,
during his three years in Williamsburg, he struck out only 27 times during
his entire standout collegiate career. His ability to put the ball into play
is one of the primary reasons for the Rays’ decision to pick him in the
fifth round. The organization also selected another collegiate hitter,
catcher Jake Jefferies, with a similar ability to put the ball in play and
excellent contact skills.
Sheridan then had a nice debut in the New York Penn League, producing an
excellent contact rate while showing gap-to-gap power. He finished at
.321/.354/.436, though he did not hit any homers and was hampered a bit by
injuries.
As far as tools are concerned, Sheridan has excellent contact skills and
strike zone judgment. His pure on-base skills are a bit lacking at this
stage, however, which is evident by his low collegiate walk rates and the
minimal gap between his high batting average and OBP during his
record-setting performance in the CAA. Also, he does not project to hit for a
ton of power with the wood in his hands presently, as he uses a compact
stroke to produce line drives. If he grows into some pop, though, he could
really emerge as a high-level hitting prospect with a bright future. He is a
nice athlete who is a capable defender with soft hands and good foot work
around the bag as well, but is limited to first base. How he develops—power
will be key for him—will eventually determine his chances, but he is an
intriguing bat in a system that lacks depth on the hitting front.
Rhyne Hughes, also a left-handed hitting first baseman, comes in at number
two. While Hughes has put up some strong numbers throughout his minor league
career, his performance needs to be looked at in the proper context. He
batted .268/.356/.448 with 14 home runs in his first stint at Double-A
Montgomery, as he continued to produce a consistent line around his career
levels—he won the Florida State League batting crown a year earlier. At 25,
though, he was again playing against younger competition, which has been the
case through most of his development. He primarily served as a DH (splitting
time at the position with Gabriel Martinez), though he has drawn strong
reviews for his glove work.
Hughes then tore up the Arizona Fall League, which has his stock soaring
right now. He batted .394/.432/.697/1.102 OPS in 109 at-bats with the Peoria
Javelinas, ranking among AFL leaders in most offensive categories. This
performance led some to believe that he would be selected in the Rule 5 Draft
at the Winter Meetings since the Rays did not protect him on their 40-man
roster. Not surprisingly, he was not picked up—without any at-bats about
Double-A, it was unlikely that he could have remained on a big league 25-man
roster.
Despite Hughes’ success based off a fairly small sample size out in Arizona,
he is a sleeper at best. Limited to first base, he will have to keep hitting—
and with power—to ever emerge as a full-time player in the majors. This is a
long shot in the Tampa Bay organization, though, as he does not project to
hit for enough power to remain at the position at the highest level. Plus,
Carlos Pena is still under team control through 2010. Regardless, he is a
player to keep an eye and could surface if he can build off his recent Winter
League success. Likely to begin the spring at Durham, 2009 will be make or
break for his prospect status.
Chris Nowak is the first third baseman to crack the list. Nowak, who has put
up consistently solid numbers since the Rays selected him out of South
Carolina Upstate back in the 2004 draft, was a key offensive force for the
second consecutive year at Double-A Montgomery. He led the Biscuits with an
.857 OPS and finished second on the club with 15 homers and 77 RBIs while
producing a solid line of .295/.381/.486. He then earned a late-summer
promotion to Triple-A Durham, where he hit .315/.394/.352 in a brief 14-game
sample.
Nowak does not have any tools that stand out, but he has excellent strike
zone awareness; he posted rates of 10.7 BB% and 16.9 K% in 461 at-bats. He is
a mediocre defender at third base, though, and it does not seem likely that
he will be able to remain at the position full time at the highest level—at
least not with the Rays, of course, as Evan Longoria has the position on lock
down well into the next decade. While Nowak will likely surface in the majors
at some point, he profiles as a role player. Look for him to begin ’09 at
Durham, where he is penciled in as the Bulls’ everyday third baseman.
Martinez is similar to Hughes, as he has put up strong stat lines during his
professional career while playing against younger competition. A 27th-round
pick back in 2001, he has seemingly been in the organization forever at this
point and has yet to receive an at-bat in Triple-A.
Martinez has had some success during his slow rise through the system, but he
spent his fourth consecutive season at the Double-A level again in 2008.
While he lead Montgomery with 20 homers, 93 RBIs and 230 total bases, his
rate stats left a bit to be desired; he finished with a line of
.276/.343/.450. His strike zone awareness is fairly poor as well, evident by
his .06 BB/K ratio (107-to-49) and 8.6 BB%.
Martinez, getting up there in years, has a limited ceiling and will lose the
prospect label sometime in the future. Once considered one of the most
promising hitters in the organization, odds are against him from emerging
with the Rays. He is slow, limited defensively and is a fairly
one-dimensional player overall. He is a nice bat to have in the system, but
it is unrealistic to expect a breakout at this point.
Burt Reynolds—no, this is not a joke that it is really his name—rounds out
the top five. Reynolds, drafted by the Washington Nationals back in 2006,
signed a minor league contract with the Rays in spring training after
spending the last two seasons at Okaloosa-Walton Community College in
Florida. A third baseman by trade, the Dominican native has a big-time arm,
according to reports, and power potential.
Reynolds put up a solid line in his debut at Rookie Level Princeton, batting
.289/.344/.444 with six home runs and 37 RBIs. His approach left a bit to be
desired, though, as he produced rates of 6.8 BB% and 30.2 K% (70 Ks in 58
games). He is still raw at this point and it will be interesting to see how
he handles more advanced pitching, but the 20-year-old infielder has some
solid skills and is a prospect to watch as he continues to develop. It should
not be all that difficult to remember his name, at least.
Greg Sexton is next up. Sexton, another William and Mary product, hit for a
high average in his first test at full-season ball in the South Atlantic
League. The Rays’ 10th-round pick in the 2007 draft, he led the Columbus
Catfish in several offensive categories, including batting average (.294),
doubles (32), hits (144) and RBIs (87). A key offensive player who delivered
several key hits for the Catfish, he batted .341/.373/.485 in 264 at-bats
with men on base, with the mark rising to .346/.376/.503 with runners in
scoring position.
Sexton left a bit to be desired with his approach, however, and finished with
71 strikeouts against 23 walks in a team-leading 490 at-bats. He produced
only a 4.5 BB% rate, which is the reason for the minimal gap between his
batting average and .331 OBP. He hit just seven home runs as well,
registering a fairly low .120 ISO mark.
Sexton, who put up a line of .256/.318/.358/.676 OPS at Hudson Valley in his
pro debut in ’07, has some other weaknesses as well. Other knocks against
him include his lack of foot speed—less-than-stellar 60-yard dash time,
thrown out in seven out of 10 stolen base attempts—and below-average defense
at third base. He made 20 errors at the position while showing limited range.
He is a nice player who gets the most out of his tools, though it is
imperative for him to become more patient and improve his on-base skills to
keep rising in this organization. In addition, if the power does not come
eventually, it is a long shot that he will be able to remain at a corner
infield spot as he moves up the system.
Eli Sonoqui permanently etched his name in the Princeton Devil Rays’ record
books this summer. This is not necessarily a good thing, though. Sonoqui
returned to Rookie Ball for the third time, which is a red flag on its own
(though he has been bothered by injuries). He finished with a line of
.269/.340/.365 with three home runs and 29 RBIs. The former ninth-rounder
struck out in 33.3 percent of his plate appearances, however, while producing
a 9.1 BB% rate. There is a long way to go in his development, but he has some
power potential.
1. Mike Sheridan, 1B
2. Rhyne Hughes, 1B
3. Chris Nowak, 3B
4. Gabriel Martinez, 1B
5. Burt Reynolds, 3B
6. Greg Sexton, 3B
7. Eli Sonoqui, 1B
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