[Note] 關於光芒未來進攻的展望 （1）捕手
這是一篇國外的分析 個人覺得分析不錯
就分享給大家好嚕
原文出處：http://ppt.cc/Ug5-
以下擷取主要內容 簡略翻譯 如果有翻的不好請多多指正
本篇主要在談討光芒未來的打線
有些小聯盟的選手後面會直接標明現在所處的層級
捕手
Robinson Chirinos has gotten off to a slow start with Durham, but hit well in
the spring and could reasonably be expected to hold his own in the majors if
forced up today. Turning 27 in June, he's pretty much done developing in the
traditional sense, but with only 174 games behind the plate (having just
recently switched from shortstop to catcher), is still working working on the
finer points of catching. Because of his age, there aren't any concerns about
service time or his arbitration clock and he should make it to St. Pete this
summer (especially if the Rays can find a taker for Kelly Shoppach).
How much help Chirinos would bring to the offense is a bit of a mystery. He
didn't hit much at all as an infielder, but his bat oddly took off when he
converted to catcher. He tore the cover off the ball the past two seasons at
high-A and double-A, but he lacks the elite hitting tools to put those kinds
of numbers up in the majors. Like John Jaso, he has shown a good eye at the
plate (.102 and .090 IsoD the past two seasons), but Chirinos is considered
to have better hitting ability than Jaso, making his game less exploitable.
It's worth mentioning that Jaso did hit .316/.408 (BA/OBP) at double-A, not
too far off what Chirinos did, though Chirinos hit for better power and is
the (much) better defender
Robinson Chirinos在3A公牛緩慢開始的先發成績，但是他春訓優異的成績卻仍是光芒
在捕手面臨問題叫上大聯盟的首選。他在六月要年滿27，這是傳統認識新秀已完成發展
的觀點，但考慮他從游擊轉往捕手只打了174場，對於捕手的工作仍存有進步的空間，如
果不考量光芒能使用他的時間或薪資仲裁的考量，他可能會在夏天來到聖彼得堡(TB)，
特別在如果光芒能將Kelly Shoppach交易出去。
Chirinos能為隊上的攻擊帶來多少貢獻難以估計。當他作為一個內野手他的打擊不盡想，
他轉往捕手打擊才開竅。他不再被球所困惑在過去兩季在小熊的A＋＆2A，但他缺少菁英
的打擊工具去讓這些數據成長表現在MLB。Chirinos與Jaso一樣都有選球眼(過去兩季IsoD*
0.102和0.090)，但Chirinos被視為擁有打擊能力甚於Jaso，Chirino這些的數據的場次較
Jaso為少。可以注意到的Jaso打出0.316/0.408(打擊率/上壘率)在2A，與Chirinos的打擊
數據不遑多讓，然而Chirino卻擁有較好的砲瓦與成為較佳的防守者。
按：IsoD= 上壘率(OBP) - 打擊率(AVG) 通常可視為一位打者的選球能力的指標
Nevin Ashley and Jose Lobaton are on the 40-man roster but are known for
their defensive acumen. Stephen Vogt led the Florida State League in OPS last
season, but he was quite old for the league and has only been a part-time
catcher in the minors because of his defense.
Nevin Ashley(2A)和Jose Lobaton(3A)在40名單，主要是由於他們防守的聰明。Stephen
Vogt(2A)在去年佛羅里達聯盟(A+)打出領先的OPS成績，但他的年紀在這聯盟有點過老和
他已經僅是一個兼職的捕手在小聯盟中因為他的防守問題。
The next great hope would be Luke Bailey, the fourth-round pick in 2009.
Projected as a first-rounder before Tommy John surgery put him on the shelf,
Bailey impressed enough to jump from the GCL (where he hit .182) to
full-season ball. He has good raw power and has shown he can work a walk, but
still needs to tighten his strike zone and cut down on his swings and misses
to help that power show up in games. He's hit well in the enormous sample
size of five games, but unless he keeps up the 1.276 OPS, he'll spend the
entire year with Bowling Green. He's athletic but like all young catchers
will be moved along slowly so that his glove doesn't become a liability. The
realistic best-case scenario that he moves one level at a time and would be
ready in September of 2014.
下一個重要希望Luke Bailey(A)，2009年第4輪。本來預期有可能成為第一輪的球員在
知道要動Tommy John手術前。Bailey被強制跳級儘管他在GCL短期聯盟(BA0.182)一季糟
糕的表現。他有很好的自然砲瓦，也顯示他有凹保送的能力，但他可以縮小他的好球帶
，縮短他的揮棒軌跡，這可幫助他的砲瓦在比賽中展現。目前在A小樣本的5場比賽打出
驚人的1.276 OPS的誇張數據，除非他能維持這種數據，不然他將會在Bowling Green打
滿整賽季。他具有運動員的身手，但像所有的年輕捕手一樣將會要求緩慢向前如此可以
讓他的手套避免成為一個不利因素。(以上這句不太懂意思)這實際可行的最好的劇本將
是他有按層級的移動，他將會在2014年9月左右能準備好上MLB。
The Rays invested heavily in a catcher again in 2010, selecting Justin
O'Conner at the end of the first round with the compensation pick they got
for not signing Levon Washington. O'Conner is sort of a boom-or-bust guy,
even accounting for the built-in unpredictability of projecting short-season
catchers. He's got two tools in his power and arm that are potential
plus-plus assets, but there are questions about his pure hitting ability.
He's never going to be a .300-type guy, but can he hit .260-.280 to make the
power usable? He showed he had a decent idea at the plate in his debut (.090
IsoD) but struck out roughly once per game. He figures to trail Bailey by a
level through the system, so Bowling Green in 2012 and on the cusp of the
majors in late 2015/early 2016.
光芒再一次重要投資在捕手在2010年，選擇Justin O'Conner在第一輪的最後，由於2009
第一輪Levon Washington沒簽下的補償選秀權。O'Conner是砲聲隆隆的小子，即使他的
成績來自嵌入不可預測性的計畫性短期賽季的捕手。他展現兩個重要的工具在砲瓦和手
臂上，被評為plus-plus的才能，但仍存有問題在他的純粹打擊能力上。他從來就不會成
為一個3成以上的打者形態，但是他能夠打出BA0.26-0.28來讓他的砲瓦看起來可用？他
展現很好的本壘板紀律（選球能力）(IsoD0.090)，但他被三振幾乎每場一次。他會跟在
Bailey之後的層級在我們的農場體系中，所以可以預估在2012年來到Bowling Green(A)，
預期在2015年晚期或2016年初期能準備好上MLB。
翻譯果然好難 先翻完捕手就累了
ckevient 認真翻譯 只好好好修飾一下翻譯@@"
應該還會有些問題 希望大家不要見笑就是
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