[農場] Prospect A to Z Day 2: Blake Snell

看板Rays作者csy1911 (招財貓)時間13年前 (2011/10/20 15:47)推噓10(10推 0噓 14→)

留言24則, 5人參與討論串1/1

Prospect A to Z 系列專題來到第二天，"B"的主角是今年籤海中選進的左投新秀Blake Snell，在新人聯盟也有不錯的表現，讓我們來看看作者對他的評價吧！ I don't actually have a whole lot to say about Blake Snell. I picked him for the letter B because I want to talk about high school pitching in general, but let's start with Snell's season. He was one the Rays gazillion supplemental picks, 52nd overall. The left-hander signed quickly and got into 11 games for the GCL Rays, pitching 26.1 innings. 其實我對Blake Snell無法做出太多評價。我選擇他做為字母"B"的代表，是因為我想大略聊聊高中投手，來看看Snell的新秀賽季吧！他是今年光芒眾多補償選秀中的一員，在第一輪52順位被選中，這位左投很快就被簽下，並為GCL Rays投了26.1局。 26.1 innings in the lowest level of the minors hardly means much, but he did strike out just under a batter per inning (26) and walked an acceptable 11. He's tall and lean at 6-4/180 but there's some questions about his true projectability because his frame doesn't look to allow for much more weight to be added. Then again, his fastball is in the 88-92 mph range as is, touching 94, so he's not hurting too badly there. As with almost all high school pitcher, the development of his secondary stuff -- and his ability to locate -- is key. He'll start the year in extended spring training and likely pitch with Princeton in 2012. 在最低階的聯盟投上26.1局並無法意味什麼，但他幾乎每局就能三振一位打者（26），保送的次數也還能被接受（11），擁有6-4/180的身材，但他仍被預期存在一些問題，因為他的肩寬太窄，使他看起來沒有太多長肉的空間。話說回來，他的直球大約在88-92mph 之間，最高可達94mph，看來並不造成太多困擾。跟大多數高中投手一樣，他成功的關鍵在於第二球種的養成與把球控制在好的進壘點的能力。他明年球季將從延長春訓開始，接下來應該會加入Princeton。 The Rays, of course, had 12 of the first 89 picks in 2012. Snell was one of just two high school pitchers in that group (the other was Taylor Guerrieri). In fact, after Snell, the next high school pitcher selected was Jacob Faria in the 10th round. This isn't really a new trend for the Rays. Here's the list of high school pitching drafted (in the first 25 rounds) and signed going back to 2008: 光芒在今年選秀會中，前89個選秀權裡擁有12個。Snell在這12人中，是僅有的兩位高中投手之一（另一位是我們家的狀元郎Taylor Guerrieri）。事實上，下一個被選中的高中投手是第十輪的Jacob Faria。這不是光芒隊新的選秀策略，下面我整理出一份從2008年以來高中投手被選中且簽約的名單（前25輪）：選秀年份：被選球員（選秀輪次） 2008: Kyle Lobstein (2); Shawn Smith (9); Bradley Furdal (11); Jason McEachern (13); Trevor Shull (19) 2009: Kevin James (9); Andrew Bellatti (12); Jacob Partridge (18) 2010: Ian Kendall (5); Brandon Henderson (15); Matt Spann (25) Now, just because you aren't drafting high school pitching highly doesn't mean you won't get a star (see: Matt Moore, eighth round) but clearly the Rays haven't placed a premium on it, especially in the last three years. The ones taken in the top 10 rounds have especially disappointed: Lobstein never re-gained his fastball, Shawn Smith has totaled 67 innings in three years due to injuries and personal issues, and Kevin James has walked more than a hitter per inning. 沒在高順位選中高中投手，並不意味著就不能養出一位明星球員（例如第八輪的Matt Moore），但光芒明顯不再倚賴高中投手，尤其是最近三年，Lobstein從未重新找回他的快速球；Shawn Smith這三年因為傷病與個人因素只投了67局；Kevin James則是保送比投球局數還多。 As a result, the pitching depth at the lower levels is lacking. McEachern, Henderson, Spann, Bellatti, and Partridge are all somewhat intriguing, but only Guerrieri is on the level that Wade Davis, Jake McGee, Jeremy Hellickson, Matt Moore, and Nick Barnese (along with some flameouts like Matt Walker) were at as short-season pitchers. Enny Romero and Felipe Rivero have been nice international finds. 因此，低階聯盟的相當缺乏投手深度，McEachern、Henderson、Spann、Bellatti和 Partridge的實力不明，只有Guerrieri的在短期比賽的投球等級較接近Wade Davis、 Jake McGee、Jeremy Hellickson、Matt Moore和Nick Barnese（與一些突然遇到瓶頸的投手，如：Matt Walker），Enny Romero和Felipe Rivero則是國際新秀中不錯的收穫。 My point? The pitching depth in the low levels is as weak as it's been for at least a few years. The Rays haven't drafted high school pitching as much and no lower-ceiling college picks have broken out (Merrill Kelly, Shane Dyer, Devin Fuller) although they've recently gotten Jesse Hahn and Ryan Carpenter, who don't fit that mold. 你問我的看法？至少最近這幾年低階聯盟的投手深度是相當缺乏的。光芒不像過去選了這麼多高中投手，天花板比較低的投手也沒有破繭而出（Merrill Kelly、Shane Dyer、 Devin Fuller），僅管最近獲得了Jesse Hahn和Ryan Carpenter，但他們仍未符合標準。 If the bats they'd been drafting instead had worked out, then maybe this isn't an issue. But the organization is thin between the guys at the top (Tim Beckham, Hak-Ju Lee, Brandon Guyer) and the players several years away (Drew Vettleson et al from the 2010 draft). This means the team might need Snell (or Spann or Henderson etc) to work out more than you might think. 如果過去幾年選中的幾位打者已有不錯的表現，那可能就不是什麼大問題。但高階農場（Tim Beckham、Hak-Ju Lee、Brandon Guyer）和還需等待幾年成長的球員（Drew Vettleson等2010選秀球員）之間有很大的斷層。這意味著球隊需要Snell、Spann、 Henderson等球員有超乎預期的成長。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.118.6.244

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