[農場] Prospect A to Z Day 11: Kyeong Kang and David Kubiak

看板Rays作者csy1911 (招財貓)時間13年前 (2011/11/06 01:48)推噓1(1推 0噓 2→)

留言3則, 1人參與討論串1/1

Prospect A to Z 來到第11天，字母K，今天一共要介紹兩位新秀，剛好是一投一打，分別是06年第15輪選中的外野手-Kyeong Kang；今年36輪選中的右投手-David Kubiak，兩位選秀輪次都不算高，但今年表現還不差，讓我們來看看兩位評價如何吧！ Kyeong Kang I have always liked Kyeong Kang as a prospect. Positional players who don't have a real weakness and who have a solid approach at the plate intrigue me. They don't even have to have one or more standout tools. And that is exactly what Kyeong Kang is. An outfield prospect with no real weaknesses, a good approach at the plate and no plus tool, but solid tools across the board. 我一直都很喜歡Kyeong Kang這位新秀。多守位的球員，沒有明顯缺點，在打擊區不錯的表現，讓我相當感興趣。兩位新秀都沒有很突出的工具，Kyeong Kang更是如此。一位沒有明顯缺點的外野新秀，能在打擊區有所貢獻，沒有水準以上的工具，但具備全面且紮實的技能。 Lets analyse his tools a bit over time. As he started playing in the Rays system in '07 (drafted in '06) I have 5 seasons of data to rely on: 讓我們來分析他的能力吧！從'07（'06被選中）進入光芒農場系統開始，我手邊有五個賽季的資料可以參考： │Overall│ Hit │ EYE │POWER│ RUNS Years│ wOBA │ Avg │ BB% K% K/BB│ ISO │SB CS CHANCE SB% CS% │ │ │ │ │ │ │ 2007│ 0.349 │0.276│ 8.7 19.3 2.218│0.157│ 3 3 70 4.29% 50.0%│ 2008│ 0.364 │0.278│ 7.0 21.8 3.114│0.186│ 6 2 86 6.98% 25.0%│ 2009│ 0.401 │0.307│11.0 20.4 1.855│0.184│10 5 126 7.94% 33.3%│ 2010│ 0.299 │0.241│11.0 24.4 2.218│0.074│ 2 4 80 2.50% 66.7%│ 2011│ 0.375 │0.263│13.8 22.1 1.601│0.174│ 6 3 97 6.19% 33.3%│ Usually players without plus tools (or players who can't put their tools together) degress when they move up the minor league levels. Especially their batting average decreases and their strikout-rate increases. Players with plus tools, however, often even get stronger with the competition. They distinguish themselves from the rest by keeping their batting average high and not striking out more despite better competition. Kyeong Kang always has been a tweener. If everything falls into place he could have enough tools to climb the latter and make it to the bigs but if he doesn't progress to his full potential he won't make it to the bigs. In the first three years of his career he was developing very well. His hit tool seemed to take off with better competition, he refined his already above average approach at the plate, he developed solid power and even used his run tool at the basepaths. 通常沒有好的工具或無法善用的球員，數據會在升級時慢慢退步；有好工具的球員，則會因為競爭強度的提升而成長。區別在於能否在升級同時，維持高打擊率，並避免被三振。Kang則在兩個類型之間。如果發展順利，將具備向大聯盟邁進的技能，如果潛力沒有進一步的開發，將無法成為大聯盟的一員。前三年的成長相當理想，打擊技巧逐年進步，精進了已在水準之上的打擊能力，培養出紮實的力量，甚至在壘包間展現速度。 In '10, however, after moving up to Port Charlotte (and after moving up the prospect chart from being the Rays' 6th best MiL hitting prospect after '08 to #4 after '09) he seemed to hit a wall. His power and batting average diminished while his strikeout rate increased. The usual symptoms for players who are not talented enough for the competition. On the other side, you can't write off a promising prospect after one bad year. Kevin and I wrote that he has enough tools but that he needs to completely develop them (okay contact skills, developing power potential, good eye, decent speed) in order to become a major league player. 但在'10年升上A+後（當年也在Top15 Hitter評比中，也從前一年的#6升到#4。），似乎遇到撞牆期。不但長打和打擊率下滑，被三振率也上升了。這樣的情況常會發生在對於天份不足的球員上。但也不能僅因為一個失敗的賽季否定一位球員。他具備足夠的工具，但如果要成為一位大聯盟球員，還需要將它們完全開發（不錯的擊球技巧、進步中的長打潛力、好的選球能力與合格的速度）。 And that is what we saw this year. His approach at the plate is better than it's ever been while his power increased to the solid value it had before. His only average hit tool, however, seems to hold him back. And that very much is the key to Mr. Kang's future as a baseball player. If he can develop it enough to keep on hitting in the .260-.270 range, then he can make it to the bigs. If not, then he won't make it as the lack of a plus tool can't overcome a low batting average. 接下來就是我們今年所看到的他了。因為找回以往的長打能力，在打擊區的貢獻比去年好。但平均的打擊工具限制了他的表現，而這絕對是未來Kyeong Kang能否成為出色棒球員的關鍵。如果能把打擊率維持在.260-.270之間，他將能向大聯盟叩關。如果沒有，因為缺乏水準之上的工具來彌補低打擊率，他將無法找到屬於自己的位置。 David Kubiak In response to a reader request, I'm also taking a short (couldn't find all that much about him) look at David Kubiak. Kubiak was drafted in the 36th round of the '11 player draft (out of University of Albany). He is a very tall pitcher (6 foot 7) who pitched well in his pro debut (25.1 IP, 12.8 K/9, 1.4 BB/9, 9.2 H/9, 3.26 ERA, 3.36 FIP). 應讀者要求，接下來我會簡單分析一下David Kubiak。Kubiak來自Albany大學，在'11年第36輪被選中。這位高大的投手（6'7"）在職業賽場的第一個賽季，交出不錯的投球內容（25.1局，12.8 K/9，1.4 BB/9，9.2 H/9，3.26 ERA，3.36 FIP）。 While being used as a reliever in Princeton and Port Charlotte, Kubiak is used to a starting role. He set career highs for the University of Albany in innings pitched and strikeouts. So, the workload doesn't seem to be a problem. He is a hard worker who loves to play baseball and who wants to improve everyday. He tries to play the game the right way and he is eager to learn how to pitch intelligently and successfully. 雖然在Princeton和GCL Rays是擔任後援投手，Kubiak過去是以先發的角色出賽。身為 Albany大學投球局數與三振的記錄保持人，目前負擔不算太重。認真的球員，樂在其中且希望每天都有進步。以正確的方法對待比賽，渴望學習聰明且成功的投球。 With the abundance of mid-to-high 90s heat, his success comes from pitching to contact. Not having mid-90s heat right now, however, doesn't mean that he can't have it in the future. Reports (from 2006, 2010 and 2011) indicate that he should be able to add some strength to his frame. This could result in some extra-miles on his fastball, immidiately making it more probable for him to succeed as a pitcher. I'm looking forward to seeing him develop in the coming years. 在大量球速在mid-to-high 90s的投手中，Kubiak成功在於讓對手打不好。速球現在不到mid-90s，但並不表示未來就做不到。球探報告指出，他需要增重，使他在球速上有所提升，作為投手較有可能立即取得成功（做為野手，Kubiak的守位是1B）。期待他未來幾年的發展。註：在今年的選秀報告中有提到，除了low 90s的速球，Kubiak有顆88mph左右的sinker ，變速球和曲球是另外兩種比較擅長的球種，具備三振能力，但基本屬於滾地球投手。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 1.161.240.109 ※ 編輯: csy1911 來自: 1.161.240.109 (11/06 01:58)