[農場] 分析AFL的入選選手~~打者篇

看板Rays作者srysry (瀟湘夜雨)時間13年前 (2012/09/02 21:15)推噓2(2推 0噓 3→)

留言5則, 3人參與討論串1/1

原文出處：http://ppt.cc/~pTO 因為不太相信自己的翻譯附上原文翻譯若有錯誤也請告知就是多謝 The Rays have named the players who they will send to the Arizona Fall League this fall following the end of the 2012 minor league season. Here are those players along with relevant statistics and scouting information. All the players mentioned will play for the Phoenix Desert Dogs in the AFL. 所有光芒的小聯盟將會到AFL中的Phoenix Desert Dogs報到。案：該文的作者寫作時間未必就是現在的數據，僅供參考而已。 1. SS Hak-Ju Lee One of the Rays’ top prospects, Lee, 21, put together a solid season for the Double-A Montgomery Biscuits in 2012, posting a .261/.336/.360 line with 15 doubles, 10 triples, 4 homers, 37 RBI, 37 steals in 46 attempts, and a 102-51 strikeout to walk ratio in 116 games and 534 plate appearances. That comes one year after Lee posted a .292/.365/.416 line between High-A and Double-A in 2011. Lee has been out since August 18th with an oblique injury and he will make up the playing time in the AFL. Lee, who is 6’2〃 and 170 pounds, stands out most for his blazing speed, which he uses superbly defensively to make staggering plays look easy, and which he also has learned to use well on the basepaths and to beat out bunts. The major question with Lee is his hitting. Lee looks like he should hit for some power but that isn’t the case at all right now. Lee shows good bat speed but swings and misses too often for a player who doesn’t hit for power and his plate discipline is solid but not great. The good news with Lee is that he does square balls up, although mostly for singles at this point, and in any event his speed will allow him to manage at least a decent batting average thanks to his ability to beat out bunts and groundballs. Lee’s defensive ability and speed are tremendous and the Rays hope that Lee can continue to work on his hitting in the AFL to round out his excellent package of tools as a shortstop prospect. Lee今年21歲在2A穩定的表現，出賽116場534個PA中繳出.261/.336/.360，15支2壘打，10 支3壘打，46嘗試盜壘成功37次，K/BB=102/51。去年他在A+和2A的表現.292/.365/.416。他從8月18日因為oblique（腹部斜肌）進入傷兵名單，所以將會前往AFL補足出賽。Lee有 6呎2吋170磅的體格，他的移動速令人印象深刻，因此讓許多困難的守備變成簡單，但需要將這種速度運用在壘包間的推進與突襲短打上。他面臨的問題主要仍在打擊，打擊問題並不全然在砲瓦，Lee展現優異的揮棒速度，但時常揮空棒（相對在沒砲瓦的打者中），他的選球能力很穩固，但還稱不上傑出。但好消息他能確切的擊中球，造成大量的1壘打，而藉由他的速度有機會成為一個傑出打擊率的打者，充分利用他的能力在突襲短打與滾地球上。Lee作為未來的SS新星，Rays希望他能在AFL持續保持好表現，發揮他的打擊工具。 2. SS/2B Tim Beckham The number one overall pick by the Rays back in 2008, Beckham was suspended 50 games in 2012 for a second positive test for a drug of abuse (not performance-enhancing drugs) and will try to make up for the lost time by heading to the Arizona Fall League for the second straight year. Beckham has posted a .259/.330/.373 line in 59 games and 300 plate appearances in 2012 with 10 doubles, 6 homers, 28 RBI, 5 of 5 stolen bases, and 64 strikeouts against 28 walks. Good news was that in addition to playing 43 games at shortstop (and struggling), Beckham also got into 24 games at second base (where he also still needs work), the first time he has ever played the position as a pro. Beckham, 6’0〃, 190, was the number one overall pick back in ’08 thanks to his 5-tool potential, but it looks like that's never going to happen. Beckham’s only sure plus tool is his arm strength. He has above-average speed but is by no means a burner, and he still needs work using his speed on the basepaths. He shows good bat speed, but he still struggles against offspeed pitches and is overaggressive at the plate. That overaggressiveness makes it hard for him to barrel the ball and saps him of most of the power he still has. And defensively, he has good range at shortstop to go along with his arm strength but he doesn’t have smooth actions and probably is a better fit long-term at second base. Beckham will get a lot of work at second base in the AFL, often with Lee as his double play partner. Beckham may be at Triple-A but has a lot of things to work on moving forward and hopefully we’ll see progress from him in Arizona. Beckham作為2008當年度的選秀狀元，但2012開賽後因為藥物檢測（非影響表現藥物）呈現陽性而被禁賽50場，所以前往AFL也是補足出賽。Beckham在2012的成績，59場300PA中，打出259/.330/.373，10支2壘打，6發全壘打，打點28，5次嘗試盜壘皆成功， K/BB=64/28。他今年43場守游擊的比賽，守得七零八落，但在2壘嘗試守備24場，今年是他轉職業第一年嘗試守2B，需藉由出賽場次來習慣這個守位。6呎190磅的體格，被認為具有五拍子的潛力，但目前表現似乎名不符實。他有平均以上的速度但不熱中盜壘，但在壘間的推進仍然需要有跑速。展現很好的揮棒速度，但苦於面對速差的投球，並且揮棒容易過度躁進。這種過度躁進的打擊現象，造成他揮擊砲管堵塞無法充分展現砲瓦。他防守SS具有好的範圍，但他的臂力造成他傳球不順暢，所以可能比較適合Beckham的守位還是在2B。在AFL可望與Lee形成二游搭檔，另外他在3A的發展也會透過AFL的表現再做進一步發展。 3. OF Kevin Kiermaier Kiermaier, 22, was the Rays’ 31st round pick back in 2010, although he signed for an above-slot $75,000 bonus. Kiermaier missed most of 2012 thanks to a couple of stints in the DL, posting a .264/.366/.371 line with 7 doubles, 6 triples, 12 RBI, 10 of 14 stolen bases, and 38 strikeouts versus 26 walks in 56 games and 209 plate appearances at High-A Charlotte (he also played 2 rehab games with the Rookie GCL Rays). Kiermaier stands out most for his plus speed which he uses well on the basepaths and in the outfield. He also has an above-average arm for a centerfielder. The problem is Kiermaier’ s hit tool. Kiermaier makes a solid amount of contact and has good plate discipline, but he has very little power and depends heavily on beating out bunts and groundballs to hit for average. Kiermaier has a good fourth outfielder skillset, but the Rays would like if he could hit the ball with a little authority. He has shown the ability to hit a decent amount of line drive singles, and at 6’1〃, 200, he looks like he should hit for at least gap power. Kiermaier will work on bringing out that power during his stint in the AFL. Kiermaier，22歲，是光芒2010年第31輪選進的選手，他的簽約金是平均價75K。他錯過 2012年大部分的比賽，主要是因為他都在DL名單中。2012年主要在A+出賽（有2場復健賽在GCL出賽），出賽56場，PA206，打出.264/.366/.371的成績，7支2壘打，6支3壘打，打點12，14次嘗試盜壘成功10次，K/B=38/26。他具有平均以上的速度可用在壘間推進與防守，以中外野手來論他有平均以上的臂力。Kiermaier的問題是在他的打擊工具，他能有效的揮擊並有很好的選球能力，但他缺少砲瓦，強烈需要藉由偷襲的短打或者滾地球來維持他的打擊率。他有成為4th OF的天分，但是Rays將會希望他在打擊能夠有發揮。他已經有能力去打出一定數量的平飛球，他6呎1吋200磅的身材，他看起來似乎有機會至少長出gap power（打向大空檔的長打能力），他也是藉由AFL來補充他少出賽的場次。按：今年9月因為3A拉上不少人支援MLB，所以Kiermaier也被拉上3A代班幾場。 4. 3B Richie Shaffer And the final player the Rays will send to the Arizona Fall League is their 2012 first round pick, 21 year old third baseman Richie Shaffer. Shaffer has played pretty well albeit in a brief stint at Short Season-A Hudson Valley, posting a .301/.389/.430 line with 3 doubles, 3 homers, 20 RBI, and 25 strikeouts versus 12 walks in 26 games and 108 plate appearances. Shaffer has played well, but he has mostly been a singles hitter and has struck out too often as he adjusts to the pro game. Shaffer stands out most for his big-time power, although it hasn’t come out yet, and his plate discipline. Shaffer has hit the ball hard at Hudson Valley, posting a 20.3% line drive rate according to Minor League Central compared to the 15.7% league average, but most of those line drives have gone for singles. A big reason for that is that Shaffer has been a little tentative, not walking as often as he could and swinging and missing too often. But the great thing is that this is all nitpicking. It’s hard to complain about Shaffer’s .301 average, .389 OBP, and .819 OPS in his pro debut! Defensively, Shaffer may not be able to stay at third base despite being athletic for someone who is 6’3〃 and 210 pounds, but he profiles well both in right field thanks to great arm strength and also at first base, where he should be able to profile very well thanks to his power. Shaffer will be a taxi-squad player, meaning he can only play on Wednesdays and Saturdays, but he will take some AFL hacks and look to bring out the prolific power we know he has. Shaffer 是最後一個打入選AFL的選手（我按打者、投手順序，與原文略有出入，但他是打AFL選手中層級最低），21歲，他是2012年第1輪選進的選手。雖然在今年受到限制的出賽，在短期1A聯盟出賽26場，108PA，打出.301/.389/.430，3支2B，3支全壘打，20分打點，K/BB=25/12。打得相當出色，但似乎是個1B製造者，和太容易被K，這是他轉為職業選手出現的缺點。他被期待是他的砲瓦，目前還沒有充分展現，並且他的選球能力也不錯。在短期1A的比賽中顯現他高於聯盟平均的平飛球製造率（根據Minor League Central 網站），作者認為是Shaffer打擊太過躊躇，這也讓他揮棒與K的比率偏高。作為剛入職業的菜鳥，Shaffer打的很出色。他被認為可能無法留在3B守備由於他的運動性不夠，由於他6呎3吋210磅的身材，他的臂力或許可勝任RF守備的要求和1B的守備工作，另外部分原因是由於他的砲瓦潛力，Shaffer在秋季要參加taxi-squad，所以他只有星期三和星期六能夠參與秋聯的比賽，相信他的砲瓦會讓人印象深刻。 -- -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 111.251.157.164