[Note] Fangraphs Rays Top 15 Prospect (#10-15)
最後#10-15一起貼
這篇文我喜歡它比較多球探的個人意見 比起直接抄球探報告感覺上能知道更多
#10 Felipe Rivero (P)
Age G GS IP H HR K/9 BB/9 ERA FIP
20 27 21 113.1 115 5 7.78 2.30 3.41 2.97
Rivero, 21, is quickly rising up the pitching depth charts in the Rays
system. Although he's rail-thin, the southpaw can already hump his heater up
into the 90-94 mph range and backs it up with a promising curveball and
developing changeup. Rivero has an easy delivery and his low-three-quarter
arm slot is almost side-arm. A contract I spoke with said the prospect has a
“lightning-quick arm.”
When I saw him pitch he was working well down in the zone but got hit hard
when he elevated. His changeup had definite potential but he telegraphed it
by slowing his arm speed. Rivero did a nice job of using his fastball early
in the count to get ahead and then using his breaking ball to get hitters
chasing. The Venezuelan left-hander got off the mound well to field the ball
or cover first base and showed his solid athleticism.
Rivero has above-average control and almost doubled his ground-ball rate over
2011. He also almost doubled his innings total for 113.1 innings last season.
The talent evaluator I spoke with said Rivero is still learning to pitch and
needs to improve his command and develop a more advanced plan for setting up
hitters. The lefty will move up to high-A ball in 2013 and could be ready for
the majors by mid-to-late 2015.
#11 Blake Snell (P)
Age G GS IP H HR K/9 BB/9 ERA FIP
19 11 11 47.1 34 4 10.08 3.23 2.09 3.39
Snell, 20, was one of the Rays' 10 picks prior to the second round of the
2011 draft. Drafted out of Washington state, the left-hander is still
developing but a contact I spoke with said the prospect is intriguing thanks
to his solid delivery, good arm action and the way the ball comes out of his
hand. “He has a very high ceiling. He has all the things you look for.”
Snell has a four-pitch repertoire with an 88-93 mph fastball,
potentially-plus slider and two other pitches currently below-average: a
curveball and changeup. He uses his size well to get a downward plane on his
pitches, which helps him induce above-average ground-ball rates.
The contact said the keys for Snell to reach his potential are to add
strength and stay healthy while continuing to mature. “All young players
need to learn to be professionals,” he said. With that said, Snell is
dedicated to the game. “He likes what he's doing… He loves being a
professional,” the contact said. The southpaw pitched just 47 innings in
2012 so don't expect a full-season assignment right away in 2013. I wouldn't
be surprised to see him start out the year in extended spring training before
moving up to low-A ball in June.
#12 Jake Hager (SS)
Age PA H 2B HR BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG wOBA
19 501 124 22 10 40 60 16 .281 .345 .412 .347
When I first asked a highly-respected talent evaluator about Hager I was told
that he was one of the most intriguing prospects in the system. “He's not on
all the top lists, and he's not a sexy prospect… But if you're going to bet
on a prospect reaching the majors, bet on Hager.” The infielder was one of
the youngest players on the low-A squad in 2012 but he was the undisputed
leader of the club, and was likened to Paul Konerko in his early years. “He
always got it, and could put things into perspective.”
Hager should stick at shortstop thanks to his average speed, decent range,
strong arm and good actions. At the plate, the 19-year-old prospect shows the
ability to hit for a solid average and makes good contact. Hager has room to
add weight/strength to his frame and projects to have 10-15 home run pop. He
has a nice smooth stroke and is not afraid to take the ball where it's
pitched. He needs to become a little more patient at times and clean up his
base running but he's ready for the challenge of high-A.
#13 Jeffrey Ames (P)
Age G GS IP H HR K/9 BB/9 ERA FIP
21 14 13 64.1 44 1 9.79 2.80 2.10 2.62
During my 2011-12 Rays Top 15 list, I chose Ames as the Rays' sleeper
prospect for 2012. After struggling in his debut season in '11, the
hard-throwing right-hander returned to short-season ball and was dominant
with a 1.96 ERA and 70 strikeouts in 64.1 innings (13 starts). His fastball
works in the mid-90s and as a contact put it, “He has a power arm with plus
life and a good body.”
Ames needs to improve his secondary pitches and his command has a ways to go.
He was an extreme-fly-ball pitcher but allowed just one home run. It's
somewhat rare for a legitimate prospect in his early 20s to repeat
short-season ball, but the Rays organization is cautious with its young arms
and Ames entered pro ball as a raw power arm. A talent evaluator I spoke with
said Ames made a lot of strides in 2012 and is a very hard worker with the
makings of a plus slider.
Ames' changeup needs significant work to help him stick in the starting
rotation but the talent evaluator told me that the Rays are committed to him
as a starter and have taken just one pitcher (Lenny Linsky) in the upper
rounds of the amateur draft with the intention of developing him as a
reliever. Ames will move up to A-ball in 2013 and will look to pick up his
developmental pace.
#14 Mikie Mahtook (OF)
Age PA H 2B HR BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG wOBA
22 555 137 25 9 40 102 23 .277 .342 .415 .347
Mahtook was the 31st overall selection of the 2011 amateur draft out of
Louisiana State University, the second of 10 selections the Rays had that
year prior to the second round. A center-fielder in college, the prospect
will play the corner outfield in pro ball but a contact I spoke with said he
could back-up center in a pinch, thanks to his average range and arm.
Mahtook, 22, split 2012 between high-A and double-A and saw his batting
average drop from .290 to .248 but the contact I spoke with felt his
struggles had more to do with him tiring in the second half of his first full
season, as opposed to being over-matched. “He got a little tired at the end…
That first full year is challenging,” he said. “Knowing him… he'll be a
much better hitter [in 2013].” Mahtook hits with a quiet, slightly-open
stance. He has a short swing and uses his hands well — but he's not overly
physical. In one at-bat I watched him get fooled and out on his front foot a
little too early but he still managed to pull the ball past the shortstop for
a single thanks to good hands.
Mahtook has some work to do in the coming year to prove that he can provide
enough offense to be a regular corner outfielder in the majors. He hit just
nine home runs with 40 walks in 131 games. He stole 23 bases — but was
caught nine times — and has slightly-above-average speed. He's a very good
runner under way and gets down the line quickly. The Louisiana native should
return to double-A to open 2013 but could see triple-A by the end of the year.
#15 Tyler Goeddel (3B)
Age PA H 2B HR BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG wOBA
19 379 81 19 6 38 94 30 .246 .335 .371 .329
One of my favorite prep hitters available in the 2011 amateur draft, I was
happy to see Goeddel sign with an organization that has such a good track
record of developing talent. He's a highly-projectable prospect with a body
you can dream on. I preferred his hitting stance as an amateur and it appears
as though the Rays have made some adjustments.
His swing remains very impressive, although it's inconsistent at times and
gets loopy. He also has extraneous movement in his hands during his set-up.
Even with those issues, Goeddel has potentially-plus defense at third base
and could probably play multiple positions in the field thanks to his range,
solid arm strength and above-average speed. His future at third base hinges
on his power developing as average or better for the hot corner.
The organization almost always starts off its prep picks with an assignment
to short-season ball in their first full year, but Goeddel was an exception
and I'm told it was because the club felt so highly about him. “He's truly
an exception with what we've done over the years,” a contact told me. “
There were a lot of things that attracted us to Goeddel… We felt he had
legitimate first-round tools.” He'll likely move up to high-A ball and
should be ready for the majors around late 2015 or '16.
原文連結
http://goo.gl/GRa2R
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