[閒聊] 本季薪資仲裁名單
RCG.com 整理出今年季後薪資仲裁名單,也加入一些作者個人意見,翻出來讓大家
討論討論囉!
A total of eleven Rays may be eligible for the 2014 arbitration class. Eight
are locks. Three are projected to be eligible as super 2’s. If they are a
super 2, they get a fourth year of arbitration. As always, the Rays face
three choices. They can non-tender the player and not offer him a 2014
contract, negotiate a contract with the player and avoid arbitration or go to
arbitration with the player. It’s a tricky game and let’s see how the Rays
might play it.
本季共有11位光芒球員要接受薪資仲裁,其中有3位預計會符合Super 2名單。符合
Super 2資格的球員有4年的仲裁年度。通常光芒會面臨三種選擇。不報價(Non-tender
)、球員提前接受報價續約(Avoid arbitration)和仲裁(Arbitration)(後兩者都
需要事先提出報價(Tender)),這是場有趣的遊戲,讓我們來看看光芒會如何玩這場
遊戲吧!
******
David Price (2013 salary $10.11 million):
This is Price’s third time to arbitration. Even though he had somewhat of
a down year in 2013, he will likely receive about a $5.0 million increase,
making him the highest paid player in Rays history by a wide margin. But
nevertheless, he’s David Price–there’s no question that you tender him
a contract. A much better question is going to be whether the Rays or another
team will be the hook for that money next season. TENDER
這是Price第三次仲裁,雖然今年的表現略有下滑,但依舊有機會獲得$5M的加薪,
成為光芒隊史上最高薪的球員。但他是 David Price,永遠有球隊樂意為他開價。更好
的問題是支付明年薪水的還是光芒嗎?報價
******
Jeff Niemann (2013 salary $3.0 million):
31 starts with a 3.84 ERA and a 139-49 strikeout to walk ratio in 173.1
innings pitched. That sounds like a pretty nice season. But those are
Niemann’s numbers for the last three years combined. Niemann didn’t throw
a pitch in 2013 as his injury problems have progressively gotten worse
the last four years. He missed 20 games with a shoulder injury in 2010,
then 41 games with a back injury in 2011, then 136 with leg and shoulder
injuries in 2012 before upping it to all 162 games in 2013 after shoulder
surgery. As the Rays are stingy with medical reports, we have no idea where
he is in his rehab. Even if he was healthy for spring training, his days in
the rotation are probably over and we all know how it turned out when they
tried to move him to the bullpen . The Rays can’t cut his salary more
than 25% and $2.25 million is too much money for a severe injury risk.
NON-TENDER
31場先發,173.1局交出ERA 3.84,K/BB 139/49的成績聽起來是個非常出色的賽季
,但這是Niemann過去三年帶給光芒的貢獻。Niemann今年整季報銷,而且他的傷病問題
在過去四年似乎越來越糟。2010年因為肩傷錯過20場比賽,2011年因背傷錯過41場比賽
,2012年的腿傷和肩傷讓這個數字來到136場,最後今年的肩傷手術讓他全部162場比賽
都沒為光芒帶來貢獻。因為光芒沒有曝光任何相關的醫療報告,我們無從得知他的復健
進度。就算趕在明年春訓恢復健康,球團可能也傾向將他放在牛棚,能進入輪值的機率
可說是微乎其微。在光芒只能減薪25%,最低只能出到$2.25M 的前提下,這對一個有傷
病困擾的投手來說是過高的代價。不報價
******
Matt Joyce (2013 salary $2.45 million):
The Rays have spent four years trying to make a complete ballplayer out of
Joyce and only in 2011 did he come anywhere close to that expectation.
Joyce has two problems. He couldn’t hit left-handed pitching for his life
and he’s a boom-or-bust guy at the plate even against righties. He has some
talent, but he’s an unreliable hitters and doesn’t provide much in the
field or on the basepaths as well. He will probably see a raise in 2014
and that would be lot of money for the Rays to pay a glorified platoon
player. NON-TENDER
光芒給了 Joyce四年的時間期待他成為一位球技更完整的球員,但只有2011年的表
現比較符合期待。Joyce 有兩個大問題:第一,他不能打左投手;第二,就算是打右投
他的起伏也非常大。他有天分,但他是一位不可靠的打者,跑壘和防守也只有一般水準
。我想光芒不會想在一位被高估的platoon打者身上花太多錢。不報價
******
Wesley Wright (2013 salary $1.03 million):
Coming over late in the season from the Astros, we didn’t get to see a lot
of Wright but from the small sample, he looked pretty good. He’s a
situational lefty, but as long as his salary remains reasonable, he’s a
good deal. He’ll probably get a modest raise in arbitration. TENDER
季末才從太空人加入光芒的Wright,我們無法從小樣本去推定他的未來,但他在這
些小樣本的表現非常好。他只能用來面對特殊情況,但只要他的薪資合理,他還是一個
合理的投資。他的薪資應該會小幅上漲。報價
******
Sean Rodriguez (2013 salary $1.0 million):
The Rays have been trying to develop Rodriguez into at least a poor man’s
Ben Zobrist and they haven’t been very successful. Versatile in the field,
he just doesn’t show much at the plate. A supposed lefty masher,
Rodriguez’s .745 OPS against southpaws was just average and certainly
didn’t make up for his inability to hit righties. The Rays need a right
handed bat off the bench and Rodriguez isn’t that. He will get under $2.0
million this offseaosn, but even for that money you can get a more capable
utility man. NON-TENDER
光芒嘗試著把Rodriguez至少養成窮人版的Ben Zobrist,但這個計畫一直都沒有實
現得很徹底。守位多元但是沒有在打擊區交出令人滿意的成績。做為一位專門面對左投
手的打者,他的OPS .745只不過是平均水準,也無法掩蓋他在面對右投時的弱點。光芒
需要在板凳放一位右打,Rodriguez並不是個好選項。他的薪資不會高於$2.0M,但這個
價格已經可以找個不錯的工具人了。不報價
******
Sam Fuld ($2013 salary $725,000):
What would a Rays season be like without Fuld stealing a base, scoring from
first or making a diving catch in the outfield? I don’t care if he hits
below the Mendoza line–he’s the heart and soul of this team. He’ll make
barely over $1 million next year, and that money doesn’t come close to
matching what he provides the Rays. TENDER
如果沒有Fuld的那次盜壘,光芒的球季會是什麼模樣呢?我不在意他的打擊是否低
於 Mendoza line(BA .200),因為他是這支球隊的心臟和靈魂。下季的薪資應該會接
進1M,以他的表現,這點小錢不算什麼。報價
******
Jeremy Hellickson (2013 salary $503,000):
First time to arbitration for Hellickson, and the timing couldn’t be worse
for him . But even though his 2013 season did not go well, he’s got too
much talent not to keep him around and try to straighten him out. If the Rays
can get him back on track a salarly of a couple million dollars will look
like a steal. TENDER
Hellickson首年仲裁,但沒有比現在更差的時機了。雖然2013賽季表現不佳,他有
足夠的天分去保持狀態並讓自己從困境中脫穎而出。如果光芒能幫助他重回正軌,幾百
萬的投資很值得。報價
******
Cesar Ramos (2013 salary $501,300):
Another player going through arbitration for the first time, Ramos is one
of several relatively young Rays relief pitchers that just can’t put it
together. Sometimes he looks in control and the next times he can’t get
anyone out. He lost Joe Maddon’s confidence to use him in tough situations
and was relegated to the job of mop up man most of the year. Nevertheless,
though, he should still make a six-figure salary next year. next year, and
the Rays will at least give him a chance to stay around. TENDER
另一位首年仲裁的球員,Romos 是幾位還無法各種能力結合在一起的年輕救援投手
之一。他的表現時好時壞。在場面危及的時候,Joe Maddon無法放心的把球交給他,大
多時候他都是扮演長中繼(敗戰處理)的角色。僅管如此,他下季的薪水應該會到六位
數。我想光芒會再給他一次證明自己的機會。報價
******
Jake McGee (2013 salary $506,000):
Arbitration eligible for the first time as a Super Two player, McGee is an
easy decision based on his awesome fastball alone. You just wish he threw
any type of secondary pitch. He’ll upwards of $1 million next year, but he
should be worth it. TENDER
首年仲裁的Super 2球員,McGee優異的速球讓這個決定看起來很簡單。下季薪資應
該會略高於 $1.0M,只要期待他的變化球可以發揮威力,這就是筆划算的投資。報價
******
Jose Lobaton (2013 salary $497,000):
Joining the parade of first-time arbitration-eligible players is Lobaton,
who is another Super Two. Lobaton made great strides behind the plate and
with the bat in 2013. Even after tailing off offensively to end the year,
he still finished with some of the best offensive numbers ever by a Rays
catcher, particularly against right-handed pitching. And behind the plate,
his pitch blocking was particularly impressive. Lobaton ins the best the Rays
have right now and finding a decent catcher at a reasonable price is next to
impossible. A low seven-figure salary will secure the Rays their likely
primary catcher for next season. TENDER
首年仲裁時機來得恰到好處的Lobaton也符合 Super 2的資格。Lobaton今年在本
壘板和打擊區的表現都很不錯。雖然季末的打擊表現有點下滑,但他依舊是光芒難得
有進攻幫助的捕手,尤其是面對右投手。在本壘板後,他的擋球功力讓人印象深刻。
Lobaton 是光芒目前最棒的捕手,也是能以合理價格簽到的合格人選。便宜的七位數
合約可以讓光芒在下季這個位置上有著落,何樂而不為呢?報價
******
Chris Gimenez (2013 salary $.499 million):
The player on this list you would be least likely to think of, Gimenez spent
most of 2013 at Triple-A but is still important in this organization. The
Rays have no catchers in the system that are ready if Lobaton or Molina go
down, meaning Gimenez has to be retained at least through spring training.
Current out of options, Gimenez’s versatility gives him a chance to be the
Rays’ 25th man next season as well. Get hi a modest raise over the minimum
and make sure he stays with the team for now. TENDER
Gimenez 是這名單上很容易被忽略的球員,他整年都在3A出賽,但他對球隊來說依
然有一定的重要性。因為如果 Lobaton或Molina受傷或低潮,光芒農場裡就沒有大聯盟
等級的捕手了。這也意味著 Gimenez必須至少留到明年春訓。目前他在大小聯盟之間遊
走,但他守備的多樣性給他在光芒25人名單生存的理由。比最低薪資稍高的合約就能確
保他留隊。報價
******
In the end, four players–Price, Hellickson , McGee and Lobaton–will
definitely receive tender offers. The other seven are up in the air and it’s
going to be a tricky game. Let’s see how Andrew Friedman handles it.
目前可以確定Price、Hellickson、McGee和Lobaton 一定會收到報價,其他七位球
員在這場遊戲中都還是未知數,讓我們對Andrew Friedman的表現拭目以待吧!
--
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