[農場] 2013 Prospects in Review: Left Field

看板Rays作者csy1911 (招財貓)時間11年前 (2013/11/16 15:19)推噓5(5推 0噓 11→)

留言16則, 4人參與討論串1/1

Link：http://ppt.cc/7Xt0 Left Field The left field profile is very similar to last week's right field. Hitting and hitting for power are typically key attributes, but the big difference is arm strength isn't as important. Less athletic players usually wind up here if they can't continue playing the positions they did as amateurs. 左外野手的技能需求和右外野相似，打擊和長打能力是典型的需求，最大的不同在於臂力的重要性比較低。如果選秀球員不能持續待在原來的守備位置，運動能力較差的選手常會轉換到這個守位。 Two top 30 players were left fielders this year, and they may not be back. Because of down performance and injuries, their status is up in the air for next year. There were a few other players I found to be pretty intriguing among those that weren't ranked going into the year. I don't know if they're top 30 players, but I have changed my views on some. 今年有兩位左外野手進入Top 30，但因為表現不佳和傷病，他們下個賽季的前景還不明朗，下次可能不會出現在名單裡。我對其中幾位球員滿有興趣的，即使他們不在Top 30名單裡，雖然我不確定接下來這些新秀會不會進入Top 30，但他們已經改變了我的看法。 18. Todd Glaesmann (22 Y.O. at Double-A) 529 PA, .240/.289/.378, 4.9 BB%, 20.8 K%, 11 HR, 42 XBH After only hitting eight career home runs from 2009 to 2011, Glaesmann finally tapped into his raw power in 2012 with 21 homers between Bowling Green and Charlotte. His walk and strikeout rates remained roughly the same as previous seasons, but he even batted .285 across those two levels. 從'09到'11只擊出8發全壘打的Glaesmann，去年在A/A+把21顆小白球送出場外，保送率和三振率大致上和之前的賽季相同，但打擊率是水準之上的.285。 It turns out that might've been fueled by a high BABIP. In 2013, he was closer to the player he was prior to 2012. Although his walk and strikeout rates were still roughly the same, his OPS dropped 162 points, and he only hit 11 home runs. His average dropped down to .240 as his BABIP plunged over 50 points. The report going into the season indicated he should hit for a good average (BA, $), but that has hardly materialized during his professional career. With his power potential and defensive ability, it wouldn't be wise to throw in the towel on Glaesmann, but he has to work to show 2012 isn't just an outlier in his career. 結果發現，他的好成績可能是運氣成分居多。2013年又回到2012年之前的狀態，雖然保送和三振率依舊相似，但OPS下滑了.162，也只有11發全壘打，BABIP下滑.050 的結果就是打擊率也掉到.240。球季之前的球探報告說他有能力打出不錯的打擊率，不過整個職業生涯都沒有做到過。Glaesmann 的長打潛力和防守能力還是值得培養，但他必須先證明2012年的成績不是曇花一現。個人補充： Glaesmann去年BABIP（.338）的確偏高，但是今年（.285）卻也是低於他生涯平均（.318），加上今年 AA整體OPS偏低，明年應該會反彈。比較麻煩的是選保送依舊沒有進步，嚴重右殺，這兩個缺陷如果不能做出調整，那他未來就只會是四、五號外野手，一個不能守中外野，防守一般水準，有點長打能力的角色球員。作為光芒去年農場最佳打者，我相信應該對他有更多期待。 ------ 30. Ty Morrison (22 Y.O. at Double-A) 80 PA, .211/.275/.268, 7.5 BB%, 23.8 K% Like Glaesmann, Morrison restored some of his stock with a good 2012 season. He started the year repeating Charlotte, and with improved numbers across the board, he was quickly promoted to Montgomery. He was able to continue making better contact than he had in the past, and his OPS there was actually three points higher than it was in Charlotte. 就像Glaesmann一樣， Morrison在2012年讓大家對他再次充滿期待，去年他從A+ 起步，帶著出色的成績很快來到AA。在更高層級他的擊球能力依舊保持的不錯。 Unfortunately, he didn't get a chance to build on that campaign in 2013, playing in just 17 games before going down with an elbow injury that required Tommy John surgery. His arm was never strong in the first place, so the biggest affect that will have on his game is probably just the missed at-bats. He should be ready to play in 2014, and I expect he'll start as a 23 year old back with Montgomery. 不幸的傷病讓他沒機會在今年證明自己，17場比賽後就因為肘傷接受韌帶置換手術。他的臂力本來就不算太好，所以最大的影響應該就是錯過上場打擊的機會，期待明年23歲的他會在AA重新起步。 ------ Willie Argo (23 Y.O. at Class A-Advanced) 359 PA, .308/.404/.420, 12.0 BB%, 21.2 K%, 37 SB (88.1%) At one point, Argo was actually considered a top 100 prospect in the 2011 draft, but he had a down season at Illinois and returned for his senior season. After starting the season in extended spring training because of a hip injury, he was added to Charlotte's roster in May and had an impressive season. He was third in the Florida State League in steals and did it very efficiently. He knows to walk to get on base to use his speed, but despite his career .300 average, making enough contact to utilize it further is in question. 起初，Argo被視為2011年選秀會上的Top 100 prospect，但他的大三賽季表現下滑，所以他選擇返校念大四。因臀部傷勢從延長春訓起步後，他五月加入A+展開今年的賽季，並留下令人印象深刻的成績。他知道如何上壘，並知道如何展現他的速度，雖然生涯還是有.300的打擊率，但如何進一步提高擊球率是他接下來最重要的問題。 He doesn't really have power, so he'll need to focus on cutting down those strikeouts and putting the ball in play. He should have the athleticism to play center field, but in his first two pro seasons, he's had to defer to Andrew Toles with Princeton and Kes Carter with Charlotte. 他沒有足夠的長打能力，所以需要學習如何降低三振次數並把球打進場內。有防守中外野的運動能力，但職業前兩個賽季都被高順位新秀Andrew Toles和Kes Carter 擋住了。個人補充：高中時期，曾有球探以Curtis Granderson作為Argo的模板，但'10年的腕傷讓長打能力大打折扣。今年能交出這種成績滿令我意外的，因為他去年 BABIP（.362）就偏高了，今年更高（.398）。不過上壘技巧和速度是貨真價實的。Argo臂力在水準之下，守備範圍足以覆蓋中外野，可以貢獻穩定的打擊率和上壘率。至少會是一位合格的四號外野手。 ------ Taylor Motter (23 Y.O. at Class A-Advanced) 239 PA, .290/.359/.419, 9.2 BB%, 12.1 K%, 20 SB (71.4%) Motter happened to end up grouped with the left fielders, but his defensive versatility is what makes him such a good minor league player. He appeared in five or more games at five different positions with Charlotte, and it couldn't have been more if a hamstring injury didn't limit him to 66 games. Motter最後被分到左外野手這個分類，但他其實是個守備相當多元的新秀，而這也成為他最棒的特色。他今年在A+在五個不同守位出賽超過 5場。如果不是腿筋受傷讓他本季只出賽66場，這項數據絕對不只如此。 He's a good athlete with a patient approach, and he cut down on his strikeouts to improve his contact rate. His power isn't good enough for a regular corner outfielder, but it's more adequate for someone who can play just about every position. He'll be 24 next year with Montgomery and look to provide value all across the diamond. 耐心打擊的出色運動員，今年Motter提高擊球率，壓低三振次數。他的長打能力不足以成為固定的角落外野手，但就工具人來說已經夠用了。明年將滿24歲的Motter 明年將會升上AA在內野的每個角落貢獻能力。個人補充：游擊手出身的Motter運動能力、防守和臂力都在水準之上，打擊有平均水準，速度不差，但稱不上有破壞性。僅管沒有出色的長打能力，對左右投的表現差異也滿大的，但他是一位知道怎麼上壘的球員，穩定發展應該會是不錯的多功能角色球員。 ------ Marty Gantt (23 Y.O. at Class A) 496 PA, .267/.339/.391, 9.3 BB%, 22.2 K%, 19 SB (86.4%) 23 year olds having good seasons in the Midwest League is not uncommon, but Gantt's season is one of the best success stories in the organization this year. Without fully formed fingers on his right hand, he was able to post a .730 OPS, above the MWL average. He has very little power, but he does have decent on-base skills and the speed to steal some bases. He may not have the tools to be a major league hitter, but his athleticism and work ethic are good to have around the organization. 23歲的球員在A有好成績並不算稀奇，但對Gantt來說這可能是整個光芒體系最成功的故事之一。他的右手手指發育不全，但依舊交出OPS .730高於聯盟水準的成績。缺乏長打能力，但有足夠的上壘技巧，盜壘效率也有一定水準。也許沒有成為大聯盟球員的打擊工具，但運動能力和職業道德可能是整個光芒體系最好的。個人補充： Gantt 是個很有趣的球員，身材不高大又有先天的缺陷，但在場上的拚勁和靈活的思考很容易感染隊友，雖然不會是明星，但會是每支球隊都會需要的球員。雖然是右打但生涯面對右投的成績卻遠優於左投。今年上半季和下半季的表現落差很大，樂觀一點的想法是他的體力還無法負荷完整賽季的考驗，但我想出色的工作態度會輕鬆解決這個問題。2012年會早在第7輪就選中他，主因還是為了配合新版CBA的選秀規則，不過今年成績看起來還不算太壞，防守範圍一般，但防守能力在水準之上，未來有機會成為四號外野甚至固定先發。 ------ Granden Goetzman (20 Y.O. at Short-Season Class A and Class A) 300 PA, .203/.237/.317, 3.7 BB%, 21.7 K%, 23 SB (74.2%) Groin and back injuries limited Goetzman to 136 plate appearances in his first two seasons, but with the exception of a brief DL stint in June, he was healthy in 2013. Unfortunately, his performance in 300 plate appearances wasn't good at all. He struggled in about a month's worth of action with Bowling Green, but things didn't get any better with Hudson Valley starting in June. 腹股溝和背傷讓Goetzman前兩個職業賽季只有 136個打席。除了六月短暫進入 DL，今年完全是健康出賽的。不幸的，今年 300個打席裡，他的表現並不理想。在 A打了不太順利的一個月後，回到A-狀況也沒有改善。 Billed as a potential five tool talent, the hit and power tools were nowhere to be found, and his poor plate approach didn't help matters. He was still able to display effective base running though. The success rate of drafted hitters that go to extended spring training in consecutive years isn't good at all, but perhaps Goetzman deserves some slack for now because of the injuries. 這位號稱五工具潛力的好手，打擊和長打能力都沒有展現出來，悲劇的攻擊模式也沒有幫上忙。好消息是至少他還能展現不錯的盜壘效率。連續三年從延長春訓出發的新秀表現都稱不上亮眼，但也許應該對Goetzman多點耐心，畢竟他才剛傷癒復出。個人補充：對於Goetzman我只能說健康就好，他過去兩年都為傷所困打打停停，如果傷勢可以完全康復，還是一位有Top 20潛力的新秀，只是需要更多時間磨練。今年表現不佳多少和偏低的BABIP和身在投手天堂A-（Lg. OPS.651）有關，期待明年升上比較適合打者發揮的A可以交出好成績。 ------ Johnny Eierman (20 Y.O. at Rookie/Princeton) 111 PA, .228/.278/.446, 6.3 BB%, 26.1 K%, 4 HR, 12 XBH Eierman was one of the best athletes in the 2011 draft, and the Rays took him in the third round. He got a $550,000 signing bonus, more than twice the slot value for his pick, but his talent hasn't resulted in any game production. Including an absurdly large leg kick, his swing needed a lot of work. That resulted in him starting consecutive seasons in extended spring training, and he still hasn't played in a full-season league. Eierman是'11年最棒的運動員之一，光芒在第三輪選中他以後，用兩倍於建議簽約金的550K簽下他，但他的天分還沒展現在賽場上。包括誇張的高抬腿，他的打擊機制還需要大修。這就是為什麼他這幾年都必須從延長春訓開始，至今仍未接受完整球季的考驗。 Although it was another poor season, he did show some of the power potential that was promised two years ago with 12 extra base hits in 111 plate appearances, but his athleticism has been missing in action. The last two years, he's almost entirely played a corner outfield spot instead of shortstop or center field, and he didn't attempt a single steal in 2013. 雖然這依舊是個慘淡的賽季，但他展現了兩年前被球探稱道的長打潛力，在 111 個打席裡敲出12支長打，但他的運動能力消失了。最近兩年他大多是站邊角外野，而不是當初期待的中外野或游擊，今年也沒有任何盜壘成功。個人補充： Eierman 2011年選秀會上被視為第一輪人選，但因為簽約問題落到第三輪才被光芒選中。當初就被球探認為有揮棒軌跡過長和守位不明確的問題，不過爆發力和運動能力很值得培養。生涯打右投的成績不太理想，也有攻擊慾望過剩的傾向。這些都是他未來在養成上需要留心的指標。 ------ Hunter Lockwood (20 Y.O. at Rookie/Princeton) 258 PA, .243/.295/.451, 6.2 BB%, 29.5 K%, 9 HR, 25 XBH As an amateur, there was never any question that Lockwood had power. He led the DFW Metroplex with 17 home runs as a high school senior, and he was second in the Big 12 in homers with 11 his freshman year before transferring. The Rays signed him in the 11th round, moved him out from behind the plate where he was a poor defender, and sent him out to Princeton where he continued hitting for power. Lockwood的長打實力是無庸置疑的，高四以17發全壘打領跑 DFW Metroplex，轉學前也以11發全壘打在大十二區排名第二。光芒在第11輪選中他就因為做為捕手的防守功力還不夠，將他移防左外野，並直接送到 Rk+讓他繼續展現長打火力。 His 25 extra base hits led the Appy League, and the outfield is a better fit for him defensively, although he still has work to do. Plus power from the right side of the plate isn't terribly common, and the Rays will have to work on his plate approach and cutting down on his swing so he can continue to tap into it. 25支長打是全聯盟最多，外野防守雖然還有進步空間，卻是較適合他的守位，右打區的長打者並不十分常見，光芒需要調整打擊型態並縮短揮棒軌跡，這樣他才能在更高層級持續把球送出牆外。個人補充： Lockwood是不是光芒一直在找的大棒子還不得而知，但他的長打火力已經足以讓球探留下深刻的印象。右打的Lockwood其實不擅於面對左投，不論是打擊率、上壘率或是長打率都有一段落差。進入職業賽場後的表現其實不算理想，一直到球季最後一個月29場比賽掃了 7發全壘打為這個球季畫下句點，打擊機制還有很大的修正空間，如果能提高對好球帶的掌握，會是相當可怕的打者。 ------ Clayton Henning (19 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League) 112 PA, .260/.339/.323, 10.7 BB%, 32.1 K%, 10 SB (83.3%) Henning was a pretty unheralded signing in the 2012 draft, but he was able to open some eyes in last year's instructional league season (Baseball Prospectus $). He's beyond raw at the plate, but the former high school football player's speed impacts the game on the bases and in the field. While it's a positive that he's able to try to wait for his pitch, he strikes out far too often at this point and still needs a ton of work. He has the bat speed to make solid contact and develop some power down the road if he can improve pitch recognition. With a BABIP over .400, he may not bat .260 again unless something clicks. Henning在'12年選秀會上只是一位名不經傳的新秀，但他在去年的指導聯盟讓球探開始注意到他的存在。打擊還很生澀，但美式足球員出身的他在跑壘和防守上做得好棒。雖然他很耐心等球，不過三振率高得太嚇人了，這部分還需要下很多功夫。不錯的揮棒速度讓他做出有效的揮擊，如果可以增強球路判別能力，長打能力應該也會長出來。 BABIP超過.400，如果其他技巧沒有進步，打擊率很難維持住。 ------ Jose Paez (19 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League) 195 PA, .236/.284/.352, 4.6 BB%, 24.6 K%, 9 SB (60%) In 2012, Paez was named the Most Valuable Player for the Venezuelan Summer League Rays by the organization. In his first trip to U.S. ball, his .636 OPS was below the league average, but he was only 19 years old. That's a far cry from his 2012 stats in the VSL when he batted .364 with a .966 OPS. The stadium down there is known for inflating offensive numbers, and that appears that it could be the case here. His walk rate was nearly cut in half, and his strikeout rate rose by nearly 10%. Another seaso in the GCL is probably in order here. 2012年，Paez當選光芒VSL的MVP，來到美國後OPS .636雖然低於聯盟平均，但他只有19歲。去年他在VSL的打擊率是 .364，OPS .966。一般來說，球場因素會讓打擊數據膨脹，而Paez看起來是個很好的例子。保送率大概只有去年的一半，三振率卻上升了10%。明年應該還會在GCL看見他的身影。 ------ Erick Vasquez (19 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League) 136 PA, .179/.243/.220, 5.1 BB%, 30.1 K%, 5 SB (83.3%) In the same international signing period that the Rays signed Yoel Araujo, they also nabbed Vasquez for $100,000. BA's report from the time ($) noted he had some power but needed to adjust his swing. Half of that was clear in 2013, and it wasn't that he has power. He continued to struggle making contact, and his strikeout rate would suggest that he may not have been ready for this level. He did steal five bases efficiently (after stealing 24 last year in the VSL), but that's not expected to be a part of his game moving forward. 簽下Yoel Araujo的同時光芒也用$100K簽下Vasquez ，BA的報告顯示他有一點長打能力，但揮擊需要調整。就今年的成績來說，這句話只說對了一半，偏偏這一半不是他有長打能力。他的盜壘效率不錯（去年在 VSL有24次盜壘成功），但在更高層級可能不管用。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.118.6.244

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