[農場] 2013 Prospects in Review: Pitchers (6)

看板Rays作者csy1911 (招財貓)時間11年前 (2014/01/01 16:10)推噓1(1推 0噓 0→)

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Link：http://ppt.cc/hKxU Lefty Relievers As Scott outlined in his two recaps of right handed relievers, relief prospects are the least impactful prospects, and many of the best relievers in baseball were starters in the minor leagues. Many teams employ a LOOGY, a left handed reliever specializing in getting left handed hitters out (normally with a strange delivery and deception), which provides hope for some of the middling prospects who excel against left handed hitters. 後援投手新秀能帶來的貢獻相對低，不少出色的後援投手在小聯盟也是先發。許多球隊牛棚設有「LOOGY」專門面對左打者，通常他們都有詭異的出手動作，這也讓一些天分只有平均水準卻能壓制左打的新秀一些表現機會。 ------ 26. Alex Torres (25 Y.O. in Triple-A and MLB) 94.1 IP, 2.38 ERA, 2.48 FIP, 30.23 K%, 9.98 BB%, 45.63 GB%. After a disastrous 2012 campaign in which Torres was moved to relief early in the season, couldn't find the strike zone in either role, and ended up with the GCL Rays, no one knew exactly what to expect from Torres this year. The Rays optioned him to the minor leagues out of spring training, and he returned to form in Durham's rotation, showing improved command and control with a very high strikeout rate. When the Rays needed some innings out of the bullpen, they gave Torres the call, and he responded better than anyone could have expected. The rest of the story is well remembered; he started off as the long reliever, worked his way to the later innings, and helped provide some of the most important and quality innings out of the bullpen. 雖然Torres去年很早就開始往牛棚發展，但跟好球帶不熟還是讓他的成績不太理想，沒有人知道今年應該對Torres抱有何種程度的期待。光芒在春訓後將他下放小聯盟，重回 AAA輪值圈後，他展現進化的控球也交出很驚人的三振率。當光芒需要為牛棚增添一點活力，球團第一個想到他，Torres不但沒讓球團失望甚至超乎預期。剩下的故事大家都知道了，從長中繼變成後段局數的救火員，貢獻了許多重要的局數。 The Rays sent Alex Torres to winter leagues, where he is working as a starter, so it is not clear if the Rays are entirely sure where his future is. Next year is an important year in the sense of reassuring the organization that his command problems are behind him. Torres will most likely never be a control artist and is probably in for some regression next year, but with his electric stuff, he profiles either as a late inning reliever or a 3/4 starter (though his small stature reduces the probability of long term success in the rotation). 光芒休賽期讓 Alex Torres以先發投手的姿態參加冬季聯盟，所以還不確定他未來的定位。明年是很重要的一年，他必須證明自己的控球不再是大麻煩。Torres生涯可能都不會成為控球專家，明年甚至可能下滑，但驚人的球質是他成為後段局數或是三四號先發的保證。個人補充：當年送出 Scott Kazmir換到Alex Torres、Sean Rodriguez和Matt Sweeney看起來是賺的，至於光芒能不能成為更大的贏家就看Torres能不能回先發了。 Torres的球質絕對是頂尖的，今年全聯盟投球局數超過50局的投手中，打者揮空率排第26，雖然後援投手這個數字普遍會比較高，但Torres過往在小聯盟擔任先發的成績是有過之而無不及。休賽期在VWL先發的7場比賽，ERA 2.38，被打擊率.186都是相當驚人的成績，但保送過多依舊是比較明顯的問題。只要控球能調整得宜，絕對是三號先發起跳的角色。在Odorizzi球路還不夠成熟、Colome有傷病疑慮的考量下，如果 Price下個賽季離開輪值圈，我會很樂意給Torres一個競爭五號先發的機會。 ------ Jeff Beliveau (26 Y.O. in Double-A, Triple-A, and MLB) 48.2 IP, 2.40 ERA, 1.49 FIP, 38.0 K%, 10.8 BB%, 36.1 GB%. After a few stints in the big leagues during the 2013 season, Beliveau finally made his major league debut in September for the Rays, recording two outs without surrendering a run. He enjoyed a fine season in the minor leagues, striking out a very high rate of batters and not allowing many runs. His stuff is very fringy, the walk rate is high, and he projects as a loogy at the major league level if he can ever break through. 今年幾次升上大聯盟待命後，Beliveau終於在 9月迎接他在大聯盟的初登板。他在小聯盟的成績相當優異，三振率非常高，責失分也不多。球質一般，保送率也偏高，如果可以破繭而出會是用來專門壓制左打的投手。個人補充： Beliveau是去年小熊農場最棒的幾位年輕左投之一（不用太激動，那是因為小熊農場優秀的左投不多），季末被小熊 DFA後被遊騎兵撿走，後來遊騎兵為了要清出一個位置給Robinson Chirinos也將他DFA，最後被光芒用一筆現金買下。 Beliveau的球速大約在 89-91 mph左右，但他知道怎麼用隱匿的出手來包裝這顆球質平平的速球。如果站在本壘板的角度，從他轉身到出手這段時間幾乎看不到球，打者反應時間縮短，感受到的球速可能比實際球速來得快，這也是打者很難打中球的原因。變速球是主要的第二球種，有不錯的揮臂動作。另外還會投切球和滑球。雖然帳面成績不錯，但Beliveau的控球還不夠好、容易挨轟、缺乏有效的第二球種，加上明年還有選擇權，我想他不會是明年牛棚的主要選項，但會是教練春訓觀察的重點。順便一提，Beliveau的名字念起來很像 Believe you，是場邊球評和球迷很愛拿來開玩笑的點XD。 Beliveau Debut： http://wapc.mlb.com/tb/play/?content_id=23261713 2012 Cubs Spring Training： http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZaLLhZaO8RA

------ C.J. Riefenhauser (23 Y.O. in Double-A and Triple-A) 73.2 IP, 1.22 ERA, 2.83 FIP, 25.1 K%, 6.6 BB%, 41.3 GB%. With their top picks failing to produce many results over the past several drafts, the Rays need their late round picks to step up. So far, Riefenhauser has done just that, going from a fringe prospect to the Rays best true relief prospect. After a 2012 that was split between the rotation and the bullpen, Riefenhauser moved fully to relief work in 2013, and he excelled in his new full-time role. While his stuff was average as a starter, it plays up in relief, and he should be able to become more than just a left handed specialist. 過去幾年的高位選秀表現都不怎麼樣，所以光芒只好把希望寄託在後幾輪的年輕球員。而Riefenhauser到目前為止的表現沒讓球團失望，從一個默默無名的球員出發，現在已經是光芒值得期待的後援新秀了。2012年先發後援兩頭跑，今年開始成為全職救援投手。球質以先發來說只是平平，但以後援來說是水準之上，他有能力成為不只是用來專剋左打的投手。個人補充：上面太多人要卡位，Riefenhauser真正的機會不在明年。變速球、對好球帶下緣的掌握和穩定投球機制是他接下來要做的功課。對左打壓制力很驚人，右打也很難從他手中討到便宜，Riefenhauser有機會成為佈局投手以上等級的救援投手。 ------ Adam Liberatore (26 Y.O. in Double-A and Triple-A) 62.1 IP, 3.47 ERA, 2.35 FIP, 27.5 K%, 9.5 BB%, 40.9 GB%. Though he first entered pro ball as a 23 year old drafted in the 21st round of the 2010 draft, Liberatore shot through the minor leagues and spent his second season in Durham this year. With a low arm slot, Liberatore poses problems to left handed hitters, as his .556 career OPS against them attests to (compared to a .691 OPS versus RHH). Liberatore won't overwhelm hitters with his stuff, but he has a shot of eventually making the major leagues in a LOOGY role. 雖然Liberatore在2010年第21輪選中進入職業已經是23歲的事，但是他的升級速度相當快，今年已經是他在AAA 的第二年了。斜肩出手的Liberatore在投手丘上是左打者的大麻煩，生涯對戰OPS只有 .556（對右打.691）。沒有令人驚艷的球質，但他有機會成為大聯盟的左手牛。個人補充： Liberatore是當年選秀會上幾位不錯的左投手之一，動過Tommy John的手臂是他落到這個順位才被選中的主因，不過目前看起來他適應得相當好。Liberatore除了是左投，也是製造滾地球出局的救援投手，雖然今年有點失常，但過去三年滾地球率是 54.2% 。對直球的控球還有得磨，不過隱匿的出手動作會讓打者來不及反應。滑球的品質很棒，可以讓對手頻頻揮空。對球員來說，Liberatore今年沒進入40人名單其實有點可惜，因為他已經差不多摸到天花板了，但球隊也真的沒有他的空間，事實上我覺得他在大聯盟的成績不會比 Ramos差。 ------ Braulio Lara (24 Y.O. in Double-A and Triple-A) 75.0 IP, 4.20 ERA, 4.55 FIP, 16.9 K%, 13.3 BB%, 42.6 GB%. When reports surfaced a couple years ago that Lara featured a mid-90s fastball with a potentially plus breaking ball, there was optimism that he could develop into another prized hard throwing starting pitcher for the Rays. However, Lara failed to develop as a pitcher, and after being selected by the Marlins in the Rule 5 draft and then returned, he made the anticipated transition to relief with the Rays. While some hoped his plus fastball and good (though inconsistent) breaking ball would allow him to excel in relief, Lara struggled mightily this year. His poor command and pitchability both hinder his ability to make use of his quality pitches. The Rays will be patient with him and see if he can't work things out as a reliever, but for now, Lara is more of a raw arm than a top prospect. 幾年前，Lara的球探報告顯示他有一顆火球和天分不錯的變化球，他有機會成為光芒下一位明日之星。但是Lara的成績並沒有反映他的天賦，在Rule V被馬林魚選中又重回光芒後後，他一如預期的轉往後援。雖然有些人期待他水準之上的速球和不錯的變化球會讓他在牛棚取得成功，但Lara今年的表現相當掙扎。球團在養成上會多點耐心，觀察他在牛棚裡的適應情況，不過目前來說，比起頂尖新秀，他更像是一位生澀的投手。個人補充： Lara在兩年前還是光芒Top 20的新秀，但歷經去年的下滑和今年轉型的掙扎，他有點慢慢淡出領先集團了。Lara的球速大約在92-96 mph跑，過去還曾經有100 mph的紀錄，也會投曲球和變速球，其中又以曲球的評價較高。不過Lara說明了球速跟球威是兩件事，過去三年打者面對他的打擊三圍是.262/.352/.404，即使移往牛棚也沒有太多成長。Lara最大的問題在於控球，別說把球投到他想要的位置，連投進好球帶都有問題，比起投球更像是在丟球。Lara今年的逐月成績有好轉的趨勢，不過想要重回球探視野他還有很多功課要做。 ------ Jim Patterson (24 Y.O. in Advanced Class-A and Double-A) 47.0 IP, 4.21 ERA, 3.73 FIP, 17.9 K%, 4.6 BB%, 43.3 GB%. Another late round pick who found success in the low minors when converting to relief, Patterson fits the mold of the prototypical left handed minor league reliever. He is death on lefties (.518 OPS), while much less effective against righties (.699 OPS). His fringe stuff likely limits his upside to a situational lefty. 又是一位後段輪次在小聯盟獲得成功的後援投手，Patterson 是典型的小聯盟左手後援。對左打非常具有壓制力(OPS .518)，但壓不住右打(OPS .699)。有限的球質讓他上限被侷限在專門面對左打的後援投手。 ------ Shay Crawford (25 Y.O. in Class-A and Advanced Class-A) 58.1 IP, 1.23 ERA, 3.85 FIP, 20.8 K%, 12.7 BB%, 41.9 GB%. Drafted in round #41 of the 2011 draft, just staying in the organization for a few years is a noteworthy accomplishment for Shay Crawford. In three seasons, he has progressed all the way to Port Charlotte, where he pitched the majority of his season at. Crawford works with a fastball hovering around 90 mph, a slider, and a change-up. The shiny 1.23 ERA isn't matched by his peripherals, so he will need to improve in that department next year if he wants to have a shot at making the major leagues. '11年第41輪才被選中的Shay Crawford只在農場待了三年就交出不錯的成績。今年升上A+獲得大量出場機會的Crawford的速球落在90 mph附近，另外還會投滑球和變速球。ERA 1.23相當耀眼，不過跟他的球技搭不太起來。如果想要爭取大聯盟一席，他明年還需要更進步。 ------ Jake Partridge (22 Y.O. in Advanced Class-A) 93.2 IP, 3.75 ERA, 3.90 FIP, 20.4 K%, 14.0 BB%, 39.6 GB%. A highschool draftee from the 2009 draft, Partridge has moved very slowly through the minor leagues, spending most of his time in relief since the 2011 season. After a very strong 2012, he regressed this year, posting a very mediocre strikeout to walk rate. Through his career, Partridge shows a fairly decent split, though not as extreme as several others on this list. '09年選中的高中生，Partridge在農場的晉升很緩慢。去年交出出色表現後，今年又退步了。三振率和保送率都很普通，雖然不像這份名單上的其他人這麼有宰制力，但就生涯而言， Partridge對左打者的壓制力很棒。個人補充：今年 Partridge的表現充分說明他還沒掌握變速球。去年對右打成績大幅提升，不少球探對他在變速球的成長讚譽有加，但同時也點出更高層級的打者會更有耐心，所以他需要學會把這顆球投進好球帶。但很明顯他做得還不夠好…也造成了今年保送率暴增、對右打也失去壓制力的結果。不過他在球季中的調整能力還算不錯，保送率從季初的18%，季中降到14%，到季末只有9.4%了。另一個比較有趣的是，因為季末的傷兵問題讓Partridge有機會重回先發，而他擔任先發投手的ERA只有2.13，季末一場 7局2安7K無失分的演出更是技驚四座，生涯也是擔任先發成績比較好，或許球團可以考慮讓他留在先發投手的崗位，反正AA目前最缺的就是先發投手，如果能像勇士當年養出Brandon Beachy一樣就賺大了。除了90 mph出頭的速球和還沒練好的變速球，Partridge 還會投滑球，目前還不太穩定，但隨著經驗應該會更成熟。最好會是中後段輪值，但也有可能會卡在AA。 ------ Bruedlin Suero (23 Y.O. in Rookie League, Class-A, and Advanced Class-A) 31.0 IP, 4.06 ERA, 2.76 FIP, 20.7 K%, 3.6 BB%, 41.0 GB%. For most of his career, Suero has pitched as a starter, but the Rays moved him primarily to relief in 2013. After starting with Port Charlotte, he suffered an undisclosed injury and missed a month. Following two recovery outings with the GCL Rays, he moved back to Port Charlotte. Late in the season, the Rays demoted him to Bowling Green, where he pitched three extended relief outings. From a statistical standpoint, it was a fine year for Suero if one looks beyond his mediocre ERA. However, the Rays willingness to move him down a level to fill a roster spot suggests they may view him more as an organizational arm. 生涯大多數時間 Suero都是先發，但光芒今年將他移往牛棚。在A+起步後，因為傷病錯過了一個月，在GCL投了兩場復健賽後才又重回A+。季末光芒將他降到A出賽了 3場。數據上來看，如果不考慮普普的ERA，他的表現其實很不錯。但從光芒季末將他降級的舉動來看，也許球團只是把他視為填補農場空缺類型的球員。個人補充：雖然農場傷病不斷，但光芒A+/A其實有很多天分不錯的先發投手，這是 Suero轉後援的原因之一。身高有6'4"的 Suero平均球速還不到90 mph，不過因為高度，直球進壘後有不錯的尾勁，所以比起三振他更傾向於讓打者打不好，但過去兩年，他這兩點的表現還真的不怎麼樣。轉型後援對 Suero可能是個轉機，至少三振率有顯著的成長，加上原本就不錯的控球，也許大有可為。至於下放 A的舉動我覺得還好，他今年在A+真的被打得很慘，不過偏高的 BABIP顯示他的實際成績沒這麼差。下放重建信心也不是壞事，左投養成本來就比較慢一點，還是可以稍微對他保持期待。 ------ Kevin Brandt (23 Y.O. in Short Season Class-A, Class-A, and Advanced Class-A) 83.1 IP, 2.38 ERA, 3.18 FIP, 21.6 K%, 6.1 BB%, 45.3 GB%. An 18th round pick in the 2012 draft, Kevin Brandt split time as a starter and reliever across three levels this past season. Just like last season, Brandt showed the ability to miss bats and limit walks. His stuff is average, so his future is either in the back of the rotation (unlikely) or in relief. But first, he will need to show he can get hitters out in the upper minors, a task many pitchers with similar profiles have failed to accomplish. 2012年第18輪選中的Kevin Brandt過去一年在三個層級奔走，先發後援兩頭燒，就像去年一樣，Brandt展現了他讓打者揮空和壓低保送的能力。球質平平的他未來不是後段輪值就是牛棚投手。但他需要在更高層級繼續展現壓制力，過去類似背景的投手都過不了這個關卡。個人補充： Brandt的速球平平，但滑球有不錯的水準，得益於變速球的成長，今年大幅改善去年被右打打爆的毛病。儘管如此，他要以先發投手的姿態登上大聯盟還是稍嫌勉強一些，甚至在更高層級能否生存都是一大問號。最好就是功能性類似 Ramos的後援投手，最差大概過不了AA。 ------ Stone Speer (22 Y.O. in Rookie League and Class-A) 38.2 IP, 3.49 ERA, 4.67 FIP, 17.1 K%, 12.4 BB%, 43.2 GB%. After selecting him in the 25th round in this year's draft, the Rays sent Speer to the Appalachian League. However, when Bowling Green needed a reliever, Speer joined their bullpen and performed reasonable well considering the tough assignment (not so much from an age perspective as from an experience perspective). His strikeout and walk rates could both use improvement. Speer是今年第25輪選中的新秀。在Rk短暫停留後，就升上A支援牛棚，考量到他的職棒經驗，這個成績相當不錯。三振和保送都有進步空間。個人補充： Stone Speer 大學是教練在調度上的活棋，先發後援兩頭跑。不過成績也炸得滿慘的。但他的大三成績還算中規中矩。整體的進階數據並不漂亮，但對左打者有不錯的壓制力。 ------ Brandon Henderson (21 Y.O. in Class-A) 37.0 IP, 3.16 ERA, 3.01 FIP, 19.4 K%, 5.2 BB%, 44.0 GB%. A 15th round pick in the 2010 draft, Henderson has been used primarily as a reliever through his four seasons. As a 21 year old in the Midwest League, he posted a strong K/BB rate and a low ERA. Henderson made his last appearance on May 29th, so he most likely suffered some type of injury. 2010年第15輪的Henderson過去四年都擔任後援的角色。21歲的他在A交出更棒的 K/BB和 ERA。Henderson最後一次出賽是在5/29，可能受到傷勢影響。個人補充： Henderson 高中時期知名度不低，是學校睽違22年再次拿下州冠軍的關鍵人物。 Henderson的球速大約落在90-91 mph，最快可達93 mph，因為還有長肉空間，一般預期未來可能會再更快一些。雖然三振率普普，但出色的控球可以把球投進刁鑽的位置，可以製造軟弱的出棒。大概是因為把速球控好就足以吃死年輕打者，即使會投滑球、曲球、變速球，但沒有一種球路可以成為端得上檯面的第二球種。這也是嘗試轉型先發失敗的主因。儘管有些球探報告認為球速和變化球更成熟後，他會是不錯的後段輪值，球團也給了他不少投球局數，但長遠來看，成為長中繼的可能性比較高。 ------ Jose Molina (22 Y.O. in Class-A) 84.0 IP, 4.07 ERA, 3.20 FIP, 23.6 K%, 7.9 BB%, 57.3 GB%. Let me get this out of the way: Yes, the Rays do have another Jose Molina in their organization. Aside from sharing the same name, the two have little else in common. The pitcher Molina, after a strong season with Hudson Valley in 2012, posted very strong peripherals with Bowling Green, though his ERA lagged behind. Bullpen Banter had the following notes on him at the NYPL All-Star Game from 2012: 除了跟莫二哥同名，這個 Jose Molina和他沒什麼共通點。在A-的強勢演出後，雖然ERA平平，不過投手Molina在A交出相當亮眼的成績。以下是Bullpen Banter去年對他在A-全明星賽的評價： ▎Relief type of delivery; falls off the mound hard at times ▎Fastball: 91-92, touched 94 with some arm-side run ▎Slider: 85 with downward break ▎Threw a pitch at 87 (hitting Gaffney) that looked a bit like a cutter 後援投手的出手方式，進壘軌跡有時還不錯，球速落在 91-92 mph，有時可以到 94 mph。85 mph滑球會往下墜。87 mph的球路看起來像是切球。個人補充： Molina是罕見的左手滾地球投手，同時沒有明顯的左右病。首度迎接完整賽季， Molina每個月都在進步，前兩個月被ERA高達5.10，30局就挨了4轟，但接下來的四個月ERA降到3.48，只被打出2發全壘打。另外明顯的成長是他提高了三振率，過往不穩定的控球也有所成長。他沒有擔任後段局數救援投手的天分，但這種類型的投手是牛棚不可或缺的角色。 ------ Rick Teasley (22 Y.O. in Rookie League and Short Season Class-A) 41.1 IP, 2.61 ERA, 20.6 K%, 5.1 BB%. A college senior out of the local St. Leo College, Rick Teasley pitched valuable, quality innings for the Hudson Valley squad, picking up two saves along the way. As a college senior late round pick, the odds of even making the major leagues are low, but it was a nice start on his part. 本地大四生，Rick Teasley在A-交出相當不錯的數據，也拿下 2次救援成功。後幾輪的大四生上到大聯盟的機率很低，不過今年是個不錯的起步。個人補充： Teasley 大學時期是很不錯的工作馬。今年在小聯盟也擔任長中繼的角色，負責分擔年輕投手達到投球限制後的局數。他的進階數據還不錯，危機處理很棒，也沒有明顯的左右病。可能上不了大聯盟，但對農場是個不錯的補充。 ------ Jose Castillo (17 Y.O. in Rookie League) 30.2 IP, 5.87 ERA, 2.87 FIP, 19.1 K%, 6.1 BB%, 50.5 GB%. Out of all the players on this list, none can match the upside of Jose Castillo. Part of the Rays "big three" international signings in the summer of 2012 (along with top prospects Jose Mujica and David Rodriguez), Castillo first played professional ball this summer in an aggressive state-side assignment alongside Jose Mujica. Though Castillo is on the reliever section, that is definitely not his future role if his development goes along as planned; Mujica and Castillo would pitch in the same games, each going 2-3 innings and piggybacking off of other pitchers in a pitch-conserving strategy. 這份名單上沒有人的天分可以媲美Castillo，是去年光芒在國際自由市場簽下的三巨頭（另外兩位是Jose Mujica和David Rodriguez），Castillo今年夏天首度迎接職棒賽季，大多時間他都和Jose Mujica一起出賽。雖然 Castillo是擔任後援，但在計畫順利的前提下，這不是他最後的定位。為了保護年輕投手，Mujica和Castillo通常會同場出賽，大多都投 2-3局，最後再用其他投手收尾。 Though Mujica has generated more press and attention to this date (most likely because Baseball America prefers him, ranking him as the top international pitcher of their class and Castillo #2), Castillo actually signed for a higher bonus and some in the industry think he is the better prospect. Looking at ERA for a 17 year old pitcher in the small sample size in the GCL (where defense is very poor) will not relay much about the pitcher's ability, so his 5.87 ERA should not be a concern. On a more positive note, he had a very solid K/BB rate and allowed only one home run. Castillo rated 19th on Baseball America's stacked top 20 GCL prospects list, noting that his fastball velocity continues to trend up (up to 95 mph) and that he shows the signs of a quality breaking ball and change-up. Many believe that with the projection on his 6'4 frame, Castillo could eventually end up sitting in the mid-90s and touching the upper-90s. It should be fun watching him and Mujica progress through the minor leagues and hopefully capitalize on their potential. 雖然Mujica到目前為止得到更多的鎂光燈和關注（主要是因為Baseball America 認為Mujica是去年的第一號國際自由市場投手，Castillo是第二號。），但Castillo 的簽約金較高，某些球探也認為他是更好的新秀。這位17歲投手在GCL的ERA不算太漂亮，但如果考慮到這裡的孩子防守都還不夠成熟，其實也沒什麼大不了的。另一個好消息是他的K/BB很棒，也只被敲出一發全壘打。Castillo在Baseball America的Top 20 GCL prospects排第19，並強調球速持續在長（衝破95 mph），變化球和變速球也展現不錯的天賦。許多人相信以他6'4"的骨架最後可以把球速穩定在 94-96 mph，最快可以衝到98 mph上下。看他和Mujica的成長是件有趣的事情，希望兩位小球員都可以達到他們的天賦。個人補充： Castillo的天分不用多說，好好養絕對是二號先發以上。實力比帳面成績來得好，事實上他的進階數據比Mujica來得優。原本評價兩極的控球沒有變成大問題，以他的年紀，三振能力更是令人意外的好。雖然還有很多小缺陷，以球技來說也很生澀，但他的成長速度很驚人，從去年90 mph出頭到今年已經突破95 mph大關，投球機制穩定的Castillo體型更成熟後會是更驚人的新秀。沒意外的話，最慢兩年後就會在Top 20 prospects甚至Top 10 prospects的名字看到他。 ------ Oscar Armenta (19 Y.O. in Rookie League) 35.2 IP, 5.80 ERA, 4.71 FIP, 16.7 K%, 4.9 BB%, 40.8 GB%. Coming off of a phenomenal season with the GCL Rays in 2012 as an 18 year old (0.00 ERA, 8.9 K/9, 0.8 BB/9 in 21.1 innings), Armenta was a sleeper prospect in the system. Unfortunately, he was unable to build upon his 2012 success as his ERA jumped significantly and his strikeout rate dipped. A Mexican native, Armenta still has time on his side, though his reported height of 5'11 will lead to questions about his projectability. He pitched completely in relief this year, though he frequently pitched multiple innings and started in 2013, so this could just be a tactic to slowly build up his innings. I could not find any scouting reports on Armenta, so any evaluation is strictly statistically based. 18歲就殺翻GCL的Armenta是農場裡的潛在新秀。不幸的是，他今年無法複製去年的成績，ERA和三振率都有顯著的退步。雖然5'11"的體型讓未來的潛力充滿不確定性，但還有時間等待他的成長。今年都在牛棚裡，但吃下不少局數，這可能也是逐步增加投球局數的規劃之一。我找不到Armenta 相關的球探報告，所以目前只能從數據上進行分析。個人補充： Armenta 實際表現沒有帳面來得差，整季不過丟掉23分，七月就噴了20分，不過單月BABIP .412也顯示他是真的衰到爆表。到了八月BABIP回穩後，單月 ERA 1.37，三振率也回到 20%。我對他的認識還停留在他是速球配曲球類型的投手，所以不敢妄言他的上限到哪邊，但我認為他會是值得注意的新人。體型的確是不利因素，但其實他的身材跟光芒在外卡戰遇到的先發投手差不多，人家可是印地安人未來的 Ace呢！沒有什麼是不可能的。 ------ Geisel De La Cruz (20 Y.O. in Rookie League) 22.2 IP, 4.76 ERA, 3.07 FIP, 17.3 K%, 11.5 BB%, 39.2 GB%. After a positive start to his stateside professional career as a 19 year old in the Gulf Coast League in 2012, Geisel De La Cruz run into a bump in the road in 2013. Only three appearances into the season with Princeton allowing eight earned runs in five innings, he was demoted to the GCL Rays. There, he pitched significantly better, sporting a 2.04 ERA in 17.2 innings. The issue is the lack of innings under his belt; though most of his appearances extended beyond an inning (seemingly indicating the Rays may view him as a starter down the road), his playing time was rather sporadic, possibly a sign of fighting an injury (or trying to prevent one). Listed at 6'0 and weighing only 139 lbs., De La Cruz has room to add weight. Scouting reports, as often is the case in these scenarios, are nonexistent publicly. 去年還只有19歲的Geisel De La Cruz在GCL交出不錯的成績後，今年遇到了一點麻煩。他在Rk出賽3場比賽，在5局裡丟了8分後就被丟回GCL。很明顯的他在這裡的表現好多了，17.2局，ERA 2.04，比較大的麻煩是雖然他出賽幾乎都投超過一局（球團似乎是想以先發投手的角色來培養他），但總投球局數並不多。出賽很零星，也許是在對抗或是避免傷病（？）的訊號。6'0"，139 磅的De La Cruz還有增重的空間。 ------ Darren Fischer (20 Y.O. in Rookie League) 18.2 IP, 5.30 ERA, 5.61 FIP, 22.4 K%, 9.2 BB%, 48.0 GB%. After selecting Fischer in the 16th round of this past year's draft, the Rays sent him to the Appalachian League, where he struggled in his debut. A product of Central Florida Community College, Fischer is an athletic pitcher with a fastball up to 91-92 mph. 今年第16輪選中的 Fischer被送到Rk展開他的職業生涯，但他的表現有點掙扎。他的球速大約落在 91-92 mph，是個運動能力不錯的投手。個人補充： Fischer 大學時期投打雙棲，是外野手也是隊上的左手後援。球質普普，大一的成績很棒，但大二季初因為一些小傷無法上場，後來又因為學業成績太爛被禁賽，在有限的出賽中也投得有些掙扎。不過他是參加光芒選前試訓的兩位左投之一。除了速球，Fischer 還會投1點鐘往7點鐘的曲球和不太穩定的叉指變速球，兩種都有水準之上的潛力，未來的發展都會比速球好。他在大學時期最大的問題就是無法把球控制在好球帶下緣，整體來說，雖然是大學投手，但各方面都還很生澀。順便一提，他和天使隊的Mike Trout做過隊友。 ------ Eric Fredrick (23 Y.O. in Rookie League) 28.0 IP, 1.93 ERA, 3.24 FIP, 20.5 K%, 10.6 BB%, 48.3 GB%. Eric Frederick pitched well in his professional debut, posting a 1.93 ERA with three saves for the GCL Rays. However, as a 23 year old in the GCL, he was far older than much of his competition and is not a prospect as an undrafted free agent. Eric Frederick的職業初登板表現不錯，交出ERA 1.93，3 次救援成功的成績。不過他比所面對的打者年紀都要來得大，以一位落選新秀來說，也沒有明顯的天分。 ------ 這系列終於翻完囉！謝謝大家的收看！也希望新的一年農場能蒸蒸日上喔！ -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.118.235.118