[農場] 2013 Prospects in Review: Pitchers (5)
Link：http://ppt.cc/QMMf
We're close to wrapping up our 2013 review with the lats of the right-handed
relievers. Last week I talked about how most of these players aren't really
prospects, but I have to admit it felt like there were more interesting
players writing them up this week.
我們對牛棚右投在2013的表現介紹快接近尾聲囉！上週我提到的大部分球員其實
都不算是值得注意的新秀，但我這周將會介紹一些有趣的球員。
Josh Lueke (28 Y.O. at Triple-A and Majors)
57.1 IP, 0.63 ERA, 1.44 FIP, 35.5 K%, 6.6 BB%, 40.8 GB% (minor league stats
only)
I don't know if anyone doubted that Lueke could dominate minor league
batters, but this was maybe his best season. His 35.5% strikeout rate was the
highest in his career in a significant amount of innings, and while his walk
rate was a bit above his career average, he still showed good control.
我不知道有沒有人會質疑 Lueke能不能宰制小聯盟打者，但這季無疑是他最棒的
賽季。35.5% 的三振率是生涯最高，雖然保送率略高於生涯平均，控球也還算不錯。
Lueke's time in the majors has not been quite as successful, but it's only
57.1 innings spread over three seasons. He's now out of options and will be
in a fight for a spot in the bullpen.
Lueke 在大聯盟的表現並不算太成功，但過去三年只投了57.1局。今年已經沒有
選擇權了，他將會爭取在牛棚的席次。
個人補充：
上一篇我提到 Gomes可能會在明年開季以前被移出40人名單，最主要的原因就是
光芒陣中還有Josh Lueke要卡位。小聯盟打者面對他揮空率高達 16.5%，三振率也重
回過去在AA的水準。Lueke的球速落在94-96 mph，今年在大聯盟大約都在95 mph上下
，是三年來最快。有一顆很棒的指叉球，出手跟速球差不多，進入本壘板後會迅速往
打者膝蓋甚至腳踝的地方下墜，不過這種球路本身並不容易掌握。今年和過去兩年最
大的不同在於提高滑球的比例，也收到很棒的效果。雖然 Lueke在大聯盟成績不怎麼
樣，但其實進階數據都還不錯，至少當一位水準之上的短中繼是綽綽有餘。也有數據
顯示，今年 Lueke有 16.4%的好球被判成壞球，遙遙領先光芒投手群，造成他為了搶
好球數必須把球控制在更甜的位置，實際的控球和球威並不差。這些跡象都顯示他明
年相當有機會站穩大聯盟。
馬後炮回頭看當初John Jaso的交易，被換到水手的Jaso下一年打出.850的OPS，
季末運動家以A.J Cole、Blake Treinen和 Ian Krol為代價在一筆三方交易中得到他
，前兩位都是國民農場Top 20的先發投手，Cole甚至是Top 5 的水準，Krol則是球質
亮眼的左手牛。回頭看光芒當時用Jaso只換到Josh Lueke其實有點…恩…。不過交易
本來就只考慮當下的價值，原來就是有賺有賠的買賣。要是當初沒有送走他，大概也
無緣在今年看到Lobaton的大放異彩。只好期待Lueke發揮他當時被認為是水手隊終結
者候選的實力，如果從春訓開始就有好表現，後年甚至季中Bell不幸爆胎，他不無可
能是光芒未來幾年的守護神。
The Unfair Umpire-Treatment Towards Josh Lueke：
http://ppt.cc/tIqe
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Kirby Yates (26 Y.O. at Triple-A)
61.2 IP, 1.90 ERA, 1.87 FIP, 37.3 K%, 9.2 BB%, 38.3 GB%
Yates had another impressive season, and it earned him a spot on the 40 man
roster. Among minor leaguers with 50 innings in 2013, he was eighth in
strikeout rate. That list has players of all ages at different levels, but
it's clear that he has the stuff to get batters out. For those not interested
in clicking, former Rays farmhand Zach Rosscup was number one.
Yates 再次迎來一個令人印象深刻的球季，也為他爭取到40人名單一席。在今年
小聯盟投球局數超過50局的投手裡，他的三振率排第 8（http://ppt.cc/VG0f）。這
份名單含括了各種年紀和各個層級。很明顯的他具有讓打者出局的球質。如果你沒興
趣點開來看，我可以告訴你前光芒新秀Zach Rosscup排名第一（在Matt Garza交易案
中被送到小熊）。
Despite his size (5'10, 170 pounds), he can dial his fastball up into the
mid-90's and get swings and misses with it. He'll have a chance to win a spot
in the Rays' bullpen this spring. That's not bad for an undrafted free agent
signing from Yavapai College.
雖然體型並不出眾，但他的球速可以衝到 94-96 mph並製造一堆揮空。他有機會
在明年春訓贏得光芒牛棚一席。對一位未經選秀球員來說是很不錯的發展。
個人補充：
今年光芒 AAA能拿到全聯盟最佳戰績，牛棚穩定性絕對是很重要的因素，其中又
以上面提到的Lueke和這篇的主角Yates最為亮眼，他們兩個聯手幫球隊在低比分的情
況下守住37場勝利。
Yates 剛進職業球速大約在90-93 mph，這兩年穩定在94-96 mph。他的速球和滑
球都是能讓打者揮空的球路。變速球大多用來對付左打者，今年進步很多，但還不夠
純熟。另外也會投曲球。Yates 並沒有明顯的左右病，但他對左打者的控球很不理想
（R/L BB% 16%/5%），大部分的球探認為這是因為他對變速球還不夠有信心，不過隨
著時間會慢慢進步。他的心理素質從大學時期就頗受好評，這兩年擔任終結者的經驗
相信讓他成長更多。現階段拿來壓制右打綽綽有餘，隨著球技慢慢成熟，他至少會是
佈局投手以上的狠角色。
至於Yates 的勵志故事，有機會再和大家分享。
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Lenny Linsky (23 Y.O. at Class A-Advanced)
72.2 IP, 3.22 ERA, 3.54 FIP, 16.5 K%, 8.5 BB%, 44.6 GB%
Linsky stayed healthy in 2013, but he remained pretty unspectacular for a
college reliever drafted in the second round three years ago. His strikeout
rates improved from being total disasters in last year's injury plagued
season, but both numbers are still pretty average.
Linsky今年很健康，但還光芒看不出三年前用提早在第二輪選他的理由。比起去
年受傷時的表現，今年的三振率有成長，但看起來還是很普通。
The meager strikeout rate would be less of a concern if he was generating
ground balls the way he was supposed to with his sinking fastball, but that
doesn't seem to be happening either. Maybe being another year further removed
from his shoulder injury will help out.
偏低的三振率可能會讓人猜想他讓對手的出局方式是不是都偏向滾地球，畢竟他
最主要的武器就是快速下沉球，但這好像也沒有呈現在數據上。也許再給他一年時間
，讓他從肩傷恢復到過去的水準會有幫助。
個人補充：
雖然是後援投手，但Linsky在2011年選秀會上並不是為了省錢而做出的選擇，他
在BA對所有參選新秀的排名裡是第81名。Linsky大二開始就是校隊終結者，有一顆很
棒的快速下沉球，搭配上89 mph附近的滑球可以製造大量的滾地球出局。第一年職業
賽季的表現也不錯，但肩傷後的表現一直不太穩定。不過和他去年比起來至少是有進
步。今年的平飛球率和保送率都慢慢調整回來，挨轟的頻率也不高，這些都是好消息
。完成度很高的Linsky原先被預期可以快速升上大聯盟，不過傷病阻礙了他前進的步
伐。明年應該會升上AA支援目前看起來人力短缺的牛棚。雖然光芒目前不缺後援投手
，但Linsky滾地球投手的特性未來一定可以為陣容帶來幫助。
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Jared Mortensen (25 Y.O. at Class A-Advanced)
17.1 IP, 1.04 ERA, 2.91 FIP, 27.3 K%, 7.6 BB%, 31.0 GB%
The Rays signed Mortensen out of an indy league late in the 2013 season, and
he pitched very well in his first experience in affiliated baseball. It was
obviously a limited amount of innings, but in his second game with Charlotte,
he started and threw seven scoreless innings. With an injury or two on the
staff, he was a key piece in Charlotte getting back to the playoffs.
光芒從今年季末從獨立聯盟把 Mortensen簽回來，看起來他適應得相當不錯。雖
然局數有限，不過他在A+的第二場比賽就交出 7局無失分的成績。在當時傷病不斷，
前段輪值短缺的情況下，他絕對是球隊能重返季後賽的關鍵。
Mortensen was a very good NAIA pitcher, but as you might imagine, scouts
aren't exactly knocking down the door going after a short righty NAIA pitcher
with a below average fastball. However, his velocity reportedly improved
since his amateur days. He will pitch most of next season as a 26 year old,
so while it's probably premature to call him a sleeper prospect, it'll be
interesting to see how he fares in a full season.
Mortensen 在NAIA就是很棒的投手。正如你想像的，球探根本不會想跟一位矮小
、球速又不快的NAIA投手接觸。不過從落選的那天開始，他的球速慢慢提高。雖然明
年將滿26歲，但我們可以把他視為潛在的新秀。觀察他未來的成長是件有趣的事情。
個人補充：
別看Mortenson 25歲的年紀就低估他，其實他大學才開始打棒球，以傳奇性來說
他的故事更勝Yates或Geltz。Mortenson 是一位知道「How to pitch」的聰明投手，
沒有明顯具壓制力的球路，球速也只有 88-90 mph，但配上出色的控球，可以把球投
到任何一個他想要的角落。在切球、變速球和曲球交互運用之下，很容易讓打者失去
平衡。天分不會是農場的Top 20甚至Top 30，但我相當看好他會快速升級，未來有機
會成為好用的長中繼或臨時先發，甚至可以吃局數後段輪值。
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Matt Ramsey (23 Y.O. at Class A and Class A-Advanced)
50.2 IP, 2.84 ERA, 2.65 FIP, 26.2 K%, 11.3 BB%, 41.2 GB%
Ramsey is the kind of college arm the Rays like to take a chance on. In
college, he was a two way player who also missed time with a forearm injury,
so they hope he can improve completely focused on pitching. He can get his
share of strikeouts with a mid-90's fastball and effective curveball, but he
needs to cut down on his walks.
Ramsey是光芒很愛投資的大學投手類型。大學期間他是投打雙棲的球員，但前臂
的傷勢讓他專注在投手上。94-96 mph 的速球配上有效的曲球可以三振許多打者，但
還需要減少保送。
Ramsey was effective in a brief Arizona Fall League stint, striking out 20.6%
and walking 8.8% of his opponents in 8.2 innings. His fastball averaged 92.99
MPH in a game with Pitch FX available.
Ramsey在Arizona秋季聯盟的表現很有效率，在8.2局的投球局數裡交出 20.6%的
三振率和8.8%的保送率。在Pitch FX 的統計裡，他的平均球速是93 mph。
個人補充：
Ramsey數據很漂亮，但是數字之中可能暗藏一些不利因子。他生涯只挨過一發全
壘打，但他並非滾地球型的投手，到了更高層級遇到擊球能力更好，力量更成熟的打
者可能會是隱憂。另外他今年殘壘率很高，壘包有人的投球表現也很普通。這些都是
他明年需要面對的考驗。好消息是，他今年的BABIP .376很不正常，這個數字應該會
有大幅下修的空間。如果BABIP 回穩，應該能交出更亮眼的成績。
Ramsey在大學時期就是以三振聞名，原本被預期會衝進前10輪的他，因為手臂傷
勢直到第19輪光芒才決定賭他成功復活的可能。目前來看，雖然成績不及大學水準，
但至少是穩定健康的出賽，球速和變化球的表現也很亮眼。如果可以修正控球問題，
他會在未來的牛棚扮演相當重要的角色。
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Nick Sawyer (21 Y.O. at Class A)
59.2 IP, 4.22 ERA, 4.19 FIP, 30.3 K%, 22.3 BB%, 36.1 GB%
While a lot of teams are wrapping up the last round of the draft taking sons
and nephews of front office personnel, the Rays end up with a bit of a
sleeper.
就在許多球隊在後段輪次選擇自己球團管理階層的孩子或親戚時，光芒趁機偷到
了一位潛力新秀。
Sawyer is the rare relief prospect, but he has quite a bit to refine to reach
St. Petersburg. With two potential plus pitches, that strikeout rate isn't a
fluke. With a wild delivery leading to control problems, the walk rate isn't
either. If he can harness his mid-90's fastball and power curve, he could
pitch in the late innings.
Sawyer是很稀少的後援新秀，但還需要更多進步才能前往St. Petersburg（光芒
主場所在地）。兩種水準之上潛力的球種說明他的三振率不是曇花一現。但過度費力
的投球機制造成他不小的控球麻煩。如果可以將94-96 mph 的速球和軌跡銳利的曲球
運用更自如，他會是後段局數的好選項。
個人補充：
從數據就可以看出Sawyer是什麼類型的投手，今年他的被打擊率只有.165，但被
上壘率卻高達.363…。差不多一局就要保送一位打者上壘，另外也丟了13次暴投。相
比他在這兩年的表現，很明顯面對更有經驗的打者，光靠球威很難讓打者買帳，今年
他在面對年紀比他大的打者，被上壘率是.406就是最好的證明。他的確有擔任終結者
的天分目前看起來也就只有控球這個大問題，只要修正投球機制，相信他接下來的路
會走得很平順。
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Brad Schreiber (22 Y.O. at Short-Season Class A)
6 IP, 1.50 ERA, 2.87 FIP, 29.2 K%, 16.7 BB%, 53.8 GB%
Schreiber was a potential impact player at Purdue, but Tommy John surgery and
difficulties returning from it left him undrafted in 2013. The Rays picked
him up in August, and he made four appearances for Hudson Valley. It's worth
keeping an eye on him as he gets healthy.
Schreiber是Purdue大學的潛在關鍵球員，但 Tommy John手術和後續復健不順讓
他今年落選。光芒在8月簽下他，並讓他在A-出賽了4場。如果健康的話，他會是一位
值得關注的新秀。
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Colton Reavis (23 Y.O. at Short-Season Class A)
34.1 IP, 2.10 ERA, 3.61 FIP, 19.3 K%, 9.7 BB%, 34.7 GB%
Reavis went on the DL before his pro career even officially started, but he
came back and pitched well for Hudson Valley. He limited righties to a .500
OPS.
在進入職業前，Reavis就先進了DL。但他在歸隊後投得不錯。右打者對他的 OPS
只有.500。
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Yael Regalado (20 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League)
21.1 IP, 5.48 ERA, 4.33 FIP, 18.6 K%, 6.2 BB%, 47.2 GB%
Regalado is a bit of an interesting case because he's the rare undrafted free
agent signing out of high school. In his case, it's George Washington in
Manhattan, where former Rays legend Manny Ramirez and former Mr. Don't Count
Him Out, Alibay Barkley.
Regalado是個令人有些感興趣的例子，因為他是一位落選簽約的高中球員。他來
自Manhattan的George Washington高中。前光芒球員Manny Ramirez和'09年最後一位
被選中的球員Alibay Barkley來自這間學校。
Rays Colored Glasses goes over his amateur career much better than I could,
but the gist of it is injuries cost him a chance for scouts to see him, and
he went undrafted. Regalado wanted to play professionally rather than go to
college, and the Rays added a potential deep sleeper last off-season. His pro
debut was okay.
Rays Colored Glasses對他的介紹比我完整，但主要就是在說因為傷病的關係讓
他沒有機會在球探面前展現實力，所以落選了。Regalado想進入職業棒球的意願大於
進入大學，所以光芒就在去年休賽期把這位潛力新秀納入陣中。他的職棒處女秀看起
來還不錯。
個人補充：
上個光芒簽下的高中落選新人大家一定不陌生，他就是去年在Shields 交易案一
起被送到皇家的Elliot Johnson。
Regaldo 高三因為手臂發炎，教練擔心過度使用會造成更嚴重的傷害，乾脆停機
一年。球速約在 90-92 mph，最快可以投到94 mph。第二球種是變速球，有潛力養成
水準之上的球種。另外還會投曲球。整體來說他今年的成績並不差，但在最難挨轟的
GCL可以被掃出3轟也滿不容易的…。不過因為他不是極度飛球型的投手，所以這部分
我持相對保留的態度，隨著球路使用更純熟應該會再升級。
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Ruben Paredes (19 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League)
26 IP, 1.38 ERA, 2.83 FIP, 25.0 K%, 7.6 BB%, 45.9 GB%
Paredes made his U.S. debut this year and continued to pitch effectively like
he did in the Dominican Summer League. His strikeout rate spiked, and he
limited right handed batters to a .368 OPS.
Paredes在美國完成了他的處女秀，而且就像他在DSL的表現一樣有效率。三振率
很驚人，同時右打者面對他的OPS只有.368。
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Jose Mujica (17 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League)
32 IP, 3.09 ERA, 2.37 FIP, 14.8 K%, 2.5 BB%, 36.0 GB%
Mujica was a key signing in the Rays' July 2nd, 2012 class, and they were
perhaps a bit more aggressive than usual bringing him to the U.S. as a 17
year old. He certainly wasn't out of place. His strikeout rate was nothing
special, but it's always encouraging when a young pitcher is able to come
here and throw the amount of strikes he did.
Mujica是去年7月2號光芒在國際自由市場的關鍵收穫。球團大膽讓他跳過 VSL直
接讓才剛滿17歲的他來到美國發展。不過他看起來沒被擊倒。三振率一般，但以他的
年紀，漂亮的好球率已經足以證明球團這麼操作的動機。
He's listed as a reliever here, but that's just because of how the Rays
handled his workload. With the money invested in him, Mujica is clearly a
starter though. Last year, Princeton's innings leaders were at or just above
60, and I see him doing that in the Appy League next year.
雖然被我放在後援投手名單，但只是因為光芒在控制他的投球局數。看簽約金就
知道他未來會以先發投手的角色進行養成。去年Rk最多投球局數也不過60局，我想我
們明年會在新人聯盟看到他。
個人補充：
光芒低階農場最有天分的右投手，Mujica是去年最棒的拉美投手新秀，光芒罕見
豪氣的砸了1.0M在他身上。體型、控球、投球機制和簡潔的出手動作是去年球探報告
上最被讚賞的部分。同時他沒有明顯的左右病。去年體重還只有180 磅，今年已經增
重到200 磅。一般預期他的球速有機會衝破95 mph。變速球是最棒的球路，有顯著的
下沉軌跡，在球探報告裡接近滿分。還會投滑曲球，不過目前的掌握還不夠純熟。
為了保護他出色的手臂，光芒今年為他設下單場 3局，50球的投球限制。今年BA
負責光芒Top 10 prospects評選的 Bill Ballew看好他未來會成為榜單上的一員。
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Roel Ramirez (18 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League)
27.2 IP, 5.86 ERA, 3.24 FIP, 12.4 K%, 4.7 BB%, 34.3 GB%
I thought Ramirez was one of the more interesting later picks in the Rays'
draft, but his pro debut was a mixed bag. He did a nice job throwing strikes
for a young pitcher, but at 6'1 and 205 pounds, his average fastball may
never tick up, making it harder to improve his strikeout rate. Like Mujica,
he should get into a rotation next season.
Ramirez 是今年光芒後幾輪選中的球員中，我比較有興趣的一位。但他的職業初
體驗讓人有些五味雜陳。以年輕投手來說，他的好球率很高。不過6'1"，205 磅的身
材應該要有更好的速球，也是他無法提高三振率的原因。我認為他明年會進入輪值。
個人補充：
不同於其他年輕投手，Ramirez 的完成度很高，但相對來說成長空間有限。速球
只有88-92 mph ，考量到他成熟的體型和完整的投球機制，可能很難再有進一步的提
升。變速球是他最棒的球路，出手動作和速球一樣，足以迷惑打者。另外也會投曲球
和滑球，不過還很粗糙。
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 140.118.235.118
推
12/21 01:45, , 1F
12/21 01:45, 1F
→
12/21 01:46, , 2F
12/21 01:46, 2F
→
12/21 01:48, , 3F
12/21 01:48, 3F
→
12/21 02:27, , 4F
12/21 02:27, 4F
^^^^^^^^
→
12/21 02:31, , 5F
12/21 02:31, 5F
^^^^^^^^^^^^^
整理一下你的推文一併回應。
http://ppt.cc/ahW5
這是RCG介紹大學成績的時候。87-89 mph。
http://ppt.cc/RV-T
這是去年六月，白襪球探做的報告。最快91mph。
http://ppt.cc/7aGp
這是今年八月，A+總教練的評論。88-90 mph，最快91 mph。
雖然稱不上完整的球探報告，但這才是「最近的」……
你說的那篇我有看到，我也無意否定J.J Cooper的球探報告，
畢竟他是主跑獨立聯盟的BA作家，撰寫球探報告也相當有經驗。
但所有球探報告只有那份寫90-94 mph，
考慮到Mortensen的體型和完成度，25歲的大學投手過完冬天長5 mph？
我想不是進了精神時光屋、遇到怪博士，就是獨聯是快樂槍吧！
所以對此我是抱持比較懷疑的態度，所以選擇保守陳述。
考量時間點，我也認為今年八月已經在A+丟了兩場的結果更可信。
→
12/21 01:50, , 6F
12/21 01:50, 6F
→
12/21 01:52, , 7F
12/21 01:52, 7F
※ 編輯: csy1911 來自: 140.118.235.118 (12/21 11:07)
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