[情報] Rotoworld 2008
Cincinnati
CF Josh Hamilton/Ryan Freel
3B Edwin Encarnacion
RF Ken Griffey Jr.
2B Brandon Phillips
LF Adam Dunn
SS Alex Gonzalez
1B Joey Votto/Jorge Cantu
C David Ross/Javier Valentin
Aaron Harang
Bronson Arroyo
Carlos Silva
Justin Germano
Homer Bailey
David Weathers
Jared Burton
Bill Bray
As usual, the Reds need pitching, preferably two starters and a closer
candidate. Unfortunately, there just isn't a lot available in free agency
this winter and Cincinnati doesn't have a deep minor league system to deal
from. While it's true the Reds have four of the game's top prospects in Jay
Bruce, Homey Bailey, Joey Votto and Johnny Cueto, they have to keep those
players and they don't have a lot of second-tier guys to use to entice other
teams.
So, the Reds could look to free agency first. They need to be in on both Koji
Uehara and Kenshin Kawakami, but they're more likely to end up with Carlos
Silva. While he'd be overpriced at $8 million per year, he has youth,
durability and his ability to get a somewhat above average number grounders
on his side. They could also trade for a veteran. Daniel Cabrera would be
worth gambling on, or they could go after a veteran like Esteban Loaiza or
Julian Tavarez. I have them trading Jeff Keppinger for Justin Germano, adding
one more rotation option.
The bullpen isn't quite so desperate of a need with Jared Burton establishing
himself as a reliable setup man. David Weathers is less than ideal as a
closer, but it'd be very expensive to replace him. The Reds figure to talk to
Francisco Cordero, but they'll probably settle for a couple of lesser guys.
The offense should be pretty well set if Adam Dunn's option is picked up.
Ryan Freel is expendable, as the Reds can go with a Josh Hamilton/Norris
Hopper platoon in center. However, his value is at rock bottom because of
injuries. The Reds might as well keep him as protection for Hamilton and Ken
Griffey Jr. Scott Hatteberg's option can be picked up, but he needs to be a
bench player behind Votto. Jorge Cantu can start at first base against
left-handers and serve as a backup elsewhere. The catching situation probably
won't be upgraded since both David Ross and Javier Valentin are under
contract for next year.
If the Reds foolishly decline Dunn's option, they could go with Votto in left
field and Hatteberg at first. They'd have a lot more money to throw at
pitchers and they could become the favorites to land Cordero. However, they
wouldn't be any better for it. My guess is that they'll exercise the option
and then deal Dunn after he loses his no-trade protection on June 15. Either
way, third place would seem to be the best-case scenario.
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