Retro Prospect Spotlight: Homer Bailey
http://tinyurl.com/ak86ea
Name: Homer Bailey | Organization: Cincinnati Reds
Position: Pitcher | Drafted: 2004 #7 overall pick
Bats: Right | Throws: Right | Height: 6-4 | Weight: 205
[Below is the original "Prospect Spotlight" that I wrote about Homer Bailey
back on March 9, 2007. The point of these retro series is to bring back
important players, drafts, events or games and look at them from today's
perspective. Not that two years is a long time ago, but I think it's long
enough ago to look back at a pitcher who was supposed to be the next big
thing and has still yet to pan out. While Bailey has yet to fulfill his
legacy, he still may be able to reach some form of stardom but it may be in
another uniform as the former prospect may need a simple change of scenery.
Here's how Bailey looked almost two years ago to myself as well as many other
people in the world of baseball.]
Before the start of every new season it seems as if everyone rolls out their
own “Top Prospects” list. While everyone’s differs in some way, shape, or
form, there has been one thing that has been consistent across the boards
this season. No matter who it is doing the list, the top two pitching
prospects are always some variation of Philip Hughes and Homer Bailey. I
personally feel that Bailey is the better pitcher, however Hughes will
probably end up seeing more success due to the fact that as long as he’s
wearing Yankee pinstripes, he’ll always have a powerful lineup behind him.
But one thing is for certain, no matter which one you believe is superior,
you can’t argue the abilities of the Cincinnati Reds’ top prospect Homer
Bailey.
History: The tall right hander was chosen with the seventh overall pick
straight out of high school in the 2004 draft. He entered the draft with high
accolades and many scouts singing his praises as the best high school
pitching prospect in the country. In fact, despite Bailey pitching against
some of the toughest competition in the country, he still dominated on mound
and went on to be named Baseball America’s High School Player of the Year.
After the Reds drafted the Texas born fireballer, Bailey would go on to have
a rough first year as a pro. Bailey would end up struggling a bit with his
command and was forced by coaches to rely heavily on his changeup (his
weakest pitch) in order to help develop it further. Despite his struggles it
was still obvious that he had the skills of a superstar in the making. That
became very apparent in 2006 when he had a breakout season and named Baseball
America’s top prospect in the Florida State League as a member of the
Sarasota Reds and in the Southern League as a member of the Chattanooga
Lookouts. 2006 was a huge year for Bailey as his performances helped etch his
name as one of the top overall prospects in all of baseball.
Scouting Report: Bailey has all the pieces to be a number one starter for
years to come. He’s tall with a big league frame and superb arm action. He
has a 3/4 slot motion that allows him to stay tall along with two plus
pitches (fastball at 89-97 mph with good movement and a curveball at 75-80
mph with a dominant 12-to-6 break) which when he has working makes him
virtually untouchable. He has been trying to develop his changeup which is
currently below average, but the Reds hope he will be able to improve it with
another year of seasoning in the minors. The only concern scouts have had
with this youngster is his lack of control at times. Most of these worries
were put to rest last year as he improved immensely from his rocky 2005
season. Bailey has the makeup of a true work horse and once he is able to
improve his changeup, will have quite a strong arsenal of pitches at his
disposal.
As I said earlier, I believe Homer Bailey is the top pitching prospect in the
game of baseball. He will be a number one starter for years to come and
should be able to overcome the hitter’s heaven known as the Great American
Ballpark. Despite having an unfortunate first name for a pitcher, Bailey has
the build, potential, tools, and confidence to be one of the best pitchers in
baseball in the next few years.
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