[外電] Can Rockets Threaten Thunder in Playof
看板Rockets (休士頓 火箭)作者KenRock (BasketBall Thug)時間12年前 (2013/04/08 14:16)推噓23(25推 2噓 21→)留言48則, 27人參與討論串1/1
Can Rockets Threaten Thunder in Playoffs?
http://0rz.tw/Qu1BO
By Bill Ingram
Senior NBA Editor
The countdown to the 2013 NBA Playoffs has officially begun,
with teams having less than ten games remaining
in their regular season schedules.
If the playoffs started today, the Houston Rockets would start
postseason play in Oklahoma City, the home of the defending
Western Conference Champion Thunder.
如果今日就開始打季後賽，HOU將對上上屆西區分組冠軍OKC。
Normally the seventh seed is expected to roll over for the second seed,
but if the Thunder and Rockets do, indeed, match up in the first round
you can expect a dogfight with plenty of extra drama thrown in.
First and foremost, these two teams made a trade right before the season
started that seems to have helped Houston more than it did the Thunder.
The one thing the Rockets lacked was a legit superstar to carry the load,
and James Harden turned into that kind of player seemingly overnight.
He leads the Rockets is scoring and is widely considered the third-best
shooting guard in the league behind Kobe Bryant and Dwyane Wade.
The Thunder got some nice pieces in return, but they have struggled
to find consistent offense off the bench to replace Harden’s production
in the sixth-man role.
With that in mind, we take a look at what could be a very
competitive first round match-up.
如果HOU真的在第一輪對上OKC，您可以預期一場充滿戲劇性的大亂鬥上演。
最先要提到的就是兩隊在季中的交易，顯而易見地對HOU的幫助遠大於OKC。
原本本季就缺乏一名名符其實的超級球星的HOU，在一夕之間得到了HARDEN。
這名實力被廣泛認定為聯盟第三SG(在KOBE與WADE後)用得分能力帶領火箭隊升空。
而OKC雖然得到了一些回饋，
但仍再掙扎著找尋能代替HADREN從板凳出發的最佳第六人角色與穩定得分火力。
讓我們來檢視一下這兩隊在第一輪對決的競爭力吧。
＊2012~2013 STATS:
MPG FG% 3P% FT% RPG APG SPG BPG TO PPG APER
JAMES HARDEN 38.2 0.442 0.371 0.860 4.8 5.9 1.8 0.5 3.6 25.8 26.02
KEVIN MARTIN 27.9 0.445 0.418 0.888 2.3 1.4 1.0 0.1 1.3 14.0 15.49
The Case For Oklahoma City
Aside from being the second-best team in the Western Conference this season
and the defending conference champs, the Thunder bring a great deal to the
table that should make them the heavy favorites if they take on the Rockets.
They have one of basically two MVP candidates in Kevin Durant,
who has elevated his game once again and is simply an unstoppable force
on the offensive end. Next to him is another player who is capable
of putting up MVP numbers in Russell Westbrook.
Together, Durant and Westbrook form the best one-two punch in the West,
with only LeBron James and Dwyane Wade coming close in the East.
The Thunder are not just Durant and Westbrook, however,
and preparing for them in that way has cost plenty of teams this season.
There is a strong case to be made that Serge Ibaka is the best defensive player
in the year, and Kendrick Perkins is as tough as anyone in the NBA
when it comes to protecting the paint and protecting his teammates.
Kevin Martin, who came over from Houston in the aforementioned trade,
would like nothing better than to help his new team eliminate his old one,
and Derek Fisher is certainly no stranger to postseason play.
OKC also has a number of key role players who have stepped up over
the course of the season, from Thabo Sefolosha,
who is one of the best perimeter defenders in the league,
to Nick Collison, who is a savvy veteran who always seems
to make the right play at the right time.
Finally, the case for OKC is made best through looking at the results of
the three games these two teams have played against each other this season.
The first two were complete blowouts by the Thunder,
who seemed to be content to just let Harden get his numbers
and stop everyone else.
The third game was a rare off night for Durant,
but even with their MVP going 4-for-13 from the field,
the Thunder managed to build a significant lead only to lose
by three after a furious Houston rally in the fourth quarter.
The Thunder may not be quite as good as last year,
but they are still going to be an incredibly tough out . . .
and heavy favorites no matter who they face in the first round.
OKC
1.西區分組例行賽戰績NO.2。
2.西區分組冠軍衛冕保衛戰。
3.兩位MVP候選人KD+RW。 (西區最強二人組) <==> LBJ+DW(東區最強二人組)。
4.Serge Ibaka。 => 年度最佳防守球員之一。
5.Kendrick Perkins。 => 禁區硬漢。
6.Kevin Martin。 => 前火箭SG，帶領新東家打敗舊東家的決心。
7.Derek Fisher。 => 經驗豐富的老魚。(0.4秒的神手)
8.Thabo Sefolosha。 => 聯盟最佳後場大鎖之一。
9.Nick Collison。 => 經驗豐富且中規中矩的白人苦工。
10.對戰成績 HOW 1W2L <==> OKC 2W1L。
前兩戰OKC成功封鎖Harden及其他人，並打爆HOU。
第三戰哈林連線大爆發，KD難得落賽，戰至第四節才以三分獲勝。
11.單以OKC來說，或許沒有像去年一樣生猛。
但仍是非常難以擊敗的退伍，無論第一輪對上哪一隊都是大熱門。
The Case For Houston
There may not be many reasons for Houston fans to hope their home town heroes,
qualifying for the playoffs for the first time since Yao Ming went down,
will make it out of the first round, but there are plenty of reasons
to watch and hope.
First of all, the Rockets have plenty of weapons, and beyond Harden
it’s never easy to know where Houston’s offense is going to come from.
In Houston’s lone win of the series against OKC this season, for example,
Jeremy Lin scored 29 points and vastly outplayed Thunder
All-Star point guard Russell Westbrook.
In the second matchup of the season it was really Marcus Morris
(now a Phoenix Sun) who lead Houston’s attack.
In their first meeting of the season it was Patrick Patterson
(now a Sacramento King) who did most of the damage.
Morris and Patterson may be gone, but other players have stepped in to
keep Houston unpredictable and winning. For the last two wins the Rockets
have been without Harden, yet they rung up wins over the Los Angeles Clippers
and Orlando Magic with their leading scorer on the sidelines.
Against the Clippers, Chandler Parsons, Jeremy Lin and Francisco Garcia
all tallied 15 points apiece leading five Rockets in double figures
in a lopsided win over one of the West’s best teams. Against Orlando
it was Omer Asik with 22 points and 18 rebounds who led the way.
Playing against the Thunder you know who you’ve got to stop.
If you can slow down Durant or Westbrook, you’ll have a chance
to beat them. With Houston it’s not nearly so easy to game plan.
If you stop Harden – and he averaged 29.3 points against his former
team this season – there’s no telling who will rise up to fuel the Rockets’
afterburners. Houston simply has a deep arsenal of players who have stepped up
throughout the season and played exceptionally well.
HOU
1.至從姚明退休後，火箭迷首次有希望看到火箭從第一輪脫穎而出。
2.火箭有諸多武器埋伏在HARDEN身後，是一隻非常難防守的球隊。
3.以對戰三場的火力狀況來說: 11/28 PPT:27PTS (已交易至KINGS)
12/29 MM: 24PTS (已交易至SUNS)
02/20 LIN:29PTS，HARDEN:46PTS
註:第三戰LIN完敗RW。
4.雖然PPT與MM被交易走了，但面對LAC與ORL的比賽中，
得分主力HARDEN因傷未出席，其他人紛紛跳出來幫助球隊贏得勝利。
VS LAC: 五人得分上雙。(LIN，ASIK，PARSONS，GARCIA，DEFINO。)
VS ORL: 六人得分上雙。(LIN，ASIK 22PTS 18REB，GARCIA，DEFINO，DMO，SMITH。)
顯示交易後，火箭的板凳深度並未受到PPT與MM出走而下滑。
5.戰略分析:
HOU面對OKC，顯而易見就是讓KD守住RW，或是RW守住KD，就能阻擋OKC獲勝。
而OKC面對HOU，卻沒那麼簡單。即使你守住HARDEN(PPG 29.3 vs OKC)，
但你永遠無法預料誰會挺身而出，補上火力缺口。
強大的火力與眾多的武器，出乎意料的攻勢，這就是HOU的優勢。
The Verdict
The reality here is that the Oklahoma City Thunder are the defending
Western Conference champs for a reason. They have as talented a starting lineup
as you’ll find outside of possibly San Antonio and Miami,
they have an outstanding young coach in Scott Brooks who has
the complete faith and confidence of his players. Unlike the Rockets,
the core group in OKC has been together for a long time,
and they have the experience of two consecutive trips to the NBA Finals
to show for their efforts. Longevity and consistency, which are
so important in postseason play, are squarely on the side of OKC.
The Thunder also have two players who consistently rise to new heights
in the playoffs, and considering how good Durant and Westbrook are during
the regular season, that’s a terrifying prospect for Rockets head coach Kevin McHale.
All of that said, however, the Rockets have won a ton of games they werent expected
to win this season, seemingly unaware of their underdog status.
Perhaps that same naïveté will serve them well once the playoffs begin.
There is no pressure on Houston, as just making the playoffs represents
a big step in their rebuilding process. On the other hand,
anything short of a championship will be considered a failure for the Thunder.
Unfortunately for Houston, this young Thunder teams just seems to get better when the pressure’s on.
總結
1.OKC並定勢死捍衛西區分組冠軍。 <==> 去年季賽尾段摔到老九。
2.OKC擁有如同HEATS及SPURS等級能力的先發名單。<==> 大部分都是去年替補，都很菜。
3.OKC擁有Scott Brooks，一位對於自己球員有堅定信任與信心的年輕教練。
HOU擁有Kevin McHale，有可能對於KD+RW依舊無解的教練。
4.與HOU不同，OKC的核心陣容已經磨合了很久，並連續兩年問鼎NBA總冠軍。
已經證明OKC擁有在季後賽作戰的實力與穩定性。 <==> YOU NEVER KNOW
5.HOU已經在這個賽季跌破眾多專家眼鏡，或許天真地想，在季後賽也能如此過關斬將。
相對於OKC，HOU可以說是沒有任何重擔。而OKC卻是帶著衛冕西冠壓力及總冠軍的壓力
，對於HOU來說能進入進後賽已經是重建中的一大步。而OKC卻是沒有半點容錯的可能。
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
短評: 如上述第五點。雖然大家嘴巴說季後練經驗就好，但掩不住內心的期待。
我個人是比較看好這個對戰組合HOU VS OKC。
＊HOU VS NUGGETS: 10%>晉級機率>0%
被橫掃先不提，昨天被打暴也沒關係，金塊主場好硬先放一邊。
但是同樣是講究快節奏打法的金塊，對上火箭硬是更快更有效率。
四場對戰的fg%，甚至連最自豪3p%都贏火箭。
(什麼巫術呀，金塊3P較準)
甚至連fast break Pts除了第二場平手，其他場也是輸給金塊。
防守本季要進階幾乎不可能，進攻面上述數據一覽無疑。
教練?! Kevin McHale <==> George Karl
＊HOU VS SPURS: 25%>晉級機率>0%
對戰成績HOU 1W3L <==> SPURS 3W1L，內含一場LIN爆氣打到OT輸球。
首先馬刺沒有想像中那麼老，再來團隊籃球可說是聯盟屬一屬二的。
如果PARKER季後能健康回歸，即使GINO仍不能上場，板凳深度還是樂勝。
而季後賽最需要的穩定性與持續性，非公務員莫屬了。
雖說HOU常常有人會爆氣，但是遇到這種老經驗+團隊籃球。
雖然DUNCAN會微笑吃T，但是火箭是出名全國客場呀!
教練?! Kevin McHale <==> Gregg Popovich
＊HOU VS OKC: 35%>晉級機率>0%
想法同此篇文章，我個人覺得HOU比較怕多點進攻和擅打團隊籃球的。
反而還比較不怕這種得分火力明顯集中在球星的球隊。
看看對上勇士，火力集中在CURRY，Thompson，LEE的球隊。
我們仍取得優勢的對戰成績。(純粹舉例，非比較OKC與WARRIORS)
人家有?爹罩，我們只有一個金身呀?!
教練?! Kevin McHale <==> Scott Brooks
--
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