[情報] BP Rockies Top 11 Prospects
System In 20 Words Or Less: There’s a good combination of near big
league-ready talent and youngsters to dream on.
Five-Star Prospects
1. Nolan Arenado, 3B
2. Drew Pomeranz, LHP
Four-Star Prospects
3. Wilin Rosario, C
4. Chad Bettis, RHP
5. Tim Wheeler, OF
Three-Star Prospects
6. Tyler Matzek, RHP
7. Rosell Herrera, SS/3B
8. Trevor Story, SS
9. Josh Rutledge, SS
10. Tyler Anderson, LHP
11. Kent Matthes, OF
Nine More:
12. Charlie Blackmon, OF: He reached the majors and got hurt. Scouts wobble
between him being a good fourth outfielder and second-division starter.
13. Christian Adames, SS: He has the potential for well above-average
defense, but will he hit enough?
14. Edwar Cabrera, LHP: He put up incredible numbers thanks to an outstanding
changeup, but he’s a bit of a trick pitcher.
15. Kyle Parker, OF: This first-round pick didn't mash at Low-A, especially
away from Asheville.
16. Christian Friedrich, LHP: His dominance in 2009 is in the rear-view
mirror with no great explanation for his decline.
17. Corey Dickerson, OF: Last year's sleeper slugged 32 home runs but also
had baseball's most extreme splits with a .354/.417/.844 line at home, and
.193/.280/.363 mark on the road.
18. DJ LeMahieu, INF: This future utility player offers some hitting skills
and positional flexibility
19. Will Swanner, C: He’s a catcher with plus power who needs to improve
behind the plate.
20. Rafael Ortega, OF: Ortega is an athletic center fielder with tools in a
small package, but his approach is a mess.
1. Nolan Arenado, 3B
DOB: 4/16/91
Height/Weight: 6-1/205
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted/Signed: Second round, 2009 El Toro HS (CA)
2011 Stats: .298/.349/.487 at High A (134 G)
Tools Profile: He’s an excellent hitter who has made dramatic leaps
defensively.
Year in Review: The top bat in the system made improvements throughout the
season, shined in the Arizona Fall League, and shocked scouts with his
defensive development.
The Good: Arenado is a fantastic pure hitter with a seemingly supernatural
feel for contact. He had more extra-base hits (55) than strikeouts (53)
thanks to great hands, and has the strength to hit 20-25 home runs annually.
He's honed his approach to avoid pitches he can hit but not drive, and he's
worked hard to improve his physique and his defense at third base. Scouts now
don't only think he can stay at the hot corner, but also believe Arenado can
be average, if not slightly above.
The Bad: There is open debate on Arenado's power ceiling; some see it as
merely average. He's consistently played in very friendly environments, and
that's not going to change as long as he's with the Rockies. He doesn't run
well.
Ephemera: Nine of Arenado's 20 home runs came in 138 at-bats as the five-hole
hitter for Modesto. He hit 11 home runs over 369 at-bats in any other batting
position.
Perfect World Projection: He could be an All-Star third baseman.
Fantasy Impact: Batting average and power. Who doesn't need that?
Path to the Big Leagues: The Rockies cleared a path of Arenado by trading Ian
Stewart, but talk of him breaking camp in the big leagues is more than a
little aggressive. He'll likely begin the year at Double-A, but can hit his
way to the big leagues.
ETA: Late 2012
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=15780
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