2013 Rockies Top 20 Prospects

看板Rockies作者Tulowitzki2 (屠龍)時間12年前 (2013/01/16 07:09)推噓6(6推 0噓 11→)

留言17則, 4人參與討論串1/1

幫補原文連結 http://ppt.cc/Gc4U 順便重新解釋一下 Sickels 的分級標準 Grade A 新秀中的佼佼者，有機會成為明星或看板。只要沒有傷痛困擾的話，這些新秀幾乎都能在大聯盟佔有一席之地。 Grade B 有的會成為明星，擁有不錯的球員生涯；有的不會。未來這些新秀，至少能當個龍套，在大聯盟混個幾年球季。 Geade C 最常見的類型。這種新秀有些可取之處，但同時也有一些會讓他們看起來離大聯盟很遠的問題。少數（特別是在低階的）人可以長成球星。 C級的新秀可能成為板凳或功能性球員，也有很多根本上不了大聯盟。每個層級的分類還有一些差別。我的評比算是嚴苛的，C+算不錯了，有些C+（尤其是低階）的最後也長得不錯。最後請記得，這些都只是簡略的評比而已，詳細內容還是要看球探報告比較好。菜鳥聯盟的 Grade C 或許將來會很強悍，但三A的 Grade C 大概就只能那樣了。以下簡單翻一下，有興趣或疑慮的話大家自己看原文 XD ※ 引述《MattSzczur (凱薩大帝)》之銘言： : 1) Trevor Story, SS, Grade B+: Borderline A-: I want to see how his contact : issues look against better pitching, but overall there are a lot of things to : like here. . .power, speed, walks, defense, a complete package if the : strikeouts don't eat him up. I don't expect they will. Ranks a bit ahead of : Dahl due to defensive premium. 1) Trevor Story, SS, B+ ～ A- （今年開季20歲, 2012層級A）他有很多優點：打擊power、速度、保送、防守。但他的contact是個大問題，若能克服被三振太多的這個麻煩，他就是完全體了。排名比Dahl前面的原因是他防守的潛能較好。 : 2) David Dahl, OF, Grade B+: Borderline A-. Almost went with the A-, but Story : needs to rank ahead due to defensive premium and longer track record. I like : them both. Like Story, Dahl can be a complete offensive player with power, : speed, and defensive contributions. I just want to see him outside the Pioneer : League. 2) David Dahl, OF,　B+ ～ A- （今年開季19歲, 2012層級R）跟 Story 一樣，爆發力、腳程、守備都很好。迫不及待看他在更高階聯盟的表現了。 : 3) Nolan Arenado, 3B; Grade B+: Glove is very good, should be a solid but not : outstanding hitter in a neutral environment, say .275/.330/.450, however Coors : Field should play to his strengths and goose those numbers. 3) Nolan Arenado, 3B, B+ （今年開季22歲, 2012層級AA）防守很棒，打擊穩定但無法太搶眼，大概像 .275/.330/.450 這種數字。不過在褲兒濕球場的話應該能再好看一點吧。 : 4) Kyle Parker, OF, Grade B: Made very good progress cutting down on his : strikeouts and improving plate discipline, and I don't think his power was a : Cal League illusion. Not a .300 hitter in a neutral environment, but should be : a 20+ homer guy. 4) Kyle Parker, OF, B （今年開季23歲, 2012層級A+）進步很多的一個球季，三振大幅減少，打擊耐心也提升很多，我認為他展現出來的爆發力是真貨。不是一個3成打者，但是他可以穩定繳出20轟。 : 5) Edwar Cabrera, LHP, Grade B-: He's got that killer changeup, low-90s : fastball, and a decent-enough curve, plus he pitched well in Colorado Springs. : Whether that's enough to survive Coors, I don't know, but in a neutral : environment I think he'd be a solid fourth starter. 5) Edwar Cabrera, LHP, B- （今年開季25歲, 2012層級AA、AAA、MLB）很殺的變速球，low-90s速球，不錯的曲球，在3A丟得不錯（譯註：3A球場比Coors還要偏打者）我不知道這樣夠不夠在褲兒濕生存啦，但在其他地方可以當個不錯的四號了。 : 6) Eddie Butler, RHP, Grade B-: Sinker/slider combo with velocity plus movement : gave him 2.13 ERA with 55/13 K/BB, 1.96 GO/AO in the Pioneer League. Poor : changeup may limit him to relief at higher levels, but if it comes around he : could be a number three starter. 6) Eddie Butler, RHP, B- （今年開季22歲, 2012層級R）球速、伸卡球、滑球、尾勁等等讓他今年在菜鳥聯盟投得很殺。糟糕的變速球可能會讓他在高階聯盟無法勝任後援的工作，不過若能克服這個，他將會成為一個三號先發。 : 7) Tyler Anderson, LHP, Grade B-: Average fastball but excellent changeup and : control resulted in 2.47 ERA in Low-A, 81/28 K/BB in 120 innings. Breaking ball : is so-so and limits his strikeout potential. Projects as a number four starter. 7) Tyler Anderson, LHP, B- （今年開季23歲, 2012層級A）中等的速球、出色的變速球和控球，在低A投得不錯。普普的變化球限制了他的三振功力，大概是個四號投手。 : 8) Corey Dickerson, OF, Grade B-: At some point people just have to admit that : the guy can hit, mediocre tools and middling glove aside. May not be a big : batting average guy, but the power is real in my view. 8) Corey Dickerson, OF, B- （今年開季24歲, 2012層級A+、AA）打擊可能沒辦法很好，但power是真貨。 : 9) Tyler Matzek, LHP, Grade C+: Stuff isn't the problem, but will his command : ever be good enough for the stuff to matter? I have no idea. Grade A arm, but : Grade C/D+ in the control and consistency departments. 9) Tyler Matzek, LHP, C+ （今年開季22歲, 2012層級A+） A級的手臂和stuff。但是無論控球、command、穩定度都屬C/D級，我也不知道他到底有沒有辦法把他們進步到足以和stuff相襯。 : 10) Rafael Ortega, OF, Grade C+: Line drive hitter with amazing defensive : skills, but needs to prove that his bat will hold up against advanced pitching. : Double-A will tell us if he can be a possible regular or just a good fourth : outfielder. 10) Rafael Ortega, OF, C+ （今年開季22歲, 2012層級A+、MLB）平飛球打者，防守技巧高超。不過他的打擊還需要在2A精進，否則他就只能是個四號外野手。 : 11) Chad Bettis, RHP, Grade C+: Missed entire season with shoulder problems. : He's a solid Grade B prospect if healthy, as a mid-rotation starter or (more : probably) a relief option and potential closer due to his issues with the : changeup. Both fastball and slider are plus/plus pitches. 11) Chad Bettis, RHP, C+ （今年開季24歲, 2011層級A+）因為肩膀傷勢報銷2012球季，他健康的時候會是個很好的B級新秀。速球和滑球都屬上乘，但變速球問題使他最多能成為中段輪值或終結者。 : 12) Tom Murphy, C, Grade C+: Third round pick from University of Buffalo is : somewhat raw as college players go, but is athletic, has power, and unlike Will : Swanner he'll stay at catcher. 12) Tom Murphy, C, C+ （今年開季22歲, 2012層級A-）有爆發力，是塊運動員的料，不過還沒完全適應職業球賽。他應該會繼續蹲捕，不像下面那位 Will Swanner 。 : 13) Will Swanner, C, Grade C+: Enormous power, 30-homer potential, but his : strikeout problems (101 in 325 AB) may preclude batting average/OBP against : better pitching. His defense is terrible, caught 10% of runners and gave up 120 : stolen bases in 75 games behind the plate in Low-A. 13) Will Swanner, C, C+ （今年開季21歲, 2012層級A）驚人的power有著30轟的潛力，但超高的三振率會限制他的 AVG & OBP。他的防守暴爛，在低階1A的75場蹲捕中，被盜了110個壘，阻殺率只有10趴。（譯註：他另外有13場是以DH身分出賽） : 14) Ryan Wheeler, 3B-1B, Grade C+: Acquired in trade with Diamondbacks. : Adequate glove at third could keep position warm until Arenado is ready. Bat is : average with decent power and should play well in Coors. 14) Ryan Wheeler, 3B-1B, C+ （今年開季24歲, 2012層級AAA、MLB）用 Matt Reynolds 從小蛇隊換來的。在Arenado上來之前，他可以勝任三壘的防守工作。打擊中等、power不賴，應該能在褲兒濕打得不錯。 : 15) Tim Wheeler, OF, Grade C+: Hamate injury sapped power, hit just two homers : in Triple-A after knocking 33 in Double-A in 2011. True level of talent is : somewhere in between. Has problems hitting lefties, solid glove, platoon/fourth : outfielder profile. 15) Tim Wheeler, OF, C+ （今年開季25歲, 2012層級AAA）手部鉤骨的傷勢導致他的power一落千丈，2011年打33發，2012只有2發。不善打左投，防守好，四號外野或platoon。 : 16) Jayson Aquino, LHP, Grade C+: Highly projectable lefty made brief but : successful debut in Pioneer League (1.87 ERA in 43 innings) after dominating : Dominican Summer League. 88-92 now with more heat possible, has a good : changeup, working on breaking stuff, just turned 20. 16) Jayson Aquino, LHP, C+ （今年開季20歲, 2012層級R）才要20歲而已，變速球不賴，速球和球質都在精進中。 : 17) Rob Scahill, RHP, Grade C+: Easy to overlook due to 5.68 ERA in Triple-A, : but that's Colorado Springs and his FIP was two runs lower. Quality : fastball/sinker/slider combination could be useful in pen if command is there, : could also be fifth starter. 17) Rob Scahill, RHP, C+ （今年開季26歲, 2012層級AAA）在AAA的成績沒有帳面上的慘，fastball/sinker/slider在牛棚會有點用，或是當個五號。 : 18) Joe Gardner, RHP, Grade C+: Another sinkerballer with 2.04 GO/AO in : Double-A, should see the majors sometime this year. Like Scahill, he could be a : back-end starter or a reliever that you can stretch out more than one inning. 18) Joe Gardner, RHP, C+ （今年開季25歲, 2012層級AA）又一個滾滾投手，今年應該會上來露臉。和 Rob Scahill 一樣，可能支援先發或是較長的中繼。 : 19) Danny Rosenbaum, LHP, Grade C+: Rule 5 pick from Nationals could stick in : bullpen with a chance to start at some point given good durability history, : control, and ground ball tendency (2.29 GO/AO in Double-A). We should sense a : theme here with sinker specialists Rosenbaum, Gardner, and Scahill all in line : for trials. 19) Danny Rosenbaum, LHP, C+ （今年開季25歲, 2012層級AA）用規則五選秀從國民隊挑來的左投，也是個滾滾人，定位和前兩位差不多。 : 20) Wilfredo Rodriguez, C, Grade C+: Seventh round pick out of high school in : Puerto Rico is stocky at 5-10, 200, but quite mobile, should develop into a : good defensive catcher, has power potential, hit .319/.370/.452 in Pioneer : League. Long-term prospect but quite interesting. 20) Wilfredo Rodriguez, C, C+ （今年開季19歲, 2012層級R）有點長打潛力，或許會是個防守好的捕手。值得長期培養的年輕新秀。 : OTHER GRADE C+ PLAYERS: Cristhian Adames, SS; Rosell Herrera, INF; Seth : Willoughby, RHP. These guys could easily slot in the 16-20 range but I wanted : to highlight guys closer to the majors. 其他 C+ Cristhian Adames, SS Rosell Herrera, INF Seth Willoughby, RHP 其實他們也能輕易排進16~20名的位置，不過我比較聚焦在接近大聯盟層級的球員。 : OTHERS: Charlie Culberson, 2B; Taylor Featherston, INF; Ryan Garvey, OF; Angel : Lezama, RHP; Kent Matthes, OF; Sam Mende, INF; Scott Oberg, RHP; Jeff Popick, : OF; Harold Riggins, 1B; Helmis Rodriguez, LHP; Antonio Senzatela, RHP; Peter : Tago, RHP; Ryan Warner, RHP; Max White, OF; Danny Winkler, RHP; Julian Yan, OF. : As everyone knows, the Rockies have a unique challenge in developing players : for the extreme offensive conditions in Coors Field. 大家都知道落磯的褲兒濕是個極端打者球場，要養成新秀有其難度。 : The strength is the hitting at the top of the system. Aside from a poor July, : Arenado's 2012 season was in line with what he did in 2011 once league contexts : are considered. His glove is coming along nicely and he should be a productive : hitter, if a bit short of stardom. Story and Dahl have a few questions to : answer, but if things go well both can be A-grade prospects a year from now. I : am pro-Parker, so at the top of the chart you have four players who should be : solid regulars at least and possibly (probably?) more. Dickerson, Ortega, and : both Wheelers should all be valuable role players of some variety. There are : also some interesting middle infield types with unproven bats to provide some : depth beyond Story. I also like the catching depth, even if I doubt Swanner : behind the plate both Murphy and Wilfredo Rodriguez from the 2012 draft are : very promising. 農場頂端的優勢還是打者。拋開糟糕的七月，Arenado 的表現和 2011 相差不大，他的防守越來越好，在攻擊面也能有穩定的輸出，雖然可能不夠好。 Story 和 Dahl 都有些問題要解決，若是搞定的話他們明年就會晉升為A級新秀。 Dickerson, Ortega, 兩位 Wheeler 都會有點用處。在 Story 後面還有一些棒子尚未開竅的MI。捕手深度不錯，Murphy、Rodriguez 兩位大有可為，但我懷疑 Swanner 的防守。 : Things are tougher on the pitching side. The most advanced pitching prospect is : Cabrera, who is unconventional but successful, though whether that will work in : Coors is unknown. Matzek and Bettis have higher upside, but Tyler's command : troubles are legendary and Chad's shoulder is worrisome for me until he proves : his health. Both could thrive, both could bust. We need higher level data from : Butler and Anderson but neither of them have done anything wrong yet. Products : of the Latin American program like Aquino and the successful pitchers in the : Dominican Summer League like Rodriguez and Senzatela need innings but could be : breaktroughs in the lower levels of the system. There is quite a bit of : material that could fit in a bullpen, much of it close to the majors. 但是在投手這方面就麻煩多了。最成功的 Cabrera 能不能在褲兒濕生存還是未定之天。 Matzek 和 Bettis 有很高的天賦，但 Matzek 的command已經是史詩級的麻煩； Bettis 的肩傷也讓人擔憂。他們可能一飛沖天，也可能會化成灰燼。 Butler 和 Anderson 還需要更高階的比賽來觀察，目前為止沒什麼大問題。拉美投手如 Antonio Senzatela、Helmis Rodriguez、Jayson Aquino 都還需要再磨練，預期他們在低階聯盟會有所突破。有足夠的 MLB-ready 投手可以支援牛棚。 : In short, the Rockies system has some weak points and needs some pitchers with : fewer question-marks, but there is positional depth that many teams would envy, : especially at the top. 簡而言之，落磯農場有些弱點而且急需好投手，不過在農場前段，也擁有讓其他球隊稱羨的野手深度。心得：和前幾年的名單相比就知道，這系統中的投打養成都出了些問題這個球季最大的亮點當屬Story、Dahl，以及幾乎是起死回生的Friedrich 除此之外簡直乏善可陳不是養壞，就是沒有如預期進步 Tyler Matzek 的command Nolan Arenado 的power Chad Bettis 痛痛 Tim Wheeler 受傷後大退步 Peter Tago ..... Kent Matthes...... 其他表現不錯的多半開竅太慢高階的進步有限，年輕的還太嫩看不出什麼天花板我們最需要的位置是先發投手和三壘手再比照一下這農場，有辦法期待能成為實質戰力的新人真的沒幾個幾筆交易，上沒補到洞，下沒加深度實在難以教人對這個冬天的動作感到滿意 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 118.170.185.159 ※ 編輯: Tulowitzki2 來自: 118.170.185.159 (01/16 07:18)

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