[球員] Royals Top 20 Prospects for 2012
Kansas City Royals Top 20 Prospects for 2012 http://0rz.tw/yjJ20
1) Bubba Starling, OF, Grade A-: He will be in my Top 50 hitters, although I
don't exactly know where yet. Enormous upside with power/speed/Winfield-like
potential, but rawness an issue, and I regard this grade and ranking as
somewhat risky.
2) Wil Myers, OF, Grade A-: I still believe in him, and I expect a big step
forward in 2012. Moving up to the PCL, he could explode in the same way that
Brett Lawrie did.
3) Cheslor Cuthbert, 3B, Grade B+/Borderline A-. If he hadn't slumped so badly
in August this would be a no-brain A- grade. He was the youngest regular in the
Midwest League and dominated much of the season. Defense may be an issue but
bat could be special.
4) Jake Odorizzi, RHP, Grade B+: He has been a favorite of mine for three years
and I see no reason to change that opinion, although he needs to work a bit
lower in the zone.
5) Kelvin Herrera, RHP, Grade B: I'm shying away from giving relievers a B+,
but it is still possible in this case. There are lots of tough borderline
grades in this system.
6) Michael Montgomery, LHP, Grade B: Erratic, but still has high upside and is
close to the majors. Slight adjustments could result in a breakthrough.
7) Yordano Ventura, RHP, Grade B: You have to love the arm strength and he was
strong down the stretch. Grade could rise quickly in 2012.
8) Chris Dwyer, LHP, Grade B-: Another tough grade, but like Montgomery, there
is still a lot of upside here if he can get his command where it needs to be.
9) Christian Colon, SS, Grade B-: Very solid glove, and I have not given up on
the bat yet. High contact rate is a good marker and I think he can remain at
shortstop.
10) Elier Hernandez, OF, Grade B-: Ranking Latin American signees this young
who have no professional experience is very difficult, no matter how glowing
the scouting report. His ceiling is enormous but we have no idea if tools will
translate into skills.
11) Brett Eibner, OF, Grade B-: Another hard-to-handle grade, excellent power
potential, draws walks, but contact issues look serious. This is a partial
injury mulligan and he needs to get the bat going in '12 to retain this type of
rating.
12) Bryan Brickhouse, RHP, Grade B-/Borderline C+: One of many promising high
school players from '11 draft who signed too late to play. Without any pro
data, it is tough to rank them in relation to guys already in the system.
13) Kyle Smith, RHP, Grade B-/Borderline C+: Same thing as with Brickhouse,
impressive arm, bought away from college, scouts like him, but ranking is
difficult.
14) Jason Adam, RHP, Grade C+: You could make a case to rank him ahead of the
guys who haven't pitched yet. Seems overlooked and I think he could break
through at Wilmington.
15) John Lamb, LHP, Grade C+: Tommy John guy. Just have to wait and see.
Recovery of stuff and/or command is far from automatic.
16) Jorge Bonifacio, OF, Grade C+: Well-kept secret, somewhat raw, but toolsy,
hit well in Appy League, right field arm. Breakthrough candidate for 2012 if he
makes additional progress with strike zone.
17) Cam Gallagher, C, Grade C+: Second round high school catcher from 2011
draft, you could rank him as high as 12 if you believe in the bat. If all goes
well: Devin Mesoraco. If all goes poorly, Kyle Skipworth.
18) Clint Robinson, 1B, Grade C+: I know he's old, but I think he can hit. He
doesn't have Kila's problems with excessive patience. Would be a monster in
Japan, and would be a useable DH/1B bat for someone in the majors.
19) Jeremy Jeffress, RHP, Grade C+: Still trying to figure out how to use that
fastball, but seemed to go backwards this year despite making opening day
roster.
20) Tim Melville, RHP, Grade C+: Continues to flash ability but still
struggling to put it together game to game. Might be better off in the bullpen.
21) Brian Fletcher, OF, Grade C+: Need to see at higher levels, but he's mashed
in college and the low minors. Aggressive hitter, not great tools or defense.
22) Greg Billo, RHP, Grade C+: Outstanding numbers in Midwest League, although
scouts remain lukewarm due to lack of plus velocity. He is still quite young at
age 21.
OTHERS: Michael Antonio, SS; Noel Arguelles, LHP; Humberto Arteaga, SS; Buddy
Baumann, LHP; Jeff Bianchi, 2B; Mark Binford, RHP; Orlando Calixte, SS; Kevin
Chapman, LHP; Jake Junis, RHP; Patrick Leonard, OF; Jack Lopez, SS; David
Lough, OF; Justin Marks, LHP; Danny Mateo, INF; Adalberto Mondesi, SS (could
rank a lot higher, I am still researching him), Yamaico Navarro, SS; Elisaul
Pimentel, RHP; Leonel Santiago, RHP; Brandon Sisk, LHP; Tim Smith, OF; Will
Smith, LHP; Everett Teaford, LHP; D'Andre Toney, OF; Kendal Volz, RHP.
It took me four days to work through this team, and I am still not sure of many
of these grades. Ranking players who haven't played yet is a real pain,
especially the 16-year-old Latin American guys who haven't played good
competition. Even a North American high school guy like Starling isn't easy.
His ceiling is tremendous but everyone knows the risks involved as well, and
with no pro data to look at, I usually tend towards caution. Despite these
issues, I went aggressive with Starling and Elier Hernandez, but cautious with
others.
Major league promotions and pitcher attrition knocked the top layer off this
system, but there is a lot more on the way up. The 2011 draft was very heavy
with high-upside, high-risk, over-slot high school picks, and they have put a
lot of money into Latin America. The Glasses have given Dayton Moore and his
staff a lot of financial slack and they are using it aggressively.
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※ 編輯: zeroinfany 來自: 42.72.242.140 (10/16 10:23)
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