[心得] Scoles 11-20 Royals Prospects
11. Jason Adam – Jason’s combination of size, athleticism and velocity is
unmatched in the lower system of the Royals organization. If he can maintain
velocity and become more comfortable with his changeup then Jason has one of
the better ceilings in the system.
12. Brett Eibner – Brett struggled in his first season of pro ball due to
injury and bad luck on balls in play but there were positive signs in Eibner’
s power, patience and defense. Eibner who I think could be a poor mans Drew
Stubbs first season wasn’t all that different from Stubbs. He’ll get a big
challenge in Wilmington this season but if he can start to use his full
toolbox he’ll fly up this chart next year.
13. Noel Arguelles – Noel could have the best feel for a changeup in the
organization but if his velocity doesn’t find its original low to mid 90s
points it won’t matter what else he’s throwing in a starting role. As Greg
discussed prior he used a different workout program prior to signing with KC
and perhaps a return to that program could help him find his velocity. He
has a solid feel for pitching that got him by in Wilmington last season but he
’ll need more spice this year.
14. Will Smith – An addition of a slider at midseason turned Will’s season
around midseason. His 8-2 record and 3.16 ERA after the first half helped
him regain his status as a possible back of the rotation type in the future.
Keith Law described most of his pitches as ordinary and lacking deception
during instructs but hopefully the slider can develop into the pitch that can
equalize things for him. I saw his fastball at its best during the Royals
Futures Game running it up to 93 multiple times which is a level he’ll need
to find often to get more advanced hitters out.
15. Kevin Chapman – A power lefty with a mid 90s fastball and wipeout slider
Chapman’s 13.1 K/9 number is impressive and could become a key asset as a
LOOGY at the major league level as early as next year. Chapman’s 15.1 K/9
number vs lefties and .226 BAA at he AA level should make him ready to at
least start the year in AAA.
16. Clint Robinson - Big and powerful DH/1b who would be well served to get
an opportunity to succeed somewhere else. Robinson’s AAA numbers were very
impressive considering Werner isn’t exactly a LH haven. He has solid power
to all fields but his defensive liability probably makes him a DH if he would
ever get a shot at the ML level.
17. David Lough – A solid year by the major league outfield and a few
nagging injuries to David hurt any chance Lough had at getting a major league
audition but despite that David put together a solid season improving most
offensive stats. David at this point probably fits best as a 4th outfielder
18. Yordano Ventura – A big time major league fastball. He lacks size and
doesn’t have a secondary pitch he can lean on yet meaning he’ll need to
continue to develop his secondary pitches before he is a big time prospect.
A mid to upper 90′s fastball is a good starting point for at least a shot
in the pen in the future.
19. Christian Colon – I really had to question myself as to where I wanted
to put Colon on my list. While I don’t think he has what it takes to be a
major league second baseman the facts that he is a former 1st round pick and
he’ll likely play most of his games at the AAA level next year gives him a
better chance than most. The power that he showed in college hasn’t
transferred to the minor league level and as much as he is a student of the
game his lack of athleticism and body hurt his chances in my mind to be the
above average second baseman that scouts said he would be coming out of
college. In the end his status as a 1st roundpick and Kansas City’s use of
a middle infield backup will give Colon a shot at the major league level.
Analysis- For those of you who are unfamiliar with how I do my rankings
position and perception is factored into where I put them in the rankings.
If those weren’t factored into my thought process then Colon would be
ranked much lower probably in the late 20′s early 30′s range. I’m not a
Colon hater in fact I was a fan of Colon at Cal State Fullerton and watched
many of his games online his last year in college thinking there was a chance
KC would take him and while my first choice was Chris Sale out of college I
liked the pick of Colon with the in the draft. After seeing Christian for
one year and for a bit at the AZFL I don’t see the tools or talent that made
him successful in college but sticking to my system puts him in the 19th spot.
20. Bryan Brickhouse – Rumors were Brickhouse was throwing in the mid to
upper 90s during instructs and while I didn’t get to see that type of
velocity I liked his extension and arm speed. His fastball has decent
movement and he has the makings of what could be a good slider.
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