[討論] KC Royals Top 20 Prospects for 2013
By John Sickels on Nov 13, 9:29p
This list was updated January 15, 2013
1) Kyle Zimmer, RHP, Grade B+: Borderline B due to the bone chip surgery. If
healthy, a definite B+ due to combination of command, stuff, and early
performance.
2) Bubba Starling, OF, Grade B: Outstanding package of tools and showed
power/speed combo in Appy League, but scouting reports pointing to suboptimal
swing mechanics are bothersome. High risk/high reward guy.
3) Yordano Ventura, RHP, Grade B: Borderline B+: Love the stuff and I'm not
concerned about his size. Command wobbles in Double-A make me hesitate to
give him the +, but I may very well do so. Grade under further consideration.
4) Kyle Smith, RHP, Grade B: Athleticism, stuff, and command trump his small
size for me. Another guy who can be a mid-rotation starter.
5) Adalberto Mondesi, SS, Grade B: I buy into this one. This may seem like an
aggressive grade, but the tools are terrific and he was extremely young for
the Pioneer League. This is one tools guy I'll take a chance with.
6) Sam Selman, LHP, Grade B-: Borderline B. I want to see him outside the
Pioneer League before going higher, but he racked up strikeouts and ground
balls while generating better-than-expected scouting reports, given his
inconsistent college record.
7) John Lamb, LHP, Grade B-: I'm always careful with Tommy John grades, since
the recovery is not as automatic as people think. Retains mid-rotation upside
if health allows.
8) Orlando Calixte, SS, Grade B-: Another high risk/reward guy. I rank him
ahead of Bonifacio and Cuthbert due to positional scarcity.
9) Cheslor Cuthbert, 3B, Grade B-: Stock is unavoidably down due to a slump
that lasted almost a year. Defensive reports are good and he was the youngest
regular in the Carolina League, so it is way too soon to give up.
10) Jorge Bonifacio, OF, Grade B-: Starting to tap into his power but isn't
all the way there yet. You could rank him as high as eight due to youth, or
at least ahead of Calixte and Cuthbert due to performance, but positional
scarcity comes into play.
11) Jason Adam, RHP, Grade B-: I like him more than some people do, being
impressed with his command. Could be a nice inning-eating workhorse.
12) Cameron Gallagher, C, Grade C+: Still rather inexperienced, but has power
potential and the tools to stick behind the plate. Transition to full-season
ball will be very illuminating.
13) Bryan Brickhouse, RHP Grade C+: B- was his original grade but I decided
it was too high. Another ground ball generator who might be a workhorse, if
his mechanics come into line.
14) Elier Hernandez, OF, Grade C+: Big bonus guy from the Dominican was
terrible in the Pioneer League, but was just 17 years old. Hit zero homers
despite bat speed/raw power. Way too soon to give up.
15) Robinson Yambati, RHP, Grade C+: Good strikeout/grounder combination in
A-ball, erasing bad taste from awful 2011. Could help in the bullpen by 2014.
16) Miguel Almonte, RHP, Grade C+: Rookie ball sensation shows strong command
of fastball and changeup. Need to see how it transitions to higher levels,
but could rank much higher next year.
17) Donnie Joseph, LHP, Grade C+: Ground ball and strikeout tendencies are
pronounced, should make a good LOOGY at least.
18) Alexis Rivera, OF, Grade C+: Outfielder from Puerto Rico put a charge in
the ball in the Arizona Rookie League, hitting .341/.413/.477 at age 18. Good
plate discipline and bat speed, drafted in the 10th round.
19) Colin Rodgers, LHP, Grade C+: Polished strike-throwing high school
pitcher from Louisiana posted 2.05 ERA with 25/16 K/BB in 48 innings in the
Appalachian League. Third round pick, best pitch is power curveball.
20) Christian Colon, 2B, Grade C: Borderline C+. Contact hitter with decent
glove, won't live up to draft status but should be a workable utility player.
OTHERS: Humberto Arteaga, SS; Christian Binford, RHP; Edwin Carl, RHP;
Christian Colon, 2B; Kenny Diekroeger, INF; Chris Dwyer, LHP; Alfredo
Escalera, OF; Brett Eibner, OF; Andy Ferguson, RHP; Brian Fletcher, OF; Fred
Ford, OF; Chad Johnson, C; David Lough, OF; Justin Marks, LHP; Daniel Stumpf,
LHP; J.C. Sulbaran, RHP; Andrew Triggs, RHP
The comment below was written in October; I will leave it intact so you can
see how thing stood before the big trade James Shields trade with the Rays
that cost the Royals Wil Myers, Jake Odorizzi, Mike Montgomery, and Patrick
Leonard. Obviously that trade lopped the top off of this farm system which
looks considerably weaker now. If the Royals don't win this year,
************ORIGINAL COMMENT****************
Although not as rich as it was a couple of years ago, the Royals organization
has considerable high-end Grade B talent, plus a bunch of guys at lower
levels with great tools who could also rank highly over the next few years.
Investments in Latin America are starting to bear fruit. The $3,050,000 spent
on Elier Hernandez looks like a risky bet at this point, but several of the
pitching arms look good. Mondesi, Bonifacio, Calixte, and Cuthbert all push
the age-relative-to-league margins. I think Mondesi is the best of the lot,
and holding his own in the Pioneer League at age 16/17 is no easy task.
Myers is ready for a trial now and a clear Grade A in my book. The B+/B guys
after him all have a question-mark or two that prevents them from ranking
higher. Starling's upside his huge but we'll have to see about his swing. I
might be too tough on Ventura with a straight Grade B.
Overall, the minor league system is in a transitional phase due to injury
attrition and major league graduations, but there's still some depth here,
even if most of it isn't ready for the majors yet. Dayton Moore and company
get a lot of criticism for the problems with the big league team, much of it
justified, but the farm system still has a lot to offer down the line.
--
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