[討論] 2013 KC Royals Top 20 Prospects
1) Wil Myers, OF, Grade A: I believe in him. Now we'll see if the Royals do.
Love the power and overall package, main concern is strikeouts which could
inhibit batting average, at least in the short run.
2) Kyle Zimmer, RHP, Grade B+: Borderline B due to the bone chip surgery. If
healthy, a definite B+ due to combination of command, stuff, and early
performance.
3) Bubba Starling, OF, Grade B+: Borderline B. Outstanding package of tools and
showed power/speed combo in Appy League, but scouting reports pointing to
suboptimal swing mechanics are bothersome. High risk/high reward guy.
4) Jake Odorizzi, RHP, Grade B+: Borderline B. I've always liked Odo, but I do
worry about the fly ball tendency becoming a problem. My guess is that he could
struggle in the short run, but long-term I still expect him to be a number
three starter.
5) Yordano Ventura, RHP, Grade B: Borderline B+: Love the stuff and I'm not
concerned about his size. Command wobbles in Double-A make me hesitate to give
him the +, but I may very well do so. Grade under further consideration.
6) Kyle Smith, RHP, Grade B: Athleticism, stuff, and command trump his small
size for me. Another guy who can be a mid-rotation starter.
7) Adalberto Mondesi, SS, Grade B: I buy into this one. This may seem like an
aggressive grade, but the tools are terrific and he was extremely young for the
Pioneer League. This is one tools guy I'll take a chance with.
8) Sam Selman, LHP, Grade B-: Borderline B. I want to see him outside the
Pioneer League before going higher, but he racked up strikeouts and ground
balls while generating better-than-expected scouting reports, given his
inconsistent college record.
9) John Lamb, LHP, Grade B-: I'm always careful with Tommy John grades, since
the recovery is not as automatic as people think. Retains mid-rotation upside
if health allows.
10) Orlando Calixte, SS, Grade B-: Another high risk/reward guy. I rank him
ahead of Bonifacio and Cuthbert due to positional scarcity.
11) Cheslor Cuthbert, 3B, Grade B-: Stock is unavoidably down due to a slump
that lasted almost a year. Defensive reports are good and he was the youngest
regular in the Carolina League, so it is way too soon to give up.
12) Jorge Bonifacio, OF, Grade B-: Starting to tap into his power but isn't all
the way there yet. You could rank him as high as eight due to youth, or at
least ahead of Calixte and Cuthbert due to performance, but positional scarcity
comes into play.
13) Jason Adam, RHP, Grade B-: I like him more than some people do, being
impressed with his command. Could be a nice inning-eating workhorse.
14) Mike Montgomery, LHP, Grade C+: Tough to rank. The talent is still in there
somewhere, but he hasn't pitched well for two years now and I don't know how
you fix him.
15) Cameron Gallagher, C, Grade C+: Still rather inexperienced, but has power
potential and the tools to stick behind the plate. Transition to full-season
ball will be very illuminating.
16) Bryan Brickhouse, RHP Grade C+: B- was his original grade but I decided it
was too high. Another ground ball generator who might be a workhorse, if his
mechanics come into line.
17) Patrick Leonard, 3B, Grade C+: Sleeper prospect showed power in Appy
League, along with solid plate discipline and defense. Has received little
attention outside of Royals circles, but that could change in 2013. Breakout
candidate.
18) Elier Hernandez, OF, Grade C+: Big bonus guy from the Dominican was
terrible in the Pioneer League, but was just 17 years old. Hit zero homers
despite bat speed/raw power. Way too soon to give up.
19) Robinson Yambati, RHP, Grade C+: Good strikeout/grounder combination in
A-ball, erasing bad taste from awful 2011. Could help in the bullpen by 2014.
20) Miguel Almonte, RHP, Grade C+: Rookie ball sensation shows strong command
of fastball and changeup. Need to see how it transitions to higher levels, but
could rank much higher next year.
OTHERS: Humberto Arteaga, SS; Christian Binford, RHP; Edwin Carl, RHP;
Christian Colon, 2B; Kenny Diekroeger, INF; Chris Dwyer, LHP; Alfredo Escalera,
OF; Brett Eibner, OF; Andy Ferguson, RHP; Brian Fletcher, OF; Fred Ford, OF;
Chad Johnson, C; Donnie Joseph, LHP (C+): David Lough, OF; Justin Marks, LHP;
Alexis Rivera, OF (C+); Colin Rodgers, LHP (C+), Daniel Stumpf, LHP; J.C.
Sulbaran, RHP; Andrew Triggs, RHP
Although not as rich as it was a couple of years ago, the Royals organization
has considerable high-end Grade B talent, plus a bunch of guys at lower levels
with great tools who could also rank highly over the next few years.
Investments in Latin America are starting to bear fruit. The $3,050,000 spent
on Elier Hernandez looks like a risky bet at this point, but several of the
pitching arms look good. Mondesi, Bonifacio, Calixte, and Cuthbert all push the
age-relative-to-league margins. I think Mondesi is the best of the lot, and
holding his own in the Pioneer League at age 16/17 is no easy task.
after him all have a question-mark or two that prevents them from ranking
higher. Starling's upside his huge but we'll have to see about his swing. I
might be too tough on Ventura with a straight Grade B.
Overall, the minor league system is in a transitional phase due to injury
attrition and major league graduations, but there's still some depth here, even
if most of it isn't ready for the majors yet. Dayton Moore and company get a
lot of criticism for the problems with the big league team, much of it
justified, but the farm system still has a lot to offer down the line.
As always, this is fluid until I get the final grades locked down in January.
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11/14 12:12, , 1F
11/14 12:12, 1F
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