[討論] Royals should replace Wade Davis with Danny Duffy
原文:http://ppt.cc/be1d
同場加映關於WD的處理方式(雖然是8/18寫的)
不應該再無謂的期待他離譜的BABIP回到平均值 特別是在今年的防守能力幫忙下
被轟成豬頭絕對不能歸咎於運氣欠佳
如果Duffy的手臂已經100%恢復 是時候讓他上來試身手了
(Hector:再糟也不會比WD糟吧 XD 而且也可以順便看看 2014的Duffy
可以帶給我們什麼樣的期待>
但作者懷疑GM會這麼快就直接認賠 承認當初盤來WD是個錯誤的賭注
可是今年既然已經作了幾次投降輸一半的決定 應該沒差這一次才對
況且Hoch丟到牛棚的表現也有意外的驚喜
(一個禮拜過去了 WD還在先發輪值 會怎麼發展讓我們繼續看下去)
If the Royals are serious about making the playoffs this season,
manager Ned Yost cannot keep Wade Davis in the Royals rotation.
Danny Duffy is healthy and has superior stuff to the struggling Davis.
Opponents are hitting Davis like they’re playing T-ball. He has the
3rd highest ERA among MLB starters with more than 110 IP. He also
surrenders the highest batting average on balls in play (BABIP) of
any pitcher in the league at .376.
While many would dismiss Davis’ BABIP as bad luck, he’s giving up
hard contact. Hitters connect for 28.8% line drives on batted balls
against Davis, the highest rate of any starting pitcher in MLB.
Add in that defensive metrics like UZR and Dewan’s +/- system rate
the Royals as the top defensive team in baseball, Davis’ high BABIP
seems to be more than simple bad fortune.
Tbe bottom line is simple: the Royals should replace Wade Davis with
Danny Duffy (1.86 ERA in 9.2 IP in 2 starts this season) in the Royals’
rotation.
I would be surprised if Ned Yost actually makes such a move. Davis
was touted as a critical piece in the Wil Myers trade due to Davis
being under team control until 2017—for prices that will be considered
bargain basement deals if Davis is an effective starter. By removing
Wade Davis from the rotation and returning him to the pen, the Royals
would be declaring themselves the “loser” of the trade.
GM Dayton Moore has already made a number of humbling decisions
this season. He DFA’d Jeff Francoeur and ate nearly 1/2 his $7.5
million contract. He and Ned Yost fired hitting coaches Andre David
and Jack Maloof after less than two months on the job. Yost also
demoted former no.1 overall draft pick Luke Hochevar to the pen
in spring training, where he has thrived this season.
The Royals need to make yet another humbling decision if they want
to make the playoffs.
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