[討論] Royals Top 20 Prospects for 2014
Kansas City Royals Top 20 Prospects for 2014 (John Sickels)
http://ppt.cc/PDlp
1) Kyle Zimmer, RHP, Grade A-: Borderline B+. Dominant when everything is
working, although late-season shoulder problem is a bit worrisome. Some
sources view him as a future ace, others as more of a workhorse type. He
looks like a number two to me if his arm is OK.
2) Yordano Ventura, RHP, Grade B+: Borderline A-. In the end I may flip
Zimmer and Ventura with both placement and grade. Ventura has a few remaining
command issues I think but like Zimmer he has number two upside, and Ventura
will be ready sooner.
3) Raul Mondesi, SS, Grade B+: Borderline B. .261/.311/.361 line in Low-A
wasn't great, but he was extremely young for the level at age 17 and
observers praise his tools on both offense and defense. Glove ahead of bat at
this point but could develop into a high batting average/moderate power guy,
very valuable from shortstop. It will be interesting to see how quickly they
push him.
4) Miguel Almonte, RHP, Grade B+: Borderline B: Impressive fastball/change-up
combo and good command resulted in fine performance in Low-A, 3.10 ERA with a
132/36 K/BB. Needs to tighten breaking ball but have to like entire package.
Future number three starter with the standard caveats about staying healthy.
5) Hunter Dozier, 3B, Grade B: Borderline B+: College guys should do well in
the Pioneer League but he was certainly the class of the circuit with
advanced plate discipline and at least moderate power potential. If Mike
Moustakas doesn't get his bat going, Dozier should be a suitable replacement.
6) Jorge Bonifacio, OF, Grade B: Hit combined .298/.372/.429 at three levels
with a good finish in Double-A. Hasn't developed his power yet but hits for
average, makes decent contact, has a good arm, and is just 20 years old. I
think he's a year away.
7) Sean Manaea, LHP, Grade B-: Borderline B. Conservative grade until we see
how he recovers from hip surgery and last spring's associated velocity
decline. If healthy, has rotation anchor upside as three-pitch power lefty.
8) Bubba Starling, OF, Grade B-: Grade A tools, has made incremental skill
improvements but still quite raw as a hitter. Defense and baserunning are
already good and he'll take a walk, but strikeout rate is high and he did
almost all of his damage in a friendly home park, .837 OPS at Lexington, .609
on the road. That's scary. High bust potential but physicality upside remains
just as high.
9) Elier Hernandez, OF, Grade B-: Return engagement in Pioneer League
resulted in .301/.350/.439 line at age 18. Another toolsy outfielder type to
go with Bonifacio and Starling, and in the end he may be better than either
of them. At least three years away though.
10) Sam Selman, LHP, Grade B-: 3.38 ERA with 128/85 K/BB in 126 innings in
High-A. Absolutely has to get the walks down at higher levels but excels at
keeping the ball in the park with sinker and slider. Needs a third pitch to
thrive as a starter and better command to avoid turning into Chris Dwyer.
11) Jason Adam, RHP, Grade B-: Borderline C+. Easy to diss with 5.19 ERA in
Double-A and doesn't have the stuff of Ventura or Zimmer, but he eats innings
and his FIP was considerably lower at 3.97. Not an ace but still has a shot
to be a fourth starter.
12) Orlando Calixte, SS, Grade C+: Good gloveman at shortstop and will show
some pop at times, but substandard plate discipline holds him back, resulting
in .250/.312/368 line in Double-A. Young enough to improve considerably at
age 21 and scouts still like his tools.
13) Cheslor Cuthbert, 3B, Grade C+: Enigma from Nicaragua was decent in
High-A (.280/.354/.418) but slumped after being promoted to Double-A
(.215/.279/.359). Still young at age 21, but defense has deteriorated and
age-relative-to-league only goes so far.
14) Brett Eibner, OF, Grade C+: Borderline C. I still respect his tools
enough to give him a "+" but it is a close call. Fine athlete, good defender,
strong arm, has power, made progress in the second half in Double-A
(.262/.353/.498), hit .341/.442/.635 against lefties. But strikeout rate
remains very high and he'll fight the Mendoza Line against advanced pitching
without further adjustment.
15) Christian Binford, RHP, Grade C+:Excellent fastball command resulted in
2.67 ERA and 130/25 K/BB in 135 innings at age 20 in Low-A, which is very
good. Doesn't burn radar and secondary pitches are inconsistent, but he's
dominated the low levels well enough to get on the map.
16) Zane Evans, C, Grade C+: Fourth round pick from Georgia Tech hit .354 in
the Pioneer League and has a strong throwing arm, although defense needs more
polish after being a two-way player in college. Has the tools to make it
though.
The slots after this are interchangeable with most players in the "others"
section.
17) Alexis Rivera, OF, Grade C: I thought he was a huge sleeper entering '13
but he hit just .269/.349/.363 in Pioneer League. Still young at 19, still
controls strike zone well, still mentioned as a sleeper by those who know the
organization well. Too soon to give up.
18) Samir Duenez, 1B, Grade C: Age 17, from Venezuela, hit .294/.337/.380 in
Arizona Rookie Ball but with positive scouting reports about power potential
and overall approach. Long-term project but interesting, high ceiling
offensive player.
19) Bryan Brickhouse, RHP, Grade C: Had Tommy John in June so don't expect
him to do much before the second half. Features nasty power sinker resulting
in 2.32 GO/AO and a 2.25 ERA in 60 Low-A innings before getting hurt. Age 21,
could be ground ball-oriented workhorse or perhaps dominate out of bullpen,
health and command allowing.
20) Christian Colon, 2B, Grade C: I am going to post the full 2014 Baseball
Prospect Book comment for him later today.
OTHERS OF NOTE: Lane Adams, OF; Humberto Arteaga, SS: Angel Baez, RHP; Chris
Dwyer, LHP; Brian Fletcher, OF; Cameron Gallagher, C; Marten Gasparini, SS;
John Lamb, LHP; Michael Mariot, RHP; Justin Marks, LHP; Spencer Patton, RHP;
Cody Reed, LHP; Daniel Rockett, OF; Crawford Simmons, LHP; Daniel Stumpf,
LHP; Dominique Taylor, OF; Andrew Triggs, RHP; Robinson Yambati, RHP.
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