[農場] Giants Top 20 Prospects for 2012
1) Gary Brown, OF, Grade B+: Future center fielder. Outstanding speed,
doubles power with occasional home runs, not a big walk guy but makes contact
and should continue to hit for a high average. Combined with strong defense,
you have an impressive package of tools and skills.
2) Joe Panik, SS-2B, Grade B: I was very impressed with him in the Arizona
Fall League. Line drive bat with gap power, good plate discipline, uses speed
well on the bases, plays with fire. I think he can be an average defensive
shortstop or above-average at second base. Nice tablesetter when combined
with Brown at the top of the future Giants order.
3) Tommy Joseph, C, Grade B-: Borderline B: I like the way he improved his
defense, also has standout power, hit 22 homers in High-A at age 19/20.
Strike zone judgment remains poor and precludes higher grade, but he projects
as a regular catcher if he can improve his approach.
4) Andrew Susac, C, Grade B-: Hasn't played yet, but based on what we saw in
college, should be a steady defensive catcher with an above-average arm,
producing power. We'll have to see if his pure hitting skills hold up.
5) Heath Hembree, RHP, Grade B-: Love the fastball, but slider, changeup ,and
command are all works in progress. Potential to be a closer.
6) Francisco Peguero, OF, Grade B-: Never draws a walk, makes his living with
speed, contact, gap power, and extreme BABIP. Might show more power in time.
Good glove. Problem is that he has to hit .300 to be productive with his
current approach, and if he's just hitting .280 he will hurt you more than he
helps.
7) Eric Surkamp, LHP, Grade B-: Doesn't throw hard but has the statistical
components of a power pitcher, excellent K/IPs and few hits, in the minors
anyway. Was more tentative in the majors once the scouting reports got around
and was hit hard. I think he can adjust and become a solid number four
starter.
8) Kyle Crick, RHP, Grade C+: Borderline B-: High-ceiling arm, potential for
four major league pitches with a workhorse body, still refining command.
Could be the top prospect in the system in two years but isn't there yet.
9) Josh Osich, LHP, Grade C+: Borderline B-: Power southpaw, needs to prove
his arm is healthy before ranking higher. Does he start or relieve?
10) Hector Sanchez, C, Grade C+: Held his own after unexpected major league
promotion at age 21. Very good defense, switch-hitter with a chance to
surprise people with the bat once he settles in. At worst he'll have a long
career as a backup.
11) Clayton Blackburn, RHP, Grade C+: Major sleeper prospect from 2011 draft,
showed excellent command in Arizona Rookie League (30/3 K/BB in 33 innings,
just 16 hits), above-average velocity. Overshadowed in Oklahoma high school
ranks by Archie Bradley and Dylan Bundy, but he's got a lot of talent himself.
12) Ehire Adrianza, SS, Grade C+: Strong defensive shortstop from Venezuela.
Hit .300 in the California League but scouts continue to question his
hitting. At age 22 he has time to improve. Utility guy at worst.
13) Mike Kickham, LHP, Grade C+: Easy to overlook due to 4.11 ERA in Low-A,
but his FIP was much better and he has good stuff for a lefty, low 90s with
good slider and workable changeup. Small adjustments and better luck could
take him a long way in 2012.
14) Seth Rosin, RHP, Grade C+: University of Minnesota product looked great
in the Arizona Fall League following decent campaign as Low-A swingman. Big
breakout is possible in 2012.
15) Jarrett Parker, OF, Grade C+: Good athlete, shows power, speed, draws
walks, fine glove. Main problem is strikeouts: he struggles with contact and
batting average/OBP will suffer at higher levels without adjustments in his
approach. Fourth outfielder profile right now.
16) Ricky Oropesa, 1B, Grade C+: Southern Cal first baseman saw power drop
with switch to less-potent metal bats in college, but he has summer ball
track record of good hitting with wood. Should hit for power but we'll have
to see about batting average/OBP.
17) Joan "Not a Typo" Gregorio, RHP, Grade C: Ultra-projectable, posted 2.32
ERA in rookie ball although peripherals were less impressive. Potential to
rank much higher next year once he gets more innings in. Tall and lean at
6-7, 180.
18) Jesus Galindo ,OF, Grade C: Switch-hitter stole 47 bases in Northwest
League. Lacks power, needs to improve on-base skills to stick as a leadoff
hitter.
19) Chris Marlowe, RHP, Grade C: Oklahoma State right-hander has
above-average fastball, nasty curve, and incredible K/IP ratios in college.
Could move quickly in relief if his command is sufficient.
20) Conor Gillaspie, 3B, Grade C: Forgotten man, but I think he can still
surprise us. Gradually showing more power, makes contact, draws some walks,
and has improved his defense. Doesn't have the power ceiling of Chris
Dominguez (also a Grade C prospect) but is a steadier hitter with a higher
floor.
OTHERS: Bryce Bandilla, LHP; Ray Black, RHP; Brett Bochy, RHP; Alex Burg,
C-UT; Ryan Cavan, 2B; Hector Correa, RHP; Charlie Culberson, 2B; Chris
Dominguez, 3B; Jake Dunning, RHP; Jake Dunnington, RHP; Adam Duvall, 3B;
Kendry Flores, RHP; Leonardo Fuentes, OF; Stephen Harrold, RHP; Chris Heston,
RHP; Chuckie Jones, OF; Roger Kieschnick, OF; Derek Law, RHP; Adalberto
Mejia, LHP; Dan Otero, RHP; Shawn Payne, OF; Brett Pill, 1B; Angel Villalona,
1B.
The Giants system has thinned out but still has intriguing possibilities. The
combination of Gary Brown and Joe Panik at the top of a batting order would
look very nice. Tommy Joseph, Andrew Susac, and Hector Sanchez provide
catching depth that would be the envy of most organizations. I really like
Joseph's upside, but his plate discipline issues concern me. Susac was one of
my personal favorites from the 2011 draft.
It is fun to watch Peguero play and his tools stand out, but can he really
hit .300 in the majors with such an impatient approach? Parker, Galindo, and
Chuckie Jones all have significant tools but they come with big questions too.
The Giants have a reputation for pitching development. While there are no
sure-fire aces right now, there is a lot of raw material. Surkamp still has a
good shot at being a number four starter and anyone giving up on him after a
few rough starts in the majors is overreacting. Crick and Blackburn from the
2011 draft have plenty of upside but will need time. Hembree will get to the
majors sometime in 2012 and projects as an overpowering closer if he can
sharpen his command a bit more. College products Kickham and Rosin from the
2010 draft look like they can take a big step forward in 2012.
http://www.minorleagueball.com/2012/1/2/2676259/san-francisco-giants-top-20-prospects-for-2012
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