[情報] 馬刺VS灰狼：系列賽預覽與預測

看板Spurs (聖安東尼奧馬刺)作者keepstudying (keepstudying)時間1小時前 (2026/05/01 18:50)推噓2(2推 0噓 0→)

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馬刺灰狼系列賽預備中以下新聞請Gemini協助翻譯，有稍微看過潤稿 https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7245204/2026/05/01/spurs-timberwolves-series-preview-predictions-wemby-gobert/ Spurs vs. Timberwolves series preview and predictions: Victor Wembanyama faces his mentor 馬刺VS灰狼：系列賽預覽與預測。Victor Wembanyama 正式交手他的導師 Victor Wembanyama and Rudy Gobert, teammates on the French National Team, will go head-to-head in the second round Victor Wembanyama 與 Rudy Gobert 這對法國國家隊隊友，將在季後賽第二輪正面對決。 By Jon Krawczynski, Jason Quick and Jared Weiss May 1, 2026Updated 12:46 pm GMT+8 With the Minnesota Timberwolves dispatching the Denver Nuggets in six games on Thursday night, the matchup between Rudy Gobert’s Timberwolves and Victor Wembanyama’s San Antonio Spurs is set. 隨著明尼蘇達灰狼隊在週四晚間以六場比賽淘汰丹佛金塊，次輪對決正式出爐：Rudy Gobert領軍的灰狼將對上Victor Wembanyama的聖安東尼奧馬刺。 That’s right: the Western Conference semifinals will feature a battle of French bigs. 沒錯，西區準決賽將上演一場法國長人之戰。 The Timberwolves enter the series banged up after losing Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo in Round 1, while the Spurs — after a Wemby concussion scare — beat the Portland Trail Blazers relatively easily in five games. 灰狼隊在第一輪失去了 Anthony Edwards 和 Donte DiVincenzo，目前傷兵滿營；而馬刺隊在經歷了 Wemby 的腦震盪驚魂後，相對輕鬆地以五場比賽擊敗了波特蘭拓荒者。 We asked our writers who covered both first-round series to tell us what they ’ll be watching heading into Game 1, which will take place on Monday night in San Antonio. 我們訪問了三位追蹤首輪系列賽的記者，分享他們對下週一在聖安東尼奧開打的首戰觀察。 Top Plays from Nuggets @ Timberwolves Why did the Wolves and Spurs win their first-round series? 為什麼灰狼和馬刺能贏下第一輪？ Jon Krawczynski on the Wolves: Heart. The Timberwolves lollygagged through the regular season, looking like a team that was above the mundanity of 82 games. They promised to show more edge, focus and want-to once the playoffs hit. Jon Krawczynski 談灰狼：鬥志（Heart）。灰狼隊在例行賽期間表現得有些漫不經心，看起來像是一支覺得 82 場比賽很平庸、枯燥的球隊。他們曾承諾一旦進入季後賽，會展現出更多的韌性、專注度與渴望。 Did they ever. They lost Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo in Game 4. Naz Reid was playing with a bad shoulder and a bum ankle. Ayo Dosunmu missed Game 6 with a right calf injury. Bones Hyland was banged up. None of that mattered. A team that was disconnected at times this season banded together with a shared hatred of their rivals in Denver and delivered a stunning upset that few picked even when they were relatively healthy to start the series. It was a testament to the playoff bonafides the Wolves have racked up over the last two years — and a statement that they will fight to the end. 他們確實做到了。他們在第四戰失去了 Anthony Edwards 和 Donte DiVincenzo；Naz Reid 帶著受傷的肩膀與扭傷的腳踝作戰；Ayo Dosunmu 因為右小腿受傷缺席了第六戰； Bones Hyland 也有傷在身。但這一切都不重要。這支本賽季有時顯得脫節的團隊，因為對丹佛對手的共同敵意而團結在一起，並送出了一場驚人的爆冷逆轉——即便在系列賽開始、他們相對健康時，也很少有人預測灰狼會贏。這證明了灰狼在過去兩年累積的季後賽實力，也向外界宣示他們會戰鬥到最後一刻。 Jason Quick on the Wolves: Defense. These Timberwolves get after it. If you are a Spurs fan, get ready to think your players are getting fouled, or bullied, or held. It’s what these guys do. Led by Gobert on Nikola Joki and Jaden McDaniels on Jamal Murray, the Timberwolves made everything uncomfortable for the Nuggets. There were other factors — Minnesota got key offensive rebounds and a superb breakout series from Dosunmu before his calf injury — but this team wins on defense. Jason Quick 談灰狼：防守。這支灰狼隊非常拼命。如果你是馬刺球迷，請做好心理準備，你會覺得你的球員不斷被犯規、被霸凌或被拉扯。這就是這群人的風格。在 Gobert 負責對付 Nikola Joki以及 Jaden McDaniels 負責 Jamal Murray 的帶領下，灰狼讓金塊隊的一切打法都變得極不舒服。當然還有其他因素——明尼蘇達搶下了關鍵的進攻籃板，且 Dosunmu 在小腿受傷前打出了精彩的突破性表現——但這支球隊是靠防守取勝的。 Jared Weiss on the Spurs: Variety. The Spurs are known for Victor Wembanyama. But if you are new to the Spurs, you will be surprised to learn that it’s actually their depth of creation that makes them such a dangerous team. De’ Aaron Fox, Steph Castle and Dylan Harper all won games for them in the first round, and they can count on one of those guys to have a great game every single night. Jared Weiss 談馬刺：多樣性。馬刺隊以 Victor Wembanyama 聞名。但如果你是第一次看馬刺隊，你會驚訝地發現，實際上是他們進攻發動的深度讓他們成為一支如此危險的球隊。De’Aaron Fox、Steph Castle 和 Dylan Harper 在第一輪都分別為球隊贏過比賽，你可以指望這些人中的任何一個在每個晚上打出精彩表現。 The Spurs have so many different ways to win and they match up well against pretty much every team that comes their way. They are actually at their most dangerous when Wembanyama doesn’t have the ball because he has some of the most effective off-ball gravity to ever exist. The Blazers put up a good fight against San Antonio, but the Spurs ability to overwhelm teams with speed and persistence showed why San Antonio was one of the best teams in the league this year. 馬刺隊擁有非常多種贏球方式，而且幾乎能與任何對手抗衡。事實上，當 Wembanyama 手中無球時，正是馬刺最危險的時候，因為他擁有史上最強大的「無球引力（off-ball gravity）」之一。拓荒者在對抗聖安東尼奧時展現了頑強的鬥志，但馬刺隊用速度與韌性徹底壓倒對手的能力，證明了為什麼聖安東尼奧是今年聯盟中頂尖的球隊之一。 What did we learn about the Wolves and Spurs that should carry forward to the next series? How do they match up in the second-round? 我們從灰狼與馬刺身上學到了什麼可以延續到下一輪？他們在第二輪的對位如何？ Krawczynski: If Minnesota has an edge in this series, it’s simply that they have been here before. This is their third straight trip to the second round of the playoffs. Two straight runs to the Western Conference finals have given them a perspective that most of these young Spurs just do not have yet. They know how to navigate the ups and downs of a series. They understand what it takes to prepare for seven games against one opponent. They will be decided underdogs again against these 62-win Spurs, and rightfully so. But that won’t stop them from throwing everything they have at Wembanyama and Co. Krawczynski：如果明尼蘇達在這個系列賽有優勢，那純粹是因為他們曾經經歷過這些。這是他們連續第三次闖進季後賽第二輪。連續兩年打進西區決賽的經驗，給了他們一種大多數年輕馬刺球員尚未擁有的視角。他們知道如何應對系列賽的起伏，了解針對同一個對手準備七場比賽需要付出什麼。面對這支拿下 62 勝的馬刺，他們再次成為被看衰的弱勢方，這是理所當然的。但這不會阻止他們向 Wembanyama 和他的隊友們傾盡所有。 Quick: Gobert is STILL one of the league’s best defenders, and his length and savvy will be factors in how Wembanyama is able to maneuver. They were teammates on the French national team, so they know each other well. You have to think Gobert’s experience will be an asset in at least slowing down the game’s most difficult cover. Quick： Gobert 依然是聯盟頂尖的防守者之一，他的長度與防守智慧將成為限制 Wembanyama 移動的關鍵因素。他們曾在法國國家隊當過隊友，所以彼此非常了解。你必須認為 Gobert 的經驗會是一項資產，至少在減緩這位全聯盟最難防守球員的節奏方面會起作用。 Weiss: The Wolves do have the fight in them, which has been a problem for San Antonio this season. They have the length and power in the frontcourt to make life difficult on Wembanyama, and Gobert knows his game as well as anyone. But the Spurs’ guard play has been so good and the Wolves are running out of guards. If these teams were fully healthy, it would be a truly competitive series. But how does Minnesota get past a healthy Spurs team without its starting backcourt — and potentially Dosunmu? Weiss：灰狼隊確實擁有一股鬥志，而這正是本賽季聖安東尼奧面臨過的問題。他們在前場擁有足夠的長度與力量讓 Wembanyama 的日子不好過，且 Gobert 對 Wembanyama 球路的了解不輸給任何人。然而，馬刺隊的後衛群表現太過出色，而灰狼隊的後衛快要沒人可用了。如果兩隊都完全健康，這會是一個極具競爭力的系列賽。但明尼蘇達在失去先發後場（且 Dosunmu 情況不明）的情況下，要如何越過一支健康的馬刺隊？ What are you watching the most closely about the Wolves and Spurs as they move forward? 隨著系列賽推進，你最關注灰狼與馬刺的哪個重點？ Krawczynski: Dosunmu’s elevation. With Edwards and DiVincenzo out, Dosunmu moved from the seventh man in the rotation to the starting lead guard before missing Game 6 with a right calf injury. He erupted for 43 points in Game 4 and looked very comfortable in a more featured role as the series wore on. If he recovers, he will be facing a tenacious Spurs defense that will pressure him to a far greater degree than Denver did. How he handles the increased responsibility, and the increased attention from the defense, will loom large in the Wolves’ ability to be competitive in this series — assuming he returns. Krawczynski： Dosunmu 的層級提升。隨著 Edwards 和 DiVincenzo 出局，Dosunmu 從輪替陣容的第七人變成了先發控衛（直到他因傷缺席第六戰）。他在第四戰爆發砍下 43 分，且隨著系列賽推進，他在核心角色中顯得非常游刃有餘。如果他康復回歸，他將面對一支頑強的馬刺防守，馬刺對他施加的壓力將遠超金塊。假設他能回歸，他如何處理增加的責任與防守關注度，將大大影響灰狼競爭系列賽的能力。 Quick: Obviously, the health progress of Edwards will be a big storyline in this series. He hurt his left knee in Game 4 of the Nuggets series but there was optimism he could return in the second round. Everyone knows what Edwards can do offensively, but what stood out to me in the first three games of the Denver series was just how tenaciously Edwards protects the rim. He had multiple high-level blocks on layups and dunk attempts — in fact, he was hurt contesting a fast-break layup — and that type of defense will be needed against a Spurs team that likes to get out and run. Quick：顯然，Anthony Edwards 的健康進度會是這個系列賽的一大主線。他在對陣金塊的第四戰傷了左膝，但目前對於他在第二輪回歸抱持樂觀態度。大家都知道 Edwards 在進攻端能做什麼，但在對金塊的前三戰中令我印象最深的是他保護籃框的韌性。他多次在對方上籃與扣籃時送出高等級的火鍋——事實上，他是在封蓋一次快攻上籃時受傷的—— 這種等級的防守將是面對這支熱衷於快攻轉換的馬刺隊所必需的。 Weiss: There is the obvious management of Wembanyama’s health over this long playoff run, but the Spurs have already shown they can win games without him. The real test is whether their shooting and ball flow will hold up against much stiffer competition. There will be a lot of times where San Antonio looks incapable of running offense. That happened against Portland, but the Blazers didn’t have the shooting or elite playmaker to counter when the Spurs went bananas on them. Let’s hope Anthony Edwards can come back and make this series competitive, or fun at the very least. Weiss：顯而易見的重點是 Wembanyama 在這段漫長的季後賽旅程中的健康管理，但馬刺已經證明了他們在沒有他的情況下也能贏球。真正的測試在於他們的投籃與球權流動在面對更強悍的對手時是否能維持。有時候聖安東尼奧看起來會像是無法執行進攻，這種情況在對陣波特蘭時發生過，但拓荒者當時沒有足夠的投射或頂級組織者來反擊。我們希望 Anthony Edwards 能回歸並讓這個系列賽具有競爭力，至少要讓比賽變得有趣。 How do you feel about the Wolves’ or Spurs’ long-term playoff chances after this series? Why should or shouldn’t they be in the title conversation? 經歷這組系列賽後，你如何看待灰狼或馬刺的長遠奪冠機會？為什麼他們應該（或不應該）出現在爭冠討論中？ Krawczynski: Not great. The first round was an inspiring performance against their chief rivals. But man, the injuries to DiVincenzo and Edwards are gutting. There is a chance that Edwards returns at some point in this series, but he is not expected to be back for the start of it, and how good will he be if he does play? The Nuggets were a flawed opponent who missed Peyton Watson for the entire series and had Aaron Gordon significantly limited by a calf injury. The young Spurs are hungry and healthy. Even if the Wolves were to get by San Antonio, a likely date with Oklahoma City in the conference finals would await. Daunting is an understatement. Krawczynski：不太樂觀。第一輪對陣死敵的表現雖然令人振奮，但老天，DiVincenzo 和 Edwards 的傷病太致命了。Edwards 有機會在這個系列賽的某個時間點回歸，但不預期能在開賽時回來，且即便他上場，他能發揮多少？金塊是一個有缺陷的對手，他們缺席了 Peyton Watson 且 Aaron Gordon 受傷。而這支年輕的馬刺既飢渴又健康。即便灰狼能跨過馬刺，西區決賽很可能還有奧克拉荷馬雷霆在等著。用「艱巨」來形容都還太保守。 Quick: What’s the old saying: Defense wins championships? I was thoroughly impressed with Minnesota’s defense against Denver. The Wolves swarm. Get into you. And they have a swagger. But with the season-ending injury to DiVincenzo, and Edwards knicked up, I’m not sure they have enough firepower to make it all the way. Quick：俗話說：「防守贏得冠軍」。明尼蘇達對陣金塊的防守給我留下了深刻印象。灰狼會像蜂群一樣圍攻你、對你施壓，且他們帶有一種狂傲的氣勢。但隨著 DiVincenzo 賽季報銷以及 Edwards 帶著傷，我不確定他們是否有足夠的火力走到底。 Weiss: The Spurs are right up there as championship favorites. They have passed every test so far. Wembanyama looks very good and his mindset has been impressive so far. The Spurs’ young players have held up well under the pressure and De’Aaron Fox has strung together a few dominant performances to remind everyone why he’s an All-Star. The Spurs are as balanced a team as you ’ll get if things are clicking, just as they have for months now. Weiss：馬刺隊絕對是奪冠熱門之一。他們目前通過了每一項測試。Wembanyama 的狀態非常好，且他的心理素質令人印象深刻。馬刺的年輕球員在壓力下表現穩健，De’Aaron Fox 也接連打出幾場具統治力的表現，提醒大家為什麼他是全明星。如果一切運轉正常，馬刺就是一支最均衡的球隊，而這正是他們過去幾個月來的狀態。 Prediction for Wolves-Spurs and why? 對於灰狼對陣馬刺的系列賽預測與理由？ Krawczynski: Spurs in 7. If the Wolves were healthy, I would pick them to win this series. Remember, they went 2-1 against San Antonio in the regular season. I think they will put up a fight, for sure. But with so many guys banged up or out, it’s hard to see how they get past a 62-win team. Jon Krawczynski：馬刺 4-3 勝出。如果灰狼健康，我會預測灰狼贏。記住，他們在例行賽對馬刺取得 2 勝 1 敗。我相信他們絕對會反擊，但在這麼多人受傷或缺陣的情況下，很難想像他們如何擊敗一支 62 勝的球隊。 Quick: Spurs in 6. I’m not sure the Spurs have a weakness. Wemby is a force, Fox was surgical against the Blazers, and Castle has that non-stop, relentless grit that wears on you during a series. Jason Quick：馬刺 4-2 勝出。我不確定馬刺隊是否有弱點。Wemby 是一股不可抗力， Fox 對陣拓荒者時表現得像手術刀般精準，而 Castle 擁有一種不間斷、無情的韌性，會在系列賽中消磨你的鬥志。 Weiss: Spurs in 5. If Edwards was healthy, I would pick Spurs in 7. But the Wolves are just decimated by injuries now and the Spurs are too good and too locked in to mess around. Jared Weiss：馬刺 4-1 勝出。如果 Edwards 健康，我會預測馬刺 4-3。但現在灰狼隊因傷病戰力受損嚴重，而馬刺隊實力太強且太過專注，不會給對手任何機會。 Jon Krawczynski|Senior Writer Jason Quick|Senior Writer, Features Jared Weiss|Staff Writer, Spurs -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 111.253.138.166 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Spurs/M.1777632629.A.83A.html