[情報] 雷霆對馬刺前瞻：定義NBA未來的宿敵之戰

看板Spurs (聖安東尼奧馬刺)作者keepstudying (keepstudying)時間2天前 (2026/05/16 15:17)推噓10(10推 0噓 15→)

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終於到了雷霆這一關，沒想到今年馬刺能夠挺到這一關能從西區第二輪勝出，其實已經滿足我對今年馬刺的高標接下來兩週將會是情緒高漲的兩週也會更知道這支馬刺已經到什麼高度了 https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7283542/2026/05/16/spurs-thunder-nba-playoffs-preview-west-finals/ Spurs vs. Thunder preview: The rivalry that could define the NBA’s future is here 雷霆對馬刺前瞻：可能定義NBA未來的宿敵對決就在眼前 By Joel Lorenzi, Dan Woike, Law Murray, Jared Weiss and Jon Krawczynski May 16, 2026 12:27 pm GMT+8 It’s the matchup many NBA fans wanted. 這是許多 NBA 球迷夢寐以求的對決。 The Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs — the two NBA teams with the best records, 126 regular-season wins between them — took care of business in their respective Western Conference semifinal series. Monday, the top-seeded Thunder and the second-seeded Spurs will tip off in Game 1 of a much-anticipated series to determine the West’s representative for the NBA Finals. 雷霆隊與馬刺隊——這兩支擁有全 NBA 最佳戰績、例行賽合計斬獲 126 勝的球隊——順利在各自的西區準決賽系列賽中完成了任務。週一，第一種子雷霆隊和第二種子馬刺隊將在萬眾矚目的系列賽第一戰中點燃戰火，以決定誰能代表西區挺進 NBA 總決賽。 Oklahoma City hasn’t dropped a playoff game this run, first sweeping the Phoenix Suns, then taking out the Los Angeles Lakers. Only one of the Thunder ’s games have been decided by five points or fewer — a 115-110 Game 4 win to close out LeBron James and the Lakers. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the reigning NBA MVP, had a good series, but the play of the Thunder’s supporting cast was the story in their conference semifinal. Ajay Mitchell was impressive in place of injured guard Jalen Williams. Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein made a formidable duo inside. Lu Dort and Alex Caruso were two-way catalysts. Mark Daigneault’s group showed it may be even deeper than last season. 雷霆隊在本次季後賽征程中未嘗一敗，先是橫掃了太陽隊，隨後淘汰湖人隊。雷霆隊只有一場比賽的分差在五分或以內——那是第四戰以 115 比 110 獲勝並結束了 LeBron James 與湖人隊賽季的比賽。現任年度 MVP SGA 打出了精采的系列賽，但雷霆隊替補與角色球員的發揮才是他們西區準決賽的焦點故事。Ajay Mitchell 頂替受傷的後衛 Jalen Williams 表現令人印象深刻。Chet Holmgren 和 Isaiah Hartenstein 在禁區組成了強大的雙塔。Lu Dort 和 Alex Caruso 則是攻防兩端的催化劑。Mark Daigneault 的團隊展現出甚至比上賽季更深厚的陣容深度。 After a hard-fought six-game series victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves, San Antonio gets the opponent it actually dominated during the 2025-26 season. In five regular-season games, the Spurs beat the Thunder four times — and three of those wins were by double digits. San Antonio, which advanced to the Western Conference finals for the first time since 2017, beat Oklahoma City in the NBA Cup semifinals, crushed them by 20 points on Dec. 23, then beat the Thunder by 15 in Oklahoma City two days later. 在經歷與灰狼隊一場艱苦的六場系列賽勝出後，馬刺隊碰上了他們在 2025-26 例行賽賽季中實際上佔盡優勢的對手。在五場例行賽交手中，馬刺隊擊敗雷霆隊四次，且其中有三場勝利達到了兩位數的分差。馬刺隊自 2017 年以來首度晉級西區決賽，他們曾在季中錦標賽準決賽中擊敗雷霆隊，接著在 12 月 23 日以 20 分的分差痛擊對手，兩天後又在奧克拉荷馬城以 15 分的分差擊敗雷霆。 NBA Defensive Player of the Year Victor Wembanyama has been a superstar all season long, while a young core including Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper and NBA Sixth Man of the Year Keldon Johnson has given opponents fits. The Spurs have only one starter, De’Aaron Fox, who competed in a playoff game prior to this postseason. NBA 年度最佳防守球員 Victor Wembanyama 一整季都維持著超級巨星的表現，而包含 Stephon Castle、Devin Vassell、Julian Champagnie、Dylan Harper 以及 NBA 年度最佳第六人 Keldon Johnson 在內的年輕核心陣容，則讓對手吃盡了苦頭。馬刺隊中只有一名先發球員 De’Aaron Fox，在本賽季之前擁有季後賽的參賽經驗。 What have we learned about these teams throughout the playoffs, and what can we expect from an anticipated Western Conference finals? Our NBA writers discuss. 在整個季後賽過程中，我們對這兩支球隊有了哪些了解？而對於這場備受期待的西區決賽，我們又可以期待些什麼？我們的 NBA 作家們對此展開了討論。 ***** Why did the Thunder and Spurs win their semifinal series? 為什麼雷霆隊和馬刺隊能贏下他們的準決賽系列賽？ ***** Joel Lorenzi on the Thunder: The Lakers, as impressive as LeBron and JJ Redick were in their respective rights, could not scheme for depth. The Thunder pounce in waves. When Isaiah Joe isn’t on, Jared McCain probably is. When SGA is being doubled at a frequency unseen in his postseason career, Mitchell is suddenly shouldering the offense. Hartenstein was a plus-30 in Game 4, a clutch game. Holmgren has missed one shot in the restricted area all postseason. Joel Lorenzi 談雷霆：湖人隊儘管 LeBron 和總教練 JJ Redick 各自在其職責上表現得令人印象深刻，但他們無法用戰術來彌補陣容深度的不足。雷霆隊進攻是一波接一波襲來。當 Isaiah Joe 手感不佳時，Jared McCain 通常能挺身而出。當 SGA遭遇他季後賽生涯中前所未見的高頻率包夾時，Mitchell 突然肩負起了進攻重任。Hartenstein 在第四戰這場關鍵戰役中繳出了正 30（+30）的正負值。Holmgren 在整個季後賽期間，在合理衝撞區內僅僅投丟過一個球。 There were so many answers that new ones were discovered in the series against the Lakers. Mitchell’s emergence nullifies the Spurs’ potent, deep guard play — especially if Williams returns from injury as well. The Thunder were missing another creator and another versatile shooter. They uncovered both last round. 雷霆隊擁有太多應對的方法，以至於在對陣湖人隊的系列賽中又發掘出了新的解答。 Mitchell 的崛起抵消了馬刺隊強大且深厚的後衛群發揮——特別是如果 Williams 也能從小腿傷勢中回歸的話。雷霆隊此前缺乏另一位進攻創造者和另一名全能射手，他們在上輪系列賽中同時找到了這兩個答案。 Dan Woike on the Thunder: The Thunder are a basketball machine built on adaptability. And while the Lakers were incredibly short-handed (their entire basketball identity is built round Luka Don, they made the Thunder adapt. The entire game plan was built on forcing players other than Gilgeous-Alexander to make plays, and everyone, for at least one moment or another, did. Dan Woike 談雷霆：雷霆隊是一台建立在適應能力上的籃球機器。儘管湖人隊當時極度人手短缺（他們的整個籃球主體是圍繞著 Luka Don建立的），但他們還是迫使雷霆隊做出了調整。湖人隊的整個戰術計畫都建立在迫使 SGA 之外的球員去執行進攻上，而雷霆隊的每個人，至少都在某個時刻或另一刻做到了這一點。 They were the better team than the Lakers, sure. They didn’t need to hit their A-plus levels to win. But what they did, consistently, was show that they were a group comfortable trusting one another to take the big shots and make the important plays. 當然，他們是比湖人隊更好的球隊。他們不需要把狀態提升到 A-plus 的頂尖水準就能贏球。但他們始終如一所展現出來的，是這個團隊非常習慣於彼此信任，去執行關鍵的投籃並完成重要的戰術。 Law Murray on the Thunder: Simply put, it was so easy for the Thunder to score against the Lakers. Gilgeous-Alexander absorbed the attention of the Lakers’ scheme and personnel. Williams was out for the entire series, and the Thunder still scored 125.4 points per 100 possessions. For context, the Denver Nuggets led the NBA in the regular season with 121.2 points per 100 possessions. Law Murray 談雷霆：簡單來說，雷霆隊在對陣湖人隊時得分實在太容易了。SGA 吸住了湖人隊戰術和人員的所有防守注意力。儘管 Williams 缺席了整個系列賽，雷霆隊每 100 回合仍能轟下 125.4 分。作為對比參考，丹佛金塊隊在例行賽領跑全 NBA 的數據是每 100 回合進攻得分 121.2 分。 Oklahoma City knew who to target, and they enjoyed success offensively all series long — something that may not happen in the Western Conference final or the NBA Finals to this degree. 奧克拉荷馬城非常清楚要針對誰來打，而且他們在整個系列賽的進攻端都大獲成功——這種情況在西區決賽或 NBA 總決賽中，可能不會再達到如此輕鬆的程度。 Jared Weiss on the Spurs: The Spurs’ guard play may actually have been the swing factor in the Timberwolves series. Castle was consistently the second star the team needed, while Fox and Harper were able to supply enough transition scoring to keep the team afloat. Wembanyama has been consistent enough this calendar year to set the expectation that he could take over most games on both ends. His play against Minnesota offensively was toward the higher end of the standard he has set, even if he made a critical error of judgement in elbowing Naz Reid to get ejected from Game 4. His defense turned out to be pretty much matchup-proof. Jared Weiss 談馬刺：馬刺隊後衛發揮實際上可能是對陣灰狼隊系列賽中的勝負轉折點。Castle 始終如一地展現出球隊所需要的第二核心身手，而 Fox 和 Harper 則能提供足夠的轉換進攻得分來維持球隊戰力。Wembanyama 在這一整年中表現得足夠穩定，讓人預期他可以在多數比賽的攻防兩端都接管戰局。他在對陣明尼蘇達的進攻端表現，處於他自己所設定的高標準頂端，即便他在第四戰中犯下了一個嚴重的判斷錯誤——因肘擊 Naz Reid 而被驅逐出場。而他的防守最終被證明幾乎是無視對手陣容組合的。 But Castle stood out, as he continued to be efficient as a scorer and a playmaker while spending most of the series neutralizing Julius Randle or picking up Anthony Edwards. Harper flipped games offensively in quick flashes, and his defensive pressure allowed the Spurs to do a lot of half-court trapping in an effort to get the ball out of Edwards’ hands. 但 Castle 脫穎而出，他持續在得分和組織端保持高效，同時在系列賽的大部分時間裡限制住了 Julius Randle，或是負責對位防守 Anthony Edwards。Harper 在進攻端用快速的閃光點扭轉了比賽，他的防守壓迫讓馬刺隊能夠執行大量的半場包夾陷阱，目的是為了逼迫 Edwards 把球傳出來。 Jon Krawczynski on the Spurs: Wembanyama had a shaky first game from an offensive standpoint, but he dominated the series from then on. The only time the Wolves had a chance to breathe was when he was ejected in the second quarter of Game 4. He was a terror on defense, pushing the Wolves away from the rim and forcing hurried, difficult shots. Jon Krawczynski 談馬刺：從進攻的角度來看，Wembanyama 在第一場比賽的表現有些搖擺不定，但從那之後他就統治了整個系列賽。灰狼隊唯一有機會喘息的時刻，就是當他在第四戰第二節被驅逐出場的時候。他在防守端簡直是個恐怖的存在，將灰狼隊逼離籃框，並迫使他們做出倉促且高難度的投籃。 On offense, he toyed with Rudy Gobert, who won his matchup with Nikola Joki in the first round. With Edwards limited by knee injuries, Wembanyama was the best player in the series, and that’s why the Spurs are moving on. 在進攻端，他完全把 Rudy Gobert 玩弄於股掌之間，而 Gobert 在第一輪才剛剛贏下了與 Nikola Joki的對決。在 Edwards 受到膝蓋傷勢限制的情況下，Wembanyama 成為了該系列賽中表現最好的球員，這也是為什麼馬刺隊能夠晉級的原因。 ***** What did we learn about the Thunder and Spurs that can carry forward to the next series? How do they match up in the conference finals? 我們在季後賽中對雷霆與馬刺有哪些了解，可以延續到下個系列賽？他們在分區決賽中將如何對位？ ***** Lorenzi: The Lakers’ dedicated double-teams were unlike anything Gilgeous-Alexander has seen in the playoffs. It helped him defer to his surrounding depth, and the level of physicality prepared him for what he might face from the Spurs and Castle. As much as Gilgeous-Alexander came to understand when to get off the ball and when to seek his spots, it doesn’t seem like he wants to settle under that level of resistance again. On Friday, he was seen at practice working on fighting through tie-ups and being face-guarded by the Thunder’s video coordinators. The way the Lakers defended him ultimately influenced him, and I imagine it influenced some of the focus in the Spurs’ film room. Joel Lorenzi：湖人隊針對性的雙人包夾，是 SGA在季後賽中從未見過的強度。這有助於他將進攻權轉移給身邊深厚的隊友，而這種身體對抗的激烈程度，也讓他為接下來可能面對馬刺隊和 Castle 的防守做好了準備。儘管SGA 越來越明白何時該出球、何時該尋找自己的出手點，但他似乎不想再次讓自己受制於那種程度的防守阻力之下。在週五，有人看到他在訓練中練習如何擺脫糾纏，以及如何應對雷霆隊影片剪輯師對他的貼身防守。湖人隊防守他的方式最終影響了他，而我猜想這也影響了馬刺隊影片分析室裡的一部分焦點。 Woike: The biggest thing we learned is if you’re trying to win a NBA championship, you need to get on the Atlantic seaboard. These teams are so good in the present that it’s possible to forget about how good they’re going to be in the future. Dan Woike：我們學到的最大一件事就是，如果你想贏得 NBA 總冠軍，你需要去大西洋沿岸（註：意指這兩隊卓越的人才囤積與建隊眼光）。這兩支球隊現在是如此優秀，以至於人們可能會忘記他們在未來還會有多強大。 In a more immediate sense, I think the Spurs can steal from the Lakers in tilting their defense towards Gilgeous-Alexander and relying on their athleticism in scrambles. I also think the Thunder can use their experience to find advantages and exploit them while trying to force San Antonio’s non-shooters into decisions on the perimeter. 從更眼前的角度來看，我認為馬刺隊可以借鏡湖人隊的經驗，將他們的防守重心向 SGA傾斜，並在混亂的防守輪轉中依靠他們的運動能力。同時我也認為雷霆隊可以利用他們的經驗來尋找優勢並加以利用，同時試圖迫使馬刺隊那些不擅長投射的球員在外圍做出決策。 Murray: The Thunder aren’t going to panic. They will understand how they’re being defended, diagnose who has it going and either extend leads or stay poised until they can hit a team with one of those patented runs. Law Murray：雷霆隊是不會恐慌的。他們會理解自己正遭遇怎樣的防守，診斷出誰的手感正熱，然後要嘛擴大領先優勢，要嘛保持沉穩，直到他們能用一波雷霆隊標誌性的攻勢重擊對手。 The challenge the Spurs present to the Thunder is that they have premier rim protection, something the Suns and, especially, the Lakers absolutely didn’t have. The Thunder are going to need to keep their flammable shooting from the semifinals going, because free throws and the paint are going to be harder to access. 馬刺隊給雷霆隊帶來的挑戰在於他們擁有頂級的護框能力，這是太陽隊、尤其是湖人隊絕對不具備的。雷霆隊將需要延續他們在準決賽中那種一點就著的火燙外線投射，因為罰球機會和禁區切入接下來將會變得更加難以企求。 Weiss: Maybe Wembanyama just makes it easy, but Mitch Johnson and the Spurs coaching staff did a good job with their matchup and schematic choices against the Wolves. Their trap-and-recover schemes against Edwards were effective, and they were good at avoiding mistakes when they were in scramble mode. They had some moments when they couldn’t guard their yard against Edwards and Terrence Shannon Jr., getting beat in isolation or killed on the backside by the Wolves’ bigs. Jared Weiss：也許純粹是因為 Wembanyama 讓這一切變得簡單，但 Mitch Johnson 和馬刺隊教練團在對陣灰狼隊時，在對位和戰術選擇上做得很好。他們針對 Edwards 的包夾與回防體系非常有效，而且當他們處於混亂的輪轉防守模式時，也能很好地避免犯錯。他們確實也有過一些無法在單防中限制住 Edwards 和 Terrence Shannon Jr. 的時刻，在孤立單打（ISO）中被擊敗，或是被灰狼隊的長人在弱側後方痛擊。 But overall, Wembanyama proved to be so good with his positioning and communication that the guards and wings were free to defend aggressively without worrying about paying a steep price. There should be plenty of traps on SGA when Williams is on the bench. The bigger concern for San Antonio is whether they can stay out of foul trouble. 但總體而言，Wembanyama 被證明在位置感和防守溝通上太過出色，以至於後衛和側翼球員可以自由地進行侵略性防守，而不必擔心付出慘痛的代價。當 Williams 坐在板凳上時，球場上應該會出現大量針對 SGA 的包夾陷阱。馬刺更大的隱憂在於他們是否能避免陷入犯規麻煩。 Krawczynski: These young Spurs are ready for the moment. There were reasonable questions if Wembanyama, Harper, Castle and Vassell needed to take their lumps in the playoffs before they were really ready to win, as so many young stars have before them. Instead, these young athletes are delivering lumps to their opponents. They are big, strong, hungry and, perhaps most important of all, have a high basketball IQ. Jon Krawczynski：這群年輕的馬刺球員已經為大場面做好了準備。先前曾有合理的質疑，認為 Wembanyama、Harper、Castle 和 Vassell 是否需要在季後賽中先交學費、經歷挫折，然後才真正準備好迎接勝利，就像在他們之前的許多年輕球星一樣。相反地，這些年輕的運動員正在給他們的對手帶來打擊。他們高大、強壯、充滿飢渴感，而且也許最重要的一點是，他們擁有極高的籃球智商。 They were the team that executed their game plan with more precision and discipline in their series against the Timberwolves, who had far more playoff experience. Johnson and associate head coach Sean Sweeney, the defensive coordinator, put together an excellent game plan, and the players adhered to it throughout the series to snuff out the Wolves. 在對陣明尼蘇達灰狼隊（這是一支擁有遠比他們更多季後賽經驗的球隊）的系列賽中，馬刺隊才是那支執行比賽計畫更具精準度與紀律性的球隊。Johnson 和身為防守核心的首席助教 Sean Sweeney 制定了極佳的比賽計畫，而球員們在整個系列賽中都嚴格遵循，最終成功扼殺了灰狼隊。 ***** What are you watching closely about the Thunder and Spurs as they move forward? 隨著系列賽向前推進，你正密切關注雷霆與馬刺的哪些細節？ ***** Lorenzi: The Ajay Mitchell-Jalen Williams dynamic. Their presences should, in theory, make each other’s lives easier. Yes, San Antonio will move Mitchell higher up the scouting report, but not before they decide what to do with Williams. Joel Lorenzi： Ajay Mitchell 與 Jalen Williams 的共存動態。理論上，他們兩人的同時在場應該會讓彼此的處境變得更容易。是的，聖安東尼奧會把 Mitchell 在球探報告中的順位往上調，但這得在他們決定如何應對 Williams 之後。 Mitchell’s emergence further unlocks Williams as an off-ball scorer and lessens his load as an on-ball creator, giving him a healthier balance. The best version of Williams is a mixed bag of plays on offense, when he can toggle between playmaking and play finishing, and spend half — if not more — of his energy as a defensive disruptor. Mitchell 的崛起進一步解放了 Williams，讓他成為一名無球得分手，減輕了他作為有球創造者的負擔，給予他一個更健康的平衡。最強版本的 Williams 在進攻端是一個全能的武器，他可以在組織傳導與終結進攻之間切換，並將一半——如果不是更多的話——的精力投入到防守端扮演破壞者的角色。 Woike: I’ll pick a weird one: How does Dort look? Like he’s indispensable? One of my biggest gripes, generally speaking, is that we view basketball more through transactions and less through competition, but it sure seems like the Thunder have a BIG decision to make in regards to Dort this summer and his $18.2 million team option. Dan Woike：我會選一個比較奇特的焦點：Lu Dort 看起來如何？他看起來像是不可或缺的嗎？一般來說，我最大的不滿之一是我們更傾向於透過「交易與合約」而不是「球場競爭」來看待籃球，但雷霆隊今年夏天在面對 Dort 以及他 1820 萬美元的球隊選項時，確實有一個重大的決定要做。 If the Spurs can play him off the court by forcing him to dribble/pass and the Thunder can survive, it might make their decision pretty easy for them. 如果馬刺隊能透過迫使 Dort 去進行運球或傳球來讓他無法留在場上，而雷霆隊在此情況下還能生存下來，這可能會讓雷霆管理層在夏天做決定時變得非常輕鬆。 Murray: How does increased attention on Mitchell affect both teams? The Lakers threw the kitchen sink at Gilgeous-Alexander, and the Thunder washed their dishes. The next Thunder opponents shouldn’t need to overreact to Gilgeous-Alexander to that degree, and that will also change how Mitchell can proceed. He’s going to rise up scouting reports. There’s plenty of highly flammable tape that there is no excuse to be unfamiliar with the sophomore southpaw’s game. Law Murray：對 Mitchell 投入更多的防守注意力會如何影響這兩支球隊？湖人隊使出了渾身解數來對付 Gilgeous-Alexander，而雷霆隊輕鬆化解了這一切。雷霆隊的下一個對手不應該需要對 Gilgeous-Alexander 做出那種程度的過度反應，而這也將改變 Mitchell 接下來的進攻模式。他在球探報告中的順位將會上升。現在已經有大量他手感火燙的比賽影片，沒有理由對這位二年級左撇子球員的球風感到陌生。 Weiss: The X-factor of this series is Holmgren and his offense. Wembanyama pretty much ignored him as a shooter and ate him up inside the 3-point line, which allowed San Antonio to contain the Thunder’s downhill action, for the most part. Also, Wembanyama runs off pure schadenfreude when Holmgren struggles, so the Thunder can’t let him get too jacked up and start trying to dunk on people. Jared Weiss：這個系列賽的未知X因素是 Holmgren 以及他在進攻端的發揮。 Wembanyama 此前幾乎忽視了他在外線的投射，並在三分線內將他吞噬，這讓聖安東尼奧在很大程度上得以限制住雷霆隊向禁區衝擊的攻勢。此外，當 Holmgren 打得掙扎時， Wembanyama 往往會從小看對手中獲得純粹的動力，因此雷霆隊不能讓 Wembanyama 變得太過興奮，從而開始嘗試在每個人頭上灌籃。 Can Holmgren be a knockdown shooter and pull Wembanyama out of the paint, or force the Spurs to play a pseudo zone? The Spurs will win if Wemby can camp by the rim and lose if he can’t. Simple as that. Holmgren 能否成為一名高命中率的射手，並將 Wembanyama 拉出禁區，或是迫使馬刺隊打出某種偽區域防守？如果 Wemby 能駐守在籃框附近，馬刺隊就會贏；如果他做不到，馬刺隊就會輸。事情就是這麼簡單。 Krawczynski: Who wins the chess match? As stated above, the Spurs coaching staff was excellent in the second round. Now they face Daigneault, one of the best tacticians in the game, and a Thunder team that never beats itself. The Spurs will not be able to rely on some of the mistakes the Timberwolves committed to fuel their runs. They are going to have to go out and win every minute to take this series. Jon Krawczynski：誰能贏下這場教練間的西洋棋對決？如上所述，馬刺隊的教練團在第二輪的表現非常出色。現在他們要面對的是 Daigneault，他是聯盟中最好的戰術家之一，而且他帶領的雷霆隊是一支從不自我毀滅的球隊。馬刺隊將無法再依賴明尼蘇達灰狼隊先前所犯下的一些錯誤來延續他們的得分高潮。他們必須去贏下每一分鐘，才能拿下這個系列賽。 We have seen the Spurs do it in the regular season, but the playoffs have a heightened sense of urgency and attention to detail. The Thunder are so disciplined. Every player understands his role and doesn’t deviate from it. The Spurs will have to be just as focused and exacting. 我們曾在例行賽中看到馬刺隊做到過，但季後賽擁有一種更高層級的緊迫感與對細節的專注。雷霆隊是如此紀律嚴明，每位球員都理解自己的角色且不逾矩。馬刺隊將必須保持同樣的專注與嚴苛。 ***** How do you feel about the Thunder’s or Spurs’ title chances after this series? 在這個系列賽之後，你如何看待雷霆或馬刺的奪冠機會？ ***** Lorenzi: Not like their odds double or anything, but the Thunder were a favorite entering the second round and handled business. Spectators should be at least a little more confident in them than they were entering these playoffs. The winner of this series — which someone suggested to me this week as perhaps the most anticipated series since the Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets in 2018 — is likely the champion. Joel Lorenzi：這倒不是說他們的奪冠機率會直接翻倍或怎樣，但雷霆隊在進入第二輪時原本就是熱門球隊，並且順利完成了任務。旁觀者此時對他們的信心，至少應該比進入季後賽之初還要高一些。這個系列賽的勝者——本週有人向我建議，這或許是自 2018 年金州勇士隊與休士頓火箭隊對決以來最受期待的系列賽——很可能就是最終的總冠軍。 Woike: There isn’t a better team in the NBA than the Thunder. Was true in October. Is true today. Dan Woike： NBA 中沒有比雷霆更好的球隊了。這在十月份是真的，在今天也同樣是真的。 Murray: I said the Thunder were the team I expected to win the championship back in October. Nothing about their playoff run so far has given me a reason to change my thought on that. But they’re going to need Jalen Williams back. It’s great that the Thunder haven’t missed him in terms of wins and (not) losses, but the Thunder are going to need all hands on deck. Law Murray：我在十月份就說過，雷霆隊是我預期會贏得總冠軍的球隊。到目前為止，他們的季後賽征程沒有給我任何改變這個想法的理由。但他們將需要 Jalen Williams 歸隊。雷霆隊在贏球和（沒有）輸球的結果上沒有想念他，這固然很棒，但雷霆隊接下來將需要全體全員到齊。 Weiss: These are the two favorites to win it, easily. They have wide-ranging offensive options, a clear defensive identity and the only two players left who will command double- and triple-teams all night long. These have been far and away the best teams in the league all season, and nothing has changed now. Jared Weiss：這兩支無疑是奪冠的最大熱門，輕而易舉。他們擁有範圍廣泛的進攻選擇、清晰的防守主體，以及目前季後賽僅存的兩位能整晚吸引雙人甚至三人包夾的球員。這一整季以來，這兩支隊伍與其他球隊相比都是遙遙領先的聯盟最佳球隊，現在這一點也沒有改變。 Krawczynski: What’s not to love? The Spurs have an alien who controls both ends of the court; four wing defenders in Castle, Vassell, Harper and Fox who can stay in front of Thunder guards on the perimeter; and enough depth with Johnson, Bryant, Luke Kornet and Harrison Barnes to adapt as the series evolves. Yes, they are young, but they play a mature game. They want it, and they can absolutely take it. Jon Krawczynski：有什麼理由不愛這對決？馬刺隊擁有一位掌控攻防兩端的「外星人」；Castle、Vassell、Harper 和 Fox 這四名側翼防守者可以在外圍保持在雷霆隊後衛的身前；此外還有 Johnson、Bryant、Luke Kornet 和 Harrison Barnes 組成的充足陣容深度，可以隨著系列賽的演進而做出調整。是的，他們很年輕，但他們打著成熟的籃球。他們渴望勝利，而且他們絕對有能力去拿下它。 ***** Prediction for Thunder-Spurs and why? 對於雷霆對馬刺的系列賽預測與原因？ ***** Lorenzi: I’ll go under the assumption that Williams is ready for Game 1. If he returns by, say, Game 3, I think it’ll go seven games. The Spurs are real. I’m not sure the Thunder can win without Jalen Williams. Thunder in 6 Joel Lorenzi：我會在 Williams 已經為第一戰做好準備的假設下做出預測。如果他是在，比如說第三戰才回歸，我認為系列賽會打到第七場。馬刺隊是玩真的。我不確定雷霆隊在沒有 Jalen Williams 的情況下能否贏下這系列賽。預測：雷霆 4勝2敗。 Woike: I think the Spurs are uniquely positioned to push Oklahoma City to its limits, but experience and shotmaking should win out, and I trust the Thunder more in both areas. Thunder in 7 Dan Woike：我認為馬刺隊擁有獨特的優勢，可以將奧克拉荷馬城逼到其極限，但季後賽經驗和投籃終結能力最終應該會勝出，而在這兩個領域，我更信任雷霆隊。預測：雷霆 4 勝3敗。 Murray: I’m going to say this series goes the distance, with Oklahoma City winning a Game 7. It will be interesting to see if the time off gets Williams up to speed. But the Thunder would have appreciated the Timberwolves coming through — not just so that the Thunder get an opponent coming off a Game 7, but because the Timberwolves are a familiar playoff opponent that isn’t at full strength. Law Murray：我認為這個系列賽會戰至最後關頭，由奧克拉荷馬城贏下第七戰。看看這段休息時間能否讓 Williams 恢復到比賽節奏將會非常有趣。但雷霆隊原本其實會更希望看到明尼蘇達灰狼隊晉級——不僅僅是因為這樣雷霆隊就能碰上一個剛打完第七戰的對手，更是因為灰狼隊是一個彼此熟悉、且目前並非處於全盛狀態的季後賽對手。 The Spurs are playing with house money getting to this point with this core, and they have all the confidence that comes with beating the Thunder four times this season. Ultimately, I expect the Thunder to have a plan to limit Wembanyama the same way they contained Jokiin the semifinals last year. 馬刺隊憑藉著這套核心陣容走到這一步，已經是在毫無壓力的情況下超額完成任務，而且他們擁有本賽季四度擊敗雷霆隊所帶來的全部信心。歸根結底，我預期雷霆隊會有一套限制 Wembanyama 的計畫，就像他們去年在準決賽中成功遏制 Joki的方式一樣。預測：雷霆 4勝3敗。 Weiss: Spurs in 7. I actually changed this answer during Game 6, when the Spurs completely slammed the door on the Timberwolves. It wasn’t the recency bias that the Spurs showed they can have a great shooting night in a big moment, but the way they completely buried the Wolves’ identity in a way that seemed like a massive challenge a few days ago. The Thunder can reach a level of tenacity and precision that makes them the best team in the league, but they aren’t invincible and the Spurs proved that this year in a short, but unforgettable window in December. As we approach June, there is no discernable gap between these two teams if Williams looks close to himself. That’s a huge if, enough to give this version of the Spurs the slightest edge imaginable. Jared Weiss：預測：馬刺 4勝3敗。我實際上是在第六戰期間改變了這個預測答案，當時馬刺隊徹底對明尼蘇達灰狼隊關上了大門。這並不是因為近因偏見看到馬刺隊展現出他們可以在重大時刻擁有一個精采的投籃之夜，而是因為他們徹底埋葬灰狼隊球隊主體的方式，這在幾天前看起來似乎還是一個巨大的挑戰。雷霆隊可以達到一種讓他們成為聯盟最強球隊的堅韌與精準度，但他們並非不可戰勝，馬刺隊今年十二月在一段短暫但令人難忘的時間窗口裡已經證明了這一點。當我們接近六月時，如果 Williams 看起來接近他自己的正常水準，這兩支球隊之間就沒有明顯的差距。這是一個巨大的假設，足以賦予這個版本的馬刺隊那種可以想像到的最微弱的優勢。 This series will probably come down to availability, though the one big unknown for the Spurs is how Wembanyama handles playing essentially 10 more minutes per game against Oklahoma City than he did in the regular season. He has handled the minutes load well so far in the playoffs but the Thunder can make him move around defensively more than anyone. 這個系列賽可能最終取決於健康出勤狀況，不過對馬刺隊來說，一個巨大的未知數在於 Wembanyama 面對奧克拉荷馬城時，在實質上要比他在例行賽每場多打 10 分鐘的情況下該如何應對。到目前為止，他在季後賽中很好地應對了時間負荷，但雷霆隊在防守端能讓他做出的橫向移動比任何人都多。 This is a coin toss for a prediction, and I like the fact that the Thunder don ’t have defenders to roll over and have three primary creators they can count on right now. Particularly, their ability to get into Wembanyama’s dribble with gap help is going to be at a different level than anything he’s faced before. They just have so many more options than Minnesota and that may be just enough to outlast the Spurs. 這是一個拋硬幣般的預測，我喜歡雷霆隊目前擁有不會輕易被擊敗的防守者、並且擁有三個目前可以依靠的核心進攻創造者這點。特別是，他們透過協防去干擾 Wembanyama 運球的能力，將會達到一個與他以前面對過的任何防守都完全不同的層級。他們就是擁有比明尼蘇達更多的選擇，這可能剛好足以讓他們比馬刺隊撐得更久。 But San Antonio is playing so well that it wouldn’t be surprising to see them win this in 6. If the Spurs can shoot well, De’Aaron Fox can have some big games and Wembanyama can own the paint, it may not matter how good the Thunder are. 但聖安東尼奧目前打得太好了，以至於看到他們在六場內贏下這個系列賽也不會令人驚訝。如果馬刺隊能投得很好，De’Aaron Fox 能打出幾場偉大的比賽，而 Wembanyama 能統治禁區，那麼雷霆隊有多優秀可能就不重要了。 Krawczynski: What a treat this series is going to be. These two teams do not like each other. They will tear each other limb from limb. Ultimately, I think Wembanyama’s two-way greatness will be just enough — but I certainly wouldn’t bet on it. Spurs in 7. Jon Krawczynski：這個系列賽將會是一場多麼棒的享受。這兩支球隊並不喜歡彼此。他們會把對方撕得粉碎。歸根結底，我認為 Wembanyama 在攻防兩端的偉大身手將剛好足夠 ——但我絕對不會對此下賭注。預測：馬刺 4勝3敗。 Joel Lorenzi|Staff Writer, Chicago Bulls Dan Woike|Senior Writer, Lakers Law Murray|Staff Writer, Los Angeles Jared Weiss|Staff Writer, Spurs Jon Krawczynski|Senior Writer -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 49.217.120.47 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Spurs/M.1778915839.A.CA2.html

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