[新聞] 底特律媒體看好T-Mac復甦 突破障礙展現價值
http://www.nba.com.tw/news/article/2010-08-11/45240/45283
底特律媒體看好T-Mac復甦 突破障礙展現價值
發表時間:2010-08-11
在麥格瑞迪(Tracy McGrady)以一年底薪加盟活塞後,底特律當地媒體
也發表了相關評論。在他們看來,麥格瑞迪具備了在活塞繼續發光發熱
的能力,但是新球季他同樣會遇到不少障礙。
What Can We Expect from T-Mac?
by Kevin Sawyer
on Aug 10, 2010 2:34 PM CDT in Previews
http://www.detroitbadboys.com/2010/8/10/1615699/what-can-we-expect-
from-t-mac
It's official. In yet another victory in Joe Dumar's* battle to recreate
all-star teams from the early aughts, he has signed none other than Tracy
McGrady to a one year deal at the veteran's minimum.
This signing is intriguing, largely because the (modest) median expectation
is not the likely result. Here's what we know about T-Mac.
-In 2003, at the age of 23, he was the best player in basketball.
That year, he led the league in scoring, player efficiency rating,
and wp48.
-He has failed to even approach this level of effectiveness in the years
since. His propensity to shoot high volumes of three pointers, and relative
ineptitude at same, conspired to limit his effectiveness.
-A combination of nebulous back injuries and diva issues conspired to limit
his participation in the last two seasons to only 65 games.
-There is no precedent for a player who was once the best in basketball being
washed up by the age of 31.
-After joining the Rockets, McGrady actually became a strong defender.
Since the 2004-05 season, McGrady has more defensive win shares (18.5)
than offensive (14.9).
對於T-Mac,我們知道他在23歲時就已經成為聯盟中的翹楚,勇奪得分王。
然而在之後,麥格瑞迪的進攻效率就開始逐漸下滑。不過加盟火箭之後,
麥格瑞迪防守端的表現還是可圈可點。只是過去兩個球季,由於傷病的困擾,
他只打了65場比賽。
From this, what can we project for this season? I mentioned that there is no
precedent for a player going from the top of the league to washout, but one
player came close.
Connie Hawkins was a versatile scorer, whose career was delayed by his
(unjust) implication in a point shaving scandal. Upon arriving in the ABA
at 25, after a stint with the Harlem Globetrotters, he immediately dominated,
posting a player efficiency rating of 28.8 despite his relative weakness as
a shooter.
By the time he arrived in Los Angeles at the age of 31, The Hawk was a shell
of his former self (though he was still being voted into all-star games every
year), having been limited by knee ailments.
He proved that he had something left in the tank, playing 35 mpg, becoming
more of a playmaker on offense while still grabbing rebounds and improving
his efficiency. He was above average at both ends of the court, posting a
PER of 15.5 and a .128 wp48.
名人堂成員霍金斯(Connie Hawkins)也曾遭遇麥格瑞迪今天的窘境,
當31歲的他加盟洛杉磯湖人時,由於已經受到膝傷的折磨,
前景並不為人所看好。然而,霍金斯證明自己老而彌堅,場均出戰35分鐘,
在球隊多扮演進攻組織者的角色,防守搶籃板方面同樣不示弱。
If T-Mac puts up those kinds of numbers, he'll win most improved player, and
it certainly isn't outside of the realm of possibly for him to improve upon
them. Heck, if he is able to give Detroit 60 games at 20 mpg at his
production from two years ago, he will have added two wins to the total.
There are a few key obstacles that should temper our expectations
如果麥格瑞迪能夠打出霍金斯當年的高效率,幫助活塞獲得更多勝利,
他甚至能衝擊聯盟最佳進步獎。不過這也只是期望而已,T-Mac在活塞
也面臨一些困境。
The first is the alleged logjam on the wings. I say alleged because not one
wing player managed to play even average basketball, much less stay healthy
long enough to do so. A bunch of so-so, hobbled players does not a logjam
make.
Nonetheless, unless coach Kuester is willing to get creative in order
to get more wins out of this ball club, McGrady will likely have to settle
for 15-20 mpg even if he's outperforming the starting five.
首先,除非主帥庫斯特(John Kuester)願意為了更多的勝利
而打破活塞已定的戰術套路,否則麥格瑞迪即便是表現勝過先發球員,
每場大概有只有15到20分鐘左右的時間。
The second is his diva complex. Let's face it, every superstar becomes a
diva. The problem is that T-Mac hasn't had the output to match. He bristled
at the suggestion of earning back his role in Houston after being racked by
injuries. Speaking of which...
其次是麥格瑞迪自己的心態。每個超級巨星都希望成為球場的主角。
問題在於目前的麥格瑞迪還沒有打出符合這一身份的表現。
所以他究竟是否真的心甘情願擔任替補還有待觀望。
About those injuries. Now, back spasms are painful. They take you out of
action for at least a week, if not a month. You cannot play through back
spasms any more than you can play through an aardvark chewing on your
testicles. But they do go away, and, with proper conditioning, can be made
to disappear. They didn't disappear, and now McGrady is coming off major
knee surgery.
最後就是傷病。背傷依舊是麥格瑞迪的一大隱患,並且他還經歷過膝蓋手術。
Theoretically, McGrady is auditioning for a major contract, but if he was
contemplating retirement weeks ago, will he be able to keep his focus long
enough to secure that long-term deal?
Oh, and he'll still want to jack up three pointers.
On the flip side...
The team can't possibly be wedded to the notion that a Hamilton-Prince-Gordon
ensemble is going to win basketball games. Otherwise, why even bother with
T-Mac? McGrady can plug in easily at the two or the three, and can defend both
positions quite well. Plus, if he begins to play well, and the Pistons aren't,
the pressure to give him more minutes will be overwhelming. Again, lottery
teams don't have logjams. They have holes.
Diva issues aside, McGrady is, by all accounts, a pretty good guy. He isn't a
head case or a drug addict. He is also in a position where, suddenly, the
money, the fame, the accolades, and the attention are gone. Chicago didn't
work out. Heck, the Clippers didn't work out. Even a few months ago, he was
talking about being a sought after free agent. Superstars might be divas, but
they also have egos, and always have something to prove.
但是不可否認,麥格瑞迪依舊具備一定的進攻能力,防守也很不錯。
如果新球季他有出色的表現,而活塞戰績不佳,那麼壓力在活塞一方,
外界會要求麥格瑞迪打更長的時間。拋開是否甘願當替補不談,
麥格瑞迪還是個非常好的球員,他不會在場外惹是生非。
If he can get to the line and play defense, he has the chance to turn around
his career. Detroit should give him every opportunity to do so.
If nothing else, having an aging superstar whose legacy is on the line gives
us fans something to be excited about. It's like a movie, but at matinee
pricing. Will this be an inspirational Dreamworks movie about talking
dragons, or a gritty indie drama about meth tweakers? Will it be Hoosiers
or Hoop Dreams? The Natural or Sugar?
Connie Hawkins or an Allen Iverson?
麥格瑞迪還有機會扭轉自己的職業生涯,活塞應該盡可能給他機會。
究竟是霍金斯,還是艾佛森(Allen Iverson)?新球季的麥格瑞迪
會證明給大家看。
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
這篇算是謹慎中帶樂觀的
不過抱持悲觀看法的球評當然也有
比方說BleacherReport的Elliott Pohnl
他甚至舉出了10個不看好T-Mac與活塞會合作愉快的理由
http://tinyurl.com/25pkzh3
http://www.nba.com.tw/news/article/2010-08-11/45240/45283
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