[外電] Sunday Insider: Here's a stat worth a look: Players' win
http://www.startribune.com/511/story/964347.html
What started out as a research project to peek at the backgrounds of the
players on the Timberwolves' 2006-07 roster has become, I'll admit, a bit of
a pet project. Or maybe just a crackpot theory. You be the judge.
In trying to gauge the challenge facing former coach Dwane Casey and new
coach Randy Wittman in building a consistent winner, it seemed worthwhile to
check the resumes of the players. Do they know what it takes to win? Have
they won elsewhere? Or have they been stuck unhappily on mediocre (or worse)
squads? Or, ugh, become inured to the notion of losing?
So some diligent Star Tribune researchers ran the numbers -- adding up the
won-lost records of each player's team or teams. They had to "ballpark" the
results for simplicity's sake, going with a club's season record if the
player spent most of that season with that team. (In other words, we didn't
track only the games in which each guy played. And we used a minimum of two
full NBA seasons.)
Still, the pattern is interesting:
Mark Madsen 319-214, .598
Kevin Garnett 489-422, .537
Troy Hudson 316-313, .502
Trenton Hassell 206-245, .457
Justin Reed 131-156, .456
Ricky Davis 340-407, .455
Mark Blount 280-335, .455
Eddie Griffin 168-201, .455
Mike James 279-336, .454
Marko Jaric 145-224, .393
Just eyeballing the numbers, it might suggest that the Wolves, who were 20-21
(.488) at the time, were about where they should have been, given their
players' NBA exposure to winning and losing. Maybe it shows a blunder in
building a roster with players who haven't won, then assuming they can win.
You know, the old lemons into lemonade saying, silk purses and sows' ears,
garbage in/garbage out, chicken salad and ... chopped liver?
Then again, maybe it says nothing of the sort. Some great players, such as
Kevin McHale, fall into a team that already is humming. Others, like Michael
Jordan, have to do the heavy lifting themselves.
Still, I'm wondering why the NBA -- and other major league sports, for that
matter -- don't track the W-L marks of its players just like another
individual stat. Not just the specialty positions (pitcher, goalie,
quarterback) but everybody.
No one thinks twice about a coach or manager lugging around a W-L record for
an entire career, even though most of them necessarily start in dog
situations. Why shouldn't a participant, who has more control over a game's
outcome than some guy in a suit or a windbreaker, be similarly measured?
There might be two dozen reasons why a team W-L record can't capture the true
value of an individual. It doesn't tell us everything we'd like to know. But
surely it doesn't tell us nothing about a guy.
Let's get the W-Ls right out there with the ERAs, the PPGs, the INTs and the
GAAs. In time, maybe the fantasy leaguers would start to dig it, too.
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