[外電] 本季回顧

看板TyrekeEvans作者eliczone (C'est la vie)時間10年前 (2014/04/22 22:24)推噓2(2推 0噓 0→)

留言2則, 2人參與討論串1/1

http://www.thebirdwrites.com/2014/4/21/5623342/tyreke-evans-season-recap Arrival Dell Demps wasted no time targeting Tyreke Evans in Free Agency. Ultimately the two sides came to an agreement on a 4 year, $44 Million contract. Due to salary cap constraints, the Pelicans worked out a three team trade with Portland and Sacramento. Greivis Vasquez, Robin Lopez, and Terrel Harris (oh, a guy signed to an unguaranteed second year on March 27th that greases the skids for a future trade, imagine that) were sent out in exchange for Tyreke Evans and Jeff Withey. Reaction to this move (in concert with the trade for Jrue Holiday) was pretty mixed. Most grades of the trade were in the B+ to C- range. Bill Simmons hated it. Tyreke Evans as a Manu Ginobli-esque 6th Man was intriguing to most writers, although there were concerns about how three high usage guards would co-exist. Unfortunately for Demps, the Pelicans only got 91 minutes of evidence with the "Finishing Five" on the court thanks to injuries. The Pelicans outscored opponents by 9.5 points per 100 possessions in that sampling. Do we know if the three of them together will work? No. Does anyone know it failed? No. 在講季外鵜鶘交易來reke的經過。 Injuries in Pre-Season Speaking of injuries, Tyreke Evans started his career in New Orleans with one. Just 10 minutes into his career during the pre-season, he went down with a a nasty ankle injury. As some mentioned in the comments, Evans had a history of nagging injuries that limited his availability. His career high in games played was 72, his rookie of the year campaign. While Evans would be available on opening night, the loss of his expected running mate Ryan Anderson would have the predictable negative effect. 季前賽踩到天空貝的腳扭到了。 Struggles off the Bench In his first two regular season games as a New Orleans Pelican, Tyreke shot 2-15. Already, anyone who was against the signing to begin with, had all the ammunition they needed. Putting up 15 points, 7 assists, and 6 rebounds against the Bobcats did nothing to quell this as it was "just the Bobcats." Then, Tyreke logged just 7 minutes against the Phoenix Suns due to "conditioning" and #MontyBall was in full effect. 前兩場比賽，reke投15中2。就算對山貓得了15分7助攻和6籃板，但有人也只是說「因為是對上山貓」。之後對上太陽時只上了7分鐘。 Overall, without Ryan Anderson to create space for Tyreke to operate, the results were horrendous. Evans averaged just 9.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, and 3.6 APG while shooting 36.2% from the field. New Orleans was 3-6. The buzzards were circling. 沒有Ryno在，reke平均只有9分4籃板3.6助攻，命中率只有36.2%。 The surprise benching did have the desired effect. Or the return of Ryan Anderson did; along with some luck (for Tyreke) in the form of an MCL sprain for Greg Stiemsma. Once Anderson returned Evans went off. In 20 games, Evans averaged 15.4 PPG, 5.5 RPG, and 5.0 APG on 44.5% from the field. The Pelicans went 12-8 in that stretch (Evans missed two games due to another ankle sprain) and pushed within a game of .500. But that last victory against Boston came at great cost, one which would effect Tyreke Evans most of all. 也許是因為坐板凳冷靜一下的關係，或者是Ryno回來的關係，也或者是Stiemsma受傷的關係。這20場比賽reke平均15.4分、5.5籃板和5.0次助攻，命中率44.5%，鵜鶘這段期間的戰績為12勝8負。但最後一場對上波士頓所拿下的勝利付出相當的代價，大大地影響了 reke。 No Space to Operate Ryan Anderson would later be ruled out for the season, his last game in a Pelican uniform saw Tyreke Evans pour in 16 points, 8 rebounds, and 6 assists. Not only did the Boston game see the last of Ryan Anderson, it saw the return of Greg Stiemsma as a intregal part of the rotation. In the next 20 games, Evans would shoot above 50% from the field in just two games; a 23-7-7 game (7/13 from the field) in a win over Orlando and a 23-5-10 game (10/14 from the field) in a loss at Toronto. I will point out that Stiemsma did not play against Orlando and logged just 10 minutes (out of 32) with Tyreke against Toronto. Ryno整季報銷，他的最後一場比賽reke拿了16分8籃板和6助攻。不只是Ryno報銷， Stiemsma也回來了。接下來的20場比賽，reke命中率超過5成的只有2場。一場是對上魔術一場是對上暴龍，Stiemsma在對魔術的時候沒有上，對上暴龍時只有和reke同場10分鐘。 Tyreke Evans was awful in this 20 game stretch: 10.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 4.2 APG and shooting a dreadful 35.4% from the floor. His minutes plunged to just 23 per game. Tyreke missed three games after another ankle injury against Dallas, was benched against Detroit, missed a game against Atlanta with a rib injury, and was again DNP-CD'd by Monty Williams against Brooklyn. In his last game before being moved into the starting lineup, Evans scored just 4 points in 29 minutes at the Mavericks. Just before making his first start of the season he was stuck in an elevator. Maybe everyone was right? Evans was a bust and a horrible decision by GM Dell Demps. 在這20場reke爛透了，平均10分3籃板4.2助攻，命中率只有35.4%。上場時間平均只有23 分鐘。對達拉斯時又傷了腳踝，對活塞時被罰坐板凳，對老鷹因為肋骨受傷缺陣一場，對籃網時又被Monty罰坐板凳。在被移去先發陣容前的最後一場比賽是對上小牛，上了29分鐘，僅僅得了4分。 It was in the midst of this awful slump that Bill Simmons published his "Worst Contracts in the NBA" column. Tyreke Evans clocked in at #16. No time like the present to bash Evans. 在這段期間Bill Simmons發表了「NBA最爛合約」的專欄，reke排第16。 By the way, I’d love Tyreke as my Heat Check Guy off the bench if he made Jamal Crawford money ($5 million to $6 million per year). But nearly twice as much? Incomprehensible. He reminds me of Corey Maggette — for 10 years, Corey made too much money, never made anyone better, never played for good teams and always left you frustrated because he’d unleash those occasional monster Maggette games (35 points, 15 of 17 free throws) to remind you how talented he was. That’s Tyreke. He’s Maggette 2.0. Explains Grantland’s Kirk Goldsberry, "Out of 203 players who attempted at least 75 midrange shots, Evans ranks dead last in FG% at 22 percent. The next lowest guy is Cody Zeller at 27 percent — that’s a big gap. He’s also making 14 percent of his 3s." Other than that, he’s been on fire. 「此外，如果reke拿假貓的薪水(每年5M~6M)，我會希望reke是我的板凳球員。但如果是接近兩倍，那毫不考慮。他讓我想起Corey Maggette，那十年間他賺了很多錢，但從未讓別人變的更好，從未替好的球隊打過球，總是讓你感到挫折，因為有時候會大爆發讓你想起他多麼有天份。這就是reke，他是Maggette 2.0。203名球員出手至少75次中距離中，reke排名最後，命中率只有22%。第二低的是Cody Zeller，27%。差距很大。三分命中率是14%。除此之外，他很火燙」Bill Simmons的專欄。 During this 20 game stretch (counting just games Tyreke played), the Pelicans went a disastrous 4-16. In addition to the injury to Ryan Anderson, New Orleans also lost Jrue Holiday to a stress fracture and Jason Smith with a knee injury. Running out of options, Monty Williams (possibly with a push from Dell Demps?) decided to start Tyreke. He got to the arena in time after his extended stay in an elevator, could he turn his season around? 在那20場，鵜鶘的戰績為4勝16負。除了Ryno的受傷，Jrue和J. Smith也受傷了。沒招的 Monty決定讓reke先發。 Move to the Starting Lineup Before the move, I suggested that Tyreke needed to play with shooters more. Of course at the time I was focused on traditional "stretch-4" (i.e. one that shoots three point shots) players available (or injured) on the team - Luke Babbitt and Ryan Anderson. Instead, it might have been best to think outside the box, to a non-traditional "stretch-4" already starting, Anthony Davis. 70.9% (483/681) of Tyreke's minutes came beside Davis before back spasms shut The Brow down for the season; a dramatic increase from the 55.4% (675/1218) before Tyreke's move into the starting lineup. 在那之前，我是建議reke需要多和射手搭配。當然那時候我是聚焦於隊上的4號射手，像是Babbitt和Ryno。但也許AD才是最佳的選擇。在AD因為背部痙癴前reke有70.9%的時間是和AD搭配的，之前才55.4%。 Starting Tyreke proved to be a brilliant decision. Not just for Tyreke's stat line, but for the Pelicans as well. In 23 games (Evans missed the Memphis game due to illness and the Houston game due to a bone bruise), New Orleans went 11-12, rather impressive considering the injury toll up to this point. Tyreke began to 'reke havoc on opposing defenses. His stat line over this 23 game stretch was impressive: 19.7 PPG, 5.4 RPG, and 6.4 APG on 49.9% from the field in 35 minutes a game. 讓reke先發後來證明是聰明的選擇，不只是因為reke的數據，但球隊整體來說也是。在這 23場中，鵜鶘11勝12負，尤其要考慮到球隊的傷兵陣容。reke開始輾對方的防守。這23場比賽數據非常驚人，19.7分5.4籃板6.4助攻，命中率為49.9%，平均上場35分鐘。 More impressive were wins over six different playoff teams (Atlanta, Miami, Brooklyn, the Clippers, Oklahoma City, and Houston). In those six victories, Evans averaged 24.3 PPG, 6.0 RPG, and 7.6 APG on 53.2% from the field. Tyreke saved his best for last, absolutely assaulting the rim against the Rockets and Thunder. Changing out Stiemsma's unsure hands (24.4% turnover rate) for Jeff Withey and Alexis Ajinca helped, as did the Thunder's bizarre strategy of guarding Evans with Derek Fisher. The shot chart below tells the story. 更驚人的是贏了六支季後賽球隊(老鷹、熱火、籃網、快艇、雷霆和火箭)。這六場勝利中 reke平均得了24.3分6籃板和7.6助攻，命中率53.2%。最後兩場對上火箭和雷霆時更是如入無人之境。在從Stiemsma換成Withey，以及雷霆用老漁來守reke，下面的圖說明一切 http://cdn2.vox-cdn.com/assets/4313093/Tyreke_Nuclear.png

Four Tyrekes In the chart below, I broke down Tyreke's performance into the four segments mentioned above. Without Ryan Anderson (beginning of the season to November 15th), with Ryno (November 16th to January 3rd), the morass (January 4th to February 27th), and starter Tyreke (February 28th until the end of the season). Each of those links goes to the NBA.com/stats page for that particular date range. 用下面的圖，將reke的表現分成上面那四個階段。沒有Ryno(球季開始到11月15號)，有 Ryno(11月16號到1月3號)，困境(1月4號到2月27)，reke先發(2/28到球季結束) To weigh for the wide range of minutes he received, I have put his production in terms of per 36 minutes instead of per game. This should favor the bad times (8 different games he logged 20 minutes or less) over the good times (12 times he logged 36 minutes or more). Doing this exercise by per game method would artificially make the good period look better (largely due to a much heavier minute load) and his bad times look even worse (thanks to a much lower minute allocation). 用他上場的時間做為權重，所以選擇用PER36而不是平均數據。如果用每場來看，會讓好的比賽看起來更好，糟的比賽看起來更糟。 DATE RANGE PELICAN RECORD PP/36 RP/36 AP/36 A/T RATIO FG% TS% FG% WITHIN 8FT To 15NOV 3-6 13.5 6.0 5.3 1.88 36.2% 39.7% 44.07% 16NOV-3JAN 12-8 20.4 7.3 6.7 2.33 44.5% 52.9% 50.52% 4JAN-27FEB 6-14 15.7 5.5 6.6 2.15 35.4% 41.6% 43.59% 28FEB To End 11-12 20.2 5.5 6.5 1.93 49.9% 56.6% 55.19% Good Tyreke (the one that comes off the bench with Ryan Anderson or starts with Anthony Davis) is not just good, he is great. Here is the list of NBA players in history to put up 20 points, 5 rebounds, and 6 assists on 50% TS%: 好的reke不只是好而已，而是非常棒(替補和Ryno搭配或者先發和AD搭配)。以下是歷史上 20分5籃板6助攻TS%大於50%的球員 LeBron James Oscar Robertson Larry Bird Clyde Drexler Magic Johnson That's a list any player would be honored to be included. The Tyreke Evans we saw in those two stretches (43 games for those claiming #samplesizetheater) is an All-Star. That kind of production for just $11.2M next season is not just a bargain, it is an absolute steal. 在那兩階段(總共43場比賽)的reke是個全明星，這樣子的表現下個球季只要11.2M，這不是賺，而是偷啦!!!!!! It goes beyond production. Good Tyreke also gets all the way to the basket more. Good Tyreke shot 78.11% (464/594) of all field goal attempts within 8 feet of the basket, Bad Tyreke shot 70.95% (215/303) from that same space. A sizable difference. Change the sorting to "Basic Zones" on the NBA Stats tool and the picture comes into focus much more clearly. Bad Tyreke shot 57.24% (174/303) of all field goals attempted in the restricted area. Good Tyreke got all the way to the basket on 69.86% (415/594) of all his shots. 不只是效能提升，reke也更多切入，好的reke有78.11%是在8呎內投籃，壞的reke只有 70.95%。換個數據來看更清楚，壞的reke在三秒區內的投射比例為57.24%，好的是高達 69.86%。 Season Stat Recap Tyreke Evans appeared in 72 games this season, tying his career best from his rookie season. Despite nagging injuries to himself along with a roster decimated by them, Evans still managed to put up a quality campaign. Tyreke posted his career best PER, 18.4. While his shooting percentage dipped from 44.9% in four years in Sacramento to 43.6%, his rebound (7.8% to 9.8%) and assist (23.3% to 30.4%) rates both increased; dramatically so in case of his assist rate. reke全季出賽72場，平了菜鳥年生涯最高。僅管因為受傷還有陣容的牽連，reke仍然表現優異。PER為生涯最高的18.4。命中率從44.9%下降至43.6%。籃板率(7.8%上升至9.8%)和助攻率都是上場的(23.3%上升到30.4%)，尤其是助攻率上升非常多。 Aside: Seriously check out this link. Only Denver improves more in FiveThirtyEight's "injury free" projections than the Pelicans. If the entire league did not suffer a single injury, according to that report, the Pelicans would have finished with a record of 39-43. Defensively it is a very mixed bag. With Tyreke on the court the Pelicans gave up 108.7 points per 100 possessions, overall they gave up 107.3. Both those stats were pulled from NBA.com/stats. This particular coat of paint says Tyreke is a minus defender. ESPN's new "Real Plus-Minus" is even more negative, rating Tyreke Evans the worst defender among all players designated as small forwards. With this information, it would probably be best to just assume Tyreke is a terrible defender and be done with it, right? 防守端就很混亂。reke在場上時鵜鶘每100回合會失108.7分，總體來說他們平均失了 107.3分。ESPN新的「真正+/-」將reke排為小前鋒中防守最爛的，這樣子看來，reke是個糟透的防守者，對吧？ Synergy Sports, however, tells a completely different story on Tyreke Evans the defender. Below I compiled the stats of the best wing defenders in the last two seasons. Isolation, P&R Ball Handler, and Spot Up points per possession allowed were all pulled from Synergy Sports. Defensive Rating was pulled from NBA.com/stats and DRPM (Defensive Real Plus-Minus) was pulled from ESPN. Since Monty Williams has determined Tyreke is mostly a shooting guard I compared him against Tony Allen and Avery Bradley from the 2013 NBA All-Defensive Team and Jimmy Butler, Andre Iguodala, and Kawhi Leonard from Zach Lowe's 2014 NBA All-Defensive Team ballot. Synergy Sports說的卻是完全不一樣的事。下面列了近二季最佳的鋒線防守者的ISO、 PNR和定點的每回合失分數據。還有NBA.com的防守率以及ESPN的DRPM。自從Monty認定reke 就是個SG後，我就將他和2013最佳防守隊伍的Tony Allen、Avery Bradley以及Zach Lowe 所選出來有得到2014防守第一隊選票的Jimmy Butler、小AI以及可愛。 ISOLATION P&R BALL HANDLER SPOT UP DRTG DRPM Tyreke Evans 0.69 0.72 1.00 108.7 -3.78 Tony Allen 1.12 0.80 0.90 101.0 2.91 Avery Bradley 1.02 0.86 0.94 104.3 1.21 Jimmy Butler 0.70 0.79 0.78 97.3 1.37 Andre Iguodala 0.79 0.71 1.10 96.8 5.01 Kawhi Leonard 0.69 0.59 0.90 97.7 1.84 (譯：前三項是每回合失分，所以越低越好，DRTG指的是當這球員在場上，球隊每100回合所失的分數，所以越低越好，最後一項是越高越好) Tyreke Evans is currently slotted to be the 48th highest paid player in the NBA next season, and that is before a single free agent signs a contract. Evans put up the 30th best PER in the NBA this season. Should Ryan Anderson play his typical compliment of games (he played at least 61 games every season and missed just 6 in the previous two seasons), it is reasonable to expect Tyreke's performance will be even better next season. We already have the evidence that Tyreke IS excellent when Ryan Anderson is available. 目前reke是下一季薪水排名第48的球員，當然這是在自由球員簽約之前。全季reke的PER是第30名。依照Ryno的情況(前兩季至少每季都打61場比賽，只缺席6場比賽)，預期reke下一季的表現會更好是很合理的。我們已經看過當和Ryno搭配時，reke是非常傑出的。 Summer School Two different opinions have come to light recently concerning what Evans should work on. Michael McNamara of Bourbon Street Shots writes that work on the jump shot should not be a priority. Our own Brian Ball disagrees and points out being contrarian just for the sake of it is something practiced often in journalism. Monty Williams wants Tyreke to work on his mid-range jump shot this summer, which is what sparked the dialogue. Never mind that it is the least efficient shot in the game. reke暑假該怎麼做有兩派說法。BSS的MM寫說跳投的練習不該是最優先的事。我們的人不同意。Monty希望reke能夠練他的中距離跳投，就算這是最沒效率的投籃。 This idea of Tyreke shooting jump shots has followed Evans around his entire career. No, seriously. Here is what we know from the data. Tyreke shot 24.6% on jump shots this season according to Basketball Reference. He shot 31.3% last year, 26.4% in 2012, 30.0% in 2011, and 30.9% as a rookie. So he probably should shoot better than 24.6% on jumpers, but expecting him to be a knockdown shooter (especially doing so from mid range), seems a fool's errand. 練跳投一直是reke的功課。本季reke跳投命中率只有24.6%，去年是31.3%，2012是26.4% 2011是30.0%，菜鳥年是30.9%。他應該會比24.6%好，但認為他會成為射手是不明智的事 Instead, it is important for him to work on his jump shot and drill into his mind not to settle for the mid range attempt. If an opponent is backing off of him continually, Evans should shoot the three and have confidence in doing so. Even if the shot is not falling (he shot 1/7 from behind the arc against the Thunder), it still can have a desirable effect (Evans scored 41 points, the Pelicans won). Tyreke must not allow Monty's Influence (and love of the most inefficient shot in the game) to deter him from applying basic math that 3 is greater than 2. 但要他練習跳投，而且不要因此只有跳投是很重要的事。如果對手持續沉退，reke應該要有信心的投三分。就算沒進，也還是有效果的(對上雷霆三分投7中1，但還是得了41分)。 If Evans can get the confidence back in his jump shot he had his last season in Sacramento and simply hit 33.8% of his three point attempts and learn to avoid mid-range jump shots, that will be enough this summer. Should he find the voodoo doctor that cursed the franchise's injury luck that would be even better. 如果reke能夠重拾跳投的信心，三分命中率只要33.8%，再學著避免中距離跳投，就已經足夠。他去找個巫師來讓球隊避免受傷我想會是更好的一件事。 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 220.141.65.32 ※ 文章網址: http://www.ptt.cc/bbs/TyrekeEvans/M.1398176643.A.4B3.html