[情報] Moneyball (the sequel): Starring…ꄠ…
http://tinyurl.com/57woy
Moneyball (the sequel): Starring……Kenny Williams?
by scottlong
After many years of being focused on high slugging percentage baseball,
the Chicago White Sox will definitely have a different look. It could
be argued that no team over the off-season has changed the makeup of
their team more than on the South Side of Chicago. Many in the SABR
community slammed Kenny Williams for his trade of Carlos Lee, but it
was about money redistribution. I’ve been discussing this for some
time here and the Chicago Tribune picked up on the topic, recently.
As someone who was reading Baseball Abstracts as far back as 1982, I'm
a strong believer in the sabremetrical approach to the game, but one
place I feel many of my breathren fail is in combining this approach
with team salary caps.
There is little doubt that Billy Beane has been far superior as a
general manager to Ken Williams, but their past has shaped public
opinion on their recent moves too strongly.
What would the response of the SABR community been, if Williams would
have signed Jason Kendall? Oh I can hear the uproar over 34 million
dollars going out over the next 3 years, with the trickle down causing
the Sox to trade Mark Beurhle (see Hudson and Mulder) to cut some salary.
Instead, Williams smartly signed catcher A.J. Pierzynski at 2.2 million
for 2005. I realize this is a bit of a simplification, but not enough
credit has been dished out to Ken Williams.
Besides the re-signing of (I don’t want on my) Timo Perez, the rest of
the signings look pretty good. I would argue that Pierzynski, Orlando
Hernandez, and Tadahito Iguchi are 3 of the best of the off-season. It’s
time for KWilliams-haters to take a deep breath (I’m doing it as I write)
and admit that there does seem to be a plan in place for 2005.
One other note: The Pecota for the Sox starting staff, which has all 5
starters posting ERA’s between 4.35 and 5.05 is a load. Yeah, US Cellular
is unkind to pitchers, but these numbers would be career worst for almost
each pitcher in the rotation. Pecota is generally a beautiful thing, but
occasionally it misses the mark and I just don’t see the staff putting up
those huge ERA’s.
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※ 編輯: checa92 來自: 218.161.95.79 (01/30 01:13)
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