[閒聊] Checking up on Conor Gillaspie
Conor Gillaspie of the Chicago White Sox is hitting .326/.377/.484 for a wRC+
of 136. Among major league third basemen with 250 or more plate appearances,
he ranks fourth in wRC+ and fourth in batting average. He isn't as good in
fWAR terms, ranking 17th at 1.6, thanks to his defense and less playing time
than many of the other regulars. But hey, .326/.377/.484 is .326/.377/.484.
The White Sox will take that, as would most teams.
We looked at Gillaspie when he was hitting .352 in late May, and while he
cooled off some in June, he's gotten hot again in July and he's obviously
remained productive overall.
A reader asked me recently if I thought this was a fluke, considering that
Gillaspie wasn't a hot prospect when younger and didn't have a terrific 2013
season with the Sox. It's a good question but it is a little misleading:
Gillaspie was a very good prospect. He was a supplemental first round pick in
2008 after being a star at Wichita State, and he won a battling title and an
MVP award in the 2007 Cape Cod League, the wooden bat Cape Cod League mind
you.
In college he was seen as a pure hitter, projecting to hit for a high batting
average with moderate power and good OBP skills. The main question was his
defense, which was considered a liability. After the Giants drafted him, he
did not hit as well as expected but worked hard to improve his glovework.
Although he's not a Gold Glove by any means, he's an acceptable defender,
which is just fine if he keeps hitting.
And in my opinion he will keep hitting. Maybe not .326 all year, but I think
he is a legitimate .280-.290 hitter by nature and a guy like that will exceed
.300 when he has some good BABIP luck. What about power? He's not a huge home
run guy, but he can drive the ball (23 doubles) and has been doing that more
effectively of late, with all four of his homers this year coming in July.
His main weakness is a very sharp platoon split: he has an excellent 169 wRC+
against right-handers but just 25 against lefties.
Bottom line: in my view, Gillaspie is playing at the upper end of his range,
but it is not a complete fluke. Kept within his platoon limits, his ability
to hit for average with moderate power and provide decent defense should give
Gillaspie a long career. If he solves lefties eventually, or if his home run
power spikes as often happens when players get into their late 20s, look out.
http://www.minorleagueball.com/2014/7/18/5916283/checking-up-on-conor-gillaspie-white-sox
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這是John Sickels回答讀者Gillaspie的問題,不可否認他今年打都超級好,大概是認知到
表現不好就沒有明天所以淺能發揮,跟去年比雖然HR變少(4支而且都很淺)不過安打變多尤
其是2B倍增這種採確實擊中球心的方是我蠻喜歡的,也因為他的高打率不僅幫助打線串連
也使後面Abreu的長打更有破壞力,究竟他的好表現能能持續多久我不知道,不過我認為該
該換掉的前幾名肯定沒他因為我們很缺左打尤其Dunn明年極有可能不在而他還可以便宜用
年
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