[外電] WizFans 2007-2008 NBA Eastern Conference Preview
WizFans 2007-2008 NBA Eastern Conference Preview
Authored by Scott Shniderman - October 29, 2007 - 7:07 pm
October 29, 2007
By Scott Shniderman
The Basketball New Year is upon us; the NBA season tips off on Tuesday. Every
team is still tied for first and at this point every fan thinks their team is
a title - or at least a playoff - contender. The reality is that only eight
teams from each conference make the playoffs and I will attempt to tell you
which ones they will be. This article will break it down for you in order of
predicted finish. Today I will break down the East – take some notes and let
me know if you disagree. In a few days we will head West to break down the
other conference. Get ready for some round ball talk, this is where
predictions happen.
CONTENDERS
CHICAGO BULLS (54-28)
I really can’t see any team in the East with a team as strong from one
through ten as the Bulls. Their starting five looks to be the best in the
East: Hinrich at the 1, Ben Gordon at the 2, Deng at the 3, Ty Thomas at
power forward and Big Ben Wallace in the middle. They also have Andres
Nocioni, Joe Smith, Chris Duhon, Thabo Sefolosha and lottery pick Joakim Noah
off the bench. Deng is an emerging superstar-the Bulls were right to not
trade him and Gordon for Pau Gasol at last season’s trading deadline.
Nocioni, Thomas and Noah will provide plenty of energy and Joe Smith will
bring his veteran presence to this relatively young squad. Sefolosha plays
suffocating defense and Wallace, well, we all know how he can dominate in the
paint. This is the year the Bulls go very far in the playoffs, possibly back
to the NBA Finals for the first time since a certain bald-headed baller wore
number 23 in Chicago.
BOSTON CELTICS (53-29)
Well, give Danny Ainge credit. He has made basketball relevant again in
Beantown. In a town where the Red Sox just won the World Series and the
Patriots have started out like gang busters, Bah-stahn sports fans are still
talking about the leprechaun. If you haven’t heard, Ainge orchestrated a
trade to get All-Everything PF Kevin Garnett out of Minnesota and into a
Celtics jersey. Throw in the fact that the C’s traded the number five
overall pick in last summer’s draft for Ray Allen, and you have the makings
of a superstar triumvirate with reigning Celtic hero Paul Pierce healthy and
ready to go. There are some lingering issues though. Are their enough shots
for these three to stay happy? Do the Celtics have a legit point guard in
Rajon Rondo? If the answer to these two questions are yes, watch out, Boston
could do some major damage in the East this season.
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS (53-29)
LeBron got jobbed last year. He was the real MVP. You are probably asking
well, who was voted as MVP? Oh yeah, Dirk Nowitzki. Yes, the same Nowitzki
who let his #1 seed lose to an 8 seed in the first round of last year’s
playoffs. All King James did was lead his undermanned team to their first NBA
Finals in team history. James should have been the MVP last year, but he will
for sure win the award this year. Can the Cavs get back to The Finals? Now,
that’s an entirely different question. Last year’s team sparkplug, Anderson
Varaejo, not happy with his contract offer, has threatened to sit out the
entire season. Same goes for underrated scorer, Sasha Pavlovic. If those two
sit out the entire year, it might be a long season in Cleveland. Yes, Drew
Gooden and Zyndrunas Ilgauskas are solid role players for this squad, but
those two and LeBron are just not enough to go far in the playoffs. The Cavs
need last year’s Finals hero, point guard Daniel “Booby” Gibson, to step
his game to the next level. He is their X-Factor if the Cavaliers are to make
it deep into the ’08 Playoffs.
ALMOST THERE
DETROIT PISTONS (49-33)
Chauncey Billups, Rip Hamilton, Rasheed Wallace, Antonio McDyess and Tayshaun
Prince are as strong as any starting five in the league. And Jason Maxiell is
a very underrated bench player. Draft picks Rodney Stuckey and Arran Afflalo
will try to infuse some youth into the team and Nazr Mohammed and Jarvis
Hayes can add some veteran stability to D-Town. However, the Pistons just don
’t have that “it” factor that makes me think they can do anything to
really make a move in the post-season, but I’m sure the fans in Motown think
I’m wrong. They have regressed from losing the NBA Finals in 2005 to losing
the Eastern Conference Finals in 2006 and 2007. I can see them getting a year
older and taking a step back, losing in the Eastern Conference Semis this
year.
MIAMI HEAT (47-35)
The Heat sure got old in a hurry during last year’s playoffs, didn’t they?
Shaq looked slow, D-Wade just didn’t look right and the Heat got swept by
the Bulls 4-0 in the first round. But any team returning Wade and Shaq Diesel
has to be considered a contender, even with Wade being injured and possibly
missing up to the first month of the season recovering from knee and shoulder
surgeries. The Heat made a trade this week acquiring proven scorer Ricky
Davis and backup big man Mark Blount from the Timberwolves. This gives them
some nice depth and if Jason Williams can stay healthy at the point this team
has some talent. Throw in emerging youngsters Dorrell Wright and Chris Quinn
with solid veterans like Alonzo Mourning and Udonis Haslem and Miami could be
heating up just in time for playoff season.
JUST IN
NEW JERSEY NETS (46-36)
Any team with Jason Kidd, Vince Carter and Richard Jefferson on their squad
has to be considered a playoff contender. If Nenad Krstic can come back
healthy after missing almost all of last year with a torn ACL, this Nets team
will be better than people think. Kidd is a sure-fire Hall of Famer while
Carter and maybe even Jefferson are on their way. The key to the Nets ability
to win some games will be their health. VC played all 82 games last year for
only the second time in his career. Richard Jefferson missed 28 games last
year recovering from ankle surgery. Nets big man Krstic is still recovering
from surgery as well. Youngsters from last year’s draft, Antoine Wright and
Josh Boone looked very capable at times and Bostjan Nachbar had a few very
solid playoff games in 2007. Their first round draft pick, Sean Williams out
of Boston College, has been called one of the best athletes in this year’s
draft. Adding Jamaal Magloire at the 4 can only help as well. If the role
players gel and everyone stays healthy, this team can surprise in their
next-to-last season in the swamps of New Jersey before moving into their new
Brooklyn Arena in 2009-2010.
WASHINGTON WIZARDS (45-37)
Agent Zero. Hibachi. ’08 MVP? Whatever you want to call Gilbert Arenas this
year, he is poised to break out in a big way. When Arenas went down with a
torn meniscus in the last couple of weeks of last year’s regular season, the
Wizards season was all but over. Now Gilbert is back and ready to show the
league ’06-’07 was not a fluke. Gilbert is talking about 55 wins for the
Wiz, but I need to see more consistency beyond the “Big 3” to be a total
believer. Along with Arenas, Butler and Jamison, what do the Wizards have as
part of their future? Is Blatche ready to step it up? Is Songalia finally
healthy? Will Daniels and Stevenson continue their growth within the system?
Is Nick Young an overrated or underrated mid-round NBA draft pick? What will
the Wizards get out of last year’s pick, Pecherov? Are Thomas and Haywood
ready to put their differences behind them? Only time will tell.
TORONTO RAPTORS (42-40) I must admit, Raps fans are some of the most loyal on
the planet. I received several emails from Toronto fans last year after
giving them no shot at the playoffs. I was wrong, the Raptors made the
playoffs, but a first round loss has Toronto hungry for more. Last year’s
rookie breakout Andrea Bargnani, Jorge Garbajosa and Chris Bosh form a solid
front court. T.J. Ford, Jose Calderon, Anthony Parker and Carlos Delfino form
a nice backcourt. The Raptors also spent money on three-point specialist
Jason Kapono from the Heat. I’m just not sold the Raps can do it again. I do
think they will squeak into the playoffs, but they just don’t have the
talent to advance.
JUST OUT
ORLANDO MAGIC (41-41)
Rashard Lewis for $110 million. Looking at the number, it boggles my mind.
Lewis is an injury prone, one-dimensional (scoring) ball player. How he could
get someone to give him a max deal is beyond me, but I think his agent needs
a hearty congratulations. Don’t get me wrong, Lewis is a solid role player,
but can never stay healthy and has yet to show he has any moxie to be a team
leader. Dwight Howard on the other hand is a beast. He is one of the best
young players in this league, and I would not be surprised to see him win a
league MVP one day. Throw in Jameer Nelson and you have the nice start to a
good little team. New coach Stan Van Gundy should help. I just don’t think
they are ready for the playoffs, but with uber-center Howard, you never know.
MILWAUKEE BUCKS (39-43)
The Bucks had major injury issues last year as practically every member of
its starting five went down at some point in the year. Michael Redd missed 29
games with a knee injury. Bobby Simmons missed the entire year with foot
surgery on his heel and Charlie Villanueva suffered through a torn labrum for
most of the year. Bogut went down with a foot sprain for the last month of
the season as well. What went right for the Bucks last year? Well, they found
out they have pretty darn good guards in Maurice Williams and Charlie Bell.
The Bucks made a big splash in the draft by taking the Chinese sensation Yi
Jianlian even after he refused to work out for them in the pre-draft camps.
After originally balking at going to the land of the Cheeseheads, Yi is in
Milwaukee and ready to go. Milwaukee also re-signed former fan favorite
Desmond Mason after his brief stint in New Orleans the last two years. With
everyone healthy, the Bucks could contend for a playoff spot if everything
were to break right.
INDIANA PACERS (38-44)
The Pacers continued to change the look of their franchise by trading away
Stephen Jackson and Al Harrington to the Golden State Warriors for Mike
Dunleavy and Troy Murphy. Indiana still has their superstar Jermaine O’Neal
ready to go to work and young players Danny Granger, Ike Diogu and Shawne
Williams ready to continue their growth curve. Throw in veterans Jeff Foster,
Jamaal Tinsley and Marquis Daniels, with new coach Jim O’Brien, and the
Pacers are going to try to make a final playoff run before they go into
rebuilding mode.
NO CHANCE
ATLANTA HAWKS (35-47)
The one benefit from finishing near the bottom every year is the high draft
choices that go along with it. The Atlanta Hawks have been stockpiling young
talent and are hoping that this is the year they make the leap. Joe Johnson,
acquired in a sign-and-trade from Phoenix two years ago, is the best
superstar you have never heard of. Young players Josh Smith and Marvin
Williams will look to pair with Johnson and lottery picks Al Horford and Acie
Law to make basketball exciting again in Atlanta. The Hawks have some solid
role players in Sheldon Williams, Josh Childress, Salim Stoudamire and
perhaps the best name in all of sports, Zaza Pachulia. Throw in some cool new
navy blue uniforms and the Hawks could be very fun to watch this season.
NEW YORK KNICKS (33-49)
The punch line is just too easy here, so I will refrain from the whole Isiah
Thomas-Jim Dolan mess that is the Knicks right now and keep my commentary to
what happens on the court. The Knicks did make a tremendous off-season trade,
at least talent-wise, getting perennial 20-10 player Zach Randolph from the
Portland Trailblazers in June for Channing Frye and Steve Francis. If
Randolph can stay out of trouble in the Big Apple - and that’s a big if from
a player who was once caught on bereavement leave from the Trailblazers “
mourning” at a Portland strip club - he can be a great number one scoring
option for the Knicks from the 4. Eddy Curry and David Lee provide some nice
frontcourt play as well. The issue muddies a bit at the guard spots. The
Knicks just have too many of them. Marbury is probably locked in at the
point, so that leaves Nate Robinson, Jamal Crawford, Fred Jones and Quentin
Richardson all fighting for minutes at the 2. The whole Isiah front-office
drama will linger all season as well. I can’t see how this Knicks team will
win more than 35 games. I have conservatively put them on the board with 33.
PHILADELPHIA 76ERS (30-52)
This 76ers team sure looks different that those of years past. The face of
the franchise, Allen Iverson, was traded midseason after an 11 year career
with Philly. Chris Webber was a salary cap casualty. Steven Hunter was traded
for Reggie Evans. Make no mistake about it, the Sixers are in rebuilding
mode. Andre Iguodala is an emerging force in the league and Kyle Korver can
flat out shoot the rock. Samuel Dalembert can protect the paint and lottery
pick Thaddeus Young might start strong. The Sixers just have no depth and,
outside of AI2, not much star power. It’s hard to conceive that the Sixers
would somehow make it to the second season this year.
CHARLOTTE BOBCATS (29-53)
The Bobcats had a rough off and pre-season as injuries to Adam Morrison and
Sean May have put them both out for the year. Michael Jordan made some bold
moves this off-season by trading a lottery pick for Jason Richardson. Jordan
is hoping that Richardson’s veteran scoring ability will provide some
leadership for this young Bobcat squad. Felton at the 1 and Gerald Wallace at
the small forward position will fill up the stat sheet nightly and Okafor
will anchor the middle. There is not much beyond these four and the Bobcats
will have to do everything they can to stay out of the cellar in the East
this season. New coach Sam Vincent has a long season ahead of him.
Be sure to come back to the site later in the week for when I preview the
Western Conference.
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