BP Top 10

看板Astros作者FreeFly ( )時間11年前 (2013/11/05 00:11)推噓5(5推 0噓 0→)

留言5則, 4人參與討論串1/2 (看更多)

1. SS Carlos Correa 2. CF George Springer 3. RHP Mark Appel 4. RHP Mike Foltynewicz 5. 1B Jonathan Singleton 6. RHP Vincent Velasquez 7. RHP Lance McCullers 8. RF Domingo Santana 9. 3B Rio Ruiz 10. RHP Michael Feliz 這個list很讓我意外的是沒有Deshields 作者寫了原因看起來不是好消息 DeShields will likely be a featured prospect on most Astros-specific lists, and I’ve even seen his name kicked around as a top 100 prospect in the minors. The reports I’ve received throughout the season haven’t painted the best picture of the player, a direct contrast to the positive statistical output that will no doubt influence his placement on most lists. The biggest complaint from scouts has to do with makeup, or more specifically, visible effort and maturity displayed on the field. DeShields might be a plus-plus runner, but his low-energy approach to the game can rub some the wrong way, and almost every single source I spoke to suggested he would fall short of his ceiling. 1. Carlos Correa Position: SS DOB: 09/22/1994 Height/Weight: 6’4’’ 205 lbs. Bats/Throws: R/R Drafted/Acquired: 1st round, 2012 draft, Puerto Rican Baseball Academy (Gurabo, PR) Previous Ranking: #2 (Org), #26 (Top 101) 2013 Stats: .320/.405/.467 at Low-A Quad Cities (117 games) The Tools: 7 arm; 6+ raw; 6 glove; 6 potential hit What Happened in 2013: Correa emerged as a potential superstar, showing four tools with impact potential, all from a premium position on the diamond. Strengths: 80-grade makeup; high-end tool projections with present skills; advanced approach to the game; can make quick adjustments; plus potential hit; power could be bigger than projected; above-average glove; well-above-average arm; actions and instincts can keep him at shortstop. Weaknesses: Body could outgrow shortstop; run is average at best; range at shortstop dependent on instincts/first step; swing can get long at times; can swing through velocity in the zone; power potential is a big debate (could be 5, could be 7). Overall Future Potential: 7; all-star player Realistic Role: 6; first-division player Risk Factor/Injury History: Moderate risk; can make a case for low risk based on makeup and present skills; very high floor. Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: One of the top fantasy prospects in the game, Correa is a potential perennial first-round talent, especially if he does stick at shortstop long term. Think Troy Tulowitzki without the constant injury risk, from a statistical perspective. Even if he does move to the hot corner, he can still be a top performer from that position as well. The Year Ahead: After a year of steady development at one level, Correa looks ready to take another big step forward in 2014, with a very good chance of playing in Double-A early and perhaps even reaching the majors by the end of the season. It’s aggressive and perhaps unnecessary, but Correa is already the best shortstop in the organization, and despite being 19 years old, he could hold his own at the higher levels because of the elite makeup. Major league ETA: Late 2014 2. George Springer Position: CF DOB: 09/19/1989 Height/Weight: 6’4” 200 lbs. Bats/Throws: R/R Drafted/Acquired: 1st round, 2011 draft, University of Connecticut (Storrs, CT) Previous Ranking: #3 (Org), #55 (Top 101) 2013 Stats: .297/399/.579 at Double-A Corpus Christi (73 games), .311/.425/.626 at Triple-A Oklahoma City (62 games) The Tools: 6 power; 6 glove; 6 run; 6 arm What Happened in 2013: Springer exploded in 2013, ripping 37 bombs over two stops in the high minors, and positioning himself as the Astros’ center fielder of the future. Strengths: Lively power; should achieve at least solid-avg to plus game power; multi-dimensional player; brings plus run to offense/defense; glove in center should end up a 6; arm is weapon. Weaknesses: Swing-and-miss concerns; approach can get loose; two-strike approach can lack adjustment; tendency to miss in the zone; hit tool might play below-average; could limit some of the power potential. Overall Future Potential: 6; first-division player Realistic Role: High 5; above-average Risk Factor/Injury History: Low risk; ready for major leagues Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: Potential fantasy stud, even if he ends up as a .250 hitter. Springer is one of the few prospects in baseball with 30/30 upside, although he’s more likely to reach the plateau on the steals side. There’s certainly concern in points league with the strikeout rate, but don’t make too much of an adjustment for it. The Year Ahead: Springer is ready for Houston, but some sources aren’t sold that his hit tool/approach will be conducive for sustainable success at the highest level, at least not right away. Springer is a more electric version of Chris Young, with similar issues with the hit tool that could limit the overall utility of the power. The defensive profile and speed will give his bat a very long leash, but if he doesn’t learn to make adjustments at the plate, especially when he’s down in the count, major league arms will exploit him at will and it could lead to a very high strikeout total. Major league ETA: 2014 3. Mark Appel Position: RHP DOB: 07/15/1991 Height/Weight: 6’5” 190 lbs. Bats/Throws: R/R Drafted/Acquired: 1st Round, 2012 draft, Stanford University (Palo Alto, CA) Previous Ranking: NR 2013 Stats: 3.60 ERA (5 IP, 6 H, 6 K, 0 BB) at Short-Season Tri-City, 3.82 ERA (33 IP, 30 H, 27 K, 9 BB) at Low-A Quad Cities The Tools: 7 FB; 6 SL; 6 CH What Happened in 2013: After being selected 1:1 in the amateur draft, Appel made 10 starts over two levels, finishing the season with an impressive run in the Midwest League. Strengths: Clean delivery; fastball works 92-96; can touch higher; thrown with good angle; can offer two-seamer look with good arm-side movement; slider is a weapon pitch; can flash plus-plus potential in the mid-80s; good tilt and dive; bat-misser when it’s on; changeup works solid-avg to plus; low 90s with tumble; good command projection. Weaknesses: Fastball can lack deception; seems to find barrels; both slider and changeup flash plus (or better) but can play lower; struggles to bring every pitch to the table in the same game; aggressiveness in the zone needs work; can pitch with passivity (a few sources questioned his fortitude on the mound). Overall Future Potential: High 6; no. 2 starter Realistic Role: 6; no. 2/3 starter Risk Factor/Injury History: Low risk; very high floor Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: While he may not be someone you want anchoring your pitching staff, Appel is as certain of a bet as there is from the 2013 draft class to return usable fantasy value. He’s likely to offer solid production across the board, with more of a focus on ratios than strikeouts. The Year Ahead: Appel is basically major-league ready, but I assume he starts in Double-A before finding his way to Houston by the summer. As far as pitching prospects go, Appel is probably the safest bet in the minors to develop into a quality mid-rotation arm, with the ceiling offering a little more to dream on. That’s a very safe and comforting reality. However, the knock on Appel (from some) is that the ceiling in question isn’t that of a true no. 1 starter, a projection usually associated with a player drafted first overall. Major league ETA: 2014 4. Mike Foltynewicz Position: RHP DOB: 10/07/1991 Height/Weight: 6’4” 200 lbs. Bats/Throws: R/R Drafted/Acquired: 1st round, 2010 draft, Minooka HS (Minooka, IL) Previous Ranking: #10 (Org) 2013 Stats: 3.81 ERA (26 IP, 31 H, 29 K, 14 BB) at High-A Lancaster, 2.87 ERA (103.1 IP, 75 H, 95 K, 52 BB) at Double-A Corpus Christi The Tools: 8 FB potential; shows 5+ breaking ball What Happened in 2013: After a slow and low developmental start to his career, which included 53 starts at the Low-A level, Foltynewicz’s elite velocity finally pushed him up the ladder, as he finished the season at Double-A and put himself in contention for a major-league role at some point in 2014. Strengths: Huge fastball; works in the upper 90s and can touch over 100; big, strong, durable frame; could horse innings; shows multiple breaking ball looks; both can flash; intimidation factor. Weaknesses: Command is below average; fastball can work up and lose effectiveness; lacks a true wipeout breaking ball; changeup is below average; gets too firm and lacks movement. Overall Future Potential: 6; no 2/3 starter Realistic Role: High 5; late-innings reliever (closer role) Risk Factor/Injury History: Moderate risk; he can throw 102 mph, but can be one-dimensional. Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: The chasm of starting pitching at the major-league level for Houston works in his favor, as Foltynewicz should be given every opportunity to prove himself as a starter. If he makes it, it’s a high strikeout profile with some give back in WHIP. If he doesn’t, there’s still plenty of opportunity for him to redeem himself by racking up saves. The Year Ahead: Foltynewicz has the body and the fastball to project high up in a major-league rotation, but the secondary arsenal will flash only above-average potential and the command profile is below average with only an average projection. If everything clicks, he’s a rotation beast who can log innings and pitch off an elite fastball, but the likely role will come in relief, where the shortcomings in the arsenal can be somewhat muted. Major league ETA: 2014 5. Jonathan Singleton Position: 1B DOB: 09/18/1991 Height/Weight: 6’2” 235 lbs. Bats/Throws: L/L Drafted/Acquired: 8th round, 2009 draft, Millikan HS (Long Beach, CA) Previous Ranking: #1 (Org), #25 (Top 101) 2013 Stats: .286/.400/.810 at Low-A Quad Cities (6 games), .263/.396/.526 at Double-A Corpus Christi (11 games), .220/.340/.347 at Triple-A Oklahoma City (73 games) The Tools: 5 potential hit; 7 raw What Happened in 2013: Singleton was popped for a drug of abuse, and when he arrived back on the field after 50 games off his body wore the effects of the layoff, as the young first baseman could best be defined as “thick.” Strengths: Big raw power; 7 raw; game power should play to plus; generates excellent bat speed; hands are impressive; big torque in the swing, but shows bat control; has a plan at the plate; knows balls/strikes. Weaknesses: Hit tool receives mixed reviews; struggles against arm-side pitching; power utility will be limited by contact ability; body got sloppy in layoff; speaks to iffy makeup; limited to first base defensively; below-average arm; doesn’t move well. Overall Future Potential: 6; first-division player Realistic Role: 5; second-division player Risk Factor/Injury History: Moderate risk; drug suspension; makeup concerns Bret Sayre’s Fantasy Take: Despite the step back in 2013, Singleton still maintains the same fantasy upside he did prior to the suspension—it’s the risk that has changed. But with power down across the game--only seven first basemen hit 25 homers in 2013--he certainly is still worth investing in. Singleton should have no issue working himself into a run-producing spot in the Astros’ lineup. The Year Ahead: Singleton was knocking on the door of the majors before he was suspended for marijuana and ate himself into a new physique. If he wants it, the opportunity is waiting for him at the highest level, but the 22-year-old has to dedicate himself to the cause. The power potential is there for a middle-of-the-order presence, but the likely role is a second-division player who flashes his potential but never quite lives up to the hype. Major league ETA: 2014 後面的不貼了請洽原文連結 http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=22157 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 111.255.140.99