[BA] Top 10 prospect

看板Astros作者FreeFly ( )時間6年前 (2018/01/27 18:43)推噓20(20推 0噓 1→)

留言21則, 18人參與討論串1/3 (看更多)

Trending: Down The next wave of talent looks promising but is unproven at higher levels. SYSTEM OVERVIEW Strengths: Even after graduating righthanders Francis Martes and (the now-traded) Joe Musgrove and trading away righty Franklin Perez, the Astros still have a number of high-ceiling pitching prospects, led by the precocious Forrest Whitley--a potential front-of-the-rotation starter. Houston has plenty of versatility as well. Righties J.B. Bukauskas, Hector Perez, Jorge Alcala and David Paulino, who all rank inside the top 10, all could be starters or relievers. Weaknesses: The Astros came into 2017 with a healthy surplus of outfielders throughout the upper levels of the system. After trading away Teoscar Hernandez, Daz Cameron, Preston Tucker, Jason Martin, and Ramon Laureano and graduating Derek Fisher, Houston has Kyle Tucker--but not nearly as many solid bats with defensive versatility at the upper levels. Best Tool Best Pure Hitter: Kyle Tucker. Best Power Hitter: Yordan Alvarez. Best Strike-Zone Discipline: Myles Straw.. Fastest Baserunner: Myles Straw. Best Athlete: Yordan Alvarez. Best Fastball: Jorge Alcala. Best Curveball: Framber Valdez. Best Slider: Forrest Whitley. Best Changeup: Forrest Whitley. Best Control: Rogelio Armenteros. Best Defensive Catcher: Garrett Stubbs. Best Defensive INF: Freudis Nova. Best INF Arm: J.D. Davis. Best Defensive OF: Gilberto Celestino. Best OF Arm: Myles Straw Top 10 1. Forrest Whitley, RHP Track Record: As a tall, thick-bodied righthander, Whitley was considered one of the better prep prospects in the 2016 draft class. But during his senior season, he wowed scouts after he melted away 20-30 pounds, turning himself into a more athletic pitcher with still-excellent stuff. By the end of his senior year, he was touching 97 mph and breaking off 90 mph sliders. In his first full pro season in 2017, Whitley dominated three levels and became just the fifth high school first-round pick to pitch at Double-A in his first full season this century. The previous four were Chad Billingsley, Zack Greinke, Clayton Kershaw and Dylan Bundy. Scouting Report: Few young pitchers are as advanced as Whitley, and few can match the quality of his stuff. He entered 2017 with four quality pitches and left it with five. All his pitches are at least average and a trio are already plus. Pitching with an over-the-top arm slot emphasizes the downhill plane on his fastball, and Whitley can blow hitters away at 92-97 mph. He actually is even more comfortable toying with batters with his varied assortment of offspeed pitches, and he commands his breaking balls better than his fastball at this point in his career. His plus 84-87 mph slider has modest depth but strong tilt as it dances away from his opponent's bat head as it nears the plate. His 78-82 mph curveball is also plus with a big 12-to-6 break. At times his changeup will also show otherworldly movement, when it dives down and away from the barrel of lefthanded batters. And in 2017 he refined a 90-92 mph cutter that some scouts throw a plus grade on. With so many pitches, Whitley can stick one or two in his back pocket early in the game, then break them out the second time through the order. One of the few criticisms raised is that he's a slow worker. Projected Future Grades On 20-80 Scouting Scale Fastball: 70. Curveball: 60. Slider: 60. Changeup: 55. Cutter: 50. Control: 55. The Future: Scouts are understandably reticent to project almost any pitcher as a future No. 1 starter. But Whitley has a chance to be an ace with dominant stuff and advanced feel and control. It would surprise no one to see a 20-year-old Whitley make his major league debut later in 2018. He doesn't require much projection. He has not yet thrown even 100 innings in a season, so the Astros will likely be conservative with his workload in 2018. BA TOP 100 : (10) 這是我們隊史上在BA Top 100中排名最高的投手了, 排在他前面的只有大谷翔平 2. Kyle Tucker, OF Track Record: The BA High School Player of the Year in 2015, Tucker broke his brother Preston's school home run record. Early in his pro career, he impressed with an advanced approach and hit tool. He showed a significant power increase in 2017, when he sacrificed contact to hit 25 home runs and reach Double-A Corpus Christi. Scouting Report: Tucker's swing has never been picture perfect. He begins his swing with the bat laid back over his shoulder, leading to a little bit of a sweepy beginning. But it's hard to argue with the results. His excellent hand-eye coordination leads to ton of contact, and as he has gotten stronger he's turned doubles into home runs. Tucker isn't a true center fielder, but he has a chance to be fringe-average there while being above-average in the corners with an average arm that works in either spot. He's an average runner who has shown a knack for stealing bases. The Future: Tucker's even-keeled approach turns off some scouts, who describe him as low-energy. He has a half-season of Double-A experience under his belt before his 21st birthday so he may need a little more Double-A time, but a big league arrival by age 22 is a likelihood. BA TOP 100 : (15) 這個排名比Springer和Bregman拿過的都還要前面是非常高的評價在這兩隻之後目前暫時沒有All-star level的新秀了後面很多都有很大的問號雖然深度還是不錯但是很多隻都在A以下甚至還在R的層級從前年開始選秀就沒有很前的順位了選到Whitley算是非常成功的選秀了而這幾年球團在IFA也是沒手軟過(還買到爆pool 現在被禁賽中) 比較有趣的是我花很多錢簽古巴的IFA 這點我看到現在還看不懂先知Luhnow在想三小 (#3的Alvaraz是換來的所以他簽的一堆古巴人目前都@#$!#) Crane我對他當時的承諾非常滿意因為他真的比爺爺肯付出 - 至少到目前為止接下來他怎麼留這些core 然後在薪資總額將不段攀升的同時他還願意在下面投資多少? 這是我們需要繼續觀察的但是至少接下來兩個球季除非大傷不然我們還是會很有競爭力下面的不就不貼全文了我會摘錄翻一些重點 3. Yordan Alvarez, 1B/OF 選球/揮棒速度都不錯速度plus 臂力勉強達到平均 BA認為他最適合的位置是LF he has an exceptionally high ceiling as a pure hitter with a chance for plus power. BA TOP 100 : (62) 4. J.B. Bukauskas, RHP 個人蠻喜歡這隻的選秀時我就希望他成為我們家的closer 但是Luhnow很堅持他是SP 希望他是對的不要兩頭空 ..... 他和McCullers Jr.的型態有點類似長不高的雙刀流火球投手差別是寶咖咖丟的是滑球而小麥是曲球他丟滑球比速球多滑球的控球筆速球好滑球在major已經是plus以上的等級他的速球可以到high 90s但是先發局數一長就會掉速變速球只能偶而展現平均水準 BA TOP 100 : (76) 5. Freudis Nova, SS/3B 還很嫩今年才會到美國　之前只打過DSL ... plus arm, plus speed, chance to be above average hitter with average power SS 6. Jairo Solis, RHP 剛滿18歲　速球落在90-94 最快96 滑球和變速球都進步得很快很有潛力 7. Hector Perez, RHP 目前極速99 但是控球超爛　　變速球是plus　　但是再說一次: 控球超爛 8. Jorge Alcala, RHP 速球平均落在mid 90s 但是可以飆到　102 變速球和滑球都還是平均以下只要他能練出一顆平均的變化球和控球在進步一點　應該就可以留在先發以下兩隻大家比較熟了, 但是看到他們也就大概了解我們的農場現狀差不多這樣了 9. David Paulino, RHP 去年有受傷　加上被抓包禁藥停藥後球速似乎掉了　所以我對他的期望也差不多沒了 BA仍認為他是有機會成為mid-rotation　因為他的plus曲球和偶而展現出plus的變速球 10. J.D. Davis, 3B 他的位置基本上被Bregman卡死了　他也差不多是略優於replacement level一點點的球員所以他在win now而且是強權的球隊中應該很難有位置　很可能是交易籌碼不過有趣的是他可以當RP 球速大概93 XDD Q&A 部分內容 # Moran > Davis # 目前找不到比Whitley/Tucker更好的投打組合新秀　　(但是他後來想到Eloy and Kopech XDDD) Eloy/Kopech > Whitley/Tucker > Acuna/Braves pitcher # Rogelio Armenteros是#11 他天花板大概是4-5號的先發 # Alvarez真的是我們農場的best Athlete 因為最近我們選秀不太重Athleticism 　冏rz # Paulino和Marte有可能取代去年Musgrove的工作 # Luis Garcia and Elian Rodriguez 是兩個值得觀察的小鮮肉投手 # 拿去換Valander的Perez可以排在#4 Cameron和Rodgers都可以在這邊排在top 10 (But who care? We win WS with Verlander. :-) ) -- 這應該是我最後一次Po BA top 10的內文了再幾天買了幾年的BA會員要到期了, 我應該不會再續了買BA應該10年有了我幾乎只看太空人的新秀部分　 (因為時間不太許可 XD) 所以算是很浪費錢的投資　XD 堅持到現在可以收割真的很開心今年的季後賽我非常的忙錯過了很多比賽的直播　(雖然有補看 XD) 但是這個冠軍是我當了20年色人迷最好的結婚禮物　　^Q^ 很幹的在迎娶的車上看到輸掉ALCS的G6 但是看在蜜月的飛機上看到WS G5逆轉消息朋友都問我要不要偷改機票轉機到LA去　XD 本來還在期待有沒有機會在義大利巧遇也去結婚的Velander的　~.~" 之後大概訊息要靠各位提供了　　我應該會轉型成隨興的業餘球迷了　^Q^ -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 118.171.232.99 ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Astros/M.1517049820.A.30C.html

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