Re: [新聞] Athletics trade Gio to Nationals
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Brad Peacock RHP
BA
Peacock won the Double-A Eastern League's pitcher of the year award and
finished with impressive stints in Triple-A and the majors. He pitches
comfortably at 91-94 mph and runs his fastball up to 97 at times. He worked
hard in 2011 to keep his front shoulder closed while maintaining his balance
and alignment, which led to improved fastball command and deception. He
pitches heavily off his four-seamer, which has late hop. He has another swing-
and-miss pitch in his sharp 12-to-6 curveball, though it still needs more
consistency. He has gained significant confidence in his low-80s changeup,
throwing it with good arm speed and fade, though it still gets too firm at
times. He could become a No. 2 starter if everything clicks.
John Sickels
4) Brad Peacock, RHP, Grade B: Borderline B+. Still has some command issues,
but his ERAs finally caught up with his components and his overall potential
in 2011. Will be ready before Cole but his upside is not quite as high.
Future 2/3 starter if all works out.
Brad Peacock, RHP: Peacock had a breakthrough season in 2011, going 15-3,
2.39 ERA with a 177/47 K/BB in 147 innings between Double-A and Triple-A,
allowing just 98 hits. He gave up just one run in a 12-inning major league
trial. A 41st-round pick from a Florida high school in 2006, Peacock has
always had a good arm, hitting 92-94 MPH, topping at 96-97, but was mediocre
in the past due to command issues with his secondary pitches. He polished up
his mechanics this year and developed better location with his plus curveball
and improving changeup. I gave him a strong Grade B, almost a B+, and ranked
him fourth on the Nationals list.
A.J. Cole RHP
BA
After signing for a fourth round-record $2 million bonus in August 2010, Cole
pitched only one inning at short-season Vermont. An illness caused him to
lose weight before the start of spring training in 2011, and the Nationals
cautiously kept him in extended spring training until mid-May. By the end of
the summer, Cole's fastball ranged from 90-98 mph and sat in the mid-90s. He
has no fear of attacking hitters with his fastball, and he did a better job
commanding the pitch down in the zone as the season progressed. Early on, he
tended to rush his delivery, but it became more compact, repeatable and
rhythmic during the summer, helping him generate a good downward plane. Cole
throws a spike curveball as a chase pitch and is getting better at throwing
it for strikes, but Washington plans on having him work on a true curve that
would be easier to keep in the zone. He's still learning to trust his
changeup. Cole still is getting stronger physically and has frontline-starter
upside, but he'll need to refine his secondary stuff.
BP
(101124)
Four-Star Prospects
4. A.J. Cole, RHP
Year in Review: One of the top high school righties in the draft scuffled at
times this spring but didn't change his price tag, leading to a drop to the
fourth round but a $2 million bonus nonetheless.
The Good: Cole has good stuff now, but he's absolutely loaded with projection
thanks to a broad-shouldered, skinny frame and extremely long levers. He sits
in the low 90s now but often gets into the mid-90s, which scouts believe will
become more common as he progresses. He throws a power curveball with hard
bite that flashes potential. His delivery is clean and simple, and he has a
more consistent release point and better command than most tall teenagers.
The Bad: Cole needs to develop a true starter's arsenal. His curveball can get
slurvy when he overthrows it, and his change-up is nascent. His gap between
what he is now and can be is larger than most million-dollar arms, so he's not
expected to move briskly.
Ephemera: Only five pitchers drafted with the 116th overall pick have reached
the big leagues, and their combined record is 21-61.
Perfect World Projection: Cole has the ceiling of an impact big-league starter.
Fantasy Impact: It's too far away to worry about.
Path to the Big Leagues: Cole has the ability to earn a full-season assignment
in spring training, possibly teaming with Harper at Hagerstown.
John Sickels
3) A.J. Cole, RHP, Grade B+. I really believe in his upside. Needs to build
stamina and refine his changeup, but if it comes together he could be a Top 20
pitching prospect next year, perhaps more.
A.J. Cole, RHP: A 19-year-old right-hander, Cole was drafted in the fourth
round in 2010 from high school in Oviedo, Florida. His draft position was
deceptive: he was rated a first-round talent by most analysts, but bonus
demands knocked his stock down. It took $2,000,000 to sign him. Cole posted a
4.04 ERA in 89 innings his year for Hagerstown in the Low-A South Atlantic
League, but with 108 strikeouts to his credit (overall K/BB 108/24). Tall and
lean at 6-4, 180, Cole has a mid-90s fastball and made progress refining his
mechanics and command this year. His curve and change are works in progress,
but improving, and he has the upside of a number one or two starter. I rated
him a Grade B+ and ranked him third on my Nationals prospect list.
Tom Milone LHP
BA
International League managers agreed that Milone had both the best changeup
and the best control in the Triple-A circuit this season. He finished runner-
up in the IL with 155 strikeouts (just one off the pace set by Durham's Alex
Torres) but ranked first with a 1.03 WHIP and walk rate of 1.0 per nine
innings. Milone pitches at 86-89 mph and succeeds because he delivers four
pitches of varying speeds from the same delivery and arm slot. He changes up
at 79 mph and drops into the low 70s with his slow curveball, while his
cutter comes in near 85. Milone throws strikes and will benefit from pitching
in Oakland's cavernous ballpark. His ceiling may be modest, but he's a safe
bet to reach it.
John Sickels
9) Tom Milone, LHP, Grade B-: At some point, the radar guns stop mattering.
The guy can simply pitch. He has little margin for error, but he will
probably have a better career than hundreds of guys who throw 10 MPH harder.
Tom Milone, LHP: Milone is a 24-year-old lefty drafted in the 10th round in
2008 from the University of Southern California. He was one of the best
pitchers in the minors on a statistical basis in 2011, going 12-6, 3.22 ERA
with a spectacular 155/16 K/BB in 148 innings for Triple-A Syracuse. He held
his own in five major league starts, posting a 3.81 ERA with a 15/4 K/BB in
26 innings. Milone fights the skepticism of radar-wielding scouts, but he
locates his below-average fastball and adequate curve with precision. His
changeup and deceptive action give hitters fits, and so far no one has been
able to figure out how to defeat him consistently. Milone has a small margin
for error, but has clearly earned a major league trial and could end up being
a very solid fourth starter. I have him with a Grade B- grade and ranked him
9th on the Nationals list.
Derek Norris C R/R
BA
Norris long has been regarded as a gifted offensive player, but early in his
pro career there were questions about the converted third baseman's ability
to catch. He answered them by making great strides defensively in Double-A in
2011, when he also slugged 20 homers but also hit .210. Despite his low
batting averages and high strikeout totals, Norris has excellent pitch
recognition and the ability to command the zone when he stays back. When he
struggles, he jumps to his front side too early and his bat doesn't stay in
the zone. He has quick hands and a compact stroke that generates plus power
from line to line, though he's at his best when he's driving the ball to
right-center. Norris' throwing, receiving, footwork, blocking and game-
calling all have improved significantly. He still needs to polish his
receiving a bit more, but his solid-average arm helped him throw out an
Eastern League-high 40 percent of basestealers. Norris now looks likely to
stick behind the plate as a big leaguer, and his offensive ability gives him
a chance to be an all-star.
BP
(101124)
Five-Star Prospects
2. Derek Norris, C
Year in Review: One of the best offensive catching prospects in the game,
Norris struggled with a hand injury, but he still finished second in the
Carolina League in OBP despite hitting just .235.
The Good: Finally healthy, Norris hit and hit for power in the Arizona Fall
League. He has a short, easy stroke and plenty of power to all fields, but
it's his plate discipline that makes him potentially special. He has an
uncanny feel for the strike zone and nearly never swings at a bad pitch. He
has a plus arm and made great strides in harnessing it during the season by
shortening his release and improving his accuracy.
The Bad: Norris needs to improve defensively to stay behind the plate. He's
a rough receiver who is often handcuffed by breaking balls, leading to plenty
of pitches that are not caught cleanly. He's a power hitter who will always
rack up a strikeout rate, and it's unlikely that he'll hit for a high average.
He's a below-average runner.
Ephemera: Norris' walk totals became even more inflated with runners in
scoring position, as while he hit .300 (24-for-80), his 42 bases on balls in
those situations gave him on on-base percentage of .535.
Perfect World Projection: He'll be an offense-oriented catcher, with the kind
of OBP and slugging combo rarely seen at the position.
Fantasy Impact: The power will be good, but unless your league counts on-base
skills, his real-world value will always be larger.
Path to the Big Leagues: A healthy Norris could return to the big numbers of
2009 at Double-A Harrisburg.
John Sickels
6) Derek Norris, C, Grade B: Loads of power, walks, and scouting reports on
his defense are getting more positive each year. Ranking may seem high for
such a low batting average, but I see him as a Mike Napoli/Mickey Tettleton
type who can be productive even with a low average.
Derek Norris, C: Norris was drafted in the fourth round in 2007 from high
school in Goddard, Kansas. A 22-year-old catcher, he hit just .210 this year
for Double-A Harrisburg, but with 20 homers and 77 walks. He's developed into
a solid defensive catcher, throwing out 40% of runners in '11 while steadily
improving his blocking and receiving skills. Norris isn't going to hit for
average, but his power, plate discipline, and glovework should make him a
productive regular. I rated him a Grade B and ranked him sixth on the
Nationals list.
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