Re: [情報] BA 2013 小聯盟各聯賽TOP20小熊入選者
BA's 2013 SL Top 20 Prospects
3. Javier Baez
In the words of SL observers, Baez’s bat speed is “ridiculous,” and he knows
he can “hit just about anything hard.” He can, and often did, crushing 20
homers in 54 games at Tennessee to give him 37 for the year, which tied him
with the Astros’ George Springer for second in the minors. However, no minor
leaguer topped Baez’s totals for extra-base hits (75) or RBIs (111), though
some pitchers found success by expanding the zone and exploiting his
over-aggressiveness.
Baez has impact potential on offense. If he reduces the frequency at which he
gets himself out, Baez can be a 60 hitter with easy 70 power and the ability to
take the ball out to any field. “When he’s in swing mode it’s not hard to
get him out,” Jacksonville manager Andy Barkett said, “but when he’s zoned
in, you had better make a mistake down in the zone.”
Baez’s future position is more unsettled. He has plus arm strength and the
capacity to make difficult plays at shortstop, though many scouts see him as a
future third baseman because he struggles to slow the game down. He improved
his defensive efficiency at Tennessee (.948 fielding percentage, compared to
.922 at high Class A Daytona), though in total he committed 44 errors in 123
games this season.
9. Arismendy Alcantara
Alcantara packs surprising pop, efficient base thievery and strong defensive
instincts into a smallish 5-foot-10 frame, eliciting comparisons from multiple
scouts to a watered-down version of Jose Reyes. SL managers bestowed best
infield arm honors on Alcantara and his 60 cannon, and while he could play a
passable major league shortstop, most scouts like him at second base, where
timing issues with regard to footwork and hands won’t hamper him to the same
extent.
The switch-hitting Alcantara hits for more power from the left side but makes
use of a slashing approach with a short stroke from both sides of the plate. He
ranked second in the SL with 36 doubles and 55 extra-base hits, showing a good
blend of gap power and plus speed required to carry over those long hits to the
big leagues. He could probably go deep a dozen times at his peak, while hitting
about .275 with a modest on-base percentage. Much of Alcantara’s value will
come from his defensive versatility and his legs, for he’s an accomplished
baserunner who has been caught just 10 times in 66 steal attempts the past two
seasons.
2013 BA FSL Top 20 Prospects
3. Javier Baez
Baez and Sano showed precocious talent and occasional bouts of immaturity that
made scouts question their makeup, but both players had tools and performance
to back up their swagger. Baez claimed the FSL as his own on June 10, the day
after Sano’s promotion to Double-A, hitting four home runs in a game against
Fort Myers.
Baez earned his own promotion less than a month later and wound up tying for
second in the minors with 37 homers—two more than Sano. Baez has similar
swing-and-miss tendencies thanks to bat speed as good as any minor leaguer, as
well as an aggressiveness that borders on recklessness. Most scouts consider
Baez a future .260-.270 hitter.
While Baez earns 70 grades for his power and arm, he’s an erratic defender at
short, where his aggressiveness also works against him. Most scouts still
believe he could handle the position, as he has solid range and average speed,
but he’d likely be more consistent at less-demanding positions such as second
or third base.
8. Jorge Soler
Soler has to live up to high expectations, both those created by his $30
million contract and those set by Cubans who preceded him, such as the Athletics
’ Yoenis Cespedes and the Dodgers’ Yasiel Puig. He’s no Puig, but then few
are. Before a stress fracture in his left tibia (bone in the lower leg)
sidelined him, Soler showed raw power that pushed Sano and Baez for being the
best in the minors, earning some 80 grades from scouts.
Soler’s tools fit the right-field profile. He’s a solid runner underway with
an average-to-plus arm, but his defensive skills require plenty of polish.
Evaluators were split on Soler’s bat. Some consider his swing long and believe
he’ll struggle when pitchers with velocity locate at higher levels. Daytona
manager Dave Keller disagreed.
“It was one of the most frustrating things for me personally to not see him
(finish the season),” Keller said. “He has so much ability. It’s not a
Cespedes swing—it’s a short, compact swing with very good finish. Very few
people can backspin the ball like he does. He really has awesome potential . .
. but he needs so much work.”
15. Pierce Johnson
Johnson follows in a long line of Colorado prep pitching products, from fellow
Arvada, Colo., native Roy Halladay and Brad Lidge through to Kevin Gausman and
Mark Melancon. He finished his first full season with Daytona, teaming with
C.J. Edwards and Corey Black to front the Cubs’ championship rotation.
Johnson has a pitcher’s frame, clean delivery and front-line stuff when he’s
at his best. He combines power with solid pitchability. His fastball sits 91-94
mph, touches 95, and he showed the willingness to pitch inside with his heater.
He also has a good feel for his solid-average changeup and showed a power
curveball in the low 80s.
The biggest question for Johnson is durability, as he had both knee and forearm
problems in college and pitched just 118 innings overall this season. The Cubs
were careful with his workload, particularly in the season’s final two months.
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◆ From: 61.228.122.251
Grant (NYC): Matt Szczur - prospect or suspect at this point?
Matt Eddy: Cubs CF Matt Szczur is a definite prospect. Some scouts like him
as an extra OF because he has plus range in center and plus wheels. He can
grind out at-bats, take a walk and put the bat to the ball. He’s probably a
30 hitter for power, but if he can hit more line drives and groundballs he’
ll have a long big league career as a tablesetter type or fourth OF.
--
Karen (Chicago, IL): Did Christian Villanueva get any list consideration?
What's the skinny on him?
Matt Eddy: For a player who led the SL with 62 extra-base hits and played a
terrific third base, Cubs 3B Christian Villanueva did not receive much
support from talent evaluators. That surprised me. Scouts don’t like his
over-aggressive approach or think his power is up to grade as a corner
player. Villanueva is a strong defender with a 60 arm, so maybe he has a
career along the lines of Matt Dominguez or Jack Hannahan.
--
Patrick (Fort Wayne, IN): Matt, besides J. Baez and Alacantara, are there any
other Tennessee Smokies players get consideration for the top 20 or might be
seen in Chicago in the next year or two?
Matt Eddy: We’ve touched on Szczur and Villanueva, and each has his virtues,
but the Tennessee player with the highest floor might be Kyle Hendricks, a
pitchability RH starter who joined the Cubs in the same trade with the
Rangers as Villanueva. Hendricks can pitch backwards with a MLB-average
curveball and changeup, though he’s going to get hit when he’s not locating
his secondary because he sits 86-90 mph with a fringe fastball. His
competitiveness will help his repertoire play up, so that he’s a probably a
No. 5 in the mold of the Mets’ Dillon Gee. Also, look for some of the
Smokies relievers to make pop-ins in Chicago, including RH Trey McNutt, LH
Zach Rosscup (whom you saw a bit of in September) and RH Tony Zych.
--
Bob Sacamento (Ft. Myers, FL): After tearing up the FSL and SL offensively,
who do you think Javier Baez best compares to on the MLB level?
Matt Eddy: The pie-in-the-sky comp continues to be Gary Sheffield. Baez has
that kind of bat speed and ability to impact the ball.
※ 編輯: Zamned 來自: 61.228.122.251 (10/09 08:35)
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※ 編輯: Zamned 來自: 61.228.122.251 (10/09 14:26)
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