Re: [閒聊] Ex-Cubs bear bad news for playoff teams

看板Diamondbacks作者Pulsars (嗯嗯嗯。)時間19年前 (2006/08/07 13:22)推噓2(2推 0噓 1→)

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http://tinyurl.com/pwy6t Ex-Cubs bear bad news for playoff teams Joseph A. Reaves The Arizona Republic Aug. 6, 2006 12:00 AM Now that the non-waiver trade deadline has passed and the rosters for the stretch run are fairly set, it's time to see how the Ex-Cub Factor is going to affect the postseason. 當non-waiver交易大限過去與各隊的roster大致抵定之後，Ex-Cubs效應才正要開始影響季後賽的發展。 The Ex-Cub Factor, for those who don't know, was discovered in 1981 by Chicago writer and teacher Ron Berler and modified five years later by Chicago Tribune columnist Mike Royko. Ex-Cubs效應第一次是在1981年被Ron Berler發現，並在五年之後被Mike Royko修正。 Berler determined any team with three or more former Chicago Cubs players on the roster was doomed in the World Series. Since 1945, the last time the Cubs were in the World Series, only two teams have won with the three or more ex-Chicago North Siders on the roster - and both did it with miracle comebacks: the 1960 Pirates and 2001 Diamondbacks. advertisement Berler說只要roster有超過三位前Cubs的球員，那麼球隊就會輸掉世界大賽。在1945年 Cubs最後一次進入世界大賽之後，只有兩隊在擁有三位以上的前Cubs球員的情況下贏得世界大賽－1960年的Pirates和2001年的Diamondbacks－而且都是神奇的逆轉勝。 Royko modified Berler's theorem by arguing the team with the most ex-Cubs on its roster was bound to lose. Royko修正Berler的理論：他說擁有最多的前Cubs球員會輸。 So, if Royko and Berler are correct, and the current rosters don't change, the Cardinals and Mets will play for the National League pennant with the Cards prevailing. That's because the Cardinals don't have any ex-Cubs. The Mets have one (Steve Trachsel) and the leading teams in the NL West all have more: the Dodgers at two with the addition of Greg Maddux at the trade deadline and three each for the Padres (Scott Williamson, Mark Bellhorn, Todd Walker) and Diamondbacks (Luis Gonzalez, Juan Cruz, Miguel Batista). 所以，如果Royko和Berler是對，同時各隊roster到季後賽前都不變的話，那麼Mets和 Cardinals將會進入NL Champion Series同時Cardinals會贏得NL Championship，因為 Cardinals沒有任何前Cubs球員。Mets有一位(Steve Trachsel)，而在NL West領先的各隊都有前Cubs球員。Dodgers有兩位(Greg Maddux, Nomar Garciaparra(?!))， Padres有三位(Scott Williamson, Mark Bellhorn, Todd Walker)， Diamondbacks有三位(Luis Gonzalez, Juan Cruz, Miguel Batista)。 The American League should be more competitive. Three teams - the Tigers, A's and Angels all are free of ex-Cubs. The Red Sox have one (Julian Tavarez) and the Yankees two (Kyle Farnsworth and Miguel Cairo). AL則更競爭。Tigers, A's, Angels都沒有前Cubs球員。Red Sox有一位(Julian Tavarez) Yankees則有兩位(Kyle Farnsworth and Miguel Cairo)。 Whichever of the three AL teams without any ex-Cubs makes the World Series will beat St. Louis. That's because Cardinals manager Tony La Russa played the last game of his big-league career with the Cubs, scoring the winning run as a pinch-runner in the 1973 season opener. 不過只要AL進入World Series的球隊沒有前Cubs球員，他們都可以打敗Cardinals，因為 Cardinals的總教練Tony La Russa在1973年的開幕戰(Tony La Russa生涯最後一戰)，穿著Cubs的制服上場代跑，並跑回了制勝分。 --- 翻得不好，有錯請指正。:) -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.112.14.56