Arizona Diamondbacks Top-15 Prospects of 20 …

看板Diamondbacks作者abc12812時間17年前 (2008/11/03 22:40)推噓3(3推 0噓 1→)

留言4則, 3人參與討論串2/2 (看更多)

http://tinyurl.com/5rm94q For an overview of the process I use to grade players, the factors I use in determining where a player ranks, and other frequently asked questions, please click here. All grades are subject to change based on any new information I receive before the season starts. If you disagree, you can make your case by contacting me. You can find a full listing of each team's top prospect list in the Top Prospects of 2009 Archive Page. Also, each team will have their Team Page published when their top prospect list becomes available. Team pages include team rosters, stats, payroll and front office information, past Baseball-Intellect articles assocated with that team, and links to some of the best sites associated with that team. We continue with the Arizona Diamondbacks ... =============================================================================== 6. Cesar Valdez | RHP | AA Mobile | Age - 23 | Signed - Dominican Republic Fastball - 40 Now | 45 Future Curveball - 45 | 45/50 Change-Up - 55 | 60 Control - 55 | 55 Command - 50 | 50 Pitchability - 55 | 55 Final Grade - C+ Body Type - a relatively skinny frame, standing at 6-foot-1 and 175 pounds Stuff Fastball - mediocre pitch, rarely hits 90 mph and sits more comfortably in the high 80's. He does a good job of locating the pitch and there is some sinking action to generate ground balls Change-Up - the bread-and-butter pitch, it has a tumbling action...described as a hybrid between a change-up and splitter Curveball - pitch is slurvy, but good enough to potentially get hitters out at the MLB level...pitch has improved with experience Strengths - solid K-rates, solid GB ratios, and above average to plus control ...has improved even when facing tougher levels of competition Weaknesses - control is very good, but nothing else stands out...has never been young for league...hitters recognize off-speed pitches much better at the upper levels of the minor leagues. Will he be able to get by with a very average fastball? Best Case Outcome - fastball upticks by 1 or 2 mph and improvement of his curveball help Valdez reach the status of a No.4/5 starter at the big league level More Likely Outcome - Valdez finds himself in the bullpen as a swing man who is able to bounce back and forth between starting and relieving =============================================================================== 7. Reynaldo Navarro | SS | B - B | Missoula (Rookie) | Age - 19 | Drafted - Round 3, 2007 Contact - 30 Now | 40 Future Power - 40 | 50 Discipline - 35 | 40 Speed - 55 | 55 Defense - 50 | 60 Arm - 45 | 45/50 Instincts - 30 | 40 Final Grade - C+ Body Type - short...some, but not a lot of projection...athletic Hitting Extremely raw hitter, but showed enough improvement to leave me a bit more optimisic about his future. Repeated the Pioneer League for the second time, but was still the second youngest hitter in the league...power has developed a little more quickly than expected. ISO-power improved from .033 to .129...BABIP improved from .304 to .349...BB% improved from 2.7 to 7.8, a significant improvement in patience at the plate and perhaps the most important The number of steals (17) indicate solid speed, but the overall percentage (65%) indicates a lack of instincts at this point. Excellent bat speed at both sides of the plate generated by fast hands... swing plane allows for a lifting of the ball, resulting in more fly balls and line drives...below is a clip of Navarro before being drafted last year. It does not reflect any changes to his mechanics since being drafted, but it does give you a good indication of his tools: Weaknesses - pitch recognition and plate discipline must improve...K% saw a sharp rise, from 18 to 23.8%, which is a big concern...swing can get long at times and he needs to be more consistent at waiting on pitches to travel deeper into his hitting zone...the power improved, but a .129 ISO does not represent even average power and there is a question for how good a batting average he can hit for. He also must get better against right handed pitching as he showed an extreme split last year Defense - Navarro's work with the glove is his specialty, with soft hands and great range at the shortstop position...his bat does not have to be all that good for him to become a major league player Best Case Outcome - An everyday shortstop more known for his defensive ability. More Likely Outcome - A utility infielder. There is a huge difference between Navarro's upside and what he is right now. He showed enough improvement to be included on this list, but is years away from contributing at the big league level. =============================================================================== 8. Collin Cowgill | OF | B - R | Single-A South Bend | Age - 22 | Drafted - Round 5, 2008 Contact - 35 Now | 45 Future Power - 45 | 50 Discipline - 40 | 45 Speed - 50 | 50 Defense - 45 | 50 Arm - 50 | 50 Instincts - 50 | 55 Final Grade - C+ Body Type - short and stocky with a muscular and athletic build Hitting Put up excellent numbers at Kentucky, hitting for power and showing strong on-base skills...an aggressive and hard swing that allows the ball to go a long way when he makes contact...swing is generally short though there are times it can get a bit long...good bat speed, let's the ball travel deep into his hiting zone and turns on a firm front leg. You can see his aggressive hack below. Weaknesses - the ability to take a walk is there, but there are some concerns over his ability to make contact...aggressive swing leads to a lot of swings-and-misses...swing aggressiveness is similar to that of Dustin Pedroia, but he doesn't have the hand-eye coordination to make the consistent, hard contact like Pedroia. Defense - good instincts make up for lack of top-end speed in center field... sports a good throwing arm and should be able to stay at center field...he can play all three outfield spots if needed Best Case Outcome - shows enough offensive ability to profile as an average or slightly below average starting center fielder More Likely Outcome - a fourth or fifth outfielder than can play all three OF spots in a pinch =============================================================================== 9. Evan Frey | CF | B - L | A+ Visalia | Age - 22 | Drafted - Round 10, 2007 Contact - 50 Now | 50 Future Power - 30 | 35 Discipline - 60 | 60 Speed - 50 | 50 Defense - 45 | 50 Arm - 50 | 50 Instincts - 55 | 55 Final Grade - C Body Type - short, skinny frame, not much projection Scouting Report Batting eye is Frey's best attribute as he walked close to 14% of the time last year...struck out in 16.8% of his plate appearances, which is solid rate especially when you consider the BB%. Has showed an ability to hit for average though the K% did cap his batting average last year at under .300. Good speed and improved instincts on the basepaths led to an increase in steals and steal percentage. Biggest weakness is a lack of power. Frey has made gradual improvements in his power production, but he still has an ISO-power of under .110 in hitter-friendly environments and there isn't much projection left. Defense - Lucky for Frey, he doesn't have to play at a corner infield spot. His quality defense in center field and solid arm puts less pressure on his bat to succeed. Best Case Outcome - Possible left hand side of a platoon in CF More Likely Outcome - Fourth outfielder that can play all three OF positions =============================================================================== 10. Brooks Brown | RHP | AA-Mobile | Age - 23 | Drafted - Round 1 (34), 2007 Fastball - 45 Now | 50 Future Slider - 50 | 55 Change-Up - 35 | 40 Control - 45 | 45/50 Command - 40 | 45 Pitchability - 50 | 50 Final Grade - C Body Type - durable and strong body Scouting Report For more information on Brown, please see this scouting report I did before the start of the 2008 season. Brown stagnated in 2008 and saw his numbers either hold steady or decline... despite his durable frame, Brown got worse as the season wore on, and saw his velocity and command dip during the later stages of games His fastball dropped from 92/93 to 89 - 91 and would often leave it up in the zone, which accounted for a drop in his GB% and a rise in his HR-rate. The slider is Brown's out pitch but there needs to be more consistency throwing it for strikes. His change-up is also still developing. The hope for Brown is a bounceback of his stuff and an improvement of his command at least back to what it was in 2007. His stuff could bounce back and even take an uptick or two with a move to the bullpen. Best Case Outcome - A power arm out of the bullpen or a No. 5 starter if he can find a way to maintain his velocity and command later in games More Likely Outcome - Middle or long reliever =============================================================================== 11. Alfredo Marte | OF | B - R | Yakima (SS) | Age - 20 (in March) | Signed - Dominican Republic Marte is viewed by some as having the highest upside of any position player in the Arizona system and that might be true though I think that label should be applied to Navarro when you take position played into account. But ultimately, that label doesn't mean much since the Arizona farm system is running on fumes when it comes to position players. We don't really know what Marte will bring because he's so inexperienced. He isn't young enough where we can completely discount the poor numbers he put up in Yakima. He showed an ability to make contact, good speed and instincts on the base paths, and solid defense out in left field. While he is projectable, he didn't show any power last year and didn't show the ability to make consistent hard contact as evidenced by his low BABIP. Marte has good bat speed, but is much too handsy at this point with his swing. Marte has some good tools, but not much to show for from a production stand point. Grade - C =============================================================================== 12. Daniel Stange | RHP | A+ Visalia | Age - 23 | Drafted - Round 7, 2007 Stange was moving very quickly through the Arizona organization before Tommy John Surgery sidelined him. He returned last year and maintained his excellent K% though he still has some control problems to work out. Mechanically, he had a long arm action in addition to some pretty poor front side mechanics. Hopefully he worked to correct a few issues as he rehabbed from injury. Stange's fastball is his best pitch as he regularly reaches the mid-90's. He profiles as a power arm out of the bullpen, but health concerns and control issues put a cap on his upside. Grade - C =============================================================================== 13. Jaime D'Antona | 3b | AAA Tucson | Age - 27 (in May) | Drafted - Round 2, 2003 He's certainly old for a prospect, but he could be a right hand side of a third base platoon right now. He had a flukish last year as evidenced by his .398 BABIP, but not all of it was luck as he had a line drive percentage of 24. D'Antona displays strong wrists and good bat speed. He has a nice a combination of contact and power skills, but his patience at at the plate is questionable. Given his age and standing within the organization, if he gets a shot, it's not going to be a long one. Older prospects have a limited time range to produce results and if he struggles from the outset, it might take a while to get another shot. Grade - C =============================================================================== 14. Bryan Shaw | RHP | Single-A South Ben | Age - 22 | Drafted - Round 2 (73), 2008 Big, durable body without much projection...solid fastball in the 90 - 93 mph range to go along with an average slider and a developing change-up...control is pretty good, but he can leave his fastball up in the zone at times... mechanically solid, he might stay over the rubber a bit too long for my liking, but there are no real flaws or red flags I see...overall, Shaw looks like a potential back of the rotation starter, similar to those that have appeared higher up on this list. Grade - C =============================================================================== 15. Josh Whitesell | 1b | B - L | AAA Tucson | Age - 27 (in April) | Drafted - Round 6, 2003 For a scouting report on Whitesell, you will need to subscribe to the Baseball-Intellect Newsletter. You can use the form below. If you are already an RSS subscriber, please use this link Honorable Mentions (in no particular order): Jordan Norberto, Clay Zavada, Trevor Harden, Jesus Merchan, Javier Brito, Barry Enright, Wes Roemer, Chad Beck, Kyle Newby, Josh Ellis, Eddie Romero, Hector Ambriz, Matt Torra, Reid Mahon -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.112.5.3 ※ 編輯: abc12812 來自: 140.112.5.3 (11/03 22:50)