Re: [討論] 2009draft
BA scouting report:
Round Overall Player Position School
1 16 Bobby Borchering 3B Bishop Verot HS,
As loaded as Florida's high school ranks are in 2009—and several scouts have
called it a historically deep year—Borchering established himself early as
the state's best bet for a first-round selection, and he hasn't let up. He
has excellent size at 6-foot-4, 200 pounds, and projects as a power-hitting
corner infielder. While projecting high school hitters is one of the toughest
jobs in scouting, evaluators regard Borchering as one of the safer prep bats
in the draft. He has good hands, present strength and excellent bat speed,
giving him the ability to hit both for average and for power. He went on a
power binge this spring, lifting Bishop Verot from a poor start with seven
home runs in a nine-game span. Borchering's bat already was going to get him
drafted high, and his improved defense has moved him into first-round
consideration. At times last summer he appeared destined to move to first
base, and some scouts still see that as his best fit. He has improved his
agility and first-step quickness this season, however, and has retained
athleticism while filling out physically. He'll never be a graceful or
above-average defender, but he has arm strength and soft-enough hands to play
third at an average level if he keeps working at it. Borchering's Florida
commitment isn't expected to dissuade him from signing in the first 50 picks.
Round Overall Player Position School
1 17 A.J. Pollock OF Notre Dame
Pollock hasn't performed as well this spring as he did last summer in the
Cape Cod League, where he was the MVP after finishing second in hitting
(.377) and first in slugging (.556). While there's debate as to whether he's
a true first-round talent, with a shortage of quality college hitters he
should get selected in the bottom third of the round. Six-foot-1 and 200
pounds, Pollock stands out most for his athleticism and pure hitting ability
from the right side. He has a simple approach, a quick bat and strong hands.
Scouts do say he'll have to stop cheating out on his front side and stay back
more on pitches in pro ball. Those who like Pollock say that the rest of his
tools are solid, while those who don't say he doesn't have another plus tool
and question his power. He projects as a 30 doubles/15 homers threat in the
majors, and he's a slightly above-average runner who has plus speed once he
gets going. Pollock also has good instincts and a solid arm in center field.
Round Overall Player Position School
1s 35 Matt Davidson 1B Yucaipa (Calif.) HS
Davidson won the home run derby during the Aflac Classic at Dodger Stadium
last summer, and only a late rally by the East squad prevented him from being
the game's MVP. Athletic and powerfully built at 6-foot-3 and 225 pounds,
Davidson has always flashed impressive raw power. As a junior in the spring
of 2008, he put on an eye-opening power display during the National Classic
home run contest. Actual games, of course, are not home run derbies, and like
many young power hitters, Davidson struggles with consistency and had trouble
catching up to quality pitching at some showcase events. When hitting well,
he waits out the pitch and then uses a short backswing and sweeping
follow-through to wallop the ball. When slumping, he struggles to read the
pitch, flinches his front side and commits too early or too late. Davidson's
speed is well-below-average, but he does have an above-average arm. His hands
and footwork will probably force him to first base down the road. Davidson
may never produce in games to match the grades scouts put on his raw power,
but the lure of that potential should put him as high as the supplemental
first round if he's considered signable away from Southern California.
Round Overall Player Position School
1s 41 Chris Owings SS Gilbert (S.C.) HS
Owings streaked to the front of the class of prep hitters in South Carolina
and into second-round consideration for several teams, who saw him as an
offensive middle infielder capable of staying at shortstop. He joined North
Carolina's top prep hitter, Wil Myers, as part of a boffo South Carolina
recruiting class, but both were in danger of signing as two of the more
accomplished prep position players with present offensive skills and
middle-of-the-diamond defensive ability. Owings reminds some scouts of former
Georgia All-American Gordon Beckham, though with less power. Owings has
offensive tools and put them together at the right time for crosscheckers and
scouting directors. He has quick, strong hands and average speed, and makes
an impact in several ways as a hitter. He added strength over the last year
and hits with more authority, prompting his move up draft boards. He's an
average defender at short, though he lacks natural, true shortstop actions.
Some scouts believe Owings' value is less than the sum of his parts, as they
question his feel for hitting and peg him to move to second base as a pro,
rather than remain at shortstop. While he might be a better value in the
fifth round, he's not expected to last that long.
Round Overall Player Position School
1s 45 Michael Belfiore OF/P Boston College
Scouts were mildly intrigued by Belfiore's big frame and loose arm coming out
of Commack (N.Y.) High three years ago, when he worked in the 85-87 mph range
with his fastball. He has started at first base for three years at Boston
College and has thrived as the Eagles' closer the last two. Belfiore now
works in the 90-93 mph range and tops out at 94 with a lively fastball. He
shows a solid-average to plus slider in the 83-85 range at times, but he
tends to push the pitch at other times. At 6-foot-3, 220 pounds, Belfiore is
physical enough to start, and he maintained his stuff for five innings in
front of a number of scouting heavyweights in late April against Duke. He
also has a starter's repertoire, with an average low-80s changeup that dives
at the plate at times. He also shows a promising curveball in warmups, though
he rarely uses it in games. Belfiore's mechanics need smoothing, and his
offspeed command could use polish, but he could take off once he concentrates
on pitching full-time.
Round Overall Player Position School
2 60 Eric Smith RHP Rhode Island
Smith has made great strides in three years since arriving at Rhode Island as
a raw, immature freshman with mechanical issues and an 85-87 mph fastball. He
worked mostly in relief in 2007, then showed a glimmer of his potential that
summer in the Atlantic Collegiate League, where he ranked as the No. 7
prospect. He broke out this spring, opening eyes with eight shutout innings
in a win against Miami in early March, followed by a strong performance
against Cal State Fullerton when he allowed three runs over 6 2/3 innings.
Smith now pitches with an 89-93 mph fastball with power sink that he commands
at the knees. He adds and subtracts with his slider, sometimes throwing it in
the 84-86 mph range, and the pitch can be average or even plus at times,
though it remains a bit inconsistent. He also flashes a solid-average
changeup and is improving his feel for the pitch. He drops in a curveball
occasionally as a show pitch, particularly for a back-door strike against
lefties. Smith is a fierce competitor with a physical 6-foot-3, 213-pound
build, and he has the best feel for pitching in the Northeast. He's a safe
bet to go in the top three rounds, with a chance to go in the top two.
Round Overall Player Position School
2 64 Marc Krauss OF Ohio
After starring in his first two years at Ohio and in the Great Lakes League
in between, Krauss went to the Cape Cod League last summer and left as a
premium prospect. He led the Cape in RBIs (34) and on-base percentage (.473)
and has continued to raise his profile this spring, batting .404 and leading
the Mid-American Conference with 22 homers and 61 RBIs with a week to go in
the regular season. A lefthanded hitter, Krauss has a quick bat and advanced
approach, as he has a discerning eye and uses the entire field. He
consistently squares balls on the barrel of the bat. Some scouts wonder how
much power he'll have with wood, but the consensus is he should have average
pop as a pro. Though he's more athletic than most 6-foot-3, 220-pounders and
has played some third base, he'll have to be a left fielder at the next
level. He has arm strength but his hands, range and quickness are just
adequate. Krauss' bat will have to carry him, but it's good enough to do so.
As one of the best college hitters in a thin year for them, he could get
taken as early as the second round.
Round Overall Player Position School
3 95 Keon Broxton 3B Santa Fe CC
Broxton was the Phillies' 29th-round pick in 2008 but didn't sign, instead
attending junior college and pulling out of his Florida Atlantic
football/baseball commitment. He's more of an athlete than a hitter at this
piont, with raw power and good speed. He's raw defensively as well but got
some late draft helium with a big performance in the NJCAA postseason. He's
an average-to-plus runner with the chance of staying in center field down the
line.
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06/10 19:44, 1F
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