Re: [討論] 2009draft
補充一下所有球員的BA scouting report
※ 引述《mittermeyer (真的真的好想休息)》之銘言：
: ※ 引述《abc12812 ()》之銘言：
: Round Overall Player Position Bonus
: 1 16 Bobby Borchering 3B 1,800,000
As loaded as Florida's high school ranks are in 2009—and several scouts have
called it a historically deep year—Borchering established himself early as
the state's best bet for a first-round selection, and he hasn't let up. He
has excellent size at 6-foot-4, 200 pounds, and projects as a power-hitting
corner infielder. While projecting high school hitters is one of the toughest
jobs in scouting, evaluators regard Borchering as one of the safer prep bats
in the draft. He has good hands, present strength and excellent bat speed,
giving him the ability to hit both for average and for power. He went on a
power binge this spring, lifting Bishop Verot from a poor start with seven
home runs in a nine-game span. Borchering's bat already was going to get him
drafted high, and his improved defense has moved him into first-round
consideration. At times last summer he appeared destined to move to first
base, and some scouts still see that as his best fit. He has improved his
agility and first-step quickness this season, however, and has retained
athleticism while filling out physically. He'll never be a graceful or
above-average defender, but he has arm strength and soft-enough hands to play
third at an average level if he keeps working at it. Borchering's Florida
commitment isn't expected to dissuade him from signing in the first 50 picks.
: 1 17 A.J. Pollock OF 1,400,000
Pollock hasn't performed as well this spring as he did last summer in the
Cape Cod League, where he was the MVP after finishing second in hitting
(.377) and first in slugging (.556). While there's debate as to whether he's
a true first-round talent, with a shortage of quality college hitters he
should get selected in the bottom third of the round. Six-foot-1 and 200
pounds, Pollock stands out most for his athleticism and pure hitting ability
from the right side. He has a simple approach, a quick bat and strong hands.
Scouts do say he'll have to stop cheating out on his front side and stay back
more on pitches in pro ball. Those who like Pollock say that the rest of his
tools are solid, while those who don't say he doesn't have another plus tool
and question his power. He projects as a 30 doubles/15 homers threat in the
majors, and he's a slightly above-average runner who has plus speed once he
gets going. Pollock also has good instincts and a solid arm in center field.
: 1s 35 Matt Davidson 1B 900,000
Davidson won the home run derby during the Aflac Classic at Dodger Stadium
last summer, and only a late rally by the East squad prevented him from being
the game's MVP. Athletic and powerfully built at 6-foot-3 and 225 pounds,
Davidson has always flashed impressive raw power. As a junior in the spring
of 2008, he put on an eye-opening power display during the National Classic
home run contest. Actual games, of course, are not home run derbies, and like
many young power hitters, Davidson struggles with consistency and had trouble
catching up to quality pitching at some showcase events. When hitting well,
he waits out the pitch and then uses a short backswing and sweeping
follow-through to wallop the ball. When slumping, he struggles to read the
pitch, flinches his front side and commits too early or too late. Davidson's
speed is well-below-average, but he does have an above-average arm. His hands
and footwork will probably force him to first base down the road. Davidson
may never produce in games to match the grades scouts put on his raw power,
but the lure of that potential should put him as high as the supplemental
first round if he's considered signable away from Southern California.
: 1s 41 Chris Owings SS 950,000
Owings streaked to the front of the class of prep hitters in South Carolina
and into second-round consideration for several teams, who saw him as an
offensive middle infielder capable of staying at shortstop. He joined North
Carolina's top prep hitter, Wil Myers, as part of a boffo South Carolina
recruiting class, but both were in danger of signing as two of the more
accomplished prep position players with present offensive skills and
middle-of-the-diamond defensive ability. Owings reminds some scouts of former
Georgia All-American Gordon Beckham, though with less power. Owings has
offensive tools and put them together at the right time for crosscheckers and
scouting directors. He has quick, strong hands and average speed, and makes
an impact in several ways as a hitter. He added strength over the last year
and hits with more authority, prompting his move up draft boards. He's an
average defender at short, though he lacks natural, true shortstop actions.
Some scouts believe Owings' value is less than the sum of his parts, as they
question his feel for hitting and peg him to move to second base as a pro,
rather than remain at shortstop. While he might be a better value in the
fifth round, he's not expected to last that long.
: 1s 45 Michael Belfiore OF/P 725,000
Scouts were mildly intrigued by Belfiore's big frame and loose arm coming out
of Commack (N.Y.) High three years ago, when he worked in the 85-87 mph range
with his fastball. He has started at first base for three years at Boston
College and has thrived as the Eagles' closer the last two. Belfiore now
works in the 90-93 mph range and tops out at 94 with a lively fastball. He
shows a solid-average to plus slider in the 83-85 range at times, but he
tends to push the pitch at other times. At 6-foot-3, 220 pounds, Belfiore is
physical enough to start, and he maintained his stuff for five innings in
front of a number of scouting heavyweights in late April against Duke. He
also has a starter's repertoire, with an average low-80s changeup that dives
at the plate at times. He also shows a promising curveball in warmups, though
he rarely uses it in games. Belfiore's mechanics need smoothing, and his
offspeed command could use polish, but he could take off once he concentrates
on pitching full-time.
: 2 60 Eric Smith RHP 605,000
Smith has made great strides in three years since arriving at Rhode Island as
a raw, immature freshman with mechanical issues and an 85-87 mph fastball. He
worked mostly in relief in 2007, then showed a glimmer of his potential that
summer in the Atlantic Collegiate League, where he ranked as the No. 7
prospect. He broke out this spring, opening eyes with eight shutout innings
in a win against Miami in early March, followed by a strong performance
against Cal State Fullerton when he allowed three runs over 6 2/3 innings.
Smith now pitches with an 89-93 mph fastball with power sink that he commands
at the knees. He adds and subtracts with his slider, sometimes throwing it in
the 84-86 mph range, and the pitch can be average or even plus at times,
though it remains a bit inconsistent. He also flashes a solid-average
changeup and is improving his feel for the pitch. He drops in a curveball
occasionally as a show pitch, particularly for a back-door strike against
lefties. Smith is a fierce competitor with a physical 6-foot-3, 213-pound
build, and he has the best feel for pitching in the Northeast. He's a safe
bet to go in the top three rounds, with a chance to go in the top two.
: 2 64 Marc Krauss OF 550,000
After starring in his first two years at Ohio and in the Great Lakes League
in between, Krauss went to the Cape Cod League last summer and left as a
premium prospect. He led the Cape in RBIs (34) and on-base percentage (.473)
and has continued to raise his profile this spring, batting .402 and leading
the Mid-American Conference with 27 homers and 70 RBIs. A lefthanded hitter,
Krauss has a quick bat and advanced approach, as he has a discerning eye and
uses the entire field. He consistently squares balls on the barrel of the
bat. Some scouts wonder how much power he'll have with wood, but the
consensus is he should have average pop as a pro. Though he's more athletic
than most 6-foot-3, 220-pounders and has played some third base, he'll have
to be a left fielder at the next level. He has arm strength but his hands,
range and quickness are just adequate. Krauss' bat will have to carry him,
but it's good enough to do so. As one of the best college hitters in a thin
year for them, he could get taken as early as the second round.
: 3 95 Keon Broxton 3B 358,000
Broxton was the Phillies' 29th-round pick in 2008 but didn't sign, instead
attending junior college and pulling out of his Florida Atlantic
football/baseball commitment. He's more of an athlete than a hitter at this
piont, with raw power and good speed. He's raw defensively as well but got
some late draft helium with a big performance in the NJCAA postseason. He's
an average-to-plus runner with the chance of staying in center field down the
line.
: 4 126 David Nick SS 225,000
Cypress High in Orange County is a top-notch program that has recently
produced first-rounders Scott Moore (2002) and Josh Vitters (2007). Nick
doesn't figure to be drafted quite that high, but he is an outstanding player
nonetheless. A 6-foot-2 high school shortstop, Nick will probably move to
second base in pro ball. He doesn't have the arm, hands or actions to hold
down shortstop beyond college, but second should be a perfect fit. Nick is an
excellent all-around athlete, with one of the most interesting batting
stances seen in years. Eschewing modern hitting theory, he stands dead still
at the plate, with his feet spread and the bat held above his back shoulder.
Motionless as the pitch comes in, he turns on the ball by whipping the bat
and snapping his wrists violently at the last instant. No one would be
foolish enough to compare a high schooler to Joe DiMaggio, but Nick's swing
is a near copy. And it gets results. Nick is a line-drive hitter, and the
ball screams off his bat when he squares a pitch up. The only concern with
Nick is that his terrific quickness will at times cause him to pull off the
ball too soon, imparting topspin to the ball. As a professional, Nick
profiles as an offense-oriented second baseman with average defensive skills,
above-average speed, average power, and potentially well-above-average
hitting skills.
: 5 156 Ryan Wheeler 1B 160,000
Wheeler was a high school basketball teammate of North Carolina forward Deon
Thompson. During his prep baseball career, Wheeler did little to impress
scouts, but in the summer after his graduation in 2006 he began working with
a local part-time scout who doubles as a travel ball coach. The sudden change
in his hitting ability was striking. Wheeler blasted several long shots out
of old Torrance Park in a home run derby during a summer showcase, and he has
been hitting ever since. Now 6-foot-4 and 220 pounds, he batted .285 with
five home runs in the Cape Cod League last summer and was batting
.324/.429/.576 with nine home runs this spring. Wheeler has dabbled as a
third baseman, but his long-term home should be at first, where he projects
as an average defender. Scouts are most intrigued by his hitting ability, as
he displays promising power as well as patience and an intelligent approach.
Wheeler also gets high marks for his plate coverage, as well as his knack for
driving the ball to the opposite field.
: 6 186 Bradin Hagens RHP 125,000
A 6-foot-1, 180-pound righthander, Hagens is looking to improve on his draft
position from 2008, when the Royals selected him in the 37th round. Hagens
enjoyed a fine 2009 season, going 9-1, 3.77 with 87 strikeouts in 88 innings.
He profiles as a reliever in pro ball, a role in which he could focus
primarily on his low-90s fastball and solid slider.
: 7 216 Matt Helm 3B 500,000
Third baseman Matt Helm entered the season as the best high school position
player in the state, then dropped back after he spent most of the year
injured. He hurt his knee when he stepped in a hole running a 60-yard dash at
a workout. He got back into games late in the year, then injured his ankle in
a collision at the plate and ended up in a boot. The 6-foot-1, 195-pounder is
a good hitter with some power. He comes from a good family and school is
important. Combine that with the lost year and it's tough to see a team
signing him away from Arizona.
: 8 246 Paul Goldschmidt 1B 95,000
Paul Goldschmidt became the first player to repeat as Southland Conference
hitter of the year since future big leaguer Ben Broussard in 1998-99.
Goldschmidt, who also won the SLC's player of the year award, led NCAA
Division I with 87 RBIs entering super-regional play and bashed 18 homers
this spring, giving him a school-record 36 for his career. He has big
righthanded power and good plate discipline for a slugger. Though he's a good
athlete for a 6-foot-4, 240-pounder, his lack of range limits him to first
base, so his bat will have to carry him. Part of a national championship team
at The Woodlands (Texas) High in 2006, Goldschmidt went in the 49th round of
that draft to the Dodgers.
: 9 276 Chase Anderson RHP 85,000
Righthander Chase Anderson helped his draft chances with a strong relief
outing against Wichita State in the NCAA regionals, blanking the Shockers for
5 1/3 innings while allowing one hit and striking out six. He's not big
(6-foot-1, 162 pounds) or overpowering, but he mixes four pitches and
consistently fools batters with his changeup. The Twins drafted him twice
previously, in the 42nd round out of high school in 2006 and in the 40th
round out of North Central (Texas) JC in 2007.
: 10 306 Tyson Van Winkle C 70,000
The top catcher taken out of the Northwest will likely be Oregon State's Ryan
Ortiz, but some scouts see Gonzaga's Tyson Van Winkle as a better value and a
better bet to hit as a professional. Van Winkle was drafted as a sophomore
last year in the 39th round by the Astros and is a skilled defender. The
6-foot, 185-pounder is athletic, with quick feet. He's a skilled blocker, and
his pitchers trust they can bury any pitch and Van Winkle will block it. His
arm lagged behind his footwork in the past, but they're more in sync this
year and his pop times were in the 1.8- to 1.9-second range. Van Winkle isn't
just a catch-and-throw guy. He hit .361/.424/.542 for the Zags this year and
has power potential.
: 11 336 Richard Allen RHP
: 12 366 Charles Brewer RHP
: 13 396 Patrick Schuster LHP 450,000
Schuster became the nation's best-known amateur this spring, even surpassing
Stephen Strasburg, as he compiled a four-start streak of no-hitters. His
attempt for a fifth straight game, a state playoff matchup was picked up by a
local cable broadcaster, and his innings were shown on ESPN News. Schuster
lost his bid and the game in front of a slew of fans, scouts and media, but
his pitching ability was evident even in the loss. Schuster accomplished his
no-hitter with the help of a funky delivery that delivers three average
pitches. His fastball sat in the 86-91 mph range during the spring, as he
threw both his two-seamer and four-seamer for strikes. His four-seamer seemed
to get on hitters quickly due to his deception. His slider and curveball
helped him miss plenty of bats en route to his no-hitter, and his slider is
the better pitch, coming from his low three-quarters arm slot. Schuster's
slight frame lends little future projection, and scouts agreed he might even
lose some deception as he fills out physically. His pitchability gives him a
chance to be a future back-end starter, and some scouts profile him more as a
reliever. He's part of Florida's tremendous recruiting class and was expected
to head to college unless a team meets his second-round bonus demands.
: 14 426 Brent Greer SS 30,000
Brent Greer hit .402 this spring. He's a solid-average hitter who has a
better throwing arm and fits better in the outfield than at third base.
: 15 456 David Narodowski SS
: 16 486 Ryan Robowski LHP
: 17 516 Andrew Wolcott RHP
Duke had one of its best seasons in years, narrowly missing out on the
school's first NCAA regional bid. The Blue Devils will miss three solid
senior signs next year, led by all-ACC righthander Andrew Wolcott, a 6-foot-6
workhorse who throws downhill with a fastball in the 88-90 mph range. He went
8-3, 2.77 and led the league in innings during the regular season, pitching
off his fastball 80 percent of the time. Wolcott's slider and changeup are
just decent.
: 18 546 Roidany Aguila C
From Benito Santiago to Ivan Rodriguez and Jorge Posada to the Molina
brothers and Geovany Soto, Puerto Rico has long been a breeding ground for
catchers. This year is no exception. A handful of catchers could be selected
in the top 10 rounds of the draft, and Roidany Aguila could be the first off
the board. A Cuban who moved to Puerto Rico by way of Miami, Aguila is
solidly built at 5-foot-11 and 175 pounds. He's a gamer with a good arm and
good instincts behind the plate, with pop times in the 1.9-second range. He's
more of a defensive catcher, but in Jupiter, Fla., last summer at the World
Wood Bat Championship, Aguila turned around a 91 mph Tyler Skaggs fastball
for a triple. He's committed to Bethune-Cookman.
: 19 576 Randy Hamrick SS
: 20 606 Adam Worthington RHP
: 21 636 Daniel Taylor RHP
The two best pitching prospects in the state are college seniors. Dan Taylor
didn't have a redshirt year like Fetter did, and he won't turn 22 until July.
The 6-foot, 205-pounder doesn't have an overpowering pitch, but his 88-89 mph
fastball, curveball and changeup are all close to average. He's also a
lefthander who throws strikes.
: 22 666 Evan Button SS
: 23 696 Christopher Odegaard RHP
: 24 726 Brad Gemberling RHP
From the college ranks, Princeton has more notable prospects than any other
program in the state. David Hale will be drafted first based on his electric
arm, but senior righty Brad Gemberling is more polished at this point. His
ERA (6.67) was inflated by a horrendous final outing of the season against
Cornell (0.2 IP, 9 ER). Gemberling throws strikes with an average fastball in
the 88-91 mph range, bumping 92 on occasion. He also works in a fringy slider
and changeup, as well as a curveball he uses as a show pitch. A few scouts
would consider Gemberling in the top 10 to 12 rounds, but most regard him as
a senior sign later in the draft.
: 25 756 Taylor Wrenn SS
: 26 786 Daniel Kaczrowski SS
: 27 816 Jake Hale RHP
Though senior righthander Jake Hale ranked second in NCAA Division I with an
Ohio State-record 18 saves this spring, area scouts don't love him. They
question his work ethic and makeup, and while they like his slider, they
think he throws it way too often. The 6-foot-7, 200-pounder works in the high
80s and touches 91 mph with his fastball. He has been drafted twice
previously, in the 24th round out high school by the Indians in 2005 and in
the 20th round as a draft-eligible sophomore by the Blue Jays in 2007.
: 28 846 Brian Budrow RHP
Senior righthander Brian Budrow spent his first two seasons at Oregon State,
where he was part of back-to-back College World Series winners, but he
totaled just nine innings in those two years and transferred to Utah to get
more time on the mound. He has shown scouts an 88-91 mph fastball with sink
and a slider. He could get a chance as a senior sign.
: 29 876 Jacob Williams 1B
: 30 906 Jack Marder SS
: 31 936 Keith Cantwell RHP
: 32 966 Will Harvill RHP
: 33 996 Brad Wilson RHP
: 34 1026 Patrick Cooper RHP
Righthander Patrick Cooper doesn't have Mormann's velocity, but he had much
better strikeout numbers (106 in 72 innings, versus 71 in 77 frames for
Mormann) at Des Moines Area CC. A 6-foot-3, 204-pounder, he has much better
pitchability and athleticism than Mormann. Cooper has an 89-92 mph fastball,
a solid slider and a decent changeup. He spent his freshman season playing
for head coach at Elvis Dominguez at Eastern Kentucky and has committed to
play for Dominguez next year at Bradley.
: 35 1056 Zach Morgan RHP
: 36 1086 Mike Freeman SS
Clemson's greatest impact on the draft will come from its pitchers and first
baseman Ben Paulsen in the top 200 picks. The Tigers did have a late riser in
second baseman Mike Freeman, a transfer from Georgia. He's a patient hitter
with gap power from the left side who is a reliable defender. He's got enough
arm to turn two at second base and hit .500 in regional play.
: 37 1116 Chris Jenkins OF
: 38 1146 Trevon Prince LHP
: 39 1176 Ryan Jones OF
Outfielder Ryan Jones has the best tools in the state, with solid speed, arm
strength and range. But the 6-foot, 185-pound lefthanded hitter never got his
bat going, hitting .277 with seven homers this spring after struggling with
wood bats in the Cape Cod League last summer. He has a line-drive approach
and uses the whole field, yet he still looks overmatched at times.
: 40 1206 Tim Sherlock OF
: 41 1236 Cade Kreuter 3B
: 42 1266 Zach Hendrix 2B
: 43 1296 Brooklyn Foster C
: 44 1326 Zach Varnell C
: 45 1356 Beau Amaral OF
UCLA recruit Amaral, whose father Rich played 10 seasons in the majors,
follows in his dad's footsteps as a smart, aggressive baserunner. Amaral
lacks power projection and will have to fit in as a top-of-the-order center
fielder, and he's unlikely to get bought away from college.
: 46 1386 Matt Ozanne OF
: 47 1416 Mario Gallardo LHP
: 48 1446 Juan Avila OF
Naturally an outfielder, Avila is perhaps the finest all-around player in the
Los Angeles area and profiles to big league average almost across the board—
in speed, arm, glove and bat. A switch-hitter who played shortstop as a prep
senior, he has a quick bat and has filled out into his 6-foot, 170-pound
frame in the past year. He lacks the actions to stay in the infield. He could
be a steal if a team decides to sign him away from college.
: 49 1476 Jordan Luvisi OF
Lefthander Jordan Luvisi doesn't have the arm strength of fellow Arizona prep
southpaw James Pazos, but is a better pure pitcher with three pitches he
throws for strikes. He is committed to UC Santa Barbara.
: 50 1506 Frank Abbl RHP
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