Re: 尼克部落格:How the Diamondbacks got here
http://www.azcentral.com/members/Blog/NickPiecoro/84816
How the Diamondbacks got here
響尾蛇隊怎麼能爛成這樣
The Diamondbacks are riding a five-game losing streak. They are winless
through four games of this road trip through three NL West cities. Though it’
s way too early to call it a make or break trip, it feels like it could be
more of the latter than the former, especially with what looks like an
impossibly difficult June schedule in front of them.
They’re 20-29, 8 1/2 games back in the division. What’s happened? Here’s a
rundown.
五連敗了(編按:喔不對,加上今天已經連六拉六了)。弱小分區客場之旅到目前為止一勝
難求。雖然說如果現在就放棄的話,比賽...球季就結束了,但是看到六月的賽程就好像
看到118的學生證一樣,雙腿一軟跪了下來,包括跨聯盟比賽在內,要面對到洋基、紅襪、
光芒等強大分區勁敵...還有道奇、洛磯、紅雀這些強隊(紅雀還得打兩次)。目前20-30的
戰績,與分區第一的教士有著9.5場的勝差,到底發中了什麼邪呢?請看。
1) The bullpen has been terrible.
牛棚爛到噴汁了。
No area of the team has received more criticism, and for good reason. The
bullpen has a 7.50 ERA – and we’re nearly eight weeks into the season. They
have allowed 107 earned runs in 128 1/3 innings.
No one expected the bullpen to be a strength, but neither did anyone expect
it to be this colossally bad. Let’s say that instead of being the worst in
baseball by a long shot it was merely bad, ranking, say, 12th in the league.
That would mean it would have allowed 37 fewer earned runs, making the team’
s overall run differential 247 runs scored/261 runs allowed. With those
numbers, the team’s expected record would be 23-26 – still not good, but
just one good series away from .500.
牛棚正是整支球隊最糟糕的地方。開季已經快兩個月了,在128.1局丟了107分,ERA值高達
7.50(加上今天爆的5分肯定更高)。沒有人期待過牛棚有啥用,但也沒有人想到會是這麼慘
烈的情況。假使不說他們是最爛,而放遠來看應該是排12名的牛棚(這段不太懂,請指正)
。意思是說一共少丟37分,這樣一來整隊的得失分會變成247/261,而在這個數字所預期的
戰績應該會是23-26,還是不怎麼樣,但至少是一個系列賽就能扳平的情況。
2) The staff gives up too many long balls.
被幹太多砲了
Diamondbacks pitchers have given up a staggering 83 home runs in 49 games.
The relievers have allowed 31, 11 more than the second-worst bullpen in the
league. But you can’t just blame the bullpen for this one. The starters have
allowed 52 home runs, 15 more than the next worst rotation.
They’re on pace to allow 274 home runs, which would shatter the major league
record of 241, set by the 1996 Detroit Tigers, a team that lost 109 games.
49場,83支。後援投手就包括31支,比第二名還多11發...但當然這並不全是牛棚的錯,先
發被轟52發也是比第二爛的活生生多了15支。照這個速度下去整年下來會被幹274發,聯盟
紀錄是1996年老虎隊的241發,當年輸掉了109場比賽。
3) Dan Haren and Edwin Jackson have struggled.
蛋哈輪跟E-Jax的不振。
These two were supposed to be horses at the top of the rotation. While both
are pitching deep into games with consistency, both sport ERAs well above
what the Diamondbacks expected.
The scary part for both is that their second-half struggles from 2009 are
spilling into 2010. Haren has a 5.12 ERA in 25 starts since July 23. Jackson
has a 5.93 ERA in 22 starts since Aug. 10.
這兩位本來應該是先發輪值的扛霸子,局數一樣吃得很深,但ERA值卻比預期的高出許多。
令人擔心的是,這兩位自從去年下半季開始就一直軟手到現在,哈輪自去年七月二十三日
之後的25場先發繳出了5.12的ERA值,E-Jax在去年八月十日之後的22場先發裡平均ERA則是
5.93。
4) Where’s Brandon Webb?
Brandon Webb去哪了?
Much of the hope for the Diamondbacks this season was tied to the healthy
return of Webb, the former Cy Young winner. It’s nearly June and Webb hasn’
t stepped on a mound in nearly three months. He spent this past week
searching for an arm slot in an Alabama rehab facility, and even if
everything suddenly clicks for him today, he won’t be back in the majors
until July.
本季響尾蛇的希望是寄望在康復的前賽揚蛇王Webb身上,但聽說現在已經快要六月了而他
這三個月來連投手丘都沒踩過,連A-Rod都踩過Braden的了...上禮拜他在Alabama的復健機
構找他的放球點,但就算他今天突然吃了金珂拉天生神力的復原,也不可能在七月前歸
隊。
5) The offense has been too streaky.
打擊火力太不穩定。
Despite nearly a month of mediocrity, the Diamondbacks offense still ranks as
the second-best run-scoring unit in the National League. That’s because of
their torrid 26-game start in which they averaged 5.9 runs per game.
Since then, they’re down to 4.1 runs per game – not especially bad, but
that average seems inflated by a handful of high-scoring games. Consider: In
the past 23 games, the Diamondbacks have scored three runs or less 14 times.
They lost 13 of those games and are 1-22 overall this season in games in
which they’ve scored less than four runs.
即使到了這個月金珂拉的效用已過,整隊的得分還是在NL排名第二,這要歸因於前面26場
比賽的平均得分是5.9,但在那之後就烙賽到4.1─看起來不差,但其實是因為當中有一些
得分破表的比賽抽高了平均。今年整場得3分或以下的14場比賽輸了13場,然後得4分或以
下的比賽戰績是1-22敗,慘透了。
6) Justin Upton hasn’t produced.
Upton卡彈
The Diamondbacks were counting on another step forward from their
ultra-talented 22-year-old right fielder. So far, it hasn’t happened. Upton
hasn’t had any prolonged empty stretches, but his .253 average, .320 on-base
and .430 slugging fall well short of what the club needs out of its No. 3/No.
4 hitter.
本來今年響尾蛇要倚靠的22歲天才右外野手Justin Upton截至目前為止依然不振。雖然他
不是處在什麼超級長期低潮,但.253/.320/.430的成績對一支球隊的三或四棒打者來說,
還有一段很大的落差。
7) Miguel Montero has been hurt.
Montero送修
Upton, Mark Reynolds and Montero were trumpeted as the positives to take from
the 2009 disaster. We touched on Upton already. Reynolds hasn’t found a hot
streak, but his numbers still are OK.
And Montero played just four games before going down with a knee injury.
Chris Snyder done all right filling in, but he hasn’t provided the kind of
offensive jolt that a healthy Montero is capable of.
Upton、風扇哥跟Montero本來是去年慘澹球季中的一線曙光,但如今......好吧,Upton已
經鞭過了,風扇哥雖然不火燙但成績差強人意,至於Montero則是打了四場就進廠維修。
Snyder適時補上了這個洞,但並沒能打出像健康的Montero有的成績。
8) Left field has been a production vortex.
左外野的黑洞
Conor Jackson played great in the Dominican Republic and was excellent in
spring training, providing hope he could put his 2009 career derailment
behind him. So far, he hasn’t been able to provide much of anything
offensively, hitting just .227 with a .317 on-base and .309 slugging in 126
plate appearances. He also spent two weeks on the disabled list with a
hamstring injury.
Gerardo Parra hasn’t been any better, hitting .247/.281/.341 in 89 plate
appearances. Overall, Diamondbacks left fielders have a .630 OPS, fourth
worst in the league.
Con-Jax去年在多明尼加冬聯還有今年春訓都打得很好,似乎能讓他忘了09年的生涯低點。
但到目前為止他的打擊依舊鳥蛋(.227/.317/.309 in 126PA),中間還在DL躺過兩個禮拜。
而Parra也沒好到哪去(.241/.281/.341 in 89PA),總之,在左外野這個產區本隊的OPS是
.630,全聯盟倒數第四名,我想一切都是Eri科 Byrnes的錯。
Why have all of these things happened? That’s the million dollar question.
What’s so strange about this team is that the guys whom everyone expected to
be doing well aren’t, like Upton, Haren and Edwin Jackson. Meanwhile, Ian
Kennedy, Rodrigo Lopez, Kelly Johnson, Chris Young -- some of the biggest
question marks on the team entering the season -- well, their performances
have ranged between great and just fine.
這是三小情況?那些預期會有好成績的通通烙賽,像是哈輪、E-Jax、Upton;然後原本那
些不期不待、要去龍潭的反而在預期水準之上,像是旅基的Kennedy、旅美東的Lopez、被
non-tendered的凱莉、09慘兮兮的Chris Young。
Is this team really this bad? If so, then that doesn’t reflect well on the
general manager. If not, then why aren’t they performing better?
Looking at the front office's moves in the off-season, can you blame the
Diamondbacks for picking up Webb’s option? Probably not. Did they make bad
acquisitions in the off-season? With LaRoche, Johnson, Heilman and Kennedy,
no, those look good. With Howry and Edwin Jackson, not so good. (But would
you rather have Max Scherzer back? Right now, no.) Should they have spent the
money they gave to LaRoche on pitching? Maybe. But then we might be talking
about a black hole of production at first base.
這支球隊真的該加入中職了嗎?如果是這樣,那現在兄弟的領隊應該叫做Josh Byrnes。
如果說不該這麼爛,為什麼成績又打不出來?回頭看看去年季後FO的動作,撿Webb的
option臭了嗎?也許不是。補強臭了嗎?想想可樂果...不是,想想臘肉哥、凱莉、海餌鰻
、IPK吧,補得很好啊!當然,FUCK you Bob Howry跟E-Jax就不是那麼好了,但看看
Scherzer現在的慘況,又是另一種想法...那我們該把簽臘肉哥的錢拿去補投手嗎?那這樣
的話一壘又多個黑洞了。
Is it simply the wrong mix of players?
這是大家一起衰洨的結果嗎?
Is it the coaching staff? Are they getting enough out of the players? How
many coaches do they need to go through? This general group of players is on
its second manager, its second pitching coach, its third hitting coach, etc.
And how much longer will this losing continue before more changes are made?
The other strange thing is it seems like it’s something different with this
team every year -- every week, really. Over the past three years problems
have ranged from defense to bullpen to injuries to offense and, lately, to
starting pitching. Just when it looks like they’ve fixed one leak, a new one
springs.
是教練的問題嗎?是跟球員之間的問題嗎?他們要換幾個教練啊?這群人已經經歷了兩任
總教練、兩任投手教練、三任打擊教練了耶...在下一波改變之前我們到底要輸多久?另一
個奇怪的地方是,這支隊伍好像每年、每周都在變,真的。這三年來球隊的問題從防守到
牛棚到傷兵到攻擊到最近的先發投手,就好像打地鼠一樣,搞定一個又冒出一個。
If it were the same thing over and over, maybe you could talk about blowing
it up and starting fresh. But this club is confusing, inconsistent (which is
why this rant is all over the place).
Anyway, it’s not early anymore. This isn’t just a bad start or a rough
patch. What can be done to fix it?
Whatever needs to happen, it better happen fast. This season is starting to
feel a lot like 2009.
如果這些問題不斷的loop,也許可以開始考慮砍掉重練,但這支球隊比兄弟還讓人搞不懂
,又不穩定(這也是為什麼我們老是在吵這些)。反正,球季到現在也不早了,這不只是個
壞的開始或者說一段糟糕的日子,能怎麼做來它更好?但不管能做什麼都越快越好,現在
已經有09球季的感覺了。
---
自己隨意亂翻,大家請多指教
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2009/06/03 Pitt╭───╮tes traded CF Nate McLouth to Atlanta Braves. 2009/06/3
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