[躲人] Did L.A. give up too much for Blake?
http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/prospects/ask-ba/2009/267916.html
As a Dodgers fan, I'm still trying to get my head around the deal that sent
Carlos Santana and Jon Meloan to the Indians for Casey Blake. Is there any
precedent for a team to trade its No. 1 or 2 prospect for such a mediocre
talent? I know the Mets sent Scott Kazmir away for Victor Zambrano. Are there
any other deals like this? I understand money may have played a part in the
deal, but it's one thing to trade Matt LaPorta for C.C. Sabathia, but it's
another thing entirely to trade Santana and throw in Meloan.
Phil Gurnee
Woodland Hills, Calif.
You're being a little harsh when you call Blake "mediocre," because he provides
steady offense and defensive versatility, and the Dodgers probably wouldn't
have won the National League West without him. Santana was one of Los Angeles'
best prospects at the time of the deal and on the rise, but he had yet to
receive the universal acclaim he does these days. The Dodgers also purposely
gave up more talent in their deals last summer so they wouldn't have to take on
more salary in return.
And yet it's hard to look at the trade and not think that Los Angeles paid more
than it should have.
Most of the time when a team deals its No. 1 or 2 prospect, it's as part of a
blockbuster to acquire some like Sabathia or Mark Teixeria or Miguel Cabrera or
Josh Beckett, to name just four examples. I searched through five years of
Trade Central archives to look for other instances where a club dealt one of
its two best prospects for a lesser talent, and I came up with just five
others. In reverse order:
July 2008: The Phillies send Adrian Cardenas as part of a three-player package
to get Joe Blanton from the Athletics.
December 2006: The Astros ship Jason Hirsh as part of a three-player package to
obtain Jason Jennings and Miguel Asencio from the Rockies.
January 2006: The Red Sox surrender Andy Marte as part of a four-player package
to land Coco Crisp, David Riske and Josh Bard from the Indians.
December 2005: The White Sox part with Chris Young as part of a three-player
package to pry Javier Vazquez from the Diamondbacks.
July 2004: The Mets give up Scott Kazmir as part of a two-player package to
acquire Victor Zambrano and Bartolome Fortunato from the Rays.
(I employed a loose definition of "mediocre." Jennings and Crisp were coming
off career years they haven't been able to repeat, and their new clubs
certainly didn't think they were mediocre at the time. Vazquez was coming off
mediocre seasons with the Yankees and Diamondbacks, on the heels of four good
years with the Expos.)
The most shocking of these trades was the Kazmir deal, which was regarded as a
blunder from the start. The Mets had a dysfunctional front office with various
factions vying for power, and they overrated both their playoff chances and
Zambrano while underrating Kazmir. Kazmir reached the majors a month later and
has won 47 games since, while Zambrano has won just 10 and scuffled in Triple-A
last season. If not for that trade, the Mets likely would be shooting for their
fourth straight NL East title this year.
The White Sox wish they had Young back to patrol center field, but at least
Vazquez helped them win the AL Central in 2008 and brought back four prospects
from the Braves in a trade afterward. The Red Sox haven't missed Marte, who
hasn't been able to hit enough to warrant regular playing time in the majors.
Hirsh has been better and a lot cheaper than Jennings, but both pitchers have
been limited by injuries. The Phillies have no regrets giving up Cardenas'
promising bat for an innings-eater like Blanton, as they won 12 of his 16
starts, including all three in the playoffs en route to a World Series
championship.
Blake homered to give the Dodgers a 4-3 lead in the sixth inning of Game Four
of the NL Championship Series. Had that advantage stood up, it well could have
been the turning point of the series for Los Angeles and spurred them to a
championship. That would have made the trade much more palatable, but now it's
going to be tough for Dodgers fans to take if Santana blossoms into an all-star
catcher as expected.
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