Fw: [情報] 馬刺VS.勇士我們可以期待看到什麼?

看板G-S-WARRIORS (金洲勇士)作者yoyoman0529 (超級喜歡柯先仁)時間12年前 (2013/05/06 13:10)推噓4(4推 0噓 6→)

留言10則, 4人參與討論串1/1

※ [本文轉錄自 Spurs 看板 #1HXnGYYz ] 作者: ParkerWind (帕克瘋~) 看板: Spurs 標題: [情報] 馬刺VS.勇士我們可以期待看到什麼? 時間: Mon May 6 10:23:26 2013 What to expect from Spurs vs. Warriors By J. Gomez (Edg5) on May 4 2013, 10:17pm 外電網址: http://ppt.cc/Hf5A The Spurs will face the sixth seeded Golden State Warriors, who crowned their dream of a bounce back season (after last year's masterpiece of a tank job) by upsetting the Nuggets in the first round. Unlike the Lakers, the Warriors should be relatively healthy when the series starts, as David Lee was cleared to play against the Nuggets for game six and will likely be available, if likely hampered, on Monday.Tiago Splitter and Boris Diaw are both questionable for the Spurs. 馬刺將要面對第六種子金洲勇士隊，這支球隊剛從上季觸底反彈，並在今年季後賽第一輪幹掉金塊隊。勇士隊不像湖人一樣傷兵累累，他們唯一的傷兵D.Lee甚至在對金塊的G6復出了，而馬刺這邊Splitter和Diaw能不能上場都還是未知數。 Let's first take a look at the season series and then analyze the game plan for both teams 我們來看看兩隊在季賽時的對戰情況，並且分析這兩支球隊(例行賽對戰戰績2:2) Season series: Tied 2-2 The first game of the season series was played in San Antonio and the Spurs beat the Warriors 95-88. The Spurs were without Manu Ginobili while the Warriors were missing Curry and Bogut. Tony Parker and Tim Duncan were fantastic in this one, combining for 49 points 12 rebounds and ten assists. Lee and Thompson led the Warriors in scoring. The Warriors used Thompson on Parker and it worked for a while, but eventually Parker shredded the second year player. 例行賽兩隊第一次交手是在聖安東尼奧，馬刺以95:88拿下勝利。該場比賽馬刺Manu沒上，勇士則是Curry和Bougut缺賽。在Duncan和Parker聯手49分12籃板10助攻的優異表現主宰了比賽。勇士這邊得分方面最好的是Lee和Thompson，而勇士是用Thompson來防守 Parker，一開始有些作用，但後來還是被Parker輾爆了。 The second game was a Spurs loss in overtime. You might remember this game as the one where Pop ran the exact same play at the end of overtime that he'd just run in the final possession of regulation. Or, it was the one where the Warriors played in their jammies. Or it's the one where Jarret Jack dropped 30 on the Spurs, including ten fourth quarter points and seven overtime points. Or the one where the Spurs could have won had Parker not missed a lay up in transition he would usually hit. Needless to say, it was an atypical game. Manu was clutch on this one but Jarret Jack and Curry were too much and the Dubs got the W. 第二場比賽，馬刺在延長賽輸球了。這場比賽身為刺迷的你們應該記得這些片段，POPO在延長賽最後一波進攻竟然故技重施正規時間前的最後一波戰術(最後被識破)，或是勇士全隊穿著睡衣打球，或是Jack的30分(包括第四節的10分和延長賽的7分)，或是Parker關鍵時刻平時隨便投隨便進的拉桿竟然放槍。總之，這場比賽頗經典，Manu有在狀況內，但 Jack和Curry還是把勝利搶走了。 The third game was played in San Antonio and the Spurs were without Parker but an inspired Duncan and a great defensive effort were enough to get the win. Curry and Lee were a combined 12-37 from the floor and Bogut and Thompson couldn't get going either. The Dubs were in it because Jack and Landry carried them from the bench but the dominance of the Spurs big man duo was just too much for them to overcome. Duncan went for 25, 13 and six with four blocks and Splitter pitched in 17, seven and four. Ginobili struggled from the floor but nailed a couple of clutch three pointers to put the Warriors away in the fourth. 第三場回到了馬刺主場，這場比賽Parker沒有上，但這激起了Duncan的防守能量而護住了勝利。Curry和Lee手感極差，合計12-39，Bogut和Thompson也沒好到哪去。從板凳出發的 Jack和Landry表現不俗，但馬刺的雙塔太強大了，Duncan25分13籃板6助攻4阻攻， Splitter17分7籃板4助攻。Ginobili手感不佳，但第四節的兩記三分球就足以把勇士隊趕回家了。 The last game was three weeks ago, and the second to last game of the regular season. It was in Golden State and the Spurs rested Parker, Duncan and Leonard and were without Ginobili as well as the recently released Stephen Jackson. The Spurs scrubs kept it close for three quarters but the Warriors pulled away for the predictable win in the fourth. 最後一場是在3周前，例行賽的倒數第二場，在勇士隊的主場馬刺讓Duncan、Parker、 Leonard休息，再加上Ginobili尚未復出，還有剛釋出了S-Jax，馬刺剩餘的球員們前三節還是緊咬著比數，但第四節還是如預期的被拉開比數。 What should the Spurs' defense look out for? The Warriors are a jump-shooting team. Their star, Stephen Curry, is arguably the best shooter in the league right now and Klay Thomspson is a fantastic catch and shoot guy. Other key players, like David Lee,Carl Landry, Jarret Jack and Harrison Barnes all can hit from mid range or beyond. Of their top nine guys, only centersAndrew Bogut and Festus Ezeli lack an outside shot. The Warriors took the seventh most three pointers in the league this season and led the league in field goal percentage from there. They also like to shoot between 15 and 19 feet and are good at it. On the other hand, they struggle to get close to the rim (27th in shot attempts from less than five feet) and don't covert well when they do. 馬刺的防守重點是? 勇士是隻跳投大隊，他們的招牌球星S.Curry幾乎是全聯盟最強的射手，K.Thompson也是個優秀的C&S射手，其他重點球員D.Lee、C.Landry、J.Jack和H.Barnes也都有中距離甚至三分線的射程。他們主要的輪替9人中只有中鋒Bogut和F.Ezeli沒有具備外線能力而已。勇士隊本季三分命中數是全聯盟第7，命中率則是第1。而15-19呎的中距離是他們很喜歡也很擅長的地方。另一方面，他們在禁區的得分能力較弱(5呎內的出手數全聯盟第27)。 In their regular season games against Golden State, the Spurs did a great job limiting the Warriors three point attempts and shots at the rim but, as usual, struggled to contain mid-range jumpers. As a general strategy allowing those shots is smart but the Warriors can hit them, so that's definitely a concern. If the Spurs' late-season problem of preventing three pointers continues against the Warriors, and their ineptitude at contesting jumpers isn't curved, that alone could allow the Warriors to put enough points on the boards to keep games close despite lacking great interior scorers. 例行賽對抗勇士時，馬刺有效的限制勇士的三分出手數以及禁區的攻擊，但中距離就吃虧了。這樣的策略一直都是奏效的，但是勇士隊太擅長中距離了，因此馬刺不能等閒視之。要是馬刺季末的麻煩再度重現(守不住三分球和中距離)，那麼勇士可是能夠大量灌分的，儘管他們缺乏內線進攻手。 Even if Lee suits up, the Warriors will likely go small and run as much as possible, get open threes off screens, and pick and pop the Spurs to death -- if they can. Landry and Bogut can score with their back to the basket in a pinch but they are not major post up threats so don't expect the Dubs to throw the ball down low. Similarly, their guards are not particularly adept at getting to the rim and finishing in the half court and only David Lee, who might be too hurt to make a difference, is prolific and effective at finishing near the basket. 如果Lee能夠上場，勇士還是很可能用小球陣容，利用掩護後投射三分和擋拆就可以帶給馬刺很大的麻煩了。Bogut和Landry有低位能力，但還不足以構成禁區威脅。他們的後衛群也不擅長切入，全隊大概只有Lee在籃下能有效的得分而已。 For the Spurs defense it will come down to getting back in transition, chasing guys off the three point line and at least providing a token effort when defending pick and pop jumpers. Curry and Lee (if healthy) will get theirs but if the Spurs contain two out of the group of Thompson, Jack and Barnes, then the Warriors' offense should sputter. 馬刺的防守會歸結於攻守轉換，逼迫對手遠離三分線外，象徵性的防守擋拆後的跳投者。 Curry和Lee(如果健康的話)應該可以突破，但如果馬刺有辦法守住其他射手群的2位的話，勇士隊的進攻會淪為浪擲。 How can the Spurs hurt the Warriors? As good as the Warriors are at shooting the three, they are awful at preventing it. They allowed the most three pointers in the league in the regular season, which pretty much negates the fact teams shoot a fairly low percentage (34.8%) against them. Where the Warriors excel defensively is at deterring shots near the rim, allowing the least amount of attempts in the league in the regular season. But in their season series the Spurs did a great job of getting to and finishing at the rim and the Warriors are also susceptible to shots from 5-9 feet, also known as tear drop territory. 馬刺可以怎麼傷害勇士? 勇士極擅長三分球，但他們也很不會防守三分球。例行賽他們讓對手三分球出手數是全聯盟最多的，儘管只有34.8%的命中率。勇士隊的防守專精於干擾籃下的出手，例行賽對手籃下出手數是全聯盟最低的。但是面對馬刺時，馬刺的內線進攻做得很好，勇士因此受到影響投了很多5-9呎的球，包括高拋投。 The Dubs also have a couple of below-average defenders in their starting lineup in David Lee and Stephen Curry. Not coincidentally, Parker and Splitter had very good games against this team. Splitter averaged 13.5 points, seven boards and two assists and Parker, who was only available for the first two games, averaged 21.5 points 4 rebounds and 5.5 assists. Like I mentioned, Thompson spent time guarding Parker, which is likely to be the Warriors strategy for this series. But that creates some match-up problems for the Warriors when Parker and Ginobili play together because it would mean Curry has to take one of Manu or Leonard. Tough choices there for Mark Jackson. 勇士隊的先發陣容中有2位防守較不好的球員─Lee和Curry，因此Splitter和Parker這個系列賽應該會有很好的表現。例行賽對戰成績:Splitter場均13.5分7籃板2助攻、Parker 只打前兩場，平均21.5分4籃板5.5助攻。像前面提到的，勇士可能會用Thompson來守 Parker，但這會造成對位的問題，因為要是Parker和Ginobili同時在場上時，Curry勢必得守到Ginobili甚至Leonard。用誰來守Parker對勇士總教練M.Jackson來說是個大難題。 I'm assuming Bogut and Ezeli will take Duncan. That leaves either Landry, Lee or a small forward at power forward. The Spurs should take advantage of the match-up by involving any of those guys on pick and roll situations and attacking them off the dribble. The Dubs struggle mightily stopping the ball handler in P&R situations so Bogut might be forced to over-help off his man to make up for it, which could create a lot of open jumpers for Duncan. If Bogut stays with Duncan to deny the jumper, Ginobili and Parker should be able to get to the rim with some ease and either finish on the undersized secondary defender or get the defense scrambling. 我們假設Bogut和Ezeli守的住Duncan好了。那麼Landry或是Lee甚至小前鋒要支援到4號位。馬刺應該要多利用對位的問題進行擋拆的攻守。基於擋拆時的不利情況，Bogut可能被迫要去補防，這會造成Duncan有許多空檔可以跳投。要是Bogut死守Duncan，那我們將會看到Manu和Parker輕鬆的晃過防守者上籃得分。 That's where the Spurs will need to have shooters hitting a high percentage of their three point shots. If Danny Green, Gary Neal, Matt Bonner and Kawhi Leonardcan hit a high percentage of their spot up threes on a rotating Warriors D, things will open up inside and the series will be over quickly. 因此馬刺的射手群需要有水準之上的三分球命中率。如果Green、Neal、Bonner、Leonard 可以做到，那禁區空間會變大，這個系列賽就輕鬆了。 Who has the upper hand? It seems to me the Spurs match up very well with the Warriors and the season series seems to prove it. Without an unlikely offensive explosion from Jack it might have gone 3-1 Spurs and that only loss would have come with the Warriors facing a starting lineup that included Bonner at small forward. The Warriors haven't won in San Antonio in 19 years, so home court advantage could be a huge factor. 誰占上風? 從系列賽對戰乍看之下馬刺是有優勢的，要不是Jack超級大爆發，馬刺應該是3:1才對，唯一輸的那場馬刺也只派了二軍(連Booner都打到SF)，勇士隊已經19年沒在聖安東尼奧贏過球了，因此主場優勢也是一個很大的因素。 Golden State's biggest strength seems to be their backcourt, which features deadly shooters in Curry and Thompson, and a solid third guard in Jack. But the Spurs might even have the upper hand there too, since Parker and Ginobili, perhaps the best backcourt of the last 15 years, seem to be healthy and Danny Green can provide some defense and shooting when called upon. Similarly, Barnes and Draymond Greenmake a solid SF combo but Kawhi Leonard is at the very least on their level. Both teams will have important bigs hampered by injuries, but simply put -- the Spurs have Duncan and the Dubs don't. Bogut is a fantastic defensive player and Landry is productive and tough but the Spurs got very solid performances from DeJuan Blair and Matt Bonner against a great Lakers front court. What might tip the scale is who is healthier between Lee and Splitter. 勇士的優勢在於後場，有兩位致命的射手Curry和Thompson，還有穩定的替補Jack。但馬刺的後場應該不會輸給他們，Parker+Ginobili也許是15年來最佳搭檔，他們也都保持健康，Green也能提供防守並且提供外線火力。類似地，H.Barnes和Draymond Green也是稱職的SF組合，但Leonard比他們高了一個等級。兩隊的禁區球員都有傷病困擾，但馬刺這邊有健康的Duncan不用擔心，勇士這邊有防守極佳的Bogut和球風強硬的Landry，但馬刺的Blair-Bonner雙B連線在對抗湖人前場時也表現優異。而Lee和Splitter的傷癒程度多少會左右兩隊禁區的強弱。 My prediction is Spurs in 5. What's yours? For the opponent's perspective, visit Golden State of Mind but be a good guest if you do. 我預測馬刺5場內勝出，你呢? 從對手的觀點來看，造訪人家的客場，至少要當個有禮貌的好客人。(贏的客氣點?) -- ◢███◣ █◥◥◥ 我們不是搖擺不定 ◢● ● 我們只是還在找尋平衡點 ╭╮ ◣ ▽ ◢ ╯╰︵◣天秤 ◢ ＬＩＢＲＡ ψQSWEET ￣￣ ▂▂ 　　　　　　　 Libra <天秤版> -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 111.253.219.79 ※ 編輯: ParkerWind 來自: 111.253.219.79 (05/06 10:31)

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