[情報] NBA「3-2-1樂透」反擺爛改革方案
The NBA has disclosed to its 30 general managers a new anti-tanking, draft refor
m termed the "3-2-1 lottery" that includes expanding the lottery to 16 teams, fl
attened odds and a relegation zone where the bottom three teams will be penalize
d with fewer lottery balls for the No. 1 pick, starting with the 2027 draft, sou
rces told ESPN on Tuesday.
The league office has held multiple critical meetings with its board of governor
s, competition committee and 30 general managers over the last few weeks to narr
ow toward this new singular proposal ahead of the owners' May 28 vote, sources s
aid. There could be minor modifications to the proposal, but the key points of t
he framework have a majority of the support from teams, according to those sourc
es.
The "3-2-1 lottery" proposal, named to represent the number of lottery balls per
team, would expand the lottery from 14 to 16 teams. Teams that do not qualify f
or the playoffs or play-in tournament but stay out of the relegation zone (spots
four through 10) would receive three lottery balls each. Teams with a bottom-th
ree record -- the relegation area -- would have just two lottery balls but have
a floor of the 12th pick while the rest of the 13 lottery teams could fall as fa
r as the 16th pick.
The 9th and 10th play-in seeds in each conference receive two lottery balls each
while the losers of the 7-8 play-in games receive one lottery ball each.
In addition, no team would be able to win the top pick in consecutive years or b
e able to win three consecutive top-five picks. Teams also would not be able to
protect picks in the 12 to 15 slots going forward.
The proposal includes a sunset provision so that the new system would expire fol
lowing the 2029 draft, and allow the board of governors to continue the system o
r transition to a new one. The NBA's current collective bargaining agreement run
s through the 2029-2030 season.
The league would also have expanded disciplinary authority to regulate tanking a
nd have the option to reduce teams' lottery odds and/or modify teams' draft posi
tions under the proposal.
All of the involved parties have brainstormed and developed several concepts ove
r the last few months before finding this new, 16-team reform that high-ranking
officials across the NBA believe will de-incentivize losing while drawing lotter
y balls for all 16 qualifying teams. It also incentivizes winning, particularly
during the second half of the season, as the teams ranked near the bottom three
would want to get out of the relegation zone while teams above them work for vic
tories to stay out of the relegation zone.
NBA commissioner Adam Silver made it clear in March that fixing tanking is his t
op priority and that there will be fundamental changes to the league's draft sys
tem to try to prevent it from happening moving forward. The tanking issue escala
ted this season because of the loaded 2026 draft class and because, as Silver po
inted out, the incentives in place push teams to do whatever they can to maximiz
e their chances of getting lucky in the NBA's draft lottery each spring.
"I do think ultimately this is a decision that needs to be made at the ownership
level," Silver said following a two-day NBA board of governors meeting in March
. "It has business implications, has basketball implications, has integrity impl
ications for the league.
"So, it's one that we take very seriously, and we are going to fix it. Full stop
."
NBA「3-2-1樂透」反擺爛改革方案出爐
NBA已向30支球隊的總經理公布一項新的反擺爛、選秀改革方案,稱為「3-2-1樂透制」。該
方案將樂透抽籤範圍擴大至16隊,並採用更平坦的機率分配,同時設立「降級區」(relega
tion zone),讓戰績最差的三支球隊在抽取狀元籤時獲得較少的樂透球。此新制將從2027
年選秀開始實施,消息人士於週二向ESPN透露。
過去幾週,聯盟辦公室已與董事會、競爭委員會及30支球隊總經理舉行多次關鍵會議,朝這
項單一提案收斂,預計將在5月28日的球隊老闆投票中表決。方案細節可能還有小幅調整,
但核心框架已獲得多數球隊支持。
「3-2-1樂透」方案重點如下:
擴大樂透範圍:從目前的14隊擴大至16隊。
樂透球分配:
未進入季後賽或附加賽、且避開降級區的球隊(第4至10名)每隊獲得3個樂透球。
戰績最差的底層三隊(降級區)僅獲得2個樂透球,但可保證至少抽到第12順位;其餘13支
樂透球隊最差可能掉到第16順位。
東西區附加賽第9、10種子各獲得2個樂透球。
7-8附加賽的敗者各獲得1個樂透球。
限制條款:
任何球隊不得連續兩年抽中狀元籤,也不得連續三年抽中前五順位。
未來不得保護第12至15順位的選秀權。
日落條款:新制度將於2029年選秀後到期,董事會可決定是否延續或轉向新制度(現行CBA
集體談判協議至2029-2030賽季結束)。
加強懲罰權力:聯盟將擁有擴大的紀律權,可對擺爛行為進行處罰,包括降低球隊樂透機率
或直接調整選秀順位。
這項方案是聯盟過去幾個月腦力激盪多種概念後的共識。高層認為,16隊樂透加上差異化樂
透球設計,能有效降低擺爛誘因,同時鼓勵所有16支球隊積極爭勝。特別是下半季,靠近降
級區的球隊會拚命逃離底層,而上方的球隊也會努力贏球以避免掉入降級區。
NBA主席Adam Silver今年3月已明確表示,解決擺爛問題是他的首要任務,聯盟將對選秀制
度進行根本性改革。今年因2026年選秀大年格外競爭激烈,擺爛問題更加凸顯,正如席爾佛
所指出的,現行制度讓球隊有強烈動機盡一切可能在樂透中「碰運氣」。
Silver在3月董事會會議後表示:「我認為這最終必須由老闆層級做出決定,它涉及商業、
籃球和聯盟誠信等多重面向。我們非常認真看待這件事,而且我們將徹底解決它。就這麼簡
單。」
此方案若通過,將是NBA選秀制度近年來最大規模的改革之一,預計能大幅改變球隊後半季
的競爭態度。
來源
https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/48619907/sources-nba-eyes-new-anti-tanking-p
roposal-draft-lottery?referrer=scribe
心得:在座各位覺得公平嗎?
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