Re: [心得] To fans
另一個觀點
Would Wang have been so bad in the bullpen?(Joseph P.)
Michael Salfino of SNY wonders if Chien-Ming Wang would work in the bullpen.
Most fans don’t consider this, because we’re used to seeing Wang start
games and go seven, eight strong innings. Clearly, that’s more valuable than
a bullpen arm. The only way for it to make sense is if Wang is not among the
Yankees five best starters. In any case, it appears he would work well out of
the bullpen. This uses work from Harvy Pavlidis and the inimitable Tom Tango,
based on a formula by Dan Szymborski. So how does it work for Wang?
My Wang conversion (based on how he’s pitched as a starter for his
career) is a 2.89 ERA, 5.71 K/9, and 1.08 WHIP (baserunners per inning). Of
course, he’d still be an extreme groundball pitcher. (Note: my conversion
formula is based on how a sampling of modern starters turned relievers
actually performed through 2006.)
Szymborski says Wang as a reliever would have a 3.09 ERA with 5.4
strikeouts per nine innings and a 1.21 WHIP.
The advantage of having Wang in the pen is that the Yankees are no longer
developing him. They can use the starting innings on Joba and Hughes, who
both are pitching well at the major league level. Wang can spot start and
eventually take over when Joba hits his innings limit (whether he’s shut
down or transitioned to the bullpen). In other words, not getting Wang enough
innings isn’t a big deal, but not getting Hughes and Joba their innings is.
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