[新聞] Is New York Yankees' SP Chien-Ming Wang Up For Grabs?
http://bleacherreport.com/articles/288790-yankees-chien-ming-wang-up-for-grabs
國內有記者翻譯這篇文章一部分
但是我覺得這篇原文實在太屌了,一定要貼出來讓大家看一看-_-
Word is that the Yankees will not "tender" (salary arbitration) for their
injured former-ace, Chien-Ming Wang, thereby prematurely making him a free
agent. The idea is to get him to a lower base salary, with incentives. That's
a penny-wise, dollar-foolish move that may backfire.
Although they pay top dollar for sought-after athletes, the Yankees have
always been chintzy with less popular players such as Wang. For instance,
after his splendid 2007 season, they offered him only $4.0 million for 2008
in his first arbitration year.
Wang countered with a request for $4.6 million. The Yankees took him to
arbitration instead of ponying up the relatively small difference.
First, second, and third year arbitration players are typically awarded 40
percent, 60 percent, and 80 percent of what arbitrators feel they would be
worth as free agents.
FanGraphs pegged Wang's 2007 value at $18 million, meaning he should have
been offered $7 million or so before his first arbitration.
But the Yankees' offer of $4 million implied that Wang's free agent value was
only $10 million; Wang's implied self-valuation was a modest $11.5 million.
In arbitration, the arbitrator has to accept either the team's or the
player's valuation; he cannot split the difference or go outside it.
To get Wang down to $4 million, the Yankees denigrated their ace's
accomplishments, saying that he had a low strikeout rate, and a relatively
high ERA (for a No. 1 starter), meaning that Yankees' hitting, rather than
Wang's pitching, was responsible for his high win rate.
What they overlooked was that Wang pitched 30 games for almost 200 innings
and consistently went six innings or more, typically yielding three runs or
less, sparing Yankees' relievers. The operative metric is quality starts:
Wang had 20 in 2007.
This means his "runs allowed" represented a low enough hurdle for the
Yankees' vaunted batters to overcome in most games. Wang also won as many
games in 2006 as Cy Young winner, Johan Santana (although the latter had less
run support).
At the end of 2007, the New York Mets were almost $2 million apart with
Oliver Perez, a truly questionable pitcher, but the arbitrator ruled in favor
of the loud-mouthed Perez. Quiet Wang didn't defend his salary request nearly
as well.
The Yankees did the same thing with the "aging" Andy Pettitte, beating him
down to $5.5 million, after dangling a much higher offer that he didn't
accept within the time limit.
Based on his production relative to CC Sabathia and A.J. Burnett, he should
be on the "short" end of a $15-17 million range with the other two.
There, it was at least understandable; after an expensive winter signing Mark
Teixeira, CC Sabathia, and A.J. Burnett, Pettitte was signed with "spare
change."
Wang has been close mouthed about the way he has been treated. But as an
Asian-American, I would guess that it was highly demotivating to his
performance in 2008 and beyond. At some level, Wang may not want to play, at
least for the Yankees.
Such resentments often run deeper and last longer with Asians than with most
Americans. Meaning that Wang might even turn down an offer of X from the
Yankees for an equivalent, or slightly worse offer elsewhere.
In an earlier piece, I opined that the Pittsburgh Pirates should try to sign
Ben Sheets. Or someone like him. Wang would fall into the "someone like him"
category.
The low-budget Pirates made a "spec" trade for an injured Japanese player,
Akinori Iwamura, making between $4 million to $5 million. Given his
arbitration history and subsequent performance decline, Wang would command no
more, possibly less.
High-budget teams want a "sure thing." Low-budget teams often prefer to take
the equivalent of a long-shot draw to a straight or flush and hope to hit it.
It may be time for Wang to go to a different team, and a different type of
team
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