[blog] How about four years and $100M?
Sherman on Jeter: How about four years and $100M?
By Benjamin Kabak
As a heavy snow begins to blanket New York City, there’s little to do until
pitchers and catcher report but sit and wait. The Yankees are through with
their Hot Stove League wheelin’ and dealin’, and as the equipment trucks
head south, a calm descends upon the organization. Yet, this moment of
off-season serenity isn’t wanting for musings on the next season.
As we’ve written more than once over the last few months, the Yankees face
some contract choices next winter. Mariano Rivera, Derek Jeter and Joe
Girardi will be free agents, and while it’s easy to see Rivera and Girardi
returning on similar deals to those in place now, Jeter remains the big
question mark. When it will time to sign his new contract, Jeter will be 36,
and even though he is coming off of a 10-year, $189 million, the Yankees may
very well have to pay him for what he’s done rather than for what he will do.
Today in The Post, Joel Sherman tackles the topic with a piece on Jeter’s
pride. He doesn’t talk about Derek’s pride as arrogance but rather focuses
on Jeter’s pride as it impacts his desire to be a better player. The story
is one we’ve heard before because Joe discussed it after attending a Brian
Cashman WFAN breakfast a while back: The Yanks’ GM challenged Jeter to
improve his defense, and Jeter did so. While maintaining his prodigious
offensive output, Jeter has morphed from a below-average defender into an
average-to-above-average one.
How will this impact the Yanks’ efforts at extending their star short stop?
Sherman thinks that Jeter’s drive to stay at the top of his game will lead
him to pressure the Yanks into paying up simply producing on the field.
Sherman pegs the chances of Jeter’s remaining in pinstripes at 98 percent,
and because of A-Rod’s contract, the Post scribe believes Jeter will get
four years at $100 million. He would, in that sense, nearly match A-Rod, and
the left side of the Yanks’ infield would be making a combined $50 million
at a time when both players are over 35.
Does this make sense? Over the last four seasons, Jeter has seen his WAR
value fluctuate. According to Fangraphs, he was worth $23.2 million in 2006,
$15.5 million in 2007, $16.6 million in 2008 and a whopping $33.4 million in
2009 for a four-year total of $88.7 million. Since he, like the rest of us,
isn’t getting any younger, I doubt he can duplicate even that four-year
total, and, for example, his CHONE prediction pegs him at $15.4 for 2010.
In the end, the Yankees will pay Derek Jeter simply because he is Derek
Jeter. He’s not going to go anywhere, and the team will take care of him. As
I said yesterday, though, as the Yanks’ core players age and earn more, the
team will have to find young cost-controlled talent to alleviate the payroll
pressure. If Derek gets even a four-year, $84-million extension, thus
replicating his 2010 salary, the Yanks will be paying their short stop and
third baseman a combined $46 million in 2014 when they are 40 and 38
respectively. That’s a bit of a scary thought.
大意:
洋基有98%的可能會很乾脆地給Jeter一份延長約
而這份合約的精神在於Jeter為洋基做了什麼,而不在於Jeter還能為洋基做什麼
Sherman猜測這份合約會是4年100M
退一步來說,就算是4年84M好了,當2014年的時候洋基要付給三壘手和游擊手共46M
而這兩個傢伙已經一個40歲、一個38歲了
來源:http://tinyurl.com/yaykuk7
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