Washington Nationals Top-15 Prospects of 20 …
http://tinyurl.com/yfu6qkn
6. Chris Marrero | 1b | Age – 21 | Grade – B-
Body Type – He’s big, but not particularly athletic
Scouting Report
The first round pick from 2006 finally reached Double-A last season.
Ever since Chris Marrero was promoted during his 2007 breakout season, from
Single-A Hagerstown to A+ Potomac, Marrero has been a mainstay there. If it
were up to me, I’d have challenged him 2008 and started him in Double-A, see
if he could figure things out on his own.
Instead, he stayed in Potomac the entire season and put up a .785 OPS, this
after putting up a .769 OPS in 290 PAs the prior year. If that weren’t
enough, Marrero started the 2009 season again in Potomac and stayed there for
469 more PAs before the team finally promoted him.
I almost see that as being wasted development time because by the time he was
promoted to Double-A, he should have already been adjusted to that level of
pitching and hopefully ready for Triple-A.
Marrero has only improved by gradual increments each year, but it has mostly
come from a better BABIP. The walks, however, are down from his first session
in Potomac, and the strikeouts and power roughly remained the same.
Marrero has a nice right handed swing but leaves himself vulnerable to
off-speed stuff away because of his habit of “stepping in the bucket”,
which is a term used for players that don’t stride and plant straight ahead…
they essentially plant in an open stance. It’s something Marrero has put a
lot of work into, but he hasn’t been able to kick the habit entirely.
In the clip above, I like how Marrero is letting the ball travel deep into
his hitting zone. But in this instance, he’s actually letting it travel too
deep and as a result, he’s locking up his arms. At the point of contact,
Marrero’s bat is actually in a linear trajectory and as a result, the ball
comes off the bat in a linear fashion. Had he made contact with the pitch a
little earlier, he may have been able to drive the ball deep to the outfield.
Marrero has good bat speed and keeps his swing relatively short. He has plus
raw power that he’s still tapping into. However, his swing does get long at
times and when he’s not going well, he swings at pitches he shouldn’t.
For Marrero, his bat will have to carry him because he’s a below average
defender at first base, the position where one’s bat carries the most
importance.
Best Case Outcome – Above average everyday first baseman
More Likely Outcome – Average everyday first baseman
7. Eury Perez | CF | Age – 19 | Grade – C+
Body Type – Thin frame…some projection, but not a lot
Scouting Report
Eury Perez just completed his first season in the Gulf Coast League, but we
actually have some data on him that goes back to his first season in 2007
with the Nationals’ Dominican Summer League affiliate.
Over the past three years, Perez has continued to improve his contact rate.
His K% has dropped from 19.6% to 13.9% to 9.8% in 2009. And while he’s never
going to hit for much power, he’s at least showing signs of improvement by
also upping his ISO-power in each of the last three seasons.
The negative aspect here is that Perez’s BB% has also dropped from 16.1% to
11.8% to 7.4% over the last three years. The glass-half-full look at that
decline is that he showed such discipline and patience to begin with.
Perez has a knack for making hard contact, using the entire field to his
advantage. He hit the ball on the ground far more than years prior and hit
less line drives as a result. I just hope he doesn’t start trying to hit the
ball on the ground intentionally to take advantage of his speed. I’d rather
to see him look to hit as many line drives as possible. When you start
slapping at the ball on the ground, you become a one-dimensional player.
Defensively, Perez makes use of close to plus-plus speed and could be a plus
defender in time.
Best Case Outcome – Juan Pierre with more patience? Sounds like it and that’
s not a bad thing as long as he’s kept in centerfield
More Likely Outcome – Too soon to say
8. Destin Hood | OF | Grade – C+ – Physical and athletic outfielder still
very raw, but flashed his potential in the GCL
9. Juan Jaime | RHP | Grade – C+ – Jaime stands out from the other right
handers after Strasburg and Storen because of his tremendous arm strength…
needs another pitch though
10. Michael Burgess | RF | Grade – C+ – Big time power, but long swing
needs to be fixed or he’s going to fizzle out at higher levels
11. Jeff Kobernus | 2b | Grade – C – Not as high on him as others are, but
he’s an athletic second baseman with a solid college track record and the
Nationals organization doesn’t have many of those
12. Brad Meyers | RHP | Grade – C – Control/command guy with average stuff,
but a deep repertoire
13. Aaron Thompson | LHP | Grade – C – Another control/command pitcher with
average stuff…doesn’t have the command that Meyers does
14. A.J. Morris | RHP | Grade – C – Maybe the best pure stuff of all the
righty control artists, but he needs a third pitch to make it as a starter at
the MLB level
15. Paul Demny | RHP | Grade – C – Stands out a bit because of his
fastball/curveball combination, but he’s very inconsistent…probably
profiles better out of the bullpen
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