Re: [情報] Lucas Giolito 球探報告

看板Nationals作者Alif (jkjk )時間13年前 (2012/06/07 13:57)推噓8(8推 0噓 9→)

留言17則, 6人參與討論串2/2 (看更多)

※ 引述《VaROne (One)》之銘言： : Ht: 6-6 : Wt: 230 : B/T: R/R : HS: Harvard Westlake : HS Grad: 2012 : City: Santa Monica : State: CA : Country: United States Giolito的基本資料：身高：6呎6吋體重：230磅投/打：右投右打高中：Harvard Westlake(2012應屆畢) 出身：美國、加州、Santa Monica : 1/17/12: If you are a believer in writing scripts before the event, the next : six months of Lucas Giolito’s life, and indeed potentially the next 20 : years, is outstanding script material. Of course, Giolito is no stranger to : scripts. His mother is well known actress Lindsay Frost, his father, Rick, is : one of the icons of the computer game industry (former EA Vice President, : co-founder of Trilogy Studios). (本文於2012.1.17撰寫) 如果你喜歡編劇本的話，未來半年，以至於未來的20年，Lucas Giolito的人生絕對是很好的材料。他其實跟劇本這玩意兒並不陌生，因為他媽媽是知名演員Lindsay Frost，而他爸更是電玩工業界的代表性人物。(前EA副總裁、Trilogy Studios創辦人之一) : For those who are serious about the draft, it's a well-known fact that there : has never been a high school right handed pitcher picked with the first overall : pick. That dates back to 1965 and encompasses many past (Ryan, Gossage, Sutter, : Eckersley, etc) and future (Maddox, Smoltz, Hoffman, maybe Clemens, etc.) Hall : of Famers and even more Cy Young Award winners. There have been some teases the : past two years in Jamison Taillon (No. 2 overall in 2010) and Dylan Bundy : (No. 4 in 2011) but the last really serious candidate was Josh Beckett in 1999, : who went down to the wire with Josh Hamilton to be the then Tampa Bay Devil Rays : top pick. The right series of events and circumstances has to come together : just right to have a teenage right handed pitcher selected first overall. : Having that type of talent is the first obvious criteria and Giolito : unquestionably has that (more on that below). 有認真在關注選秀的人都知道，高校右投從來沒有拿下過選秀狀元。從1965年開始的大聯盟選秀，許多名人堂、準名人堂等級的投手，以及多位賽揚強投都沒能得到這項殊榮。前兩年已經算很有機會的了，Jamison Taillon拿下2010第二順位， (按：因為對上了Harper^^!) Dylan Bundy則是拿下2011的第四順位。其實真正有機會的是1999年的Josh Beckett，可惜被Josh Hamilton搶走了魔鬼魚(光芒) 的狀元籤。究竟誰有辦法打破這(小)魔咒呢? 顯然這個人必須是個天才，而Giolito就符合這樣的標準，無庸置疑。 : But just as importantly, there has to be the right team, the right competitors : (or lack thereof) for the pick and the right signability. The new CBA and the : bonus slots should eliminate much of the major signability posturing and : gamesmanship that can affect the top pick. The Astros, holders of the first : pick, should have no inhibitions about picking Giolito based on their personnel : (remember, new GM Jeff Luhnow picked Shelby Miller out of high school while : with St. Louis and certainly enjoyed the benefits of having former HS first : rounder Chris Carpenter on the Cardinals staff). 當然要完成這項成就，對的球團、當時的競爭新秀、簽約可能性等等因素也很重要。新的CBA規則以及簽約金限制，讓許多會原本會影響狀元籤的假動作和怪招被消除了。擁有第一順位選秀權的太空人隊，應該可以在沒有意外的狀況下簽下Giolito。(因為太空人的新GM過去在金鶯的時期就有挖掘高中新秀的傾向，例如：Carpenter) : As for the comparisons for the top pick, I think it will come down to Giolito : vs. Stanford’s Mark Appel. The advantage for Giolito (or potentially Appel : for that matter) is that the scouting directors and cross checkers will : frequently see both pitchers throw within a couple days of each other, maybe on : back to back days, and be able to make an immediate comparison. They will see : similar stuff, with the advantage potentially belonging to the pitcher who is : almost exactly three years younger. Giolito’s baseball package is certainly : without question. He’s a very young senior and won't turn 18 years old until : after the July 13 signing deadline. 至於誰能和Giolito競爭呢?我覺得是史丹福大學的Appel。Giolito的優勢(同時也是Appel 也具備的)，就是各球團的球探經常到場看這兩位新秀比賽，有時甚至是今天看完這位，隔天緊接著看另一位，以便於他們做即時性的比較。他們應該會看到類似的投手特質，不過Giolito贏在他比Appel幾乎年輕了三歲。他的投球水準沒問題，而他到7/13的簽約期限前還沒滿18歲呢! : He's a well proportioned 6-foot-6, 240 pounds and really doesn't need to get : that much stronger, just maintain his looseness and athleticism. If he were to : get stronger while maintaining that looseness, that will be really scary. He : threw a series of short outings this fall and was consistently in the 95-98 : mph range with his fastball….as in rarely falling below 95 mph, with reports : of him touching 100. He works downhill very well with his fastball and while : he could command the pitch better, he doesn't throw with much effort. : Despite the incredible power behind his fastball, most everyone agrees that : his best future pitch could be his curveball, just as Nolan Ryan's curveball : was actually a nastier pitch than his 100 mph heater. He throws his : traditional version of the pitch in the low-80s and it is deep and sharp, a : true knee buckler for any hitter at any level when throw properly. He also : has been working on developing a harder version of the pitch thrown in the : 84-87 range that he calls his 'wipeout' curve. Giolito throws a change up on : rare occasions but that isn't really a present consideration in evaluating : him. 他的身材比例很好，6呎6吋，240磅，應該不必再練得更壯了，只要維持平常的休閒和運動時間配置就可以。如果在這樣的節奏下他還能練得更壯，那真是夠嚇人的了。去年秋天賽季他投了幾場，速球平均是95-98英哩，很少低於95，最高有到100英哩! 他不怎麼費力就可以把球速投出來，而且控球也不錯。儘管他的球速展現相當的爆發力，大多數人一致認為他未來最強的球種是曲球，就像名人堂強投Nolan Ryan的曲球實際上比他100哩的速球更噁心是一樣的狀況。 Giolito的曲球球速可以壓到80哩以下，變化幅度大而且犀利，投得好的話足以壓制任何打者。而他正在嘗試一種的新的曲球，球速大約在84-87哩之間，他稱之為 "wipeout curve"(請自由發揮^^)。 Giolito偶爾也會投一些變速球，不過目前並非大家關注的重點。 : When it gets right down to it, though, it might not be the Astros decision, : it will be Giolito and his family's. The money, even at $7.2 million for the : first pick, probably isn’t going to be a deciding factor. Giolito is a very : good student and is the type of young man who could put the value of the : college experience at UCLA above any other consideration. And it's certainly : worth noting that Gerrit Cole entered UCLA in 2008 after turning down high : first round money and emerged three years later as the first pick in the 2011 : draft. It will be a fascinating script all spring and into the early summer, : that's for sure. : http://www.perfectgame.org/Players/PlayerProfile.aspx?ID=268321 不過事情會怎麼發展，其實不見得會是太空人隊可以決定的。Giolito本人和他的家人才是關鍵。就算捧著7.2M並在第一順位選中他，也不見得就能簽下他。Giolito是一名優秀的好學生，而且認為大學(UCLA)的人生經驗對他而言是無可取代的。當然，不久之前也有一個案例就是Gerrit Cole(2008第28順位，但最後拒絕洋基的邀約)，他放棄了高額的選秀簽約金而到UCLA就讀，三年後被海盜隊選中，拿下2011的選秀狀元。總之，接下來這幾個月的劇情一定很精彩，我們接著看下去… -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 111.240.130.83

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VaROne

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rhapsody70

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