[情報] Fangraphs版國民2015新秀榜 PART.4

看板Nationals作者vg175 (非典型廢言)時間10年前 (2015/02/18 08:46)推噓2(2推 0噓 3→)

留言5則, 3人參與討論串1/1

Cistulli’s Guy John Simms, RHP There are appear to be neither any great strengths nor particularly debilitating weaknesses with regard to Simms’ repertoire. He has a reputation for throwing an average fastball and mostly average other stuff. Nevertheless, he’s produced mostly above-average strikeout- and walk-rate differentials as a minor leaguer — even while having generally been on the young side for his leagues. The result is an encouraging ZiPS projection (1.0 WAR in 94.2 IP) — on par with or better than more celebrated prospects within the system, including Jake Johansen and Joe Ross and Austin Voth. Having finished his age- 22 season with Double-A Harrisburg, he’s a candidate to begin there in 2015. Simms 沒有任何強大肌力量或特別虛弱的弱點，他靠丟average fastball與其它差不多都屬average的stuff建立名聲。儘管如此他也可以在小聯盟製造幾乎是 above average 且差異明顯的奪三振與保送，而就他所待的聯盟來說他的年紀通常還算輕的。球季結束後統計出的ZiPS令人興奮（1.0 WAR in 94.2 IP），在國民系統中可與有名的新秀，包括Jake Johansen、Joe Ross、Austin Voth等人並駕齊驅甚至更好。2014年22歲的他在 2A結束球季，2015年也有機會從這裡開始。 Here’s an example of Simms’ breaking ball from his last start of the season, flashing probably slightly better than average: http://cdn.fangraphs.com/blogs/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Simms-Cave-CU-K.gif

And that same thing, more slowly: http://ppt.cc/kSEJ Others of Note There’s five upper level bats to keep an eye on: 2B Tony Renda (5’8/180 and was 2nd rounder out of Cal in 2012; good approach, has hit everywhere, has advanced bat control, gets on base but hasn’t played short and has little power; Nats may try him at short to see if he can contribute there), 2B Jeff Kobernus (2009 2nd rounder went to Cal like Renda but has had MLB cup of coffee ; plus plus speed, below average arm and contact approach make him a nice fit for a 25th man), SS Chris Bostick (acquired with De Los Santos, listed below, in the Ross Detwiler deal with Texas; similar to Renda and Kobernus as backup second baseman that can’t play short, but he has above average bat speed, solid average foot speed and could hit double digit homers), SS Stephen Perez ( the hitting tools are just okay, but he has feel for the strike zone and is good enough with the glove to be a utility guy that plays shortstop) and CF Isaac Ballou (late-blooming tools guy is a plus runner with an above average arm and average power that profiles as a 4th outfielder if he can make enough contact). 有五個高階層的打者值得注意。二壘手Tony Renda （五呎八吋180 磅，2012年第二輪來自加州。有良好的攻擊策略，能把球打到任何地方，對球棒也有進階控制能力。國民也許會讓他站游擊試試能否有所貢獻。）二壘手Jeff Kobernus （2009年第二輪，跟Renda一樣來自加州但他已經有過大聯盟經驗。plus plus speed、 below average arm與contact策略等使他是個25人名單的好人選。）游擊手Chris Bostick （跟下面會提的De Los Santos一起經過Detwiler交易案來到國民，與Renda及Kobernus 類似都是替補二壘手只不過他無法站游擊，但他也有above average揮棒速度，solid average foot speed，也可能打出雙位數全壘打。）游擊手Stephen Perez （打擊tools 還可以，但掌握好球帶的能力不錯再加上手套使他成為能守游擊防區的工具人。）中外野手Isaac Ballou （大器晚成，是個plus runner。有above average arm與average power。contact表現夠好就有機會當上四號外野手。） There are four bats from the lower levels to keep on your radar: 3B Anderson Franco (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-RF8USinsU

Dominican got $900,000 last July 2nd period and has easy above average power and arm strength with some feel to hit, should be in GCL in 2015), C Raudy Read (offensive-oriented catcher has feel to hit and some pop to go with a plus arm but is 21 and still raw defensively, with ability to stick with behind the plate with some work), C Spencer Kieboom (Owner of dope last name and defensive specialist was 2012 5th rounder out of Clemson and has hit more than expected; has a solid chance to turn into a big league backup but will be 24 next year and hasn’t been above Low-A) and SS Edwin Lora (Dominican teenager was GCL shortstop last year and took a step forward with the bat, is a guy to watch for in 2015). 四個低階層的打者可以關心。三壘手Anderson Franco （來自多明尼加，去年07/02簽下900K合約。easy above average power ，手臂有力對打擊也有些感覺。2015年應會待在GCL。）捕手Raudy Read （攻擊型捕手，有打擊手感跟一些長打能力與plus arm。但才21歲防守端也還生嫩，再加上一些努力他就有能力卡住本壘板後方。）捕手Spencer Kieboom （Owner of dope last name不知道是什麼哏？防守專家，來自Clemson的2012年第五輪。攻擊方面比預期要好，有不錯的機會能擠進大聯盟替補捕手。但明年就要24歲而且層級還沒超過Low-A過。）游擊手Edwin Lora （來自多明尼加，去年在GCL站游擊打擊也有進步。2015年值得觀察看看。） There are three more pitchers form the upper levels to watch: RHP Eric Fornataro (recent waiver claim from St. Louis has had MLB cup of coffee and projects as 7th inning guy similar to Ryan Mattheus, with a plus fastball that generates grounders but Fornataro’s secondary stuff is a little crisper), RHP John Simms (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lKrctuAFCMU

6’3/205 righty has stigma of being a Rice pitcher, but has stayed healthy and moved quickly as pitchability righty with a fringy fastball and above average breaking ball) and RHP Abel De Los Santos (recently acquired from Texas with Bostick for Detwiler; power reliever has plus fastball and flashes an above average breaking ball, but is more of a thrower right now) 此外另有三個待在高階層級的投手。右投Eric Fornataro （從聖路易claim來，已經上過大聯盟。應與Ryan Mattheus類似屬負責第七局的佈局投手，有能製造滾地球的plus fastball，但第二球種比較容易挨打。）右投John Simms （六呎三吋205 磅，出身Rice的投手身體狀況通常不理想，但他可以保持健康並靠著投球智商、普普fastball與above average變化球快速爬升。）右投Abel De Los Santos （剛因Detwiler交易案與Bostick一起從德州轉來。強力中繼投手，有plus fastball，展示過above average的變化球，但目前還偏向在扔球而非投球。） Finally, there are three pitchers at the lower levels to monitor: RHP Robbie Dickey (2014 4th rounder from Texas Juco will flash above average fastball/ slider at times, running it up to 96 mph and drawing backend starter projection , but the stuff understandably faded a bit after signing) RHP Luis Reyes (6’2/ 175 Dominican righty has upside that he’s starting to tap into, flashing starter traits and hitting 95 mph with a solid average curveball; he should make his full-season debut next year at age 20) and LHP Nick Lee (smallish power lefty has command/delivery issues and likely fits in pen sooner than later, but has four pitches and starts for now to develop his stuff; 90-93, touching 96 mph, above average curveball, fringy changeup and below average slider) 最後還有三個低階聯盟投手可以留意。右投Robbie Dickey （來自德州Juco的2014年第四輪新秀，有時能展現above average 速球與滑球。球速可達96也被預測有後段輪值潛力，但stuff在簽約後有些衰退。可以理解。）右投Luis Reyes （六呎二吋175磅來自多明尼加，已經開始開發自己的upside 。展示先發投手特質，球速可達95也有solid average曲球。已滿20歲，明年應能完成首次完整職業球季。）左投Nick Lee （矮小的power lefty ，控球跟出手動作都有問題。似乎遲早會往牛棚發展。但他有四種球種，目前也為了培養stuff 持續待在先發。球速90-93可達96，above average曲球，外加過得去的變速球跟below average滑球。） -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 1.34.47.100 ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Nationals/M.1424220394.A.54B.html