[外電] Looking at the NLDS by the numbers

看板Nationals作者vg175 (非典型廢言)時間7年前 (2017/10/15 20:14)推噓9(9推 0噓 5→)

留言14則, 11人參與討論串1/1

https://goo.gl/ALhsEv By: Mark Zuckerman October 14, 2017 9:00 AM It’s never easy to look back and wonder, “What if?” Especially when the sting of defeat is still fresh in your mind. It’s always easier to look ahead and wonder, “What’s next?” than dredge up bad memories. 回頭並提問，＂如果當時？＂向來不容易，特別是當傷痛還如針刺般扎在你心頭上時。而往前看然後想想，＂接下來呢？＂總是比揭瘡疤容易多了。 And we will start looking ahead. Tomorrow. Today, we’re going to take one final look back at a National League Division Series that defied most logic. The Nationals lost the series, three games to two, to the Cubs. But as you’ ll see, the numbers pretty much entirely tilted in Washington’s favor. 我們還是要向前走，明天開始。今天，我們將最後一次回顧NLDS，即使違背大家的意願。兩勝三敗，國民輸掉系列賽。但如同你將看到的，數據幾乎完全站在國民這邊。 This may not be an easy read for those who still can’t believe the Nationals aren’t in Los Angeles right now, preparing for Game 1 of the National League Championship Series against the Dodgers. But it’s worth it to take one final look at the numbers and try to figure out how in the world the Nats actually lost this series ... 對某些還是很難相信國民現在沒在洛杉磯準備NLCS打道奇的球迷來說或許很難下嚥，不過這些數字還是值得再看最後一眼，試著找出國民到底是怎麼丟掉系列賽的... * The Nationals outscored the Cubs 20-17 in the series. They won their two games by a combined eight runs. They lost their three games by a combined five runs (twice by one run). ＊本系列賽國民的得失分20-17勝過小熊。兩場勝利共贏過對手八分，三場輸球加起來只輸五分（其中兩場各蘇逸芬）。 * The Nationals’ offensive numbers for the series were not good. They hit a paltry .186 with a .302 on-base percentage and .335 slugging percentage. Not good. And yet it was still better than the Cubs’ slash line of .180/.285/.280. ＊本系列賽國民的攻擊數據並不理想。三圍只有.186/.302/.335，不好看。不過還是比小熊的.180/.285/.280來得好。 * Nationals pitchers combined for a 2.66 ERA in the series, allowing only 49 batters to reach base in 44 innings and striking out 52. Cubs pitchers combined for a 3.68 ERA in the series, allowing 57 batters to reach base in 44 innings, striking out 41. ＊本系列賽國民團隊自責分率為2.66，共44局投球中只讓對手站上壘包49次還三振掉52人次；小熊則是3.68，44局中被對手上壘57次，奪三振41人次。 * The Nationals out-homered the Cubs 6-2. Chicago out-doubled Washington 9-6. Neither team hit a triple. ＊國民六支全壘打超過只打兩支的小熊，二壘安打則是小熊九支超過國民六支。兩隊都沒擊出過三壘安打。 * What about timely hitting? Well, neither team was particularly good in that department, either. But the Nationals actually were better. They hit .222 (6-for-27) with runners in scoring position, while the Cubs hit .212 (7-for-33). In the decisive Game 5, the Nats were 3-for-10 while the Cubs were just 1-for-11. ＊關鍵時刻打擊呢？這個嘛，兩邊在這部分都乏善可陳，但國民確實略勝一籌。國民的RISP打擊率為.222(6-for-27)，小熊.212(7-for-33)。 G5決勝戰國民3-for-10，小熊1-for-11。 * What about defense? The Nationals were charged with five errors in the series, while the Cubs were charged with seven. It’s worth noting, however, that Chicago took better advantage of those mistakes, scoring four unearned runs in the series to the Nationals’ two. ＊防守呢？系列賽國民共失誤五次而小熊七次。然而值得注意的是小熊更會趁你病要你命，搶走四分非責失，國民只拿到兩分。 * Who did the contributing for each team? The Nats were led by Michael A. Taylor (5-for-15, two homers, eight RBIs, three walks, four strikeouts). Taylor reached base a total of eight times, as did Anthony Rendon. Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy and Jayson Werth each reached base seven times. Matt Wieters reached six times. Trea Turner and Ryan Zimmerman each reached five times (Turner’s five all came in the final two games of the series). ＊兩邊打者各自的貢獻度又是如何？國民領先者為Michael Taylor（5-for-15 兩轟八打點三次四壞四次三振） Taylor跟Rendon都上壘八次， Harper、Murphy、Werth各上壘七次， Wieters六次， TT與Zim各五次（TT的所有上壘都來自最後兩場比賽）。 For the Cubs, Anthony Rizzo (4-for-20, one homer, one double, six RBIs) led the way. Willson Contreras reached base nine times, most of anybody in the series. Jon Jay reached six times (three via hit by pitch), as did Addison Russell. Rizzo, Kris Bryant and Ben Zobrist each reached five times. Jason Heyward reached four times. Albert Almora Jr. reached three times. Kyle Schwarber reached twice. And Javier Baez reached only one (a walk), going 0-for-14 with five strikeouts in the series. 小熊這邊的領先者為Anthony Rizzo（4-for-20 全壘打與二壘安打各一支六打點） Contreras上壘九次，本系列所有球員中最高； Jay上壘六次（包含三次觸身），蘆筍、Rizzo、老大與Zoby各上壘五次， Heyward四次。 Baez最慘，0-for-14包括五次三振，只靠保送上壘一次。 * How about pitcher usage? Stephen Strasburg faced a total of 51 batters in the series, most of any pitcher on either team. Kyle Hendricks (49) was next, followed by Gio Gonzalez (35), Jon Lester (34) and Max Scherzer (33). ＊再看看投手使用度。小史共面對51打席，兩隊最多。憨雞49居次，GG有35，抗癌34， Scherzer則是33。 Among the Nationals’ regular relievers, Ryan Madson had by far the most work, facing 18 batters (retiring 12). Brandon Kintzler retired eight of the 12 batters he faced. Matt Albers retired seven of nine, Sean Doolittle retired eight of nine, Sammy Solis retired three of seven and Oliver Perez retired one of two. Neither Tanner Roark nor Enny Romero appeared in the series out of the Nationals bullpen. 國民常規牛中Madson最累，面對18個打席（解決其中12個）。 Kintzler面對12個也收掉八個， Albers面對九個收掉七個，怪醫面對九個收掉八個， Solis面對七個收掉三個， Perez面對兩個解決一個。系列賽中Roark或Romero都沒出場過。 On the Cubs side, closer Wade Davis faced 18 batters, retiring 11 of them. Carl Edwards Jr. faced 13, retiring seven. Pedro Strop retired 10 of 13, Mike Montgomery retired three of nine, Brian Duensing retired five of six and Justin Wilson retired each of the two batters faced. John Lackey never appeared. 小熊這邊關門的Davis面對18個打席解決11個， CEJr.面對13個收掉七個， Strop面對13個解決10個，芒果面對九個收掉三個， Duensing面對六個收掉五個，排球則是解決兩個也是所有他面對的對手。 Lackey從沒上場。 * OK, here’s the last stat for you. And just to provide fair warning, it’s going to be tough to see. But it needs to be said, so here you go: Over their last three postseason series, the Nationals have outscored the opposition by a combined score of 53-45. Yes, they outscored the Giants (2014), Dodgers (2016) and Cubs (2017) in aggregate. They outscored Los Angeles last season 24-19. They were deadlocked with San Francisco at 9-9. ＊好了，這是最後要給你看的數據，然後得先警告看了不會太酥胡。不過還是得先說要左轉的就別往下看。過去三次季後系列賽，國民得失分為53-45。沒錯，他們的總得失分超過2014年的巨人加上2016年的道奇再加上2017年的小熊。去年國民的得失分24-19超過道奇，與巨人則是9-9扯平。 Total record in all of those games: 5-9. Record in those series: 0-3. 所有記錄歸結到比賽結果： 5-9。系列： 0-3。 Have a great weekend, everybody! 祝大家週末愉快！ -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 114.32.124.186 ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Nationals/M.1508069642.A.8E2.html