Re: [外電] John Sickels Top 20 Prospects for 2011
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Baltimore Orioles 2011 Top 20 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review
by John Sickels on Jul 23, 2011 4:01 PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles Top 20 2011 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review
It is time to review our PRE-SEASON list of Top 20 prospects for 2011 for
each organization, continuing today with the Baltimore Orioles. This list was
originally published December 11, 2010. Tomorrow we will do the Arizona
Diamondbacks.
This is a review of the 2011 Pre-Season Top 20 list. IT IS NOT A NEW LIST.
The 2012 list and new grades won't be ready until the season is over and I
start writing the book.
1) Manny Machado, SS, Grade A-: .276/.376/.483 in 38 games for Low-A
Delmarva, .240/.333/.387 in 21 games for High-A Frederick, .264/.362/.450
combined with 34 walks, 42 strikeouts in 220 at-bats. Strong reviews on
defense. Still an elite prospect.
Star-divide
2) Zach Britton, LHP, Grade A-: 4.05 ERA with 64/39 K/BB in 104 major league
innings, 103 hits, 1.74 GO/AO. Went back to Double-A a couple of weeks ago
but major league performance was solid overall and he'll be back soon.
3) Dan Klein, RHP, Grade B-: 1.11 ERA with 37/6 K/BB in 32 innings of relief
between Frederick and Double-A Bowie, went on the disabled list in early June
with shoulder trouble and may not pitch the rest of the year.
4) Mycal Givens, SS-2B, Grade B-: Struggled for Delmarva, .195/.260/.229.
Sent back to New York-Penn League in June and has rebounded, .297/.365/.384
for Aberdeen. No one is giving up yet.
5) Xavier Avery, OF, Grade C+: .271/.322/.355 with 26 walks, 108 strikeouts
in 391 at-bats for Bowie. 30 steals in 41 attempts. Fast, toolsy, still very
raw.
6) L.J. Hoes, 2B, Grade C+: .241/.297/.342 in 158 at-bats for Frederick,
.311/.357/.363 with 11 steals in 190 at-bats for Bowie. BABIP luck main
difference between levels.
7) Jonathan Schoop, SS, Grade C+: Hit .316/.376/.514 in 51 games for
Delmarva, then .221/.293/.263 in 35 games for Frederick. Very young for
High-A at age 19.
8) Ryan Adams, INF, Grade C+: .285/.358/.422 with 27 walks, 78 strikeouts in
270 at-bats for Triple-A Norfolk, 5-for-23 (.217) in nine major league games.
Contact issues the main trouble here.
9) Ryan Berry, RHP, Grade C+: Spent most of the season in the DL, just got
back into action in late June/July, 14.1 innings so far with a 12/10 KBB and
a 6.28 ERA between the GCL Orioles and Aberdeen. 1.81 GO/AO stands out in a
small sample.
10) Wynn Pelzer, RHP, Grade C+: 4.11 ERA with 62/42 K/BB in 70 innings for
Bowie, 70 hits. Ineffective as a starter, but has a 2.25 ERA in 24 relief
innings with a 2.25 GO/AO. Bullpen looks like his destination.
11) Joseph Mahoney, 1B, Grade C+: .288/.356/.506 in 156 at-bats for Bowie,
16 walks, 39 strikeouts. Missed most of April and May with a quad injury but
hitting well now.
12) Tyler Townsend, 1B, Grade C+: .318/.355/.588 in 245 at-bats for
Frederick, with a 9/63 BB/K. Numbers are great on the surface but I really
don't like that BB/K ratio.
13) Matt Hobgood, RHP, Grade C+: Recently activated after shoulder problems,
18.1 innings so far between GCL and NY-P, 4.42 ERA with 12/5 K/BB, 4.57
GO/AO. Sample too small to mean much but at least he's on the mound.
14) Brandon Cooney, RHP, Grade C+: Another recent activation, 18.2 innings
for Bowie, 19/15 K/BB, 16 hits, 4.82 ERA.
15) Bobby Bundy, RHP, Grade C+: 3.11 ERA with 91/30 K/BB in 107 innings for
Frederick, 97 hits, 1.28 GO/AO. A very fine season, stock is moving up
quickly.
16) Connor Narron, SS, Grade C+: .233/.370/.283 in 120 at-bats for
Aberdeen, 24 walks, 22 strikeouts. Excellent command of the strike zone so
far, lacks power. Playing third base this year, glove rough so far with 11
errors and just one double play in 34 games.
17) Brandon Waring, 3B, Grade C: .203/.278/.395 with 12 homers, 25 walks,
85 strikeouts in 271 at-bats for Bowie. Has lost 120 points of OPS while
repeating the league.
18) Eddie Gamboa, RHP, Grade C: 3.00 ERA with 27/8 K/BB in 39 innings for
Bowie, 32 hits, 1.90 GO/AO. I still think he can be a useful utility pitcher
if given the opportunity.
19) Jarrett Martin, LHP, Grade C: 4.84 ERA, 71/47 K/BB in 74 innings for
Delmarva, 67 hits, 1.46 GO/AO. Gets strikeouts with some grounders but walk
rate too high. Lefties have hit just .181 against him.
20) Trent Mummey, OF, Grade C: .292/.373/.478 with 19 steals, 16 walks, 19
strikeouts in 113 at-bats between Delmarva and Frederick. Out with hamstring
injury since early June.
There seems to be a lot of roster churn in this system, guys shuffling
between levels, along with injury attrition. Feel free in the comments
section to ask about guys who weren't on the Pre-Season Top 20 but who are
doing well this year.
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